Market Reports

Investors Like Fairfield, Westchester Counties

by Taylor Williams January 8, 2020

With a unemployment rate of 3.9 percent, strong demographics, transportation that provides direct access to New York City and a highly skilled workforce, Westchester County is seeing steady investor interest across all major property types. We have seen significant interest from institutional investors, including pension fund advisors, insurance companies and REITs. This same buyer class has continued to underwrite increased rent growth in the more urban markets of Westchester County — Yonkers, New Rochelle, White Plains — ranging from 2.5 to 4.5 percent depending on occupancy and development pipeline within the local submarkets. This investor group is targeting yields of 5.5 to 6.5 percent in return on cost metrics and purchasing existing assets for cap rates ranging from 4.4 to 5.3 percent, depending on the age, location and upside of the transaction. That spread has historically been between 150 and 200 basis points. Given the need to put capital to work, the spread is now closer to 100 basis points, reflecting more aggressive pricing for the market. This trend is evident in the Westchester market with new construction projects in the transportation-oriented towns. In addition, interest rates have helped keep investors motivated to buy. Low yields have helped to keep …

January 8, 2020

District of Columbia Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Investment Demand Leveling off for D.C. Office Sector as Leasing Stays Lackluster

by Alex Tostado January 6, 2020

The office market in metropolitan Washington, D.C., is currently differentiated between a vigorous investment sales market and anemic leasing fundamentals. According to data from CoStar Group and Cushman & Wakefield, office investment sales have averaged $8.4 billion annually from 2014 to 2018 versus $5.5 billion annually from 2008 to 2013. Investment sales in the District have been dominated by Class A and trophy assets with little leasing risk, while demand is buoyed by foreign capital sources. In Northern Virginia, sales have trended toward core-plus and value-add investments led by domestic buyers seeking additional yield. Investors are more comfortable with leasing risk in Northern Virginia due to its robust job growth, a trend likely to continue given the jurisdiction’s comparative advantages in cloud computing, cybersecurity and internet infrastructure. Amazon’s selection of Crystal City for HQ2 and Amazon Web Services’ large block leasing in the Dulles Toll Road corridor are emblematic of these larger regional trends. However, there are signs that investment demand may have peaked for the current cycle. This year’s sales volume is the weakest in several years despite an influx of closings in September to beat Washington, D.C.’s increase to the transfer and recordation taxes from 2.9 percent to …

January 6, 2020

Arizona Market Reports Western Western Market Reports

City of Avondale Targets Growth in Multiple Sectors

by Taylor Williams January 4, 2020

The West Valley has a strong, talented workforce in the healthcare, finance, insurance and marketing industries, which has led to job growth increasing by 40 percent in the region, according to Westmarc. It’s no surprise that the West Valley City of Avondale, Ariz., located 15 minutes west of Downtown Phoenix, is experiencing pphenomenal growth. Much of this expansion is facilitated by Avondale’s location off two major freeways, including Interstate 10 and the Loop 101. The completion of the Fairway Drive interchange off I-10 in 2020 will only solidify the city’s growing reputation as a Southwest Valley hotspot. Avondale’s city council has also made economic development a top priority. The city’s economic development toolbox is filled with opportunities for developers who are looking to go West. Avondale boasts three Opportunity Zones, infill incentives, a Greater Maricopa Foreign Trade Zone and tax credits, among other economic development incentives. The city is working hard to make itself attractive to developers looking for a region with burgeoning growth and stable leadership. One such investor is the famous Chicago hot dog chain Portillo’s, which recently opened an 8,000-square-foot restaurant in Avondale. Other high-quality restaurants have been cropping up in the busy Gateway area around 99th …

January 4, 2020

Industrial Market Reports Texas Texas Market Reports

Pricing for Industrial Assets in Dallas Increases 20 Percent in 12 Months

by Taylor Williams December 31, 2019

Pricing for industrial distribution and warehouse properties has climbed in many U.S. markets over the past 12 months as investors have continued to focus on markets tied to large population centers and their connections to logistics and e-commerce spaces. According to an Avison Young Industrial Investment Review, prices in the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) market rose the most out of the major industrial markets reviewed, increasing 20 percent to $85 per square foot. Prices for DFW industrial assets rose more than those in New York/Northern New Jersey (15.9 percent to $167), Miami (14.8 percent to $140), Los Angeles (11.6 percent to $168), and California’s Inland Empire (7.5 percent to $123). The review analyzed data from Real Capital Analytics (RCA) from the fourth quarter of 2018 to the third quarter of 2019. Strong population growth in North Texas has generated demand for a wide range of industrial assets, including e-commerce, and has propelled DFW into the spotlight for global investors. The market benefits from solid infrastructure, with four major intermodal terminals and the massive DFW International Airport helping position it as one of the nation’s largest inland ports. The DFW industrial market is also supported by strong job growth, construction activity, absorption …

December 31, 2019

District of Columbia Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

D.C. a Hotspot for Multifamily Investors, Lenders as Absorption Ticks Up

by Alex Tostado December 30, 2019

Driven by increasing high-paying jobs, billions of dollars in public and private investment and healthy population growth, the Washington, D.C., metro area boasts a dynamic multifamily market with rebounding rent growth and stabilizing occupancy rates. Washington, D.C., gained 20,500 jobs in June and another 13,000 jobs in July, according to the District of Columbia Department of Employment Services. Additionally, D.C.’s population topped 700,000 for the first time since 1975. The Washington metropolitan area’s total population has climbed to more than 6 million, and more households mean more demand for apartments. These strong fundamentals have led to increased rent growth in the apartment sector. D.C.’s average net asking rate is $1,990 — up 1.7 percent, making it the sixth-fastest rent growth in the United States, according to Reis. The net asking rate increased for 10 consecutive quarters. Between now and year-end 2020, asking rents are expected to climb 2.5 percent and 3.6 percent by year-end 2021, Reis notes. The District’s apartment occupancy rate is currently 94 percent. In nearby suburban Maryland, rents rose 1.2 percent, and in Northern Virginia, 1.4 percent. Demand, supply in balance Although there was concern over an influx of new construction, multifamily product has been well-absorbed. The …

December 30, 2019

Hawaii Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

Government Services Keep Downtown Honolulu’s Office Market Humming

by Taylor Williams December 28, 2019

Honolulu’s office market has remained relatively unchanged for the past decade, but recent events have led to a dramatic shift in the direction of the Downtown submarket. Office vacancy rates in Downtown Honolulu have increased consistently in recent years, and steady leasing activity has led to declining vacancy. The Downtown office market is currently the tightest it has ever been. The vacancy rate in Downtown Honolulu decreased 70 basis points to 12.1 percent in the third quarter of 2019, which is the lowest vacancy rate for the submarket in more than nine years. The average gross asking rate in Downtown decreased slightly from $2.94 per square foot to $2.90 per square foot in third-quarter 2019. A significant amount of movement within the Downtown office market is driven by government need. The federal government, IRS, and city and county of Honolulu, as well as other engineering firms tied to civil projects, are some of the most active employers when it comes to leasing office space in the area. Non-governmental office-using job growth has stagnated in the past four years, which has hindered more growth in the overall office market. Unemployment statewide was at 2.7 percent for October 2019, according to Hawaii …

December 28, 2019

Market Reports Office Texas Texas Market Reports

Dallas, Fort Worth Office Markets See Strong Growth in Professional Services

by Taylor Williams December 27, 2019

The Dallas office market has changed drastically over the past 10 years. Though Far North Dallas has gotten its fair share of notoriety during this time (and justifiably so), the fundamentals of North Texas as a great place for business are sparking growth and activity across the market for established companies and those looking to relocate. Consider Las Colinas, which over the last few years has seen several major headquarter relocations, including large healthcare providers that have expanded or consolidated their regional workforces in this area. Currently, Dallas has 5.3 million square feet of Class A office product under construction, 2 million of which is in Las Colinas. In fact, since 2009, Las Colinas has added over 54,000 employees. That’s equivalent to a full Boeing 737 landing in Las Colinas every day for a year, unloading its passengers and everyone staying. Even with this remarkable influx of new jobs and our growing population, the competition for talent in Dallas remains fierce. Jason Savings, an economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, recently noted that we’re in the midst of a historically tight labor market, the likes of which haven’t been seen since 1969. The Irving–Las Colinas submarket leads the …

December 27, 2019

Hawaii Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

Expansion Continues in Hawaii’s Retail Market

by Taylor Williams December 27, 2019

Like so many markets nationally, the Hawaii retail real estate market was firmly in a state of flux in 2019. Despite more new vacancies than new openings — and limited new development — the Hawaii market held its own amidst challenging times. Investment sales demand and fundamentals remained strong, new and prominent retailers entered the market, and existing operators continued to expand and innovate. Last year brought both closings and openings to the Hawaii retail sector. Bucking historic trends, store closures outpaced new store openings. The closings that did occur were all related to corporate downsizing decisions, versus poor store performance by the Hawaii locations. Hawaii stores consistently post strong sales performances when compared to same-store national averages. In most instances, the Hawaii locations were the last to fold, given their consistently strong sales. Sears closed its 128,000-square-foot Windward Mall in Kaneohe, Oahu, in May. Kmart closed its last Hawaii location, a 119,000-square-foot store in Lihue, Kauai, in September. There are currently five vacant Kmart buildings and one vacant Sears location throughout the state. Early 2020 will follow suit, with the anticipated February closure of all seven Pier 1 stores on the islands. Brighter news included the return of Marshalls, …

December 27, 2019

District of Columbia Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Historic Level of Demand Meets Low Availability in Metro D.C. Industrial Market

by Alex Tostado December 23, 2019

As online shopping and a stack of newly delivered boxes by the door have become common in many American households, the behind-the-scenes institutional supports that make these habits possible have transformed the country’s real estate markets. The booming demand for data centers and last-mile staging for e-commerce is driving steady interest in industrial spaces, which shows no sign of waning. Since 2009, the industrial market has experienced 767 percent growth across the United States, surpassing retail to become the third ranked commercial real estate product type by sales volume. This sustained demand is outpacing limited availability, compressing capitalization rates to historic lows. In the metro Washington, D.C., area, there are a number of unique factors that contribute to this trend. High urban property values in the District itself have led to the conversion of a significant percentage of available warehouse space to other uses over the last decade, pushing industrial development into neighboring areas of Northern Virginia and Prince George’s County, Maryland. Many of the sites most easily suited for industrial purposes have already been developed, leaving higher barriers to entry and very few new options. As commercial businesses and government agencies adopt increasingly sophisticated technologies — like cloud computing, …

December 23, 2019

Hawaii Market Reports Multifamily Western Western Market Reports

Hawaii’s Rising Rents Continue to Support Multifamily Investment Interest

by Taylor Williams December 21, 2019

As one of the premier global tourist destinations in the world, the Hawaii market is dominated by condos and hotels. It is also home to mega investment deals. A review of Hawaii’s investment market over the past three years shows that the hotel industry has made up the following percentage of the top 10 deals for each year: • 91 percent in 2017 • 55 percent in 2018 • 23 percent in 2019 The total sales volume for these deals has also seen a decline from more than $1.5 billion in 2017 to less than $926 million in 2019 as a result of a decline in foreign investors. In case you’re wondering, yes, there are multifamily properties in Hawaii. In fact, apartment sales represented 37 percent of the total sales volume for the top 10 deals in 2018. The largest investment deal was the $540 million portfolio recapitalization of Project Europa on Ewa Beach in Oahu. This was larger than the $505 million Global Hyatt Portfolio sale, which included the Grand Wailea in Maui. Institutional sales in 2018 were in the range of $371,000 per unit to $395,000 per unit, with cap rates in the 4.5 percent to 5 percent …

December 21, 2019

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