Northeast Market Reports

Metropolitan Boston continues to enjoy robust economic expansion and exceptionally strong real estate fundamentals. Strength in local housing prices, wages and consumer confidence demonstrated during 2013, coupled with low inflation and increases in consumer spending, will enable the economy’s growth to continue well into 2014 and beyond. With an unemployment rate among the strongest in the U.S. (7.1 percent as of November 2013), Massachusetts continues to thrive due to the presence of world-class educational, medical and research institutions. State GDP grew an estimated 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2013, according to MassBenchmarks, following a revised 1.7 percent increase in the second quarter of the year. The publication forecasts 3.4 percent growth in state GDP from October through March. Commercial real estate saw falling vacancies, rising rents and new construction across most property types. In 2013, 5.5 million square feet of new inventory was delivered, including 3.1 million square feet of multifamily residential and 1.9 million square feet of office. More than 16 million square feet is under construction — three times greater than the previous five-year average in metro Boston — including 7 million square feet of multifamily residential, 6.9 million square feet of office and 2.2 million …

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Metropolitan Boston continues to enjoy robust economic expansion and exceptionally strong real estate fundamentals. Strength in local housing prices, wages and consumer confidence demonstrated during 2013, coupled with low inflation and increases in consumer spending, will enable the economy’s growth to continue well into 2014 and beyond. With an unemployment rate among the strongest in the U.S. (7.1 percent as of November 2013), Massachusetts continues to thrive due to the presence of world-class educational, medical and research institutions. State GDP grew an estimated 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2013, according to MassBenchmarks, following a revised 1.7 percent increase in the second quarter of the year. The publication forecasts 3.4 percent growth in state GDP from October through March. Commercial real estate saw falling vacancies, rising rents and new construction across most property types. In 2013, 5.5 million square feet of new inventory was delivered, including 3.1 million square feet of multifamily residential and 1.9 million square feet of office. More than 16 million square feet is under construction — three times greater than the previous five-year average in metro Boston — including 7 million square feet of multifamily residential, 6.9 million square feet of office and 2.2 million …

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The rapid evolution of e-commerce — including the relationships between the companies that manufacture product and the e-tailers that distribute and sell that product — is arguably the most significant factor impacting the Philadelphia-area and larger regional industrial real estate market today. And for those of us following this phenomenon closely, it feels like we may just be in the second inning of a nine-inning game at Citizens Bank Park. Simply put, e-commerce is creating strong industrial demand. A number of new companies are popping up on the radar, particularly along Pennsylvania’s I-81/I-78 distribution corridor. In the fourth quarter, Walmart’s 1.2 million-square-foot lease at a Liberty Property Trust asset in Bethlehem announced a new neighbor — Walmart again! Adjacent to Liberty’s building will be an additional 1 million square feet to be occupied by Walmart and the space is being developed by Majestic specifically for e-commerce. Earlier in 2013, One Kings Lane leased 500,000 square feet from DCT Industrial in Kutztown. Amazon now has a 4.8 million-square-foot footprint in Pennsylvania with constant threats of additional growth. The list goes on. These sizable transactions drove leasing volume up to nearly 9.7 million square feet at the end of the third quarter …

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Boston is at the beginning of an unprecedented demographic shift and the strongest fundamentals we have seen in over a decade. With just under 4,000 units a year scheduled to deliver through 2016 and more than 7,000 renter households being created annually over that same time period, we are not building enough units to meet this wave of demand. Boston is the Place to Be The Boston multifamily market remains ones of the best-performing markets in the country. As a result, institutional investors view Boston as one of the top three most desirable markets, alongside New York and San Francisco. Their eagerness to deploy capital into Boston multifamily has resulted in unprecedented asset pricing and has stimulated new development throughout the region. Institutional developers such as Hines, Jefferson Apartment Group, Mill Creek and Gerding Edlen have started their first projects in Metro Boston. Additionally, historically prolific developers in the area such as AvalonBay, Hanover, Criterion, National Development and Wood Partners have continued to build on their success. Solid Fundamentals Relative to most cities, Boston’s employment remained insulated through the downturn thanks in large part to a heavy concentration of jobs in healthcare, high-tech and life sciences. These sectors weathered the …

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The Boston industrial real estate market is definitely looking up. There has been strong positive absorption of square footage over the last three years, especially in Boston where large industrial facilities are increasingly converted to housing units, and the absorption trend is now spreading further out from the city and expanding across business categories. In Massachusetts, growth is particularly apparent in three key sectors: medical, food and auto parts. Here is a breakdown of how it’s playing out: 1. Medical. The medical field has seen extensive growth over the last couple years, particularly with medical device manufacturing, and that is good news for the industrial market. Owens & Minor, a Fortune 500 company, is the leading distributor of medical and surgical supplies to the acute care market. It added to its presence in the state at 20 Freedom Way in Franklin with a 100,000-square-foot expansion. This is on top of its existing space at 135 Constitution Drive, which totals 227,000 square feet. Another example includes PSS World Medical, an American distributor of medical products, equipment, billing services and pharmaceutical-related products, which is expanding and consolidating two locations into 50,000 square feet at Walpole Park South, in a spec building that …

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Located along the New Jersey Turnpike (I-95) in the geographic center of the Boston-Washington, D.C., corridor, the Exit 8A industrial market is situated 45 miles southwest of Manhattan and 60 miles northeast of Philadelphia. This location enables distributors to reach more than 130 million consumers, one-third of the northern American population, within a one-day drive. With currently 67.48 million square feet, it is the largest submarket in Northern New Jersey. The vacancy is currently dramatically down from the double digits of the recession to 8.4 percent. Asking rents are inching up to the mid-$4 range, NNN, due to the tightening of the market and a shortage of attractive development sites at 8A. National and international tenants are drawn to the submarket’s superior highway access and proximity to the New York/New Jersey ports and Newark Liberty International Airport. The Exit 8A submarket is home to national and international distributors, manufacturers, and logistics firms. Companies with a major presence at Exit 8A include The Home Depot, Pearson Education, ConAgra, Crate & Barrel, FedEx, Costco, William Sonoma, Staples, Iron Mountain, Kellogg’s, Petco, Volkswagen, Ford, LG Electronics, Wakefern, L’Oreal, and Raymour & Flanigan among many others. The 8A industrial market’s desirability is best illustrated …

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Low vacancy persists in the Fairfield and New Haven county apartment sector behind respectable job growth and the accompanying creation of new rental households. Multifamily rentals also continue to derive support from the region’s pricey single-family home market. In New Haven County, rentals remain the most cost-effective housing option for many households and younger residents. An acutely low level of single-family home affordability also exists in the most sought-after neighborhoods in Fairfield County, driving many residents to apartments for extended tenures. With high single-­family prices posing a barrier to home­ownership for many households and creating a large pool of renters, multifamily developers are ramping up production, especially in Fairfield County. Thus far, new construction has been rather well received. Vacancy in recently built properties in Stamford/Norwalk was up slightly to the mid-3 percent range this year as complexes coming online stabilized, despite average rents in excess of $2,500 per month. Tight vacancy also persists in lower-priced 1990s-era rentals in the submarket. By the end of 2013, employers in the market are projected to create 11,500 jobs, marking a 1.5 percent expansion of payrolls. Gains in education and health services, and professional and business services primarily accounted for an increase of …

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The best word to describe the current retail real estate market in Connecticut is “stabilized.” The majority of the big box and junior anchor vacancies resulting from downsizing and bankruptcies have been absorbed. Although rental rates are still not at pre-recession levels, new construction — which has been absent over the last few years — is now being seen with multiple projects throughout the state. In Brookfield, Samuels & Associates recently completed a redevelopment of an existing 40-year-old shopping center on Federal Road by demolishing the majority of the existing shopping center adjacent to a freestanding Kohl’s and constructing a BJ’s Wholesale Club along with several restaurant pads. The project will also debut the first Chick-fil-A in Connecticut. Walmart Neighborhood Market has opened its first two Connecticut locations. The first opened at Edens redevelopment of the Bishops Corner West shopping center in West Hartford followed by the opening of a freestanding store in a former Shaw’s Supermarket on Route 6 in Bristol. Walmart has also opened a new Walmart Supercenter on Route 5 in East Windsor that is a relocation of an older Walmart on the opposite side of Route 5. Also, Walmart will soon open a new freestanding supercenter …

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With nearly 24,500 units planned, under construction or recently completed, Northern New Jersey’s impressive multifamily development pipeline continues as one of the region’s hottest discussion topics. Specifically, inquiring minds want to know how this growth in inventory will impact market fundamentals moving forward. The bulk of the development pipeline and activity (59 percent) is taking place along the Hudson River Gold Coast, from Jersey City to Edgewater. Just north of Edgewater, Fort Lee is seeing a surge of new construction. Three projects are underway or at the cusp of breaking ground there; over the next two years, they will add 1,000 units within a three-block radius of the entrance of the George Washington Bridge. This will have a transformative effect on the neighborhood. This raises some questions. At what pace will the new product be absorbed? What will happen to short- and longer-­term rent growth? Northern New Jersey always has maintained high, unmet demand for newly constructed communities (especially along the Gold Coast), evidenced by high occupancy levels and rent growth for Class A product that outperforms the regional and national market averages. Currently, asking rent for Class A communities is at an all-time high of $2,043 per month. The …

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A few things happened recently that may have long-term impacts on the Northern New Jersey office market: • Regional employment continues to improve. • Facebook is more than doubling its occupancy in Manhattan. • Merck made it official and is listing its 1-million-square-foot campus for sale. • Governor Chris Christie signed into law the Economic Opportunity Act of 2013. Regional employment continues to improve. Northern New Jersey falls within an MSA that includes New York City, Long Island and a portion of Pennsylvania. The unemployment rate for this MSA stood at 8 percent in August this year compared with 9.5 percent in July 2012, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Using the theory that a rising tide floats all boats, the more people at work in the region, the better our economy performs. And everyone who works in real estate knows that real estate absorption is connected to one thing and one thing only: jobs. Facebook recently inked an office lease at 770 Broadway in Manhattan for one floor of 85,000 square feet and a portion of a second floor, which more than doubles the approximately 40,000 square feet the social networking company currently occupies in New …

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