Northeast Market Reports

Despite the maturing commercial real estate cycle, Boston’s thriving economy continues to generate positive momentum for the metro’s multifamily property marketplace. Over the 12-month period ending June 30, 2017, area employers added 55,700 positions, growing the employment base by 2.1 percent. Job creation was driven by the typically high-wage healthcare and professional fields, and more than 30 percent of the new roles created were in office-using sectors. This healthy growth has supported a surge in household formation, which — along with the high cost of homeownership — is sustaining substantial demand for rental units. The significant affordability gap between renting and homeownership favors renting over homeownership by $591 per month. This, in combination with rising office-using employment, continues to boost apartment demand, which will support this year’s robust construction pipeline. Developers are on track to deliver more than 9,500 units to the marketplace in 2017, marking the highest point of the current cycle. Builders have focused their efforts in the urban core, particularly in the Fenway, Brookline and Brighton submarkets, and in first-ring suburbs. Nearly two-thirds of incoming units will be inside the city limits or in the closest suburban markets like Cambridge and Revere. The two largest deliveries each …

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The Financial District, Back Bay, and Seaport continue to experience strong tenant demand with a vacancy of 10.3 percent and continued rent appreciation. The Seaport, which has experienced tremendous growth for the last four years, received national attention with GE committing to move its corporate headquarters to the market and continues to make headlines with Amazon committing to 150,000 square feet. In addition, 121 Seaport Boulevard just leased to PTC (250,000 square feet) and Alexion (150,000 square feet). One of the biggest trends throughout Boston continues to be the popularity of the Class B buildings. Most people think of Cambridge as one of the premier lab markets in the world. Cambridge has the lowest office vacancy of all the submarkets in Greater Boston at 4.2 percent, making it one of the strongest office markets in the country. Even pre-leasing is strong, with Alexandria Real Estate receiving commitments for all 431,000 square feet at 100 Binney Street, signing Facebook and Bristol-Meyers Squibb as the lead tenants. Space is so tight that, even when you include sublet space, a tenant looking for more than 50,000 square feet only has four options in the submarket. Top Class A product is now achieving rents …

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With 4,900 new rental units coming on line this year in Northern New Jersey, inquiring minds are asking whether demand here is keeping pace with supply. The short answer is “yes.” New multifamily inventory continues to lease up, especially along the Hudson River Gold Coast, with performance meeting and exceeding developer expectations market-wide. Rental rates for Class A apartment product in Northern New Jersey have increased 3 percent year over year, registering at $2,369 at the midway point of 2017, according to Reis. Vacancy had been trending down since mid-2016, with a slight tick up in the second quarter of 2017, currently resting at 5.2 percent due to the delivery of 1,600 units in the last three months. Compare this to a $1,336 average rent and 4.4 percent vacancy rate nationwide, and New Jersey’s sustained appeal to investors and developers is unquestionable. However, multifamily investment sales to date in 2017 have been fairly measured — with fewer opportunities coming onto the market. For sales in excess of $10 million through August 2017, the volume has totaled $1.07 billion with the number of units sold totaling 4,708 (down 12 percent and 43 percent respectively compared to the same time in 2016) …

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Despite a slow start to the year, the Northern New Jersey office market decreased vacancy to 20.2 percent as we moved from fourth quarter 2016 into 2017. More than 750,000 square feet of office space is expected to be absorbed in the market to drop the vacancy rate 20 basis points. New deliveries in Morris and Essex Counties, including a 200,000-square-foot office for UPS in Parsippany, are leading the way. Moreover, landlords and investors alike are upgrading and investing in larger redevelopment projects throughout the state which has increased leasing activity. In response to healthier market conditions, owners have also increased rents for office space, which caused higher vacancy rates at the beginning of the year. The average asking rent is anticipated to climb to $27.59 per square foot this year, outpacing the 2 percent rise in office rents posted in 2016. In first quarter, the Hudson Waterfront saw an increase of 3.6 percent per square foot. Hudson Waterfront The main trends in Jersey City and Hoboken are driven by the large populations of millennials in and around surrounding areas. Millennials account for 27.2 percent of the population in Hudson County. In the last 12 months, investors — particularly New …

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The New Jersey retail market continues to gain strength as landlords redevelop existing properties, successfully backfill formerly vacant supermarket and Sports Authority boxes, and even break ground on several major shopping centers. Green Leaf at Union, a new redevelopment scheduled to open this fall, will include 111,000 square feet of gross leasable area. Located on Route 22 and West Chestnut Street, the center will be anchored by Bob’s Discount Furniture and LA Fitness. Chimney Rock East and West in Bridgewater is also under construction. The new upscale center will add more than 200,000 square feet of gross leasable area to the Route 22 corridor. Tenants will include Whole Foods, The Container Store, Saks Off Fifth and Nordstrom Rack, as well as ULTA and European Wax Center, which were both represented by R.J. Brunelli & Co. (RJBCO). The District at Metuchen, a new 78,505-square-foot upscale neighborhood center, opened in downtown Metuchen on Route 27 and Middlesex Ave. It is anchored by Whole Foods, with a satellite tenant lineup that includes RJBCO clients Massage Envy and European Wax Center. The Route 35 corridor in Hazlet/Holmdel/Middletown has seen its ups and downs this past year. In Middletown, the WRDC-owned property formerly anchored by …

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The Greater Philadelphia office market is seeing a few exciting development projects and steady interest in investment opportunities. Southern New Jersey The office sector in Southern New Jersey has exhibited overall strong fundamentals, underpinned by increased new investments from outside of the Greater Philadelphia region and economic inflows to support local economic expansion. The U.S. economy continues to grow moderately and add jobs, with the national unemployment rate dropping to a 16-year low. These conditions are helping to generate demand that is reverberating throughout the real estate sector, especially for office space. Office leasing activity has been on an upswing in 2017. The overall tone is positive, and vacancy rates have been stable for the past few quarters, hovering just above 10 percent. The second quarter posted approximately 395,155 square feet of new leases and renewals. This is a 24 percent increase in activity from the first quarter and an incredible 58 percent increase compared to the second quarter a year ago. New leases represented approximately 43.4 percent of all deals for the quarter. Notable deals ranged from 5,000 to 31,000 square feet. The office investment and sales market is also showing increased activity. Buyers continue to take advantage of …

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The office market in 2017 has rebounded from the slowdown of 2016 — suggesting that Manhattan market conditions remain stronger than some might have imagined at the end of last year. Growth in office-using employment has picked up steam this year, and New York’s Gross City Product expanded at a faster rate than in 2016. Buoyed by large transactions in the financial services and government sectors, leasing activity also expanded in the first half of 2017, outpacing 2016’s mid-year leasing activity by 19 percent. Asking rents continued their trajectory of modest growth, though tenant improvement allowances have grown at a far faster rate, suggesting tenants are paying lower net effective rent; meanwhile, the number of upward repricings on existing listings fell off considerably in the first half of 2017, while downward repricings continue unabated from last year. Despite the increase in both leasing activity and velocity in the first half of 2017, Manhattan continues to see negative net absorption this year, largely due to the delivery of new office product in Midtown South and Downtown. This has pushed up the availability rate to 12.0 percent — suggesting increasingly tenant-favorable conditions in the market. New York City Employment After a relatively …

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As America’s brick-and-mortar retail sector continues to come to grips with the impact of e-commerce on its long-term future, it is worthwhile to track the progress of the growing number of retailers who have chosen to step away from a web-only platform. These retailers are establishing an omni-channel presence by setting up operations in physical stores, and many are showing signs of success. Many such retailers are choosing to set up shop along the streets of New York City, with its massive and steadily growing population and its broad demographic mix. Despite the recent, well-publicized increase in the city’s available inventory of retail space, New York City remains the preferred market to launch a brand with aspirations of building a meaningful national profile. Considering the more-youthful and trendy profile of a large proportion of online shoppers, these “adding-bricks-to-our-clicks” companies are gravitating toward New York City submarkets that deliver this coveted, younger demographic. Moreover, e-commerce players possess a ton of data profiling their customers — including their buying behavior and their browsing interests and habits — and retailers tap this intelligence when making decisions about where to locate stores as well as how they should be merchandised to best cater to …

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Eastern Pennsylvania’s industrial markets continue to thrive due to low vacancy rates, increased barriers to entry, demand by occupiers and the institutional capital community’s ever-increasing appetite for industrial product. While the specific submarkets have unique nuances associated with the local economic drivers, highway networks, taxation, and labor base, the overall demand by tenants and the capital community alike is driven by elementary economic rules of supply versus demand met by supply chain demand drivers. In a world that is buying a higher percentage of its goods online each and every year, this geography offers the unique ability to reach almost half of the U.S. population within a one-day truck drive and better one-day or two-day delivery service from the two major providers, UPS and FedEx. This thriving market is technically four distinct submarkets inclusive of the Lehigh Valley, Northeastern, Central and Southeastern Pennsylvania. For those less familiar with the nomenclature of this geography, it’s easiest to think of the Lehigh Valley as the general vicinity of Easton through Bethlehem and Allentown and along I-78 past Hamburg. Central Pennsylvania is the region inclusive of Harrisburg, York, Carlisle, Chambersburg, Greencastle and Lancaster. Northeastern Pennsylvania is the combination of the MSAs including Pottsville, …

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With employment representing one of the most critical factors in the health of the office sector, people naturally look to the unemployment rate as a key metric to quickly assess a given market. By this standard, Fairfield County should be thriving, with the unemployment rate at 4.4 percent in April 2017 — just under the 4.8 percent rate reached just prior to the recession. And yet, the availability rate in Connecticut’s largest office market stood at 24.5 percent at the end of the first quarter of 2017 — a far cry from the 15.2 percent rate seen at year-end 2007. There are two reasons for the discrepancy. First, it is far more accurate to look at office-using employment (information, financial, professional services and other industries) versus overall employment as a barometer. While office-using employment has rebounded approximately 4.0 percent since the depths of the latest recession, today’s count is still 8.4 percent lower than the latest peak. Second, a marked shift in the desired style of office and an upswing in remote working opportunities have led to reduced utilization rates in terms of square feet per employee. Today’s employers want to be in buildings that make their employees happy and …

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