The apartment market in metro Kansas City is in an expansion phase, driven in large part by strong renter demand and an improving economy. Developers are building and opportunistic sellers are bringing properties to market. Meanwhile, the core, growth and value-add investors are gobbling up assets. Lenders are competitively financing both acquisitions and new developments in all classes of properties. Renters can feel the momentum as well, with more product to choose from and higher rents. Employment Summary It all starts with jobs. The Mid-America Regional Council, which serves the nine-county Kansas City metro area, estimates that the local economy added 12,300 jobs in 2013, correlating to annual GDP growth of 2.7 percent. This figure compares favorably with U.S. GDP growth of approximately 2 percent during the same period. The 12-month period from August 2012 to August 2013 provides a window into the rebound in the local employment market. The leisure and hospitality sector created 5,800 net new jobs during that stretch, while the professional and business services sector added 5,700 new jobs. Meanwhile, the mining, logging and construction industries added a total of 2,600 jobs in the metro area (mostly construction), including 1,900 in Kansas and 700 in Missouri. …
Midwest Market Reports
The strong performance of the Omaha apartment market is expected to continue in 2014 and beyond. According to MPF Research, Omaha’s apartment occupancy stood at 95.8 percent in the third quarter of 2013, up from 95.5 percent at the end of 2012 and in line with Omaha’s average occupancy rate of slightly under 96 percent since 2000. On the new construction front, developers continue to bring new projects to the market. During the first 10 months of 2013, multifamily building permits totaled 1,454 units in metro Omaha, which was 47 percent above the 986 multifamily housing units permitted during the same period in 2012 and 19 percent above the 1,225 units permitted during all of 2012. The figure was also slightly above the upper end of my range of expectations of 1,300 to 1,400 units for all of 2013. On a percentage basis, the addition of 1,454 units would increase the apartment housing stock by 1.6 percent based on an overall inventory of approximately 88,000 units. More Shovels in the Ground During 2014, I expect construction activity to continue to be strong. Indeed, we could see multifamily building permit issuance reach 1,300 to 1,400 units. Included in these new development …
After years of trailing cities such as Dallas, Memphis and Indianapolis as major bulk distribution centers, Kansas City has emerged as a significant and large hub for the development of Class A industrial logistics centers whose development is backed by institutional money. The trend is transformational for our market and here to stay for three primary reasons: (1) Institutional money — namely life insurance companies — has always allocated a portion of its funds for real estate. That money has found Kansas City. (2) Local Kansas City developers, brokers and property managers are well-suited and eager to accommodate non-operating entities like life insurance companies to buy land, build projects on a speculative basis, lease up and manage the new developments, and sell them when the financial backers decide to cash in on their investments. Kansas City has traditionally been a family-owned real estate development community comprised of five or six major players. None of these families has sold its portfolios to industrial REITs. Thus, there is a niche for institutional-backed, Class A development that is financed with deep pockets and brought to market by local developers. (3) The biggest reason for large-scale Class A industrial development in Kansas City is …
The famous Kansas City song — first recorded by Wilbert Harrison in 1959 — says, “I’m going to Kansas City, Kansas City here I come.” Well, in 2013, the retailers did come to Kansas City, which was beautiful music to the ears of developers and landlords throughout the area. Some of the most notable new additions to the Kansas City retail scene include IKEA, The Container Store, Academy Sports + Outdoors, Scheels Sporting Goods, REI, Fresh Market, Rock & Brews, Cinetopia, Eileen Fisher, Freebirds World Burrito, Chuy’s and Hallmark’s new store concept called “HMK.” Still other retail additions include Pinstripes, an upscale entertainment and dining venue featuring bocce and bowling, as well as Sprouts and Corner Bakery. Geographic proximity to other established markets for these retailers led to a natural migration pattern to Kansas City. However, the following factors created new inventory opportunities and supplied the key ingredients for an active retail climate in 2013 that should continue in 2014: • the metro’s declining unemployment rate to 6.3 percent from a recent high of 8.4 percent in 2010; • the buoyant housing market, with an estimated 5,960 new residential and apartment units added during 2013 versus 2,342 units in 2010; …
Strong occupancy throughout the Minneapolis metro area is driving construction activity, and developers are hurrying to get projects off the ground ahead of competitors. Leasing activity is underway for a number of luxury high-rise projects coming on line in the city, heightening competition for renters who desire and can afford top-end amenities. Projects in vibrant locations, such as the Mill & Main Apartments across the river from downtown Minneapolis, have been well received. The Mill & Main building, which is nearly 70 percent leased, has views of the Mississippi River and downtown. New luxury apartments are attracting many nontraditional first-time renters, such as empty nesters. This trend is likely to expand the renter pool across the area as recovering housing prices give the large baby boom cohort more options when selling and downsizing. The higher rents that luxury properties command have reset the bar for Class A rents. Existing Class A properties near top-tier apartments will likely benefit because they can raise rents and remain more affordable than the newer units. Development Pipeline Nearly 3,000 apartments have been delivered in the metro area during the past 12 months, including 2,100 market-rate units. So far in 2013, approximately 1,000 rentals have …
Downtown St. Louis has always marched to the beat of a different drummer. Despite a sluggish economy and a history of major corporations leaving for a variety of reasons, the downtown office market has experienced steady, incremental growth that has been reflected by the positive absorption since 2009. Much of this growth is due to tenants looking to expand or relocate in order to take advantage of the many options downtown, which generally are less expensive than suburban locations. Since 2012, downtown St. Louis has gained 425,000 square feet of positive absorption in the office sector. New Life for Older Buildings Recent building renovations also play a part in the growth. Creative companies are looking for open, contemporary facilities, which can be found in old buildings that have been redeveloped. These revitalized buildings now offer new infrastructure and modern space that exude a cool look and vibe. Indeed, that trend can be found in historic structures like the 450,000-square-foot Park Pacific, once the headquarters of the Missouri Pacific Railroad and now 80 percent luxury apartments and 20 percent office (tenants are CBS Radio and Creative Producers Group) and retail space. Cupples 9, a 144,000-square-foot building that was once part of …
The Twin Cities retail market is still on the road to recovery, with 231,913 square feet of absorption since the beginning of the year. With steady positive absorption, the former tenant-favorable market is beginning to even out, especially with regard to the urban core or first-ring suburbs. Lease negotiations have started to tip in favor of landlords. Developers, tenants, landlords and brokers are all expressing increased confidence in the strength of the market. Among the tenants contributing to the healthy absorption of space have been Whole Foods, Walmart, and LA Fitness, all of which are opening stores throughout the suburbs. The overall vacancy rate in the third quarter stood at 5.7 percent, down from 6.2 percent the prior quarter, according to data compiled by the Welsh Cos. Vacancy at regional malls is 2.1 percent. The retail vacancy in the trade areas surrounding these regional centers follows suit with premier areas of demand among growing retailers. Chick-fil-A has also entered the Twin Cities market, opening stores in Apple Valley, Bloomington, Coon Rapids and Maple Grove. This continues the trend of new food tenants seeking more space in the Twin Cities, including Smashburger, Which Wich Superior Sandwiches and Freddy’s Frozen Custard & …
If the recession is truly over in Cincinnati and the nation, we are thankful. Still, the pace of deal and development activity is exceedingly slow. Projects started before the Great Recession are proceeding at a cautious speed. Retail leasing, which has always had a long deal cycle, now seems to take forever. But there are some bright spots in Cincinnati. The downtown market is thriving. Steiner + Associates and Bucksbaum Retail Properties recently announced that they will soon break ground on Liberty Center, a 1.1 million-square-foot, $325 million mixed-use development on 64 acres in West Chester, located about 18 miles north of downtown. And in an interesting twist on new development, college campus mixed-use projects are one of the few ways developers can develop in this risky environment. The Banks Hits A Home Run Our retail update begins on Cincinnati’s riverfront. Located on the Ohio River between Great American Ballpark and Paul Brown Stadium, the 18-acre mixed-use development known as The Banks continues to add new housing, offices, dining and entertainment. A few more restaurants opened this past year including The Yard House, The Wine Guy Bistro, Ruth’s Chris Steakhouse and Tin Roof, which serves up lunch, dinner and music. …
The Columbus industrial real estate market has continued down a path of decreased vacancy and increased build-to-suit activity. Many developers and tenants are trying to determine if this space tightening is going to continue or diminish in the coming months. Industrial real estate experts who had their pulse on the market accurately predicted a year ago that absorption would be taking place at a healthy clip at the end of 2012 heading into 2013. This change in the market has resulted in limited options for tenants seeking space above 100,000 square feet. Meanwhile, developers are considering the possibility of building warehouses on a speculative basis and tenants are seeing a change in economics and concessions from previous years. Pendulum Swings The current 7.6 percent industrial vacancy rate in the Columbus market is at an all-time low. You have to go back to the late 1990s and early 2000s to find a period when the vacancy rate was nearly as low as it is today. The recent lack of space availability is starting to impact tenant choices. A tenant that used to have six or seven options for a 400,000-square-foot warehouse space is now finding that it only has two to …
Modest economic growth in the Chicago metro area will support further improvements in apartment vacancy and rents this year. Staffing levels grew in the first half of 2013, though the pace of hiring eased from prior periods. Vacancy will remain lower than normal in the near term, though temporary imbalances between supply and demand will occur over the next two years. This trend is especially likely in the city, where the number of new luxury units aimed at upwardly mobile young households and affluent older households is increasing. New sources of demand, however, will also emerge, including echo boomer and new immigrant households. Properties listed for sale typically elicit multiple offers, placing upward pressure on prices and compressing cap rates. Northside neighborhoods remain a targeted area, and the best assets in those submarkets can trade at cap rates from 5 to 6 percent. Investors continue to look for underperforming assets and are giving greater consideration to eventual exit strategies. Interest in Class C and Class D assets in blue-collar neighborhoods on the west side and south side is also gaining traction. Recent transactions have established $30,000 per unit to $35,000 per unit as the strike point to execute deals, and …