All of the property sectors in the Boston area are thriving, thanks to one of the strongest economies in the nation. As of April this year, the unemployment rate in Massachusetts was 4.7 percent and in Boston, it was 3.7 percent, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists generally consider employment to be essentially “full” when unemployment rates dip below 5 percent. By comparison, the unemployment rates in neighboring states were 6.3 percent for Connecticut, 3.8 percent for New Hampshire and 6.1 percent for Rhode Island. The U.S. unemployment rate in April was 5.4 percent. Boston’s overall industrial vacancy rate at the close of the second quarter was 8.1 percent, according to CoStar, and includes warehouse/distribution space, flex space and R&D facilities. It was the fourth consecutive quarter that the vacancy rate has remained in the low 8 percent range. Overall net absorption has been negative this year: -82,364 square feet in the second quarter and -41,089 square feet in the first quarter this year. This compares with positive net absorption of more than 3.1 million square feet in the third and fourth quarters of 2014. However, we believe that the first half of this year is a …
Northeast Market Reports
While demand for all types of retail product has been strong over the past few years, investors continue to have a strong appetite for Boston area grocery-anchored shopping centers in 2015 despite meaningful changes to the food distribution industry. The competitive landscape for traditional supermarkets is evolving as value-oriented grocers such as Market Basket, Walmart, Trader Joe’s, Aldi, and Save-A-Lot lure away price-conscious customers, while service-oriented formats such as Wegmans, Whole Foods and Roche Brothers are expanding and gaining market share with more affluent customers. These chains achieve success by targeting the low- and high-end niches of the market. According to IBISWorld, the online grocery sales industry is projected to increase approximately 9.5 percent annually to become a $9.4 billion industry by 2017. Companies such as Amazon and Walmart are increasing their capabilities for selling food and beverages online, and Ahold’s Peapod service continues to expand in an effort to maintain its position as the leading Internet grocer. The food distribution industry has been further saturated by big-box retailers and national pharmacy chains offering a growing selection of packaged goods and dairy products. These non-traditional grocers and e-commerce providers derive much of their profits from non-food items, allowing them to …
Philadelphia’s apartment market remains bright as increasing employment fosters stable economic growth, which in turn is bolstering apartment operations. Employers in the metro, which is known as the center of economic activity in Pennsylvania, will increase hiring 1.2 percent this year, adding 35,000 jobs. In 2014, new jobs increased 1.6 percent and the unemployment rate decreased 130 basis points. Total employment is on the upswing, recovering nearly all of the jobs lost during the recession. The favorable employment conditions are supporting demand for apartments and swiftly improving performance throughout the metro, prompting developers to start new multifamily projects. Builders in Philadelphia are focusing their attention in Center City, which includes the central business district and central neighborhoods of Philadelphia, where nearly 25 percent of this year’s deliveries will be placed into service. Developers are on track to complete 3,600 units in 2015, increasing total apartment inventory 1.4 percent. Last year 2,400 rentals were delivered. Part of the reason that demand is especially strong in Philadelphia can be attributed to the increasing popularity of living in the urban core among young professionals and baby boomers. The lack of developable in-fill locations in the area is prompting developers to convert office buildings …
New York City’s multifamily market in the second quarter of 2015 was able to continue the momentum of 2015’s first quarter and generate an impressive $3.30 billion in gross consideration. The quarter also saw 364 properties trade over 225 transactions, which is a 33 percent increase in transaction volume compared to the same quarter last year. Boosting significant growth, both Brooklyn and Manhattan saw a number of institutional and portfolio deals again this quarter. Of the trades in Manhattan, the top 10 percent made up approximately 73 percent of Manhattans dollar volume and four of the five largest multifamily transactions to occur in NYC happened in Brooklyn, which contributed to both submarkets ending the quarter with dollar volumes above $1 billion for the second time in as many quarters. Pricing throughout the city continues to evolve by most measures. Gross rent multiples have increased by 1.4 year-over-year and the average price per square foot in Manhattan has eclipsed $900. Compared to last year, average capitalization rates were down 60 basis points in The Bronx, and are down in Brooklyn and Northern Manhattan. These are the signs of solid fundamentals in the market. Institutional caliber multifamily deals had a big second …
The total retail inventory in the Rochester market amounts to 62.5 million square feet. Over the past year, the market has seen an overall decrease in the vacancy rate. The vacancy rate went from 8.0 percent in first quarter 2015 to 7.9 percent in the current quarter. Overall net absorption was positive 182,160 square feet. The general retail sector of the market, which includes all freestanding retail buildings except those contained within a center, reported a vacancy of 4.3 percent at the end of the second quarter 2015. The general retail space in Rochester is 34.3 million square feet. Average rental rates are currently at $12.26 per square foot. The shopping center sector — which consists of 19 million square feet and comprises community centers, neighborhood centers and strip centers — posted 10.9 percent total vacancy and average asking rates of $10.28 in second quarter 2015. Power center space is currently reported to be nearly 4 million square feet with a vacancy rate of 7.5 percent, and a slight decrease in rental rates to $13.46 per square foot. Malls in the Rochester market consist of lifestyle centers, regional malls and super-regional malls. The vacancy rate was 21.2 percent at the …
New York City is booming. The local economy is the strongest it has ever been, with total employment numbers reaching all-time highs totaling over 4.2 million jobs through May 2015. This has led to a strong office market performance during the first six months of 2015, as office-using employment continues to grow, up 2.5 percent over the past 12 months. Demand for space continues to keep availability below 10 percent, and at 9.6 percent, Manhattan availability is down 50 basis points from last year. Despite minimal increases in Manhattan overall asking rents, up only 2.9 percent year-over-year through June, some submarkets are exceeding previous record-high asking rents from 2008. The demand from creative and tech tenants looking for space in Midtown South over the past few years has pushed asking rents up 19.1 percent above all-time highs. Downtown overall average asking rents have reached historical highs this year as well, and at $57.78 per square foot, rents are 10.3 percent higher than the previous highs in 2008. Most of this increase can be attributed to new construction at the World Trade Center site. Despite this, Midtown overall asking rents are still 5.3 percent off historical highs from 2008. Throughout Midtown, …
Seven years after the worst recession this country has seen since the Great Depression, New York City is riding high again. Manhattan has emerged as a vital center for global retail activity where we continue to see dynamic growth — driven by its economic fundamentals, urban migration, and its cultural and lifestyle attractions. Gone are the days when suburban expansion sounded the death knell for high street retail. Since 2010, in the near-aftermath of the economic collapse and for the first time in decades, urban cores are growing at a faster rate than their suburban counterparts. Eighty percent of Americans now live in urban areas, and retailers and property owners in New York City and around the world are scrambling to adapt. Millennials represent 24 percent of the overall U.S. population and are leading this urban charge. They want to live close to work. They’re driven by technology — and they demand an omni-channel retail experience that integrates smartphone and tablet use with a personalized, service-oriented, in-store approach. And importantly, it’s estimated they will represent nearly 30 percent of U.S. retail spending — the total of which was $4.6 trillion this year — by 2020. Manhattan also continues to benefit …
In Fairfield and New Haven counties, growing rental housing demand will keep apartment vacancy tight throughout the year, despite a second consecutive year of elevated completions. Developers will complete 1,300 units this year, representing a minor drop from the number of apartments delivered last year. More than 700 of these new rentals will be in New Haven County. Another 1,500 rentals, mostly in Fairfield Country, were under construction in the first quarter of 2015, with deliveries slated for next year. Key projects for completion include the 160-unit College & Crown in the city of New Haven. College & Crown is a modern luxury rental in a vibrant community, boasting galleries, shopping, dining and recreational activities, within walking distance to Yale’s main campus and the Yale School of Medicine. New apartments will modernize apartment stock and mark an ongoing effort among developers to tap into unfulfilled demand for newer, amenity-laden rentals. In the first quarter of 2015, recently completed apartments in Fairfield and New Haven counties have been well absorbed. An increase of rental housing inventory may also play a meaningful role in continued growth of the local economy by making it easier for local employers to recruit workers to the …
The retail market in Southern Maine remains strong through mid-year 2015. Retail vacancy rates are low, investment sales are up, new retail projects are actively under construction, and plans for new retail developments are on the horizon. Positive trends in Maine’s retail sector have been evident for several years now, indicating that the market has stabilized and there is strong potential for further commercial growth over the next several years. According to Malone Commercial Brokers’ 2014 State of the Market Retail Survey, the Greater Portland retail vacancy rate for 2014 was 3.68 percent, compared to 10.8 percent in 2009. The vacancy rate has consistently dropped every year since 2009, with 2014 marking the lowest vacancy rate in Greater Portland in six years. Initially, annual retail vacancy rate declines in Southern Maine were related to the absorption of empty big boxes and retail centers located in the Maine Mall District in South Portland, as well as the newly created retail hubs built along the Maine Turnpike corridor during the construction boom in the early 2000s. By 2012, one of these new retail hubs located in the City of Biddeford saw Lowe’s, Linen ’N Things, Old Navy, and Best Buy close their …
Large blocks of space in the Connecticut office market have typically been associated with financial services firms and the wide open trading floors found in investment bank offices. However, for a new breed of tenant looking for sprawling, open and contiguous office space, the state of Connecticut currently offers a myriad of choices across multiple submarkets — from Trumbull to Norwalk to Stamford. And recent leasing figures suggest that prospective tenants are taking note. TAMI — or technology, advertising, media and information — tenants are no longer a Manhattan-only phenomenon. CBRE’s Westchester/Fairfield Counties office is increasingly seeing these tenants joining financial services tenants in cherry picking from an abundant group of large spaces. These TAMI tenants often favor the open spaces and giant floorplates that have become known for increasing collaboration and productivity among their employees. They can also offer consolidation and cost savings for companies. One of the most notable recent examples was 2014’s largest lease transaction for Fairfield County, which saw information technology firm Datto lease 100,398 square feet of space at Norwalk’s Merritt 7 Corporate Park. CBRE’s Paul Jacobs, Colin Reilly and Barbara Segalini represented Datto in the lease at the 22-acre campus, which Datto said it …