Northern California’s multifamily market has a strong development pipeline right now, but after 2020, it drops off dramatically. There is an increasingly toxic political climate in California, with measures like AB 1482 and the revival of Prop 10, which will likely throw a wrench in any planned development beyond 2020. Some of the most notable projects currently underway include Brooklyn Basin’s Orion in Oakland. The first 241 units out of a planned 3,700 have been completed. Brooklyn Basin is a $1.5 billion project that is reshaping the Oakland waterfront and transforming the area into a new, vibrant neighborhood. In San Jose, the area around the proposed Google downtown campus is also on everyone’s radar. The majority of current Bay Area development is concentrated in Oakland and Santa Clara County, with the latter currently experiencing a 4.57 percent vacancy rate. Market fundamentals, including proximity to jobs and a more welcoming environment toward multifamily development have attracted developers and renters alike to these two places. Developers Carmel Partner, Hanover and Holland have been particularly active in Oakland, as of late. Current conditions in Northern California have produced a tenant’s market, with an abundance of new units coming online at once. We are …
Developers of self-storage properties in major Texas cities are consciously putting the brakes on new construction as they wait for excess supply to be absorbed and for positive rent growth to return to the market. The market has been moving in this direction for some time. While property owners have generally maintained occupancy rates that meet pro forma thresholds for profitability, rent growth has been and will likely remain stunted. Supply growth has led to competitors cannibalizing each other’s market shares. In addition, ever-rising construction costs and a dwindling inventory of buildable sites are also governing the pace of new self-storage development. While certain pockets of developable sites still exist here and there, lenders and equity providers have also taken note of the saturated landscape and are tightening their purse strings for self-storage projects. “With respect to major markets, there’s no question that the pipeline is thinning out, and for projects that haven’t yet started construction, probably half of those proposed won’t come to fruition during this cycle,” says Bill Brownfield, owner of Brownfield & Associates, the Houston-based branch of industry-tracking firm Argus Self-Storage. “Markets are largely stabilized in terms of occupancy. But rent concessions and discounts have not only …
Northern California’s retail real estate market is undergoing somewhat of a seismic shift. Traditional shopping centers, such as Serramonte Mall in Daly City and Hillsdale Mall in San Mateo, are seeing name-brand retailers like Payless Shoesource, Gymboree and Charlotte Russe closing stores. This has dictated a recalibration in leasing strategy. , These “prime” retail spaces are often successfully backfilled by business and lifestyle tenants like professional service firms, fitness centers, coffee shops, restaurants and entertainment centers — the sort of businesses that can regain foot traffic. This trend toward more lifestyle and entertainment tenants — often called experiential retail — can also be seen in the region’s vibrant market for new mixed-use developments. Multifamily communities in San Francisco, Cupertino, Santa Clara and Oakland will be delivered in the coming months. Many of these projects are urban infill, transit-oriented developments, which naturally offer strong street-level retail locations. In this setting, experiential retail works well for apartment residents and local foot traffic. Nearly 6 million square feet of new office has been proposed in downtown San Jose, which is driving strong retail interest from new restaurants and service retail. Vacancy rates for retail properties throughout the Bay Area have ticked up slightly, …
As a team, we work heavily in mixed-use leasing and development sourcing. Our team handles the commercial leasing on many mixed-use projects within the Twin Cities market, where we also source and find locations for mixed-use apartment developers. This article will give a current snapshot of the mixed-use retail and apartment market within the Twin Cities. What types of projects? There are many three- to six-story, podium-style apartment buildings popping up all over the urban areas of Minneapolis-St. Paul. This product type can also be found in the suburbs. The first floor, or the podium, is constructed out of concrete and allows for up to five additional floors. This is very prevalent in our market and we don’t see this changing soon. However, advanced timber construction is just starting to show itself in the Twin Cities. The mid-rise and high-rise multifamily buildings are mostly contained to the urban core areas. These projects are all concrete construction. It took up until the last five years or so to see major grocers occupy the first floor. We have observed many examples of this and have worked with some of the large nationals as well as larger, local grocers. Mixed-use does not appear …
A strong, vibrant urban core is vital to the success of the entire metropolitan region, and although currently struggling to regain its footing in some critical areas, Baltimore City will eventually return to prominence in the eyes of international investors, CEOs and the general public. Local stakeholders retain confidence in the city based on its strong fundamentals, including nationally renown hospitals, an impressive labor force (a recent CBRE survey ranked Baltimore City as the No. 11 U.S. market for tech talent) and proximity to the Nation’s Capital and continued federal government spending. The city’s infrastructure, led by Interstate 95, the Port of Baltimore and Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport (BWI), is among the most highly regarded across the country. There is an overall uptick in leasing and development activity in 2019, with an emphasis on mixed-use communities with an “engaging story to tell” based on the projects design, location or both. Baltimore City inches forward Ground was officially broken on the first phase of Port Covington, the $5.5 billion mega-project planned on a 235-acre waterfront parcel in south Baltimore that is expected to be anchored by the new Under Armour headquarters. This inaugural section will include 1.3 million square feet …
As we look toward the end of 2019, multifamily investment sales and mortgage banking transactions in the greater Philadelphia market are at an all-time high. For lifelong Philadelphians, it’s exciting to witness the area’s longstanding foundation successfully take shape through numerous real estate projects in the city and its suburbs. The Philadelphia multifamily market continues to capture interest from a variety of capital sources. Berkadia’s Philadelphia team alone has $4.3 billion in firm or funded transactions from January through August of this year. Specifically, institutional investors have demonstrated an increased interest in this market, as both national and international players continue to recognize the area’s relative value and sound fundamentals. We expect these trends to continue throughout the remainder of 2019 and into next year, regardless of any major headwinds at the macro-economic level. The driving forces behind Philadelphia’s success include a robust volume of new Class A developments, a more tactful approach to value-add deals, marketplace efficiencies and most of all, a continued demand for multifamily product. The market’s new Class A properties have been well-received in terms of leasing velocity. More construction capital is available than in years past; top-of-the-market rent discovery has generally proven out. In addition, …
In 2019, Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW) once again represents the nation’s top metro for job creation and net migration. These market conditions are occurring at an opportune time as more than 26,000 multifamily units have been completed throughout the market this year, marking a record wave of annual deliveries. This influx of new apartments will increase the metro’s rental inventory by 3.3 percent, yet robust demand for new supply allows net absorption to match delivery volume, lowering overall vacancy by 20 basis points. Prolonged Absorption Over the past three years ending in June, DFW’s apartment stock expanded by 10 percent, or 74,000 units, yet vacancy adjusted moderately during this period. Unit availability hovered in the high-4 to high-5 percent range, with demand supported by the creation of 400,000 jobs, robust in-migration and the widening gap between a monthly mortgage payment and average rent. The extended period of strong leasing velocity was highlighted by the second quarter of 2019, when a record 12,000 apartments were absorbed. Performance during this three-month stretch lowered vacancy by 90 basis points on a quarter-over-quarter basis. With employment growth slated to further improve during the second half of this year — the result of corporate relocations and …
Class A product is going off the market fast in Northern California’s industrial basin. Older product is sitting on the market longer, while mid-sized spaces are still the East Bay’s bread and butter. Net absorption has been pegged on a negative trend due to new construction and the volume of deals slowing down. Certain products are giving concessions to compete with newer product, while some landlords are trying to push the market limits to see how heavy tenant’s pockets really are. Several significant leases were signed in the East Bay during the second quarter of 2019. The largest deal of the quarter belonged to Service West, a furniture installer that signed a renewal and expansion totaling 252,021 square feet in San Leandro at 2350 Williams Street. Javelin Logistics, a logistics and distribution provider, also inked a new lease for 134,279 square feet at 7091 Central Ave. in Newark. Confluent Medical had the largest research and development deal of the second quarter, totaling 65,385 square feet. The material science tech company renewed at 47513 Westinghouse Drive in Fremont. The most significant investment sale of the second quarter occurred at 44100 and 44200 Osgood Road in Fremont. This is where Western Digital …
With all the changes occurring in retail over the past decade, the industry, as a whole, is being transformed before our eyes. These shifts have impacted how new retail development is taking place throughout the Phoenix area. It is also driving a significant change to how retail developers will operate over the next decade. The operational changes are dramatically affecting the prototypes of retailers. These changes are making it necessary for some retailers to relocate from an inline space at the back of a center to an outparcel with street-front visibility. It becomes even more complicated as more and more tenants are demanding a drive-thru. Panera Bread, Chipotle and Starbucks are just a few examples of retailers that have revised their real estate requirements to accommodate a drive-thru. Many retailers are also consolidating their total number of stores or downsizing their traditional physical footprint, which is also impacting centers. Some chains have even waved the white flag and closed their business altogether. These changes are driving the design of new retail projects throughout Phoenix. While the traditional configurations of regional malls, power centers and neighborhood shopping centers will always be a staple, the retailer’s shift to be up front and …
Multifamily rental demand in Metro Phoenix has been supported by higher education, while job growth has bolstered construction in the core and neighboring suburbs. Arizona State University has transformed the multifamily properties surrounding its large campuses in Tempe, Downtown Phoenix, Glendale and Mesa. The multifamily rental assets in the West Valley submarket have also been rejuvenated by Grand Canyon University. Thanks to these institutions and several others in the Greater Phoenix area, the growing skilled labor force has benefitted from job growth by supporting several Fortune 500 companies that have continued to increase their presence throughout the region. The recent expansions allow more graduates to remain in the Phoenix area and attract many new professionals to the market, ultimately enhancing rental demand in Phoenix and its neighboring suburbs. The rising number of residences has compressed vacancy rates in the metro as thousands of units are absorbed annually. This market demand will support the continued rise in rental prices and spur apartment development in the upcoming years. Apartment development has continued its strong pace in Phoenix. The metro is expanding its rental supply with about 8,250 units finalizing in 2019. Of this year’s deposit, roughly 2,600 units will be added to …