While rumors of a looming recession dot the mainstream media landscape and pervade conversations at bars and water coolers, Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) and Austin are humming along with the kind of healthy job growth that reduces that talk to little more than a whisper. Growth in office-using sectors like tech, finance, engineering and business services in both the state’s capital and largest metropolis continues to fuel demand for space, push rents to new levels and drive price appreciation on office assets. According to CoStar Group, the Dallas area has added about 90,000 new jobs over the last 12 months, and currently boasts a 3.4 percent unemployment rate, which is lower than both the state and national averages. And based on the most current data from the Austin Chamber of Commerce, payrolls in the state capital grew by about 23,000 between June 2018 and June 2019, while unemployment currently sits below 3 percent. While strong population growth is enough to jumpstart development and absorption in the multifamily, industrial and retail sectors, it’s pure job growth that drives the office space. So it’s not a bad time to be an owner of core properties in desirable submarkets in both cities. But these …
Market Reports
New Orleans (also known as Crescent City, The Big Easy and NOLA) is unique in many ways. The cuisine, architecture and music all set the city apart, but for the real estate industry, the geography is most important. In fact, it’s uniqueness among the great Southern cities is that the Mississippi River, Lake Pontchartrain and the wetlands to the east and west have created a barrier to entry unlike any other multifamily market in the country. These factors have limited development to a select few urban sites and redevelopment of historic structures. Garden-style product has been primarily confined to St. Tammany Parish located north of Lake Pontchartrain. The parish has an abundance of land as well as the demographic profile to support new market-rate construction. The multifamily market in metro New Orleans is further strengthened by the positive economic growth the city has experienced. The local and regional economies continue to see growth in the following sectors: energy, advanced manufacturing, international trade, healthcare, education, bio-science, tourism and technology. One example is DXC Technology’s new Digital Transformation Center located in downtown New Orleans. This new employer will create 2,000 well-paying jobs and provide further stability to the downtown multifamily market. The …
Once a bedroom community largely overshadowed by its Las Vegas neighbor, the City of Henderson is thriving. With a population of more than 300,000, Henderson recently surpassed Reno to become the second-largest city in Nevada. Henderson’s employment rates have been steadily rising, according to the city’s latest economic update. The city’s employment was at 144,000 last year and has risen to 153,800 in 2019. Henderson accounted for about 11 percent of all jobs in the Las Vegas Valley in 2018, according to labor market analytics company Emsi. Company leaders are also seeing the competitive advantage of growing a presence in Henderson. This has spurred relocations and start-ups in the area. Vinotemp, a leading wine storage solutions and appliance provider, recently relocated its Southern California headquarters to Henderson. The company’s new headquarters is more than 118,000 square feet, making Vinotemp the largest wine cabinet and cooling solutions provider in the nation. A major element in the high cost of doing business in California is the cost of operating in an office space. There is a stark contrast in the price per square foot for office spaces when comparing Southern California and Henderson. For example, the average per square foot for office …
Southern California’s Inland Empire region has enjoyed a sustained period of growth in the retail real estate sector. Good spaces in quality centers are leasing quickly. Although new developments have slowed, there is still about 1.2 million square feet of new space under construction. These are all top-tier projects that will very much enhance the communities where they are being built. Projects include a Sprouts-anchored center in Eastvale, a Grocery Outlet/Planet Fitness center in Beaumont, an Aldi-anchored center in Hesperia, a Stater Bros. center in Calimesa, AMC Theaters at Montclair Place in Montclair and a Cardenas grocery market center in Montclair. Conversely, apart from the Inland Empire, there are likely few other areas that were as impacted by the recent store closure announcements from Sears and Forever 21. Closings will occur in Montclair, San Bernardino, Victorville, Moreno Valley, Palm Desert, Riverside, Temecula and Rancho Mirage. All told, more than 900,000 square feet of big box space just hit the market. The Inland Center Mall in San Bernardino, which has been a very healthy property over the past few years, is dealing with both a Sears and Forever 21 closure. Macy’s and JC Penney (opened in 2016) still remain at the …
Office vacancies are falling across the big metros of the Northeast as robust user demand outpaces the supply of new construction. Deliveries in the last year have primarily been limited to Class A, build-to-suit properties and mixed-use developments. Meanwhile, office tenants are seeking high-end amenities at favorable prices. Nationally, the office vacancy rate stood at 16.8 percent in the second quarter, up slightly from 16.6 percent a year ago, according to real estate research firm Reis. Net absorption for the quarter totaled 3.2 million square feet, down from 3.9 million square feet a year ago. The average asking rent was $33.79 per square foot, up 2.2 percent on a year-over-year basis. Approximately 11.1 million square feet of office space was under construction at the end of the second quarter across Philadelphia, New York and Boston, according to CoStar Group. Helped by approximately 8.3 million square feet of absorption in the second quarter, the average vacancy rate across all three markets was 8.1 percent. Rather than undertake costly new ground-up construction projects, many developers are choosing to redevelop existing assets and efficiently incorporate office space into mixed-use projects. Coworking tenants occupied 54.2 million square feet of office space nationally at the …
In the words of Marilyn Monroe, “Sometimes good things fall apart so better things can fall together.” The retail market forges ahead in its quest to essentially reinvent itself in response to the ever-increasing growth in online sales. This revitalization is characterized by decreasing the footprint of their brick and mortar stores and expanding the size of their e-commerce fulfillment centers. Fortunately, the biggest beneficiary of this growing trend is the industrial market. There’s been a lot of talk about retailers suffering from the boom in internet sales. Quite frankly, do you really believe a retailer cares if they sell their product in a storefront or through the internet and their e-commerce delivery system? I contend they do not care as long as it is their product being sold. The retailers that do not embrace internet sales, in conjunction with their in-store sales, will be going the way of companies like Toys “R” Us — losing sales and eventually closing down because they are not able to compete in today’s online world. The competition between e-commerce delivery systems has heated up even further due to “just in time” or last-mile delivery. Customer expectation on some items is shifting from two-day …
With the major markets of Texas adding thousands of new apartments every year, multifamily management firms are increasingly relying on technology to accelerate leasing activity, grow renewal rates and handle requests from tenants — all in the name of keeping their properties competitive and their investor clients happy. As beneficiaries of strong job and population growth throughout this cycle, Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW), Houston and Austin have all watched their multifamily supply levels increase. According to CoStar Group, DFW, a national leader in apartment development, has added more than 20,000 units per year in each of the last three years. Houston has also seen its supply of multifamily product grow over the past several years as natural population growth has worked to offset hiring slumps brought on by depressed energy prices. Austin and San Antonio are also facing demand for more housing via the strong population growth occurring throughout the region. Multifamily supply growth means that renters have more options on where to live and can afford to be more selective, not only with regard to rental rates, but also in terms of services. To the latter point, management professionals have taken on an added element of customer service that …
As we enter the last quarter of 2019, well into the longest economic expansion in history, the Atlanta retail real estate market is healthy and active, with multi-year retail rent and occupancy growth. The city’s retail investment sales volume totaled $2.2 billion in 2018, making it the eighth most active retail investment market in the country. Not a gateway market, yet In my career, Atlanta has always been a “non-institutional” market, and has stayed largely off the radar of deep pools of institutional capital aimed at New York, Boston, San Francisco and other gateway cities with deeper economies, higher rents, lower cap rates and higher values. Nevertheless Atlanta’s population, GDP and growth make it the undisputed capital of the Southeast by a country mile. The metro’s shopping centers have benefitted from this paradox: it has the biggest economy in the South and is among the top metros in the nation for employment and population growth. However, its average rents are lower and its average retail cap rates are higher than almost every one of its peers in the Southeast and the United States at large. Despite the overblown narrative of the retail apocalypse and despite how or when the current …
The Inland Empire industrial market signaled that it may be transitioning toward slower growth in the second half of the year. Leasing volume declined sharply to nearly 7.8 million square feet, which is the lowest volume seen in a single quarter since 2011. New construction deliveries pushed the average rent to the highest level on record — $0.86 per square foot. Of the 13.7 million square feet completed year to date, 32 percent remained available at the end of the quarter. Despite the deliveries, vacancy remained steady at 4.5 percent since the third quarter of 2018, proving demand for industrial space in the Inland Empire is still present. The U.S. economy may be facing a drop off after climbing steadily for the past 10 years. The trade war and tariffs are undoubtedly influencing the ports’ cargo volume, which supports industrial demand in the Inland Empire. Retailers usually prepare for increased sales during the holiday season by increasing imports in July and August. However, imports through August 2019 were down 2.4 percent from 2018. Imports had increased 3.1 percent last year at this time. The U.S. is dependent on imported goods, though, so cargo volume is unlikely to take a significant …
The Inland Empire has experienced a significant uptick in multifamily development in the past decade. We are currently seeing a healthy shift toward more units being developed, which is driven by substantial regional economic growth in the years following the recession. Multifamily development has grown from less than 2,000 units annually in 2009 to more than 5,000 units developed this year. The Inland Empire has one of the highest imbalances of housing in comparison to significant population growth and increasing renters’ demand, according to CBRE research. The Inland Empire market currently has 15 developments with a total of 3,445 units under construction. Significant developments are taking place in key cities like Ontario and Rancho Cucamonga. This is partially driven by the nearby Ontario International Airport, as well as Ontario’s position as a major logistics, warehousing and shipping hub. Market rents support the much-needed new supply. The City of Riverside currently has 595 units under construction. Riverside has the highest population in the Inland Empire, with consistent population growth over the past decade. An additional 391 units are under construction in Moreno Valley, which is also buoyed by its growth as a regional logistic center, with new industrial warehouse development adding …