Job growth in New York City is expected to reach a new high in 2015 with the addition of 92,500 jobs. This spike in employment will bode well for retail owners. Drawn by the strong economy, several retailers are expanding in the city, including Lowe’s, which already has two locations in Brooklyn and one in Queens. In the second half of 2015, Lowe’s will open its first two stores in Manhattan. Apple plans to open shop in Brooklyn; they’ve signed a long-term lease for a 20,000-square-foot store at 247 Bedford Avenue at the corner of North Third Street in Williamsburg. As retailers ramp up their presence in the five boroughs, the vacancy rate is going to reach a new multi-year low. Vacancy for retail properties in 2015 will fall to 3.9 percent on net absorption in excess of 2.8 million square feet. Tightening vacancy will allow for operators to increase asking rents for the fourth consecutive year and will encourage builders to start new projects. Currently, builders are on track to deliver 2.5 million square feet of retail space in 2015, increasing stock by 1.2 percent. The most notable project scheduled for delivery is the Westfield World Trade Center, a …
For the first time in a long time in Central and Northern New Jersey, we can stop talking about the light at the end of the tunnel. The market has emerged into full sunshine, and the lingering aftereffects of the recession are now fully in the rearview mirror. The current strength of the market and robust activity in terms of new commercial development is something we have not seen for some time. Not only are there more opportunities for developers to get financing, but with rates at low ebb as well, developers are moving to take advantage. At the same time, banks and financial institutions are motivated and aggressively looking to make deals. The result is a perfect storm of sorts: the money is there, developers are willing and ready, and retailers are looking for quality space. That dynamic is good news not only for Central and Northern New Jersey, but also for all of the metropolitan New York City market. It is noteworthy that very few of the big box retail spaces that became available in the wake of high-profile closings and bankruptcies from brands like Linens ’N Things and Borders are still available. Slowly but surely, the inventory …
Momentum in Northern New Jersey’s multifamily market continues unabated, with investors aggressively pursuing opportunities, and developers actively launching projects along the Hudson River Gold Coast and west along transit lines. Heading into the heart of 2015, we are seeing demand drive up sales volume and values, and push cap rates down to historically low levels. Current investment velocity follows a strong 2014 capital markets performance. Last year, $1.3 billion in multifamily sales (including transactions of $10 million or more) marked the highest volume since 2007, and compares to approximately $900 million annually in both 2012 and 2013. For context, the market saw only $169 million in annual trades during the depth of the recession in 2009. The “buy” side today is dominated by institutional advisors, particularly for Class A apartment communities. Additionally, we are seeing privately held firms and raised funds making big splashes with value-add and Class B product. Northern New Jersey’s active sellers include developers and private owners looking to take advantage of valuations that have appreciated to historically high levels, as well as institutions that are cycling assets at the end of their traditionally long-term investment horizons. Additionally, multifamily cap rates have dropped consistently in Northern New …
New York City multifamily has historically been a darling of the real estate industry — and for good reason. It is arguably the most sought-after investment product type within commercial real estate investment’s most targeted city. It is the perfect demographic storm on the demand side: two-thirds of the population rent versus own; the population is arguably the best educated and includes the highest income generators in the nation; and the market continues to exhibit vast growth in household creation and population. Not to mention, the supply side is both geographically and politically constrained. These limitations are further exacerbated by very high costs to build. However, even with the dual push of supply and demand continuing to be in investors’ favor citywide, there are some areas that are softening. Two areas that seem to be softening are luxury condominiums in Manhattan and rental product in Long Island City (Queens) and the downtown Brooklyn area. Manhattan Luxury Condo Sales Slowing Manhattan is often a trendsetter that is months and years ahead of the rest of the country when it comes to real estate trends, and the return of the luxury condominium market is a prime example of this. Some 2,500 units were …
It’s no longer a secret that Brooklyn is booming, particularly the borough’s retail scene. Retail rents have climbed continuously over the last five years. Retail density has increased almost exponentially. A recent study by CPEX of Brooklyn’s notable retail corridors (meaning areas with rents averaging more than $35 per square foot) found the number of these corridors has increased 80 percent in just two years. But what’s driving Brooklyn’s record pace of retail growth? Several market factors have created a perfect storm for Brooklyn’s retail resurgence. Development in the borough has peaked over the past two years, with permits for new residential developments up 116 percent in that timespan. Nearly 20,000 new units are in the pipeline, almost twice the number of permits in Manhattan and 149 percent more than the other outer boroughs combined. The office vacancy rate has dropped to 4.2 percent in Brooklyn, the lowest in the United States. Tourism continues to spike thanks to the borough’s noteworthy parks, the year-round arts and cultural events in the Brooklyn Academy of Music (BAM) Cultural District, and the Barclays Center’s sporting and concert events. In the meantime, hotel developments are trying to keep pace with the influx of tourists …
The New Jersey industrial market is experiencing a renaissance of sorts with robust leasing activity in both Northern and Central regions of the state, increasing asking rents and more than 4.5 million square feet of industrial space delivered in 2014. All of these factors point to an even stronger 2015 as developers take advantage of improving market conditions. As we continue to see users and investors competing for the same properties, which in turn creates bidding contests resulting in higher sale prices, we pause and ask, “Can users compete with investors in this environment? And furthermore, should they?” To answer these questions, we need to look back at how we arrived at the current conditions. Towards the fourth quarter of 2013, asking rents and vacancy rates seemed to reach equilibrium. For each quarter after, asking rents steadily increased and vacancy dropped as demand rose. In the fourth quarter of 2014, vacancy in Central New Jersey fell to 7.2 percent, and asking rents rose from $5.35 to $5.42 per square foot with increasing demand along the New Jersey Turnpike corridor. Throughout the year, positive absorption totaled more than 2 million square feet in this region, making it the sixth year in …
Young professionals are flocking to Boston to find higher-paying jobs generated by fruitful healthcare and technology industries. Pharmaceutical companies like GE Healthcare, Amgen and Novartis AG are expanding in Boston and Cambridge. In addition, professional, business services, education, and health services sectors have all surpassed pre-recession employment. In 2015, companies in Boston are projected to create 43,000 new jobs, which is a 1.7 percent annual increase. The increased pace of hiring will support household formation and elevate the area’s housing demand. The Greater Boston region is experiencing one of its largest residential building booms in recent history. Most of the area’s proposed and under-construction residences are apartments and many of them are on the luxury end, including the Ink Block and Troy Boston on the South End, and the Zinc in East Cambridge. Multifamily inventory will expand 1.6 percent this year, resulting in a total delivery of 7,250 new units. Many potential homeowners will choose renting over buying as more and more potential homebuyers prefer short commute times and the lifestyle that renting offers — a growing trend across many of the country’s major metros. Nationwide, apartments outperformed expectations for 2014. The national vacancy rate dipped as low as 4.2 …
By all measures, 2014 was the strongest year in recent memory for the Boston office market. With an approximate 1.8 million square feet of positive net absorption, nearly 5 million square feet of tenant demand, and continued development around the city, Boston remained one the country’s strongest markets. It’s not news that proximity to parking, public transportation, restaurants, bars and other amenities keeps employees happy. But Boston’s escalating prices mean cost-conscious companies must evaluate their downtown options — which means they have begun trading other items of importance, such as locational cachet, space configuration, look, feel and ultimately building type, for access to amenities. As a result, if 2013 was the year of the Seaport, then 2014 was the year of Downtown Crossing (DTX). With the renovation of 10 Summer Street and Havas’ 120,000-square-foot move to the Millennium redevelopment complete, other companies have followed suit. The third and fourth quarters brought more than 250,000 square feet of deals to 500 Washington Street. Carbonite and Sonos took 52,000 square feet and 170,000 square feet, respectively, in the third quarter, while Safari Books Online took 30,000 square feet in the fourth. Prominent national non-profit Year Up also consolidated its headquarters near DTX …
While it was unfortunate to see retail vacancy in Eastern Massachusetts on the upswing during 2014, it was more than offset by new retail construction as major development resurfaced. At year-end, total retail inventory was 191.6 million square feet, an increase from the prior year of approximately 2.1 million square feet. Vacant retail space in the region was up more than 1.3 million square feet, due to major contractions and liquidations such as Building 19, Dots, and Shaw’s Supermarkets. Net absorption ended the year ahead by 712,500 square feet. The 10 towns with the greatest retail supply remain in place from a year ago with one exception: thanks to new Walmart Supercenter and Sam’s Club locations, Fall River replaced Peabody. The top retail hub is Boston, followed by Cambridge, Natick, Brockton and Framingham. Among communities with at least 500,000 square feet of retail space, five towns broke into the top 10 with lowest vacancy rates: Foxboro, Hingham, Hudson, Danvers, and Everett. Abington remained at the top with a 1.2 percent vacancy rate. Foxborough made the biggest leap — up from 58th last year — as the result of Patriot Place filling significant vacancy, and Ocean State Job Lot opening in …
The New Castle County office market includes roughly 16 million square feet of total inventory with nearly 3 million square feet of that vacant. Vacancy in Class A space has improved somewhat as tenants take advantage of market conditions but these moves have not had much impact on overall vacancy rate. Jackson Cross Partners reports 2014 absorption of 80,000 square feet; although positive, this indicates we have years of recovery before a healthy overall vacancy rate is reached. We are seeing a number of projects that will have some impact on reducing inventory and improving vacancy rates as marginal office space is redeveloped for various non-office uses. These projects include: • A group of local investors purchased 1001 Jefferson Street in the city of Wilmington, which contains 170,000 square feet of office space on approximately 1.4 acres in May 2014, following a failed auction process. The building was recently demolished and the site is now being improved for surface parking, at least temporarily. Although a new office project is not being ruled out down the road, the site is being marketed for other uses, including residential and retail. • 1300 Market Street, also in the City of Wilmington, containing 62,000 …