Kansas City is best known for its beer, barbecue and jazz, and an economy inextricably linked to railroads and cattle. It’s not unusual for an Easterner flying over Kansas City on his way to Los Angeles to remark, “I hear I can get a great steak down there.” You can indeed find a great steak down here, but most importantly the economy is more about the steak than the sizzle. The truth is that the local economy is so broad-based that it is difficult to define. Kansas City’s economic growth today is driven by life sciences, architecture and engineering, information technology as well as financial services. All of these industries feature homegrown companies and institutions that began with entrepreneurial roots such as telecommunications giant Sprint, a company that traces its roots to a small utility company west of Kansas City. The world’s power plants and sports stadiums are designed in Kansas City, and a cure for cancer is ongoing driven by The Stowers Institute for Medical Research and the University of Kansas in conjunction with the Kansas City Area Life Sciences Institute. Cerner, the second largest health care technology company in the world with more than 8,000 employees, announced in …
Midwest Market Reports
When Clint Eastwood’s “Halftime in America” ad aired during the 2012 Super Bowl, the much-discussed spot displayed a kind of gritty optimism about Detroit’s economic prospects. Lines like the “Motor City is fighting again” and “Detroit’s showing us it can be done” resonated not just with Southeast Michigan residents, but a nation hungry for optimism in the wake of an extended recessionary cycle. Despite the recent announcement that Detroit has become the largest U.S. city to file for bankruptcy, a closer look at the broader trends within the Detroit retail market reveals a development landscape that is generally moving in a positive direction. While the bankruptcy filing will affect certain aspects of Detroit’s immediate recovery, the overall theme is one of renewal and revitalization. Motown Momentum Across the Detroit marketplace, retailers are reviewing their existing inventory as leases mature, with a general focus on infill or relocations. There seems to be a widespread understanding that Southeast Michigan has historically been a solid retail market, and that the region’s economic turnaround is opening up new opportunities. The list of positive developments across metro Detroit continues to grow. As Wayne State University continues to transition from a commuter campus to a more …
Consumer spending in St. Louis is up, according to the latest Federal Reserve Beige Book. Likewise, the Fed reports that residential real estate activity is increasing at a moderate to strong pace with escalating home sales and prices. All around, there is a sense of optimism that has jump-started retail activity. The vital signs are just starting to reflect this surge in activity and are expected to continue improving for the foreseeable future. Asking rates, averaged across all retail sectors, have remained near $12 per square foot triple net over the last three quarters, while vacancy rates have fallen from 9 percent to 8.5 percent during that same period. Net absorption has seen positive gains over the last three quarters with the delivery of a few new fully occupied projects. These positive changes in absorption and vacancy rates should result in higher asking rates going forward. Competitive Landscape An example of a successful project is in Chesterfield Valley, where two outlet mall developers have created more than 660,000 square feet of new retail space within a two-mile radius. The two projects, headed by Taubman Prestige Outlets and Simon Property Group, will open this month in time for back-to-school shopping. The …
In June 2008, Cedar Rapids experienced what at the time was the fifth worst disaster in U.S. history. A historic flood covered 10 square miles in the four core neighborhoods and the entire downtown, damaging more than 5,000 homes, over 1,000 businesses, and numerous public, cultural and religious facilities. Since that time, 1,088 residences have been demolished and 2,356 residential properties repaired or rehabilitated. Some 82 percent of the damaged businesses have reopened compared to a national average of 55 percent in previous major disasters. The scope of the recovery in just five years is remarkable. The numbers speak for themselves: • 1,311 new housing units completed since 2008; • 118 new multifamily units recently funded by state recovery grants; • 16 major city of Cedar Rapids facilities built or under construction with all to be finished by 2014; • building permits in 2012 totaled 11,000 with 1,300 commercial and 9,700 residential, which set a record of more than $400 million (63 percent from the private sector); • population growth of 4.6 percent in the last decade despite the June 2008 flood; • unemployment rate currently at 4.9 percent; • AAA bond rating by Moody’s for 41 consecutive years. The …
Like other markets throughout the region, Cincinnati’s retail market was slow to recover from the Great Recession. But it has now turned the corner and is in the midst of an upswing in both transaction velocity and leasing momentum. Overall, the recovering Cincinnati economy is drawing investors to the market and sales of retail assets will continue to gain traction. Single-tenant assets have never been more popular among private investors as evidenced by cap rates that have fallen to levels that would have amazed most industry watchers in 2007. Cap rates have compressed to the point that some long-term ground leases are trading in the mid-4 percent range, while best-of-class fee simple property yields begin 100 to 150 basis points higher. A number of investors are targeting single-tenant, net-leased assets with lower-credit tenants or leases that will expire in the near future with the potential to re-sign or re-tenant the property, trading at yields starting in the 6 percent range. In the multi-tenant segment, investors are scouring the market for grocery-anchored deals, though limited supply will hinder transactions. Value-add plays are popular with private buyers across the metro area, providing owners in low-profile submarkets the opportunity to cash out while …
Most retail brokers in Des Moines are cautiously optimistic in their expectations for 2013. For the first time in years, I’m seeing a lot of site plans for new retail developments come across my desk. Several projects that had been on the back burner for the last few years have finally begun to take shape. Des Moines, like most markets, got hurt when the Great Recession hit. However, with its major industry based in insurance, it weathered the storm better than many other markets. At its high point, the unemployment rate was 6.8 percent, and the rate as of May was 4.3 percent. The Des Moines retail market didn’t get nearly as overbuilt as many of the other nearby larger markets. There wasn’t a ton of first-generation space that sat vacant on the retail market in Des Moines once the recession hit. Most of the retail developers here are conservative. Much of the first-generation space that sat vacant was the result of lenders taking back the properties and not wanting to invest any money in those assets. Lessons Learned The developers in today’s market have a more disciplined approach than many of their predecessors. There was a time when real …
The Cincinnati office market recorded positive net absorption of 74,378 square feet during the first quarter of 2013 while the overall vacancy rate dipped slightly to about 23.2 percent. The forecast from Cassidy Turley is for Class A submarkets to become tighter as medical and service industries continue to drive absorption. However, the increasing success of the Class A sector has come at the expense of Class B space. First-quarter Class A direct vacancy in the metro Cincinnati office market stood at approximately 20 percent, while Class B direct vacancy was about 28 percent. That’s a stark contrast from 2004 and 2005, when Cincinnati’s office vacancy rate was 10 percent for Class A space and 17 to 18 percent for Class B space. “If you look back eight to nine years, that’s where [the vacancy rates] stayed during good times,” says Scott Abernethy, senior vice president and principal in Cassidy Turley’s Cincinnati office. When the market took a hit during the 2008 to 2010 period, large vacancies popped up, forcing landlords of Class A buildings to lower rental rates. That in turn created deal incentives for Class B tenants to move to newer facilities. “Class B tenants can move over …
For the first half of 2013, the Cincinnati industrial market has reflected the growing strength of the broader economy, while gaining momentum alongside the manufacturing sector. The increased activity seen thus far has left fewer options for tenants in the market and increased leverage for landlords in negotiations for relocations, expansions and renewals. As supply tightens, new speculative construction will likely fall short of the demands of the marketplace. This trend will likely continue into 2014. Tenant Activity Accelerates While there has certainly been an uptick in the volume of prospects touring properties, these businesses are more committed to a course of action than we have seen in the last few years. Further, these companies are increasingly optimistic and giving consideration to larger spaces to accommodate future growth and longer lease terms in order to lock in today’s aggressive lease rates. Similarly, tenants in older properties are seizing this opportunity to move into more modern spaces, causing a shift in the quality of vacant inventory. A cautious mood remains, as lease negotiations continue to involve discussions of termination options and other risk-mitigation language. The northern Cincinnati suburbs have been active in the first half of the year, with more than …
The figures for past and projected new industrial building completions are anemic in Northeast Ohio, leaving a lot of commercial real estate brokers concerned that there will not be enough buildings to meet a steady increase in buyer and tenant demand. From 2008 to 2012, a paltry 1.4 million square feet of new industrial buildings were added to the Cleveland landscape, the majority of which were designed specifically for owner occupants or were fully pre-leased. Projected new construction, as reported by real estate research firm Reis, does suggest an increase in future building velocity. However, absorption is forecast to outpace new buildings through 2017 by a factor of 4 to 1. If this were to occur, Cleveland would see a drop in vacancy rates to historically low levels, approaching five to six percent. That may not seem alarming to some observers, but when you back out functionally obsolete inventory in some of the older pockets of industry, the true vacancy rate will hover at or below four percent. “There is simply not enough product to show prospective buyers and tenants,” says Robert Wetzel of CRESCO Real Estate. “We hope this spurs some speculative construction. Depending on a prospect’s needs, we …
The weather in Cleveland in the springtime is notoriously changeable — sunny and warm one minute and then cloudy and chilly the next. The current state of Cleveland’s office market is similarly uneven. The sunniest segment is clearly the Class A market in the Central Business District (CBD). Ernst & Young Tower, Cleveland’s first multi-tenant downtown office building in more than two decades, recently opened at close to a 90 percent occupancy rate. Despite an asking rental rate in the low $30 per square foot range, which represents the top of the market, this 487,000-square-foot tower illustrates a substantial pent-up demand for new, efficient office space. The balance of existing Class A properties in the CBD are also performing well, with an average vacancy rate of 15.7 percent at the end of the first quarter. And the overall momentum downtown is strong. Nearly $1 billion of development has occurred during the past 24 months, including a new casino, convention center and medical mart completed this year. Additionally, a new headquarters for the Cuyahoga County government will be completed next year. All of these factors increase the likelihood that another office project in the CBD will start soon. Downtown’s Class B …