The Columbus retail market finished the third quarter with moderate positive absorption of 118,454 square feet, according to Colliers International. This marks the sixth consecutive quarter of positive absorption. Still, consumer demand and confidence have remained stagnant over the past six months. In construction news, both the 44,000-square-foot Rave movie theater and the nearby 55,000-square-foot Hobby Lobby Project in Grove City were completed in the third quarter. To read the entire Columbus retail report, click here. To read third-quarter reports on other property sectors, click here.
Midwest Market Reports
It is no secret that, like much of the State of Michigan, the Motor City has not exactly been motoring along with regard to retail performance during the last few years. Southeast Michigan has been struggling, and since the beginning of the national recessionary cycle a few years ago, the state has been held up as an example of taking a retail roundhouse right on the chin from a faltering economy. A more nuanced view, however, reveals some more interesting — and in some cases more positive news — with regard to where southeast Michigan stands today, and how the region seems to be setting up for future growth. In a macro sense, it is accurate that Michigan was more challenged than the rest of the country by the initial economic downturn. There was a perception, real or not, that the struggles in the auto industry would substantially exacerbate the impact of the recession. The state’s unemployment rate was higher than the national average and Michigan was bleeding population. While some of those difficult circumstances and dire predictions seemed to be holding up two or three years ago, the state has made a pretty significant recovery in the last 10 …
The Cleveland real estate market can be characterized by a variety of ‘good news/bad news’ stories. For example, American Greetings announced earlier this year that it would be building a new $100 million world headquarters in Cleveland’s suburb of Westlake, Ohio. And while retaining this Fortune 500 company in the region is good news to most, it certainly was bad news to Cleveland’s suburb of Brooklyn, the long-time home to the company and its 1,750 workers. But no where is the ‘good news/bad news’ story more compelling than in the central business district or CBD. First, the good news. Cleveland is undergoing a massive construction boom, the largest since the late 1980s/early 1990s. Over $1 billion of new development is currently under way in the CBD alone, spearheaded by three primary projects. The first is the long-anticipated Medical Mart and associated convention center. This $465 million complex will include a four-story permanent showplace for medical equipment and technology, connected to a 230,000-square-foot convention center, which is anticipated to be completed in 2013. The $465 million Medical Mart and adjacent convention center is expected to be complete in 2013. The second is the Horsehoe Casino, initially converting 300,000 square feet in …
Lou Kahnweiler, the founder of Bennett & Kahnweiler, the predecessor to Colliers International here in Chicago, is reported to have once declared, “Industrial Real Estate is a great way to get rich slowly.” He meant buying or building buildings, putting 25-year debt on them, keeping them leased and was the way to wake up rich 25 years later. During the late 1990s and most of the 2000s, industrial real estate in Chicago was the place to get rich quick, as developers couldn't build fast enough to satisfy the demand of well-heeled investors who, by 2006, were actually paying more for vacant properties than those actually encumbered by leases and demanding tenants. “Buy it and figure it out” was their strategy. Flips, portfolio premiums, cap rate compression and an overall “drunken sailor” mentality generated lots of fees for brokers and huge profits for many developers and investors until the music stopped. I vividly recall touring in 2006 with a group of investors from the East Coast who, after looking at the per square foot prices of property around O'Hare and comparing them to New Jersey, said that they wished they were brokers and owners in Chicago, because it must be so …
The commercial real estate market in Wichita stabilized in the second half of 2010 and has started seeing slow, but steady, improvement during the first four months of 2011. The majority of the activity has been on the leasing side of the business, with limited sales activity. Market conditions still favor tenants but are starting to move back to a more balanced position, giving landlords more leverage in their negotiations. Development activity has been minimal the past two years, but the strengthening economy is starting to generate interest in bringing new projects into the market. Laham Development Company continues to be very active in the local market, particularly in the popular northeast area. Laham’s showcase Bradley Fair lifestyle center is at 98 percent occupancy after the opening of Sephora’s in April. The developer’s Regency Park project at 21st North and Greenwich got a major boost earlier in the year when Cabela’s announced plans to construct a new store there. This is Cabela’s first location in the area; it will be anchoring the center with Super Target and World Market. In addition to Cabela’s, other national retailers expanding into the market include Sephora’s, Five Guys Burgers & Fries and Menards. These …
It’s no secret that Cincinnati has a beautiful landscape, a world-class arts and culture scene, and a rich history, but it is little known for its vibrant business community. Cincinnati is truly located in the “heart of it all” and many people are indeed surprised by the economic influence that exudes from this market. Cincinnati is the 24th largest U.S. metro area with a population of just over 2 million. Cincinnati is home to ten Fortune 500 company headquarters, and, per capita, that places the city higher than New York, Boston, Chicago, or Los Angeles. Kroger Company, Procter & Gamble and Macy's Inc. are all headquartered in the city and it has recently been chosen as the North American headquarters for First Group and dunnhumby, both of which have tapped into the local labor pool. With the strength of the city’s business community, Cincinnati’s office market has been relatively stable over the last 15 years, with overall vacancy rates hovering around 15 percent. Unfortunately, it has not been immune to the economic woes of the last several years and many companies have made cuts or downsized. The Cincinnati office market is approximately 37 million square feet and around 13 million …
For a city that has at times been portrayed as emblematic of the kind of economic fallout left in the wake of the recent recessionary cycle, Detroit is actually responding quite well. The current state of the Detroit office market is just one data point — but it’s a promising one. In greater Detroit — and across Southeast Michigan — there are tentative signs that things are moving in the right direction for the first time in several years. Not everything is positive by any stretch of the imagination, but the progress, while tentative, looks genuine. Since the city’s office market bottomed out in the summer of 2010, it has been slowly and steadily recovering. There were a few low points in August and September of last year, but the market began absorbing some space toward the end of the year, and that trend has continued in the first part of 2011. As you might expect, however, the progress has been uneven. Consolidation areas like Southfield, where there is a lot more activity in the marketplace, have generally done slightly better than destination-focused markets like Dearborn and Livonia, which had taken a more significant initial blow and subsequently have not …
Although the Indianapolis retail market took a hit during the downturn, it never sunk as deeply into the doldrums as other U.S. cities, and has been relatively quick to rebound from its modest slide. Maintaining an unemployment rate well below the national average (8.7 percent at year-end 2010), with the prediction of 20,000 new jobs for 2011 ensures this market is headed in the right direction. Retail real estate brokers in this statistical region of more than 2 million were actually quite busy in 2008 and 2009 when most other regions were reeling from the economic crunch. Recognizing still-strong market fundamentals, retailers tried to seize on the doom and gloom of the times to lowball local landlords, who for the most part would not yield to unreasonable rent offers that they knew would tie them up for years to come. While retail vacancies remain low in the city’s most robust retail corridors, they are higher than they were before the downturn began in areas where demographics have shifted. We continue to see a flight to quality in this market with the most attractive, well-positioned shopping centers commanding surprisingly strong rents. For instance, Class A big box rents in highly desirable …
The St. Louis market, long known for its diverse economy, has been slow to extricate itself from the downturn. The retail real estate brokerage business has been mostly dormant for the past 2 years, particularly the tenant representation side, as scant few national retailers dared to brave the murky expansion waters. Rental rates in the market decreased slightly from third quarter 2010, ending at $12.51 per square foot. However, rates have held up better in some submarkets, including West St. Louis County, where they are $20-plus per square foot. Prime properties at hard corners are holding their own, but second-tier properties have taken a pretty hard hit with rents down into the mid- to high-single digits. When the recession started, many landlords granted rent reductions almost uniformly to tenants and will have to live with their decisions for a while, but other owners held fort and demanded to see sales reports as proof. This resilient region of nearly 3 million people is starting to show new signs of life heading into spring 2011. The market has seen slight improvements in retail vacancy rates, which dropped from 8.4 percent in third quarter 2010 to 8.1 percent in fourth quarter 2010, according …
The U.S. apartment sector staged a strong recovery in 2010 well ahead of expectations, despite modest job creation and stubbornly high unemployment. Net absorption surged, with occupied stock rising by nearly 200,000 units, double the number of apartments constructed and the highest level on record since 2000. Several factors contributed to high levels of absorption, including the release of pent-up renter demand as households de-bundled in the wake of the recession. In addition, apartments benefited from private-sector job growth in the critical 20- to 34-year-old cohort, expiration of the homebuyer tax credit, displaced foreclosed homeowners entering the renter pool, immigration and lower unit turnover. Renting also became a lifestyle and economic choice for many households as the effects of the housing collapse and recession persisted. Continued recovery in 2011 depends more heavily on improvements in the job market, which should gain momentum as the year progresses. Building on that momentum, operating conditions in the suburban Chicago apartment market will strengthen considerably this year, building on improvements in vacancy and rents recorded in 2010. Apartment construction will sink to one of the lowest levels in the past decade, minimizing competition for tenants at a time when renewed job growth will accelerate …