The vital signs of Cincinnati’s industrial market are collectively the healthiest they’ve been since 2007, including vacancy, absorption, lease rates, property values and investment sales activity. This uptick is particularly encouraging considering that the recovery in the Cincinnati industrial market lagged the top five markets in this property sector nationally coming out of the Great Recession. The historical 20-year average vacancy rate for Cincinnati’s industrial market has ranged between 3 and 5 percent, but rose as high as 10 percent in 2008. With overall industrial vacancy on the decline for the past seven quarters, vacancy now stands at 6.35 percent, a five-year low. Bulk Distribution Space Becomes Scarce Vacancy in the bulk distribution subsector — large warehouse buildings primarily used to accommodate e-commerce, apparel or consumer goods — has been declining for the past eight quarters and now stands at 7 percent. That’s a departure from the usual 10 to 13 percent range. In the 29 million-square-foot bulk warehouse submarket of Northern Kentucky, vacancy is less than 2 percent. Space is so limited that no Class A bulk spaces larger than 200,000 square feet are currently available in Northern Kentucky. VanTrust Real Estate LLC has begun construction on a 273,000-square-foot …
Midwest Market Reports
The Twin Cities retail market continued to improve in the second half of 2013 due to robust leasing activity at neighborhood centers. The vacancy rate registered 7.2 percent at the end of 2013, down from 8.6 percent a year earlier, according to Cushman & Wakefield/NorthMarq. That is the lowest vacancy rate since the fourth quarter of 2008. The market saw healthy absorption of 439,000 square feet during the second half of 2013. With retail spaces filling, rental rates declined modestly, dropping from an average of $27.73 per square foot during the second quarter of 2013 to $27.60 per square foot in the fourth quarter. The rental rate decrease was primarily due to the decline in rates at community centers, as discount retailers negotiated lower rents. Many of these discount retailers filled big-box and junior-box spaces that had been vacant for a long time. (To view larger version of chart, click here.) The Franchise Factor The majority of retailers that entered the Twin Cities in 2013, or expanded their operations locally, were focused on food and services such as hair care, massage, cellular and fitness. Five Guys Burgers & Fries and Yogurt Lab, relative newcomers to the market, now operate multiple …
The outlook for the West Michigan industrial real estate market remains optimistic due to consistent levels of sales and leasing activity, according to Colliers International. The industrial market has recorded six successive quarters of positive absorption despite the market seeing a major shortage of high-quality inventory. Some 522,717 square feet was absorbed during the fourth quarter alone, lowering the vacancy rate to 6.57 percent. With options for space becoming more limited every day, new construction is an important consideration for many companies. That option, however, requires vacant land on which to build. Consequently, vacant land sales have emerged as the focus of many industrial real estate transactions. Construction of industrial space has reached its highest level in eight years — 419,000 square feet completed in 2013 and 792,000 square feet underway and projected for 2014. We’ve experienced more land sales in the last six months than we’ve seen in the last six years. Our industrial team has recently closed or put under contract more than 150 acres of vacant land, and much of that acreage is slated for new construction. Ambitious Plans Several projects have already begun, including the 110,000-square-foot expansion that Undercar Products Group began occupying in November 2013, …
Slowly but surely, the missing pieces of the puzzle critical to the long-term vitality of the city of Detroit are starting to fill in, say real estate experts and business leaders. While the city is working through a painful bankruptcy to get its financial house in order, the public and private sector are moving forward with a sense of urgency to make sure that revitalization efforts in Downtown and Midtown don’t lose momentum. The success stories in the office, retail and apartment sector often come in fits and starts, but collectively they show measurable progress. A planned 3.3-mile streetcar line, known as the M-1 Rail project, is the infrastructure piece of the puzzle. Utility relocation work is underway on Woodward Avenue, the first step toward full-fledged construction of the planned light rail line that will connect 11 stops between Larned Street in Detroit’s central business district up to West Grand Boulevard in the New Center area at the north end. Funding for the $140 million streetcar project, which is expected to be complete in 2016, has come from a variety of sources including corporations, foundations, nonprofit agencies and government sources. “We’ll have more of a pedestrian connection between Downtown, Midtown …
Optimism abounds in the Twin Cities apartment market, and for good reason. It’s a top performer in the Midwest, and ranks high in the nation overall. The key indicators are compelling: low vacancies with rental rates rising; steady apartment sales; robust new development, especially in core urban and first-tier markets; and flowing pipelines. Among 52 metropolitan areas showing the most economic momentum heading into 2014, Minneapolis/St. Paul ranked No. 14, according to the Praxis Strategy Group. Criteria included GDP growth, job growth, real median household income growth and current unemployment. Property owners, buyers, developers and funding sources are all benefiting from a strengthening apartment market, a trend that began in 2009. Although statistics vary by source, there is consensus on future apartment trends in the seven-county metro area. For apartment owners, a tight rental market means growing revenues, a far cry from the glut of vacant units that existed a few years ago. Last year, vacancy rates averaged 2.8 percent, compared to 7.9 percent in 2009, according to real estate research firm Reis. A boon for landlords, rising rents are forcing many lower-income renters out of the cities into the suburbs. Statistics show the average rent in the Twin Cities …
Indianapolis is experiencing explosive growth in the mid- and big-box grocery store sector. Capitalizing on the consumer trend of active and healthy lifestyles, the metro area has attracted new concepts to the market. Fresh Thyme Farmers Markets will soon join the already healthy and organic offerings of Whole Foods, The Fresh Market and Earth Fare. Although these brands have a smaller footprint than traditional grocers, these specialty gourmet grocers account for seven new stores consuming more than 160,000 square feet of retail space throughout Indianapolis and the suburban markets. This growth in the organic and health food concepts complements the well-care businesses that expanded their presence in the Indianapolis area last year, including Vision Works, Med Express, ATI Physical Therapy and Accelerated Physical Therapy. Consumer demand for convenient access to personal well-care services, such as medical spas, massage therapy, cosmetic dentistry and personal fitness is on the rise. These types of businesses account for a significant amount of absorption within several neighborhood shopping centers throughout the market. In that vein, consumers also are choosing healthier dining options such as grab-and-go prepared foods at their local grocer rather than hitting the fast food drive-thru or dining at a restaurant. This preference …
The Toledo industrial market remained stuck in a bit of a soft patch through most of the second half of 2013. Transaction activity was tepid until mid to late fourth quarter when deal flow began to increase. Consequently, the overall market vacancy rate and average asking rental rate have been essentially flat since mid-2013. With the delivery of the newly built and fully occupied FedEx building in Perrysburg Township contributing materially, the market did absorb more than 316,000 square feet during the last six months of 2013. Encouraging Signs There are a number of factors suggesting that real estate fundamentals in Toledo’s industrial market will start moving in a positive direction this year, in some cases quite dramatically. The first is a new construction boom, which we have been anticipating for some time. With the groundbreaking for the new 1.6 million-square-foot Home Depot warehouse in Troy Township, there is now more space under construction than at any time since before the recession. Several other build-to-suit projects are already in the works and poised to launch in 2014. Secondly, a rebound in demand from users at the end of 2013 year suggests there will be more transaction activity in the coming …
As predicted, the Columbus industrial market saw a wild end to 2013 with more than 1 million square feet of leasing activity in the final weeks. During the first two months of 2014, the market continued this aggressive pace, as Denver-based DCT Industrial Trust leased its final block of 500,000 square feet. Several other prospective tenants for both existing big-box spaces and build-to-suit facilities are ready to ink deals. The perfect storm is now brewing in Columbus for speculative construction as tenant demand remains strong and vacancy rates continue to fall. Only one Class A bulk warehouse and one Class B bulk warehouse currently remain vacant in the market for existing available product. Flurry of a Finish The Columbus market was feverish with activity near the end of 2013, resulting in Almo Corp. leasing 240,000 square feet, food safety innovator Handgards leasing 312,000 square feet and Government Liquidation leasing 516,000 square feet. When you combine that last-minute rush with several other deals that were signed during the final months of the year, Columbus recorded more than 2 million square feet of positive absorption during the fourth quarter of 2013. This final burst of activity for the year resulted in just …
Considering the city’s recent negative press, as well as the government loans that General Motors and Chrysler both required in order to manage their way through structured bankruptcies nearly five years ago, it is understandable why one would question the economic vibrancy of Detroit and the surrounding region. However, the much-maligned Motor City is actually a lot healthier than the view projected by the city’s high-profile bankruptcy status. The Michigan jobless rate is hovering near 9 percent. While still high compared to other states, the unemployment rate is the lowest it has been since mid-2008. Since March 2012, the state has gained more than 18,000 manufacturing jobs and over 20,000 jobs in other sectors. The U.S. energy boom is making it more cost effective for factories to operate, and Michigan’s manufacturing base is directly benefitting from lower energy costs. In addition to the automotive sector, Michigan industries that thrive include advanced manufacturing, defense, information technology, water technology, medical devices, food processing and logistics and supply-chain management. The rebound in manufacturing has cut metro Detroit’s overall industrial vacancy rate by 400 basis points since the peak of the recession, falling from approximately 14 percent in mid-2010 to 10 percent at the …
More than 9.5 million people live in the Chicago area, making it the third most populous metropolitan statistical area (MSA) in the country. Like many other markets in the Midwest and Northeast, the ongoing population shift from north to south in the United States continues to pose a challenge. Consequently, population growth during the next five years in Chicago is projected to lag behind the national average. The good news is that Chicago employers are expected to generate the largest job growth locally in 15 years in 2014. Indeed, Marcus & Millichap forecasts a net gain of 79,900 jobs this year, a 1.8 percent annual increase. If realized, this would top 2013’s 1.7 percent expansion. The increased job creation is expected to attract new residents to the region, boosting population. During the past decade, the western suburbs have recorded the largest population gains, especially in Aurora, Naperville and Joliet. Renewed urbanism is playing a major role in growth within the city of Chicago, as young professionals and empty nesters return to the urban core. An influx of young workers and an exodus of retirees have lowered the median age in the metro to 36.1 years, which is below the national …