The U.S. apartment sector staged a strong recovery in 2010 well ahead of expectations, despite modest job creation and stubbornly high unemployment. Net absorption surged, with occupied stock rising by nearly 200,000 units, double the number of apartments constructed and the highest level on record since 2000. Several factors contributed to high levels of absorption, including the release of pent-up renter demand as households de-bundled in the wake of the recession. In addition, apartments benefited from private-sector job growth in the critical 20- to 34-year-old cohort, expiration of the homebuyer tax credit, displaced foreclosed homeowners entering the renter pool, immigration and lower unit turnover. Renting also became a lifestyle and economic choice for many households as the effects of the housing collapse and recession persisted. Continued recovery in 2011 depends more heavily on improvements in the job market, which should gain momentum as the year progresses. Building on that momentum, operating conditions in the suburban Chicago apartment market will strengthen considerably this year, building on improvements in vacancy and rents recorded in 2010. Apartment construction will sink to one of the lowest levels in the past decade, minimizing competition for tenants at a time when renewed job growth will accelerate …
Midwest Market Reports
Like virtually every major metropolitan area, the Kansas City market has suffered in the economic malaise of the past few years. However, it hasn’t experienced the irrational highs and devastating lows that have beset markets in Arizona, Nevada and Florida. In fact, the submarkets that are struggling the most are the few that got ahead of themselves in anticipation of housing construction and leasing that never materialized. In many ways, this scenario has enhanced the position of well-located, established centers in fully developed submarkets. Many developers are renovating and, in some cases, re-tenanting their shopping centers situated in more established Kansas City neighborhoods. While demand is certainly not as robust as it was in the heyday of 2006-2007, we are still seeing more-than-respectable leasing of small tenant spaces of 1,200 to 1,500 square feet and of “mid-box” spaces ranging from 5,000 to 10,000 square feet throughout the market. Service firms such as cleaners and hair stylists, plus small eateries including breakfast/lunch-only restaurants such as Big Biscuit, as well as Starbucks, are taking smaller spaces. Dollar Tree, Dollar General and other value merchandisers are mostly taking the mid-box vacancies. Traditional lifestyle centers, however, seem to be the exception. They continue to …
Southeastern Wisconsin, which consists of a seven-county region, is experiencing slight growth in the industrial markets. We have seen positive absorption throughout the area with rumblings of future deals on the very near horizon. The region is experiencing flat to declining leasing rates due to hungry landlords and excess available space. Day-to-day activity is busy, but many of the current tenants that are touring are typically attempting to procure a better deal in their current location. Tenants in the market are still in a wait-and-see mode. The southeastern region of Wisconsin has seen very little new development. Wispark LLC purchased a 185,000-square-foot building in Racine County for CalStar Products, a green brick manufacturer that will manufacture bricks and pavers from fly ash obtained from the nearby We Energies Oak Creek power plant. Wispark is also planning a new 170-acre business park in the southern Milwaukee county community of Oak Creek. The business park is shovel-ready and part of a TIF district. “There is not a lot of new development going on in Southeastern Wisconsin, but I would say there is uptick in the market,” says Todd Rizzo, vice president of Milwaukee-based Wispark LLC. CenterPoint Properties has landed a build-to-suit project …
The St. Louis office market continues to see a relatively slow pace of activity. As the economic downturn hit the market slightly later than the rest of the country, the recovery is also delayed, and companies continue to be cautious, with renewals dominating the leasing market. As of the end of the third quarter, the market-wide vacancy rate was 16.3 percent, slightly lower than second-quarter figures. The vacancy rate has stayed steady between 15.5 and 16.5 percent for the past 5 quarters. Firms continue to employ the blend-and-extend strategy of extending leases before the expiration date and locking in a lower lease rate at the same time. While asking rates have remained relatively steady, effective rates are lower than 2 or 3 years ago, and concessions, including free rent, are still being used by landlords to entice potential tenants in most submarkets. Much of the activity within the marketplace is being seen at smaller sizes, between 3,000 and 5,000 square feet, with a dearth of large tenants in the market. Exceptions to this include Panera Bread, which recently leased 71,130 square feet at 3630 South Geyer Road. Recently, the St. Louis office market was dominated by the moves of several …
The Twin Cities area, a region of more than 3 million people, is still trying to extricate itself from the base of this pesky commercial real estate cycle. While the retail real estate deal volume is starting to pick up here, it remains more of a trickle than a flow, with value-priced merchants spurring much of the activity. In the first half of 2010, the Twin Cities retail vacancy rate stood at 10.4 percent, meaning nearly 7 million square feet of retail space remains vacant, according to Minneapolis-based NorthMarq, a commercial real estate services firm. On the national tenant side, several retailers are repositioning themselves, either by upgrading existing stores or relocating to more advantageous spaces as leases expire. There are also rumblings of several national tenants eyeing vacancies in the 10,000- to 25,000-square-foot range. Not surprisingly, value merchandisers such as Dollar General, Big Lots and Dollar Tree have increased their footprints in this environment as well. We are also seeing a slight resurgence in demand from mom-and-pop tenants. As in past downturns, there’s a growing roster of talented people who were displaced by corporate America that are opening their own retail businesses. At the commodities level, the grocery trade …
For those who were expecting some market relief by now, there is not a great deal of positive prognosis to provide. Despite the slow rise in the stock market since its fall, the market continues to suffer from mediocre progress with its continuous ups and downs. There is still much change needed in the global economy to sustain the stock market growth we need to realize a full and effective recovery of other markets, including commercial real estate. But I would like to say that we are now bouncing off the bottom with an ability to understand where market corrections have settled in terms of value, cap rates, absorption and development, which is all but non-existent. With historic high unemployment and the uncertainty of what new pothole we might hit while we are finding our way out, it may still be a rough year or more ahead of us. Much depends on how the commercial lending industry plays out the myriad transactions that still linger in their portfolios. The penalties for a defer-and-deny or an extend-and-pretend philosophy may not yet to been fully realized. On a positive note, if consumer confidence continues to eek up, while other economic indicators remain …
It’s no secret that the greater Detroit area suffered a double hit in the last 4 years, first from the well-publicized decline in auto sales and then from the 2008 crash and lengthy downturn.Despite the economic gyrations, however, there is a considerable upside and leasing momentum to talk about. Several new-to-the-market retailers, restaurants and fitness chains are landing in the region, including ULTA, which has done 10 deals in the last 7 months in mostly high-income areas. Discount grocer ALDI has opened 20 stores in the past 18 months, most often purchasing land to build 12,000-square-foot stores in high-density, middle-income areas. Other new retailers to the market are Five Below, Christmas Three Shops, buybuyBABY, Yankee Candle, clothier Citi Trends and a new concept by local furniture giant Art Van called Pure Sleep. Five Guys Burgers and Fries, Fat Burger and Chipotle have also moved into the market, as have Fitness 19, Planet Fitness and their much larger competitor LA Fitness. LA Fitness is opting for 50,000-square-foot locations, both stand-alone and retrofit, primarily in professionally oriented, mid-to-upper income areas. The chain has opened eight locations in the market, and in the past 2 years, it has built clubs in such high-traffic …
Greater Cleveland’s office market is showing some signs of recovery, and this is being fueled by the many development projects in the works. Planned developments include a casino to be located in the Tower City area opening sometime in 2013 and a proposed Medical Mart facility, which will be located next to Cleveland’s convention center in the heart of downtown. Another projected office development is the East Bank project by Scott Wolstein, which will house the national headquarters for Ernst & Young and law firm Tucker-Ellis. The project will be the first phase of a planned office, retail and residential development at the edge of Cleveland’s historic warehouse district. Eaton Corporation also is planning a new 400,000-square-foot campus in the Chagrin Highland’s 630-acre corporate community on Cleveland’s east side, which will leave Eaton’s current building at 12th Street and Superior, in the central business district, with more than 300,000 square feet available. Other major deals in the works are the relocation of Huntington Bank (approximately 100,000 square feet) from its namesake historic property at East 9th Street and Euclid to the former BP building, which is now 200 Public Square. The iconic bank building is home to several large firms …
Office development in the Minneapolis market is virtually at a standstill. Since the economy’s downturn, many projects have been shelved, and developers today are striving to locate aggressively priced, dispossessed buildings that can be repositioned and brought back to life for the next real estate cycle. The exceptions are highly visible build-to-suit projects. In September, Acosta, a sales and marketing company, plans to move into a new 65,000-square-foot building in the southwest suburb of Eden Prairie. Additionally, the law firm Hellmuth & Johnson is building 44,000 square feet of office space, topping three levels of covered parking at the intersection of Interstate 494 and Highway 169, also in Eden Prairie. Shadow space is an underlying issue affecting development in the Twin Cities. Until companies can absorb space they already lease but currently maintain as vacant, the development cycle will remain flat. Leasing activity is also quiet. Those businesses that are relocating are typically consolidating or otherwise downsizing. However, the U.S. General Services Administration is in the market for nearly 500,000 square feet of office space. Half of that is being spurred by a short-term need to relocate workers displaced by a $115 million federal stimulus funded renovation of the Bishop …
What a difference a year can make. At this time last year, the Detroit and Southeastern Michigan multifamily housing markets were experiencing some of their worst economic times since the early 1970s. But with recent announcements from Ford and General Motors concerning first quarter profits, there appears to be hope for the troubled region. Because the region has been so challenged during the past 18 months, there has been very little new development planned for 2010. But in 2011, nearly 2,800 apartment units are planned in the metro region, representing a potential 1.3 percent increase in the current inventory. One recent success story within the city is Garden View Estates, a mixed-use development with affordable housing, including rental units, senior co-ops and single-family homes. Bloomfield Hills, Michigan-based Windham Development is the principal in the residential portion of the project, which celebrated its grand opening in September 2009. These types of developments are going to play a key role in re-growth within the city because of joint efforts between private developers, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the Detroit Housing Commission and the City of Detroit. We can anticipate new development in Ann Arbor and downtown Detroit. Ann Arbor …