Market Reports

Phoenix’s Growth Keeps The Multifamily Sector Hot

by Taylor Williams January 18, 2020

Stemming from the ashes of 2009 — a decade later and a decade wiser — Phoenix and the surrounding Maricopa County has exploded to outpace the national averages in both rent and job growth. In fact, the entire State of Arizona is booming in population growth and job production. The Census Bureau just released its American Community Survey “One-Year Estimates” in which Arizona was named the fastest-growing state in the nation with a year-over-year growth of 2.2 percent. The Phoenix MSA also experienced a 2.6 percent increase (as of October 2019) from the prior year ranking when it came to the largest job gains in the education and health services industries. The state also boasts a tax-friendly environment, pro-business governor, competitive workforce and one of the youngest median age populations in the country at 35.4. This has attracted a broad array of financial services, healthcare, manufacturing and tech companies that have been moving to Phoenix in droves, making Phoenix a diversified and balanced economy that is different than years’ past. What does all this mean? The need for housing is paramount and multifamily investors are reaping the benefits. Phoenix is able to absorb the roughly 7,500 new units developers are …

January 18, 2020

Arizona Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

Employment, E-Commerce, Experiences Drive Phoenix’s Retail Market

by Taylor Williams January 17, 2020

Ecommerce and generational shifts in spending patterns have spawned discussions regarding the health and future of retail. However, Phoenix has proven to be one of the most resilient and dynamic retail markets in the country. This resilience is a product of corporate and residential migration from gateway markets due to increasing regulation and costs of living. Maricopa County has been named the fastest-growing county in the country for three years straight by the U.S. Census Bureau, and is forecasted to add another 500,000 people by 2023. This population and income influx has the Phoenix retail market bucking national trends. Consumer sentiment remains at peak 2006 levels despite political uncertainty, without the artificial run-up in home values we experienced leading up to the financial crisis. Average vacancy rates have lingered in the high 6 percent range with active retail construction remaining tempered at around 1 million square feet. This is compared to more than 11 million square feet in 2006. Vacancy may fall into the mid- to high 5 percent range over the next two years — where it was in 2006 — barring any extreme economic events. Triple-net rents have averaged $16.30 per square foot in 2019 and have grown …

January 17, 2020

Affordable Housing Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

Investor Demand for Texas Affordable Housing Intensifies

by Taylor Williams January 17, 2020

The declining affordability of housing has become a worsening problem in many areas throughout the country, and Texas is no exception. Despite talk of a cooling housing market, home prices in both North and Central Texas are hitting high-water marks, making the dream of homeownership less likely to become a reality for many people. According to the Austin Board of Realtors, median home prices in Austin hit an all-time high in May, topping $400,000. As for North Texas, a report from ATTOM Data reveals that as of the third quarter, the median home price in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) was 73 percent above the market’s pre-recession peak. As home prices skyrocket in the these markets, apartment rental rates are also experiencing upward pressure. The Austin Affordable Housing Corp., a nonprofit subsidiary of the Housing Authority of the City of Austin, reports that Austin is now the most expensive rental market in Texas. In addition, The Dallas Morning News reported in August that while Dallas-area apartment rents are growing at a slower rate than the national average, these figures rose 3 percent from a year earlier. Rising apartment rental rates in these markets are resulting in a greater percentage of cost-burdened renters …

January 17, 2020

Industrial Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Missouri

New Tenants, Developments Signal Strength of Kansas City Industrial Market

by Kristin Harlow January 16, 2020

The Kansas City industrial real estate market recorded very healthy maturation in 2019. When surveying the strength of our market, we typically consider how many new tenants or users entered the market with major investments and how many development deals were announced. Diving into the analytics, it is exciting to see some disciplined characteristics of a solid industrial market, including a slight slowdown in the pace of market expansion, a diverse group of business types demanding space, and the swift adjustment to appropriately balance supply and demand. Users entering the market The highlight reel of industrial deals in 2019 was impressive. Notable transactions include a new 420,000-square-foot water bottling plant for Niagara in South Kansas City, a 2 million-square-foot logistics hub expansion for Kubota Tractor Corp., and a 765,000-square-foot food distribution center for Hostess Brands. Additionally, Walmart just announced plans for a 1.8 million-square-foot distribution center to add to its existing three distribution centers in the area. A variety of new auto suppliers have absorbed over 1 million square feet of space to serve the Ford and General Motors automotive plants. I’m often asked what industries are moving to Kansas City and my response is all of them. The type …

January 16, 2020

Market Reports Northeast Northeast Market Reports Office

Office Landlords in Northeast Offer an Array of Amenities to Attract Tenants

by Taylor Williams January 15, 2020

In the largest office markets of the Northeast, landlords are competing to attract valuable corporate tenants by providing the highest quality work-life balance for the region’s talented workforce. The Boston, New York and Philadelphia office markets are among the most competitive in the country. While factors like salary, commute time and personal fulfilment remain important in deciding where to work, employees are now placing more emphasis on amenities and work-life balance in their final decisions. Consequently, employers are making a point to meet those demands by investing in properties with convenient access to those amenities, in particular fitness, dining and transit. According to Colliers International, Class A office asking rents in Boston rose 9.9 percent in the third quarter of 2019, commanding $100 per square foot in the city’s hottest markets. Lauren Vecchione, senior vice president in the Boston office of Colliers, says that landlords have to provide competitive amenities if they want to command and achieve the asking rents in submarkets with the strongest demand, including the Seaport, Financial District, Back Bay and Cambridge’s Kendall Square. “Larger and smaller tenants alike are focused on finding efficient spaces that allow them to build out a creative office experience for their …

January 15, 2020

Market Reports Retail Texas Texas Market Reports

Texas Retailers Embrace Age of Reinvention

by Taylor Williams January 14, 2020

Innovative new retail experiences are appearing across the United States, and Texas is no exception. We started with food halls and experiential outings like escape rooms and now see even more creativity, from axe-throwing bars and esports arenas to Instagram-worthy art installations like Candytopia and experience-driven restaurants and bars like Pinewood Social. Throughout the country, there is a preferential trend toward experiential retail — businesses that provide consumers with unique, unforgettable encounters — and it’s simply a response to changing consumer tastes. Typically, a shopper visits a particular store for one of three reasons: convenience, value or experience. Today, we enjoy greater shopping convenience than ever before. In many areas of the country, we can get nearly everything we need from internet retailers, often with same-day or two-day shipping. According to PwC’s Global Consumer Insights Survey 2018, 41 percent of consumers are willing to pay extra in order to get same-day delivery, while 23 percent are willing to pay for delivery within three hours. Meanwhile, companies that provide exceptional value are showing growth compared to their peers. For example, the parent company of T.J. Maxx and Marshall’s showed steady positive increases in annual sales growth from 6 percent in 2015 …

January 14, 2020

Market Reports Multifamily North Carolina Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Population Gains, Transforming CBDs Drive Triangle’s Multifamily Market Forward

by Alex Tostado January 13, 2020

Today, the Triangle market is booming. The once sleepy Raleigh and Durham central business districts have been transformed with development pipelines exceeding $2.5 billion. Since 2009, Kane Realty’s North Hills, which has become our standard bearer for suburban mixed-use planning, has delivered an additional 1,100 multifamily units, 120,000 square feet of retail, 501 hotel keys and 1.1 million square feet of office space that is achieving top rental rates for the market. And there are more uses coming. There are 10 exciting mixed-use projects under construction as the Triangle continues to take amenities to the next level and increase its competitiveness. Multiple demand drivers The Triangle still feels like it’s in earlier innings with durable growth potential as evidenced by: • Explosive In-migration: 52 percent population growth since 2001, or 3.7 times the national average. • Balanced, Recession Resistant Factors: The market is a top 10 life sciences clusters and includes the largest research park in the United States with Research Triangle Park (RTP). Raleigh-Durham also has well-regarded university and hospital systems and state capital. • Highly Educated Workforce: There are more than 80,000 students enrolled at University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Duke University and North Carolina State …

January 13, 2020

Arizona Industrial Market Reports Western Western Market Reports

Phoenix’s Strategic Growth Positions Industrial for Success in 2020

by Taylor Williams January 11, 2020

Phoenix’s industrial inventory is undergoing a period of growth due to the delivery of 2.2 million square feet of new product in the third quarter of 2019 and more than 4.7 million year to date (as of late November). In fact, the market has seen the highest amount of total industrial development year to date since 2007. While these deliveries have increased the industrial vacancy rate slightly, the overall vacancy rate for the area remains low at less than 7 percent. Absorption has been strong and is expected to remain so for the near future. Rental rates also continue to rise, though they are still at a considerable discount to many other West Coast markets. A high amount of development activity is still occurring, particularly in the southern portion of Phoenix. Much of this development is speculative rather than build-to-suit, which indicates developers are confident in the demand for industrial space in this market. Major factors for our growth have been significant job creation and in-migration of both residents and businesses, which have led to growth in industrial and construction jobs in the region. In fact, Greater Phoenix remains one of the top five metros for job creation in the …

January 11, 2020

Arizona Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

Office Demand Remains Strong in Phoenix, Though Concerns Persist

by Taylor Williams January 10, 2020

Phoenix experienced 1.8 million square feet of absorption and an overall office vacancy rate dipping to 17 percent by the end of 2019. Now that the New Year is here, the city is poised to continue its positive progression as healthcare, science, technology and the professional office service sector continue to show steady employment growth. Arizona ranked third in the U.S. with 2.6 percent job creation, as of the third quarter of 2019. That’s 74,000 new jobs for the year, including 6,900 jobs in the science and technology sector and 14,000 new jobs in the recession-resistant healthcare sector. Companies are focused on finding cost-effective, business-friendly office environments and submarkets with access to top talent, and Phoenix checks all those boxes. Much of the state’s top talent is Millennials and Generation Z who are increasingly willing to move to lower cost of living cities that boast a high quality of life. Arizona ranked No. 1 in inbound state migration in 2018, with 273,714 inbound arrivals. We expect to see similar positive net migration numbers in 2019. The Census Bureau estimates that Phoenix will be the fourth most populous city in the U.S., with a population of 2.2 million, by the end …

January 10, 2020

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Missouri Multifamily

Dynamic St. Louis Multifamily Real Estate Market Is on a Roll

by Kristin Harlow January 9, 2020

The greater St. Louis metropolitan statistical area (MSA) includes the city of St. Louis, St. Louis County, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln, Warren and St. Charles County, as well as various counties in Illinois collectively known as the Metro East. The MSA ranks as the 21st largest in the country with a population of approximately 2.8 million residents and features many Fortune 500 and Fortune 1000 companies. St. Louis has a very diverse economy with the largest categories of employment base in transportation, utilities, education, healthcare, defense and professional/business services. The per capita income for approximately 1.5 million workers in the MSA is approximately $60,000 per year. With an unemployment rate of 3.6 percent, the MSA has had almost 11 quarters of sub-4 percent unemployment. In 2019 alone, payrolls across the MSA expanded 1.7 percent with a net gain of 23,100 jobs created. Of these, 1,500 jobs alone were created with the 2019 completion of Amazon’s first Missouri fulfillment center in St. Peters, which is a western suburb of St. Louis. Other major job creators include the 295-acre redevelopment project called Fenton Logistics Park in Fenton, which is at the forefront of transforming the logistics and manufacturing industries with 2.5 million square …

January 9, 2020

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