It’s been a remarkable 18-month run in the Kansas City industrial market. Developers are being rewarded for their patience and long-term land positions, and larger tenants finally have several options from which to choose among Class-A distribution facilities. In January 2013, the vacancy rate in the Kansas City industrial market was a tight 6 percent, with barely any product available for users searching for modern distribution space of 200,000 square feet or more. At that time, I made some predictions about new construction, vacancy and absorption. Let’s review what happened. Market Drivers Kansas City recorded more than 3.5 million square feet of positive absorption in 2013 alone, adding another 800,000 square feet during the first two quarters of 2014. This demand was driven in large part by the automobile suppliers, online retailers and by governmental agencies. At mid-year, the vacancy rate for Kansas City warehouse product had fallen to 5.6 percent, well below the national average of 7.3 percent. Average lease rates have moved up to pre-recession levels, as regional distributors and third-party logistics companies attempt to secure large blocks of space for their national footprints. In 2013, the market delivered 2.4 million square feet of new industrial product, with …
Midwest Market Reports
Before the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009, many developers believed they could continue to build commercial product and demand would follow. But as the economy came to a screeching halt, reality kicked in and many owners and developers were stuck with product that couldn’t be sold or leased. Fast forward to 2014, and that stagnant product has slowly been absorbed as the economy has gradually recovered. From 2008 to 2014, construction of commercial real estate fizzled, resulting in lower vacancy rates and increased net absorption. Now, construction activity is beginning to increase and speculative construction is back in action. This uptick in construction and speculative development is especially apparent in the industrial real estate market. In Ohio, the industrial vacancy rate sits at an average of 6.8 percent for 962 million square feet of industrial space that Colliers|Ohio tracks in Cincinnati, Cleveland, Columbus and Dayton. Colliers|Ohio recorded more than 10 million square feet of positive absorption in 2013, and 6.9 million square feet during the first half of this year. Colliers has tracked an uptick in absorption in the industrial market for several years, and the supply of quality Class A bulk product has diminished significantly. Developers have taken …
Momentum continues to build in the St. Louis commercial real estate investment market across all major product sectors. As private and institutional investors search for higher yields, they are drawn to secondary markets like St. Louis. Investors are seeing a yield premium of 100 to 150 basis points as measured by the initial cap rate. Office Market Grows Hotter The suburban office sector has generated the most momentum, building on a strong 2013. Suburban office investment sales activity could exceed $450 million in 2014, which would be a 90 percent increase over 2013. The largest office deal is the sale of Cityplace, an 884,000-square-foot Class A office complex in Creve Coeur that is under contract and expected to close for approximately $141 million. New Boston Fund and the Koman Group are the sellers. The buyer is undisclosed. While the search for higher yields is certainly a factor driving increased suburban office investment activity, another big part of the story is the continued occupancy growth supported by job gains. The St. Louis unemployment rate, which in May 2014 stood at 6.96 percent, is rapidly approaching the pre-recession level of 5.7 percent set in November 2007. Growth in industries such as technology, …
Stand in the center of Des Moines, take a look in all directions and one will discern that retail growth is not discriminating. It’s occurring in all areas of the marketplace.That’s not surprising for a metro area of 600,000 that was recently named “America’s Wealthiest City” by NBC’s Today show as part of a special series titled “Healthy, Wealthy, Wise.” In 2013, Forbes magazine ranked Des Moines tops on its 15th annual list of “Best Places for Business And Careers.” Market statistics provide plenty of evidence. Occupancy in neighborhood retail centers has increased for three straight years, rising to 81.9 percent at the close of 2013. Leasing activity has been robust with more than 300,000 square feet of positive absorption during the past 12 months. Only a few big-box retail spaces are now available with occupancy rising to 97.5 percent in December 2013. Although growth is occurring in all areas, the Jordan Creek Town Center corridor continues to grab headlines. Hurd Real Estate continues construction on the 328,597-square-foot Plaza at Jordan Creek. In addition to Lowe’s and the recently opened Dick’s Sporting Goods, both HomeGoods and Nordstrom Rack are nearing completion. The Nordstrom lease is a significant milestone for Iowa …
Three staggering announcements highlighted downtown Chicago’s office sector during the second and early third quarter as investors jockeyed to get a piece of a market that has been the beneficiary of the tech boom. The CBD office vacancy rate is now at its lowest level in five years — 14.1 percent — aided by downtown net absorption of 592,328 square feet during the second quarter, the most in nearly seven years, according to CBRE Group. Asking rents in the city have risen 3.9 percent over the past year. There have been seven sales of more than $300 million since October 2013, including the deal that will come to define downtown Chicago for a long time to come — the disposition of 300 N. LaSalle St. to Newport Beach, Calif.-based The Irvine Company for $850 million in May. The purchase price equals $654 per square foot for the 60-story trophy tower. To put that figure into context, consider that KBS Realty Advisors LLC paid a then-record $503 per square foot for the building in 2010 to Hines Interests LP. So why did 300 N. LaSalle fetch a record price? There are a few reasons. First, the tower is 97 percent leased …
When we read or hear about economic recovery, whether it is regarding commercial real estate or a different sector of the economy, so often the perspectives and projections we hear are on a national, or even global, scale. Unfortunately, such analyses can result in a picture of the economy that seems like it was taken with a wide-angle lens. Typically, commercial real estate activity in larger cities will not be representative of tertiary markets like Springfield, Ill. The big picture can give a distorted view of the health of our local economy here in Springfield. Dr. Peter Linneman, chief economist for NAI Global, says that employment levels in America have recovered to nearly pre-recession levels and that many of the jobs created during the recovery have been semi-skilled jobs, rather than minimum-wage jobs. The jobs recovery is especially meaningful for the housing industry, and multifamily in particular. New home construction is expected to be on a gradual rise in Springfield during the next two to three years. Most everyone knows that small business is the main staple for job creation, yet government handouts and subsidies are funneled to the largest banks in America, and there the money sits instead of …
For Cincinnati residents and businesses, the ongoing revitalization of the city’s urban core is an exciting example of how the traditional live, work and play dynamic can set in motion a cycle of positive reinforcement whereby new housing spurs new commercial development, which in turn encourages additional residential growth. While the Queen City’s renewed civic connections and commercial synergies are making headlines and garnering justified attention, it is precisely this residential spark that has fanned the retail flame. Like so much development — and redevelopment — it is all about “chasing rooftops,” responding to demographic shifts and finding new ways to meet the needs of a changing urban populous. In today’s rapidly evolving Cincinnati market, those changes are evident, and the resulting development is literally and figuratively altering the Cincinnati cityscape. City Living Cincinnati’s recent urban residential development can be broken down into two categories: downtown development in and around the central business district (CBD), and the development in the first-ring communities just outside of that urban core. Both areas are seeing a great deal of high-end multifamily coming online. Typically, this new housing stock is amenity-driven and priced at a premium. The tight rental market for this product has …
Apartment development is currently the driving force in downtown Cleveland’s commercial real estate market, including the conversion of office buildings to residential use and the rehabilitation of existing apartment buildings. Downtown Cleveland’s population stands at more than 12,500, an 88 percent increase since 2000, according to a first-quarter market update from the Downtown Cleveland Alliance. As a result, apartment demand is unrelenting with many properties boasting a long waiting list. The renovated Ameritrust Building that includes “The 9” Apartments is one such development that has a significant waiting list.The strong tenant demand has driven Cleveland’s apartment vacancy to below 5 percent. Corporate Relocations In response to a growing number of young professionals seeking a downtown work/live/play environment, several corporations have relocated from the suburbs to downtown Cleveland. This trend is particularly evident among high-tech companies. The list of companies growing and expanding downtown includes Dakota Software, Dwellworks, National General Insurance, OnShift, BrandMuscle and BrownFlynn. Renewed growth and demand for an efficient workplace has led to the construction of Cleveland’s first multi-tenant office building in decades, the Ernst & Young Tower. Inquiries and occupancy at the Ernst & Young Tower have been so robust that the developer, Fairmount Properties, has broken …
Dayton, Ohio, has had its struggles over the years transitioning from a predominantly automotive manufacturing economy to one with a more diverse base of industries such as transportation and logistics, aerospace technology, medical device manufacturing and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) development. Throughout this tumultuous period, Dayton’s industrial commercial real estate market has had to adapt to the evolving needs of the new tenant mix. Part of that adaptation has led to the construction of several build-to-suits over the last 18 months. This construction trend is being driven by companies opting for build-to-suit projects instead of purchasing existing properties due to their age, inadequate size or functional obsolescence such as inadequate ceiling heights. The trend is evident in the large amount of industrial space that has been delivered in recent years or is currently under construction in the Dayton market. The impact of this trend is an elevated vacancy rate when compared to other Midwest markets. Dayton’s overall industrial vacancy rate at the end of the first quarter of 2014 stood at 14.8 percent compared with 5.8 percent for Cincinnati. Drivers of New Construction Like much of the industrial market throughout the country, the transportation and logistics industry is driving development …
Development in urban Cincinnati is rejuvenating the economy, increasing employment opportunities and creating new demand for apartments. The Banks, an 18-acre, mixed use-development project along the Ohio River between the Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds and new Paul Brown Stadium, home of the Cincinnati Bengals, is transforming downtown Cincinnati and supporting economic growth. Atlanta-based Carter and the Harold A. Dawson Co. are developers of The Banks. Phase I, which opened in 2011, created 3,600 permanent jobs and included the Current at The Banks project, a 300-unit apartment building with 96,000 square feet of street-level retail space. The apartments are currently fully leased, and the retail space is approximately 92 percent occupied. The popularity of Current at The Banks has been so great that there is a waiting list for apartments. Work recently began on Phase II of The Banks, which will add more apartments on the western half of the site. Infrastructure is Key Constuction continues on Cincinnati’s new multi-faceted transportation system that will cover nearly four miles around downtown and connect major employment centers. Upon completion, The Banks will be the southern terminus of the light rail system linking Uptown, Over-the-Rhine and Downtown to the …