Recovery was the name of the game in 2011 for many major retail corridors in Manhattan. SoHo and the Flatiron District were among the most significant rebounding areas. SoHo has benefited from international retailers’ expansion into New York and the city’s record-breaking tourism. New York City welcomed more than 50 million tourists in 2011, including 10.1 million international visitors — more than any other year in its history. The city generated $32 billion in visitor spending and $48 billion in economic impact, according to Mayor Michael Bloomberg and NYC & Company. And SoHo is a major stop on any tourist’s path. Broadway, Spring and Prince streets have long been the market’s primary retail corridors, and rents on these streets are nearly back to 2008 peaks, with very limited vacancy. In 2011, more tenants, especially European retailers, saw value and opportunity on the interior streets — Mercer, Greene and Wooster — which are one-third to half the rent of Broadway, Prince and Spring streets. The interior streets had suffered from higher-than-normal vacancy levels during the recession; now, they are flush with some of the biggest names in retail and are commanding higher rents than ever before. The Mercer Hotel and early …
Northeast Market Reports
The multifamily market in New York City picked up steam in 2011 and is continuing to thrive during the first quarter. Multifamily building sales citywide jumped 33 percent in 2011 compared to 2010 as institutional investors drove the year-over-year jump in dollar volume up by 43 percent. Our company’s research report, the Multifamily Year in Review: New York City 2011, shows that citywide there were 436 multifamily transactions in 2011 consisting of 589 buildings totaling $4.23 billion in gross consideration, compared to 2010, which had 392 multifamily transactions with 442 buildings totaling $2.949 billion in gross consideration. Manhattan south of 96th Street and Brooklyn posted the strongest gains in 2011 versus 2010. Each saw a 25 percent increase in multifamily transaction volume and around 50 percent increase in building sales. Year-over-year multifamily building sales in Northern Manhattan and the Bronx rose 25 percent and 23 percent, respectively, but declined 7 percent in Queens. The pricing environment has shifted dramatically in favor of sellers and prices are ticking up as a result of several fundamental value drivers. Rents have now recovered to pre-financial crisis levels and tenant concessions have all but disappeared. Interest rates for cash-flowing multifamily assets have hit all-time …
In the central Connecticut market, owner/users are beginning to seek fair priced industrial facilities that can be financed by mostly local community banks using SBA and some conventional loans. Also we are seeing companies come up from Fairfield County (Bridgeport and Stamford) to take advantage of Waterbury Development Corp. loans and some forgivable grants. One 35,000-square-foot user put up their equipment as collateral to obtain a $500,000 loan for modern space where they could become more productive at a much lower cost of occupancy and expand their workforce. One landlord is buying large vacant industrial facilities at $20 per square foot and rehabbing and subdividing for re-lease programs. We are also seeing some new construction and facility expansions in industrial parks that offer Enterprise zone incentives. Municipal and state Department of Economic and Community Development incentives are driving transactions. These incentives include the Urban Jobs program, Enterprise Zones and Corridors, SBA 504 loans, and tax abatements and other enhancements. Waterbury has four industrial parks and at least five business parks surrounding the city, including Watertown, Plymouth, Naugatuck, Cheshire, Oxford and others. The city of Waterbury offers many perks, and the others offer lower taxes and suburbia. The Naugatuck Industrial Park …
Restrained development, an unsettled single-family housing market, and growing rental housing demand are driving a robust turnaround in the Hartford multifamily sector, making the market one of the strongest in the country. Vacancy will fall to less than 3 percent in 2012, enabling property owners to raise rents significantly. Some of the greatest gains will likely occur in the North/West Hartford and South Hartford/North Middlesex submarkets, where vacancy rates are less than 3 percent. Overall, vacancy and rents have likely improved sufficiently to justify construction, and many planned projects may accelerate through the pipeline in the quarters ahead. The track record of recently delivered projects will likely embolden developers. For example, in the North/West Hartford submarket, vacancy fell 60 basis points last year after a 264-unit complex came online. The multifamily sector is also getting a lift from the still-struggling single-family housing market, where sales volume fell 20 percent last year. Mortgages remain hard to obtain, and many would-be homebuyers will remain in rentals for an extended period as a result. The Hartford market continues to attract attention from investors, perhaps to a greater extent than other markets of similar size. A slight decline in transaction velocity over the past …
Driven by robust demand from tech and media companies, operations in Manhattan will recover at a moderate pace, though trouble looms in the financial industry. Turbulence in the global economy, a political gridlock in Washington, D.C., and new regulations will prompt hedge funds and investment banks to shed jobs. A few of these users will offer space for sublease to cut costs, which will encourage landlords in Midtown to offer lucrative concessions to compete for tenants. Midtown South will boast the tightest vacancy in Manhattan in 2012 as media and tech firms backfill space, while the redevelopment of Hudson Yards will ignite leasing activity in the area. Tenants priced out of Midtown will target downtown, where Condé Nast expanded its lease at One World Trade Center to 1.2 million square feet. In Brooklyn, the New York City Human Resources Administration will consolidate operations into 400,000 square feet near Atlantic Yards this year, which will further transform the area. New York City fundamentals remain among the best in the country. Citywide, payrolls will grow 1.5 percent this year, or 56,000 jobs, while office-using sectors will gain 15,000 positions. In all five boroughs, approximately 1 million square feet of office space will …
In the Greater Boston area, retail real estate seems to have a hopeful outlook for 2012 and beyond. Market conditions in the general Boston retail real estate realm improved slightly with the overall retail vacancy rate decreasing from 4.8 percent in the second quarter of 2011 to 4.6 percent in the third quarter — down significantly from the 5 percent fourth quarter 2010 (Costar Q3 2011 Boston Retail Market Retail Report). Boston’s retail net absorption increased dramatically to a positive 1.09 million square feet in third quarter 2011 — up from a positive 822,957 square feet in the previous quarter. Average quoted asking rental rates however were still low at $15.27 per square foot in third quarter 2011. In addition to improvements in vacancy rates and net absorption, the Boston retail market had several major retail lease signings in 2011, including a 60,000-square-foot Stop & Shop relocation in North Reading, Massachusetts, and a 45,000-square-foot Whole Foods Market signing in Lynnfield, Massachusetts. Also notable was the development of the 600,000-square-foot Northborough Crossing project anchored by Wegmans. The Boston area retail real estate scene should continue to show signs of recovery and positive motion, as the local economy slowly pushes upward toward …
What was previously considered a “soft patch” in the U.S. economy is now indicative of a long-term economic realignment, as previously reported in the past quarter. A reversal of economic indicators, the downgrading of the U.S. credit rating, the debt ceiling debate, the European debt crisis, and market uncertainty are the cause of a decrease in consumer and business confidence across the board, both nationally and in New Jersey. The result is a continued slow recovery in the job market as corporations continue to build cash reserves, further delaying hiring, equipment purchases and real estate expansions. The situation in New Jersey mirrors that of the national picture. The overall real estate market in New Jersey remains weak, although there was a significant shift to direct leasing of Class A space versus the previous subleasing activity. However, the reductions in labor and space needs have led subleases to play an important role in the local market — tenants are leveraging their subleased spaces to negotiate better financial terms when renewing their leases. Vacancy Rates Vacancy rates continued to climb, with Class A office space coming in at 16.4 percent, a 0.2 percent increase from the second quarter. The Class B office …
Despite an economic recovery that is characterized on a national level as listless and lacking vitality, a rising national unemployment rate and apparent challenges in distancing ourselves from the debt crisis, the commercial real estate market in Massachusetts has begun to pick up steam. Market indicators for the Greater Boston market continue to improve, albeit slowly, especially in the high growth sectors such as the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries. Employment in the Boston Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) grew by 2.1 percent in the 12 months from August 2010 to August 2011. New jobs dropped unemployment to 6.4 percent from 7.5 percent a year earlier, compared with Massachusetts’ unemployment of 7 percent and the national unemployment of 9.1 percent as of August 2011. The leading non-farm payroll jobs in the Boston MSA are education and health services, trade transportation and utilities and professional and business services, according to the U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics. The overall Boston industrial market ended mid-year 2011 with a vacancy rate of 11.2 percent. The vacancy rate was down from earlier in the year with net absorption equating to positive 1.72 million square feet in the quarter. From mid-2010 to mid-2011, net absorption …
Pittsburgh has been incredibly lucky in that the area has avoided the havoc wreaked on the national economy during the last couple of years. The education and medical sectors bolstered the area during the recession, and the region is fast-becoming the ‘Energy Capital’ of the Northeast, with Pittsburgh as its epicenter. These factors have allowed the region to maintain its traditional path of steady growth, which has bucked the national trend and provided a safe haven for the local industrial real estate investment community. The market continues to operate in a supply-demand imbalance with weight tipping towards demand for industrial product. This has supported irrational pricing, with a number of recent sales of industrial facilities trading higher than traditional prices. The Pittsburgh industrial real estate market comprises less than 170 million square feet. With limited new construction and virtually no impact from loan defaults, the prices for industrial assets have held value. On the flipside, the market does not provide cash-rich buyers with many opportunities to purchase assets at bargain prices. The region’s overall industrial vacancy rate is hovering at 7.5 percent, falling by 0.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2010. This is 2.2 percent below the overall U.S. …
Upstate New York is currently in a renaissance period as the major initiative of the high technology industry creates momentum for local communities. Centered at the University at Albany, the College of Nanoscale Science and Engineering has been a leader in developing more than $6 billion of infrastructure and research and development focused around the semi-conductor industry, and most recently the solar energy industry. The relocation of Sematech International’s world headquarters from Austin, Texas, to the edge of the University’s campus in Albany, New York, has established a partnership program focusing the world’s leading semi-conductor makers and related industries in a collaborative effort to develop and manufacture the next generation of chips that power our lives. The College’s most recent announcement of a partnership involving IBM, Intel, Samsung, Global Foundries and TSMC focused on a $4.8 billion deal that is largely funded privately, will result in substantial job growth in categories not previously significant in numbers. This most recent announcement in September 2011 also spreads the benefits throughout the state in Buffalo, Rochester, Utica, and into the Hudson Valley as new jobs are created in these communities that result from supporting and related industries. The office sector should begin to …