Midwest Market Reports

Slowly but surely, the missing pieces of the puzzle critical to the long-term vitality of the city of Detroit are starting to fill in, say real estate experts and business leaders. While the city is working through a painful bankruptcy to get its financial house in order, the public and private sector are moving forward with a sense of urgency to make sure that revitalization efforts in Downtown and Midtown don’t lose momentum. The success stories in the office, retail and apartment sector often come in fits and starts, but collectively they show measurable progress. A planned 3.3-mile streetcar line, known as the M-1 Rail project, is the infrastructure piece of the puzzle. Utility relocation work is underway on Woodward Avenue, the first step toward full-fledged construction of the planned light rail line that will connect 11 stops between Larned Street in Detroit’s central business district up to West Grand Boulevard in the New Center area at the north end. Funding for the $140 million streetcar project, which is expected to be complete in 2016, has come from a variety of sources including corporations, foundations, nonprofit agencies and government sources. “We’ll have more of a pedestrian connection between Downtown, Midtown …

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Optimism abounds in the Twin Cities apartment market, and for good reason. It’s a top performer in the Midwest, and ranks high in the nation overall. The key indicators are compelling: low vacancies with rental rates rising; steady apartment sales; robust new development, especially in core urban and first-tier markets; and flowing pipelines. Among 52 metropolitan areas showing the most economic momentum heading into 2014, Minneapolis/St. Paul ranked No. 14, according to the Praxis Strategy Group. Criteria included GDP growth, job growth, real median household income growth and current unemployment. Property owners, buyers, developers and funding sources are all benefiting from a strengthening apartment market, a trend that began in 2009. Although statistics vary by source, there is consensus on future apartment trends in the seven-county metro area. For apartment owners, a tight rental market means growing revenues, a far cry from the glut of vacant units that existed a few years ago. Last year, vacancy rates averaged 2.8 percent, compared to 7.9 percent in 2009, according to real estate research firm Reis. A boon for landlords, rising rents are forcing many lower-income renters out of the cities into the suburbs. Statistics show the average rent in the Twin Cities …

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Indianapolis is experiencing explosive growth in the mid- and big-box grocery store sector. Capitalizing on the consumer trend of active and healthy lifestyles, the metro area has attracted new concepts to the market. Fresh Thyme Farmers Markets will soon join the already healthy and organic offerings of Whole Foods, The Fresh Market and Earth Fare. Although these brands have a smaller footprint than traditional grocers, these specialty gourmet grocers account for seven new stores consuming more than 160,000 square feet of retail space throughout Indianapolis and the suburban markets. This growth in the organic and health food concepts complements the well-care businesses that expanded their presence in the Indianapolis area last year, including Vision Works, Med Express, ATI Physical Therapy and Accelerated Physical Therapy. Consumer demand for convenient access to personal well-care services, such as medical spas, massage therapy, cosmetic dentistry and personal fitness is on the rise. These types of businesses account for a significant amount of absorption within several neighborhood shopping centers throughout the market. In that vein, consumers also are choosing healthier dining options such as grab-and-go prepared foods at their local grocer rather than hitting the fast food drive-thru or dining at a restaurant. This preference …

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The Toledo industrial market remained stuck in a bit of a soft patch through most of the second half of 2013. Transaction activity was tepid until mid to late fourth quarter when deal flow began to increase. Consequently, the overall market vacancy rate and average asking rental rate have been essentially flat since mid-2013. With the delivery of the newly built and fully occupied FedEx building in Perrysburg Township contributing materially, the market did absorb more than 316,000 square feet during the last six months of 2013. Encouraging Signs There are a number of factors suggesting that real estate fundamentals in Toledo’s industrial market will start moving in a positive direction this year, in some cases quite dramatically. The first is a new construction boom, which we have been anticipating for some time. With the groundbreaking for the new 1.6 million-square-foot Home Depot warehouse in Troy Township, there is now more space under construction than at any time since before the recession. Several other build-to-suit projects are already in the works and poised to launch in 2014. Secondly, a rebound in demand from users at the end of 2013 year suggests there will be more transaction activity in the coming …

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As predicted, the Columbus industrial market saw a wild end to 2013 with more than 1 million square feet of leasing activity in the final weeks. During the first two months of 2014, the market continued this aggressive pace, as Denver-based DCT Industrial Trust leased its final block of 500,000 square feet. Several other prospective tenants for both existing big-box spaces and build-to-suit facilities are ready to ink deals. The perfect storm is now brewing in Columbus for speculative construction as tenant demand remains strong and vacancy rates continue to fall. Only one Class A bulk warehouse and one Class B bulk warehouse currently remain vacant in the market for existing available product. Flurry of a Finish The Columbus market was feverish with activity near the end of 2013, resulting in Almo Corp. leasing 240,000 square feet, food safety innovator Handgards leasing 312,000 square feet and Government Liquidation leasing 516,000 square feet. When you combine that last-minute rush with several other deals that were signed during the final months of the year, Columbus recorded more than 2 million square feet of positive absorption during the fourth quarter of 2013. This final burst of activity for the year resulted in just …

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Considering the city’s recent negative press, as well as the government loans that General Motors and Chrysler both required in order to manage their way through structured bankruptcies nearly five years ago, it is understandable why one would question the economic vibrancy of Detroit and the surrounding region. However, the much-maligned Motor City is actually a lot healthier than the view projected by the city’s high-profile bankruptcy status. The Michigan jobless rate is hovering near 9 percent. While still high compared to other states, the unemployment rate is the lowest it has been since mid-2008. Since March 2012, the state has gained more than 18,000 manufacturing jobs and over 20,000 jobs in other sectors. The U.S. energy boom is making it more cost effective for factories to operate, and Michigan’s manufacturing base is directly benefitting from lower energy costs. In addition to the automotive sector, Michigan industries that thrive include advanced manufacturing, defense, information technology, water technology, medical devices, food processing and logistics and supply-chain management. The rebound in manufacturing has cut metro Detroit’s overall industrial vacancy rate by 400 basis points since the peak of the recession, falling from approximately 14 percent in mid-2010 to 10 percent at the …

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More than 9.5 million people live in the Chicago area, making it the third most populous metropolitan statistical area (MSA) in the country. Like many other markets in the Midwest and Northeast, the ongoing population shift from north to south in the United States continues to pose a challenge. Consequently, population growth during the next five years in Chicago is projected to lag behind the national average. The good news is that Chicago employers are expected to generate the largest job growth locally in 15 years in 2014. Indeed, Marcus & Millichap forecasts a net gain of 79,900 jobs this year, a 1.8 percent annual increase. If realized, this would top 2013’s 1.7 percent expansion. The increased job creation is expected to attract new residents to the region, boosting population. During the past decade, the western suburbs have recorded the largest population gains, especially in Aurora, Naperville and Joliet. Renewed urbanism is playing a major role in growth within the city of Chicago, as young professionals and empty nesters return to the urban core. An influx of young workers and an exodus of retirees have lowered the median age in the metro to 36.1 years, which is below the national …

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Is suburban retail dead? The short answer is “of course not.” While the recession was especially hard on many suburbs, recent activity indicates that conditions have improved greatly. To better understand where we are, we need to examine where we have been. During the real estate boom leading up to 2007-08, retail developments were sprouting up everywhere. Many developers expanded farther and farther away from Chicago, while incurring an additional risk through overleverage and speculative projects. The economy started to crash about the same time that many real estate projects came to market. Developers and landlords quickly discovered that there was a lack of consumer demand necessary to drive retailers to lease space in the newest suburban centers. Many retailers were attracted to the suburbs due to high household income levels. However, population density was often overlooked. Even the most affluent suburbs experienced difficulties as too many retailers were chasing a limited amount of customers. Tale of Two Markets As the economy and overall real estate market started to recover, many retailers focused their energies on opening stores in Chicago’s core metro areas. Neighborhoods such as the West Loop, Streeterville, River North and Wicker Park were on fire. For many …

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Manufacturing, beer and the Green Bay Packers are typically the three things that come to mind when one thinks of Wisconsin. Although we will always love beer and our Green Bay Packers, the real estate landscape is changing. During the past decade — and even more so over the past few years — Milwaukee has begun its transformation into a hip and vibrant city and is making its mark in progressive green technologies, water research and startups. As Steve Palec, managing principal of Cresa Milwaukee, pointed out in his May 2012 article for Heartland Real Estate Business, for the first time since 2001 we are finally going to see a new office development and a change in our skyline. With the exception of the world-renowned Calatrava Art Museum and Pier Wisconsin in 2001 and 2006, respectively, Milwaukee’s lakefront has remained relatively unchanged for decades. The recession is only partly to blame. A 1915 deal made by the city of Milwaukee divided the lakeshore into land reserved for public use and land eligible for private development. Although the city entered into this agreement for several reasons, it was partially to ensure that all, not just the elite, could utilize the shores …

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There is no question that the technology sector is one of the principal drivers of our commercial real estate sector today. Downtowns nationally have seen an influx of new economy firms because of the presence of young knowledge workers in CBDs — and Chicago is one of its stars. More than $265 million flowed into Chicago-area digital tech companies during the third quarter of 2013. In addition to startups, this growth caused an exodus of firms out of suburban business parks into areas populated by millennials like the West Loop and River North. Developers are planning to build 8 million square feet of office space in downtown Chicago during the next 24 months. Arrivals and Departures Following Motorola Mobility’s move out of Schaumburg, Gogo Inc. signed a 230,000-square-foot lease to move its headquarters to 111 N. Canal St., shifting more than 500 workers from two buildings in Itasca. Meanwhile, OfficeMax Inc. is leaving behind 344,000 square feet in Naperville to consolidate in Boca Raton, Fla. Much of the media coverage has focused on these relocations as the only story worth telling about the Chicago office sector. But the reality is the suburbs aren’t throwing in the towel. Defying conventional wisdom, …

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