Northeast Market Reports

After a lackluster first quarter, the Southern New Hampshire office sector is showing strong potential as we head into the heart of 2015 and as the recovery that is firmly entrenched in major hubs like Boston begins to make its way to secondary markets. Notably, the trend toward reurbanization and the growing popularity of live/stay/play opportunities are driving activity in Portsmouth and promise to bolster activity in lagging submarkets like Manchester and Nashua. As companies increasingly gravitate to downtown locations, Portsmouth is seeing steady demand. In fact, its 3 million-square-foot office inventory boasts the lowest vacancy rate (11 percent) and highest average asking rents ($20.31 per square foot) of the six New Hampshire office submarkets tracked by Cushman & Wakefield. This vibrant seacoast city is the first New Hampshire market supporting speculative construction. Farley White built the 67,000-square-foot North Wing addition to 100 Arboretum Drive, bringing the building’s total to approximately 127,000 square feet. Our team serves as leasing agent for the property, where multiple deals are in the pipeline. At 249 Corporate Drive, the Katz Co. is building a 37,000-square-foot building and recently leased a significant portion of the space to Loftware Inc. Renovation, redevelopment and repurposing of older …

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In Providence, the Class A office market continues to maintain vacancy rates under 10 percent, with an overall office vacancy of about 14 percent. This trend should continue as there is not any new Class A office development on the horizon for the capital city. There have been a few larger market transactions in Providence over the past 12 months. Waldorf Capital Management, a local real estate investment firm, purchased the Turks Head Building (150,000 rentable square feet) in late 2014. In addition, 170 Westminster Street (65,000 rentable square feet) recently traded; according to local rumor, the property will be converted to residential apartments. If 170 Westminster comes out of circulation, this will have a positive impact on the Class B vacancy rate in the city. Just south of the city on the 195 redevelopment land — dubbed “The Link” by the 195 Commission — work is just about complete to make the 19 available acres “shovel ready.” The 195 Commission has been successful in fully negotiating two purchase and sale agreements. The first is for student housing and the second is mixed-use residential. However, both projects are contingent on an acceptable tax stabilization agreement from the city, which has …

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Rhode Island’s retail market continues to improve, although not to the point that new ground-up major projects are feasible. There is considerable activity with retailers expanding and absorbing the existing supply of retail space. In the past few years, a lot of the activity has focused on absorbing the mid-size boxes that went dark after the start of the recession, due to the closings of stores such as Circuit City, Linens ’N Things, and Borders. The leasing activity over the last several years seems to be the final stages of the absorption of these vacant boxes. As the supply of these existing anchor spaces continues to be reduced, the health of the retail market continues to improve with the result being a slight upward pressure on rents. The 500,000-square-foot Garden City Center in Cranston, which first opened in 1948, continues to upgrade its tenants, with The Wilder Company’s ongoing multi-year expansion and renovation of Rhode Island’s premier open-air mixed-use shopping center. New tenants opening over the last year include The Container Store, which has taken 25,000 square feet, as well as French natural skin care retailer L’Occitane and natural burger concept b. good. Additional new leases have been signed with …

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Job growth in New York City is expected to reach a new high in 2015 with the addition of 92,500 jobs. This spike in employment will bode well for retail owners. Drawn by the strong economy, several retailers are expanding in the city, including Lowe’s, which already has two locations in Brooklyn and one in Queens. In the second half of 2015, Lowe’s will open its first two stores in Manhattan. Apple plans to open shop in Brooklyn; they’ve signed a long-term lease for a 20,000-square-foot store at 247 Bedford Avenue at the corner of North Third Street in Williamsburg. As retailers ramp up their presence in the five boroughs, the vacancy rate is going to reach a new multi-year low. Vacancy for retail properties in 2015 will fall to 3.9 percent on net absorption in excess of 2.8 million square feet. Tightening vacancy will allow for operators to increase asking rents for the fourth consecutive year and will encourage builders to start new projects. Currently, builders are on track to deliver 2.5 million square feet of retail space in 2015, increasing stock by 1.2 percent. The most notable project scheduled for delivery is the Westfield World Trade Center, a …

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For the first time in a long time in Central and Northern New Jersey, we can stop talking about the light at the end of the tunnel. The market has emerged into full sunshine, and the lingering aftereffects of the recession are now fully in the rearview mirror. The current strength of the market and robust activity in terms of new commercial development is something we have not seen for some time. Not only are there more opportunities for developers to get financing, but with rates at low ebb as well, developers are moving to take advantage. At the same time, banks and financial institutions are motivated and aggressively looking to make deals. The result is a perfect storm of sorts: the money is there, developers are willing and ready, and retailers are looking for quality space. That dynamic is good news not only for Central and Northern New Jersey, but also for all of the metropolitan New York City market. It is noteworthy that very few of the big box retail spaces that became available in the wake of high-profile closings and bankruptcies from brands like Linens ’N Things and Borders are still available. Slowly but surely, the inventory …

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Momentum in Northern New Jersey’s multifamily market continues unabated, with investors aggressively pursuing opportunities, and developers actively launching projects along the Hudson River Gold Coast and west along transit lines. Heading into the heart of 2015, we are seeing demand drive up sales volume and values, and push cap rates down to historically low levels. Current investment velocity follows a strong 2014 capital markets performance. Last year, $1.3 billion in multifamily sales (including transactions of $10 million or more) marked the highest volume since 2007, and compares to approximately $900 million annually in both 2012 and 2013. For context, the market saw only $169 million in annual trades during the depth of the recession in 2009. The “buy” side today is dominated by institutional advisors, particularly for Class A apartment communities. Additionally, we are seeing privately held firms and raised funds making big splashes with value-add and Class B product. Northern New Jersey’s active sellers include developers and private owners looking to take advantage of valuations that have appreciated to historically high levels, as well as institutions that are cycling assets at the end of their traditionally long-term investment horizons. Additionally, multifamily cap rates have dropped consistently in Northern New …

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New York City multifamily has historically been a darling of the real estate industry — and for good reason. It is arguably the most sought-after investment product type within commercial real estate investment’s most targeted city. It is the perfect demographic storm on the demand side: two-thirds of the population rent versus own; the population is arguably the best educated and includes the highest income generators in the nation; and the market continues to exhibit vast growth in household creation and population. Not to mention, the supply side is both geographically and politically constrained. These limitations are further exacerbated by very high costs to build. However, even with the dual push of supply and demand continuing to be in investors’ favor citywide, there are some areas that are softening. Two areas that seem to be softening are luxury condominiums in Manhattan and rental product in Long Island City (Queens) and the downtown Brooklyn area. Manhattan Luxury Condo Sales Slowing Manhattan is often a trendsetter that is months and years ahead of the rest of the country when it comes to real estate trends, and the return of the luxury condominium market is a prime example of this. Some 2,500 units were …

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It’s no longer a secret that Brooklyn is booming, particularly the borough’s retail scene. Retail rents have climbed continuously over the last five years. Retail density has increased almost exponentially. A recent study by CPEX of Brooklyn’s notable retail corridors (meaning areas with rents averaging more than $35 per square foot) found the number of these corridors has increased 80 percent in just two years. But what’s driving Brooklyn’s record pace of retail growth? Several market factors have created a perfect storm for Brooklyn’s retail resurgence. Development in the borough has peaked over the past two years, with permits for new residential developments up 116 percent in that timespan. Nearly 20,000 new units are in the pipeline, almost twice the number of permits in Manhattan and 149 percent more than the other outer boroughs combined. The office vacancy rate has dropped to 4.2 percent in Brooklyn, the lowest in the United States. Tourism continues to spike thanks to the borough’s noteworthy parks, the year-round arts and cultural events in the Brooklyn Academy of Music (BAM) Cultural District, and the Barclays Center’s sporting and concert events. In the meantime, hotel developments are trying to keep pace with the influx of tourists …

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The New Jersey industrial market is experiencing a renaissance of sorts with robust leasing activity in both Northern and Central regions of the state, increasing asking rents and more than 4.5 million square feet of industrial space delivered in 2014. All of these factors point to an even stronger 2015 as developers take advantage of improving market conditions. As we continue to see users and investors competing for the same properties, which in turn creates bidding contests resulting in higher sale prices, we pause and ask, “Can users compete with investors in this environment? And furthermore, should they?” To answer these questions, we need to look back at how we arrived at the current conditions. Towards the fourth quarter of 2013, asking rents and vacancy rates seemed to reach equilibrium. For each quarter after, asking rents steadily increased and vacancy dropped as demand rose. In the fourth quarter of 2014, vacancy in Central New Jersey fell to 7.2 percent, and asking rents rose from $5.35 to $5.42 per square foot with increasing demand along the New Jersey Turnpike corridor. Throughout the year, positive absorption totaled more than 2 million square feet in this region, making it the sixth year in …

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Young professionals are flocking to Boston to find higher-paying jobs generated by fruitful healthcare and technology industries. Pharmaceutical companies like GE Healthcare, Amgen and Novartis AG are expanding in Boston and Cambridge. In addition, professional, business services, education, and health services sectors have all surpassed pre-recession employment. In 2015, companies in Boston are projected to create 43,000 new jobs, which is a 1.7 percent annual increase. The increased pace of hiring will support household formation and elevate the area’s housing demand. The Greater Boston region is experiencing one of its largest residential building booms in recent history. Most of the area’s proposed and under-construction residences are apartments and many of them are on the luxury end, including the Ink Block and Troy Boston on the South End, and the Zinc in East Cambridge. Multifamily inventory will expand 1.6 percent this year, resulting in a total delivery of 7,250 new units. Many potential homeowners will choose renting over buying as more and more potential homebuyers prefer short commute times and the lifestyle that renting offers — a growing trend across many of the country’s major metros. Nationwide, apartments outperformed expectations for 2014. The national vacancy rate dipped as low as 4.2 …

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