Downtown Cleveland is in the midst of a redevelopment boom. During the last 12 months, the city has seen a new $350 million casino and a new $33 million aquarium open. And over the next 24 months, it will see a new $465 million convention center complex, a new $275 million multi-tenant office building and hotel and a $180 million redevelopment that will include a new 220,000-square-foot office tower as a part of consolidation efforts for the Cuyahoga County government. However, one of the most impactful and long-lasting components is the development of more than 1,100 new residential housing units that have either been announced or are under construction. If all come to fruition, it will increase downtown’s residential inventory by over 20 percent. Market Drivers Although there are numerous factors contributing to this residential building boom, the following stand out as key components. • Build it and they will come? They are already here. As of January 2012, the downtown area had just under 4,200 residential units. Of this, approximately 25 percent were developed in the past five years. However, this delivery schedule was much lower as compared to the blossoming demand. The source of this demand has come …
Midwest Market Reports
Although apartment construction has heated up in Minneapolis, renter demand remains healthy as many renters are wary of homeownership. As a result, vacancy is still below market equilibrium. Many renters in the market are young professionals who, before the housing market collapse, would have been looking to purchase a condominium. To appeal to renters, new apartment developments are adding higher-end finishes and features such as a concierge service, pub or cafe, outdoor gathering space, rooftop decks, dog runs and pet-care areas. In the process, builders have established a new rent ceiling and redefined the Class A segment. Supply-Demand Balance As a wave of new high-end projects are injected into the market, owners with existing top-tier properties could be at a disadvantage and will need to increase concessions to maintain occupancy levels. Approximately 131 apartment units came on line in the second quarter, for a total of 405 units finalized in the first half of 2012, expanding overall inventory by 0.3 percent. In the first six months of last year, 175 units were added. Development activity is expected to continue at a heightened pace. Some 2,450 units are under construction with completions scheduled through 2013. Also, there are more than 9,300 …
Has the pendulum swung to favor property owners in the Twin Cities industrial market? Not quite, but strong net absorption for bulk buildings and a recovering economy are creating positive momentum, bringing the market closer to equilibrium. Challenges remain for manufacturing and low-clear-height properties, but we expect that area of the Twin Cities industrial market to strengthen, too, as overall conditions continue to improve. In the third quarter, industrial net absorption totaled 669,179 square feet, driving down the vacancy rate to 11.2 percent compared with 11.8 percent in the previous quarter for the 113 million-square-foot market. The Northwest and Southwest submarkets led the way, with 329,774 square feet and 226,230 square feet of net absorption, respectively. While positive net absorption is a great sign for the Twin Cities industrial market, the statistics really get interesting when broken down for big-box bulk properties, especially modern space built since 1995 with at least 28-foot clear-height ceilings. Modern bulk industrial properties account for approximately 25 percent of the overall 25 million-square-foot bulk market, but gained more than half of the subsector’s net absorption with 131,175 square feet. That led to a 2.1 percent drop in third-quarter vacancy from the previous quarter, to 5.7 …
A rise in office-using employment and corporate profits has benefited underutilized Milwaukee space and spurred some companies in the metro area to expand their space needs. Several leases above 30,000 square feet were finalized in the first half of 2012. The accounting firm Baker Tilly Virchow Krause LLP took 68,000 square feet. Healthcare information systems provider Connecture Inc. inked a deal for 32,200 square feet. Marshall & Swift/Boeckh, a provider of building cost data and estimating technology to the property insurance industry, leased 38,200 square feet. Leasing activity helped push absorption into positive territory during the first two quarters, although rent growth remains minimal. It will take a few quarters of strong absorption before any significant upward trend in rents is realized. The limited construction pipeline has helped stabilize vacancy. The few competitive projects to break ground must have major leases in place before building activity gets under way. A rise in owner-occupied and government construction, however, could affect short-term vacancy in targeted areas, if leased space is vacated. About 30,000 square feet of office space came on line in the second quarter upon the completion of the refurbished Clock Shadow Building on Bruce Street in Milwaukee. The mixed-use building …
The St. Louis industrial market continues a slow and steady march toward recovery. The Midwest is often looked to for stability and consistency, and with the vacancy rate and lease rates changing little over the past two years, the description is holding true. In fact, the overall average lease rates for warehouse space have only dipped slightly after holding steady, while vacancy has been a consistent 8.7 percent for warehouse product. While the lease rates have been stable, we have begun to see sale prices drop, especially for vacant product. As these pricing changes begin to hit the market, the sense that we are at the bottom is prevalent, and the opportunities are there for anyone who can buy buildings with cash. Changing of the Guard While the real estate fundamentals may have remained the same for two years, the property ownership picture has changed quite a bit. The exit from the St. Louis market by TA Associates in January resulted in the entry of Cobalt Capital, which purchased the 13-building portfolio. Beverly Hills, Calif.-based Blue Real Estate has seen its flex portfolio of 850,000 square feet go back to the lender, opening the door for another player to get …
Cash is flowing in the greater Twin Cities real estate market in spite of slow, but positive, year-over-year absorption rates. Investment action was significant in the third quarter of this year. New multifamily housing projects are booming, private student housing developments serving the University of Minnesota continue to grow, and corporate build-to-suit projects add to the inventory in a down economy. The Twin Cities office market has remained stable with modest absorption through the past three years based upon existing inventory. And although there is significant construction in other product types, there is little significant multi-tenant office construction at present. ECONOMIC BACKDROP The 5.7 percent unemployment rate in the Twin Cities stood well below the national jobless rate of 7.8 percent in September. In fact, the unemployment rate for the state of Minnesota was 5.8 percent, again much better than the national average. The Twin Cities does not depend on any single industry and is home to a variety of Fortune 500 headquarters such as Ameriprise Financial, Best Buy, Ecolab, General Mills, Target, 3M, St. Jude Medical, Medtronic and UnitedHealth Group. The variety of services and industries helped buffer the local economy during the Great Recession, although the downturn adversely …
The Twin Cities retail market continues to steadily improve from the economic depths of 2008 and 2009. There has been 549,194 square feet of positive absorption since the first quarter of 2011. Another encouraging sign is the increased activity among landlords, tenants and developers. One example of the positive outlook is the investment that landlords are making at regional malls to upgrade and reposition them. The Mall of America in Bloomington seeks to add 550,000 square feet of retail, medical office and hotel space. Southdale Mall, Ridgedale Mall, and Maplewood Mall are also investing in their centers to better compete in this rising market. Another sign of increased activity can be seen among food tenants. Quick service restaurants are betting that Minneapolis-St. Paul residents have a large appetite for yogurt, sandwiches, and burgers and are actively seeking space. Burger and sandwich concepts include Smashburger, Which Wich, Firehouse Subs, and Freddy’s, which are growing in popularity along with Freeziac, Tutti Frutti, Menchies, and CherryBerry yogurt shops. Also active are Noodles, Chipotle, and Starbucks. These types of tenants have gobbled up smaller spaces and end-cap spaces vacated by tenants such as defunct Hollywood Video and Blockbuster. They are pursuing the same spaces …
Activity is picking up in the Indianapolis retail market, buoyed by a strengthening economy that has intensified retail expansion. Positive job growth, escalating new home construction and rising retail sales are attracting new stores and have instigated other retailers to consider additional locations in selective pockets around the metro area. The northern submarkets within Hamilton County are particularly active, especially around Exit 10 of I-69 in Noblesville, where new housing construction has fostered retail growth. In Carmel, the renovation and re-tenanting of The Centre and The Corner are moving forward. The 82nd Street corridor is also lively as the nearly completed expansion of The Fashion Mall has attracted new retailers to the state such as West Elm and Free People. Nearby, last year’s repositioning of Rivers Edge is initiating smaller new developments with Dairy Queen, Wendy’s and Famous Dave’s among the recent openings. The 127,000-square foot project will include an Earth Fare grocery, Walgreens and Panera Bread. Large spaces are being filled across the metro area. Jo-Ann Fabrics is taking 28,000 square feet along Highway 36 and Brickhouse Fitness has penned a lease for 15,000 square feet along Lafayette Road. Although retail construction is at near historic lows, smaller buildings …
With tenant demand increasing and retailers looking to expand in Cleveland, positive net absorption and limited development have created a balanced retail market that will lead to improvement and growth in 2012, according to Marcus & Millichap. The construction levels are relatively low with only 260,000 square feet of shopping center space scheduled to be completed this year, more than doubling last year’s 121,000 square feet. By comparison, 2008 saw 1 million square feet in retail completions. “When you look at it and put it in perspective versus construction levels seen during the last 10 years, it’s significantly below the levels we saw at the height of the market,” says Scott Wiles, a director and vice president within Marcus and Millichap’s National Retail Group. “It was an expected trend that last year was the low point for construction levels in the submarket, and that stems from 2009 and 2010 being very inactive leasing markets,” Wiles says. This year’s limited construction will aid Cleveland’s retail growth, however, in light of an uptick in leasing. “The positive thing about Cleveland is that we never see the construction levels that some of the sexier markets see, so it doesn’t throw our supply and …
Retail operations have likely bottomed in Cincinnati and will show signs of modest improvement through the remainder of 2012. Encouraged by a more stable job market and restored savings accounts, consumers are beginning to spend more freely. National retailers, which stalled expansion plans during the recession, will capitalize on discounted rents to move into prime retail corridors in Hamilton County and Northern Kentucky. Anchored shopping centers will outperform due to their ability to draw steady shopper traffic, keeping vacancy at Class A properties tight. The revitalization of the CBD will attract young professionals, while the recent opening of The Banks project will boost visitor volume. Demand will pick up for inline space within the area as restaurants and boutiques look to capture the increase in foot traffic. Developers who built in outlying areas will struggle to backfill unanchored strip centers. Until single- family home sales pick up, lenders will be unwilling to provide start-up financing for local retailers, leading to a weak recovery in tertiary markets. By the Numbers Employment gains are driving modest improvement in the retail sector. Cincinnati employers created 10,400 jobs during the first quarter. On a year-over-year basis, 20,300 jobs were generated, an increase of 2.1 …