Market Reports

No Slowdown in Demand for Industrial Space

by Taylor Williams April 9, 2019

The combined forces of population growth, increased online shopping and demand for last-mile fulfillment centers are driving development of and investment in industrial assets in major markets. Natural population growth translates to more aggregate demand and consumption of goods and services. The rise of e-commerce has guaranteed that a growing percentage of those products will be ordered online and delivered to end users within a few days, hence the need for more fulfillment and distribution facilities near major population centers. The metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) of Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) and Houston are home to a combined 13 million or so people and counting. Both MSAs have seen major upticks in industrial development over the last several years while also posting record absorption numbers. And despite some vast differences between the industries and users driving demand in DFW and Houston, both markets reflect how sweeping changes in consumer behavior have elevated the fundamentals of their industrial real estate inventories. Regardless how different their economies are, demand for space in both markets should remain robust in 2019. By The Numbers According to CoStar Group, DFW posted positive net absorption of approximately 20 million square feet in 2018, a year in which inventory …

April 9, 2019

Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Corporate Relocations, Coworking Concepts Reshape Nashville’s Office Market

by Alex Tostado April 8, 2019

The Nashville office market continues to have positive momentum coming into 2019, following three years of record-setting leasing that brought several big name corporate tenants to the market — plus a recent surprise announcement that Amazon will soon be adding 5,000 employees to Nashville’s central business district (CBD) within the Nashville Yards development. The bulk of the activity is concentrated in CBD Class A office space, as tenants focus on real estate decisions that emphasize recruiting and employee retention. This trend mirrors activity occurring in many major markets across the country. Companies continue to seek the coveted urban work-live-play environments designed to attract the millennial population. Avison Young research shows that the CBD recorded 255,330 square feet of positive net absorption at year-end 2018. Among the large companies that signed notable leases in the urban core in 2018 are Philips, AllianceBernstein and Asurion, which is adding 400 tech employees and consolidating several locations into a new 550,000-square-foot headquarters at 11th Avenue North and Church Street in the Gulch. Construction is scheduled to begin this year on that headquarters, with completion slated by the end of 2021. Nashville’s strong business climate and robust office leasing activity have caught the attention of …

April 8, 2019

Market Reports Restaurant Retail Texas Texas Market Reports

Originality, Variety Define Success in Austin’s Restaurant Scene

by Taylor Williams April 5, 2019

Austin’s retail and restaurant market is rapidly becoming one of the hippest and most dynamic scenes in the country, as new concepts are flocking to the state capital in lockstep with its remarkable job and population growth. The push by both new and established retailers and restaurants to grab a piece of the Austin pie has driven the city’s retail occupancy rate to roughly 93 percent. Annual rent growth has exceeded 10 percent at Class A properties in submarkets such as the Central Business District (CBD) and East Austin. But while demand for retail and restaurant space in Austin’s urban core is at an all-time high, so too are rates of turnover among these users. A Gentrified Market The driving factors behind these trends are fairly straightforward. Buoyed by the still-surging job growth in the tech industry, the median age of Austin’s population is getting lower, currently sitting at about 34 years. Many of these residents have high-paying jobs, are new to the city and are eager to take advantage of its thriving food, beverage and entertainment options. The gentrification of some of Austin’s historic neighborhoods is well underway and expected to continue in the near future as tech giants …

April 5, 2019

Affordable Housing Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Multifamily Ohio

The Columbus Way: Collaboration Is Key to Delivering Affordable Housing

by Kristin Harlow April 4, 2019

Columbus, Ohio’s exploding population growth and strong economy are reflected in a red-hot housing market. Each weekend, open house signs dominate intersection corners. It is hard to miss big splashy billboards announcing new market-rate apartment complexes along our major I-70 and I-71 corridors. Last spring, Realtor.com named Columbus as the fourth-hottest housing market in the country. The bad news is our housing supply is not keeping up with demand. In fact, the Building Industry Association of Central Ohio notes that by 2050, when we’ll have a predicted 500,000 new jobs and 1 million new residents, a general housing shortfall of 43 percent will occur if we continue on our current building rate of 8,000 new units per year. We need 14,000 units for all incomes per year to keep up. Affordable housing gap An affordable housing crisis runs even deeper. Columbus’ booming housing market widens the gap for residents seeking affordable, safe and decent homes. Low- and moderate-income working families desperately need greater access to affordable housing near our city’s job centers. Service jobs abound in and around the city core, but most of our urban neighborhoods are quickly gentrifying, and rents have spiked due to their appeal to higher …

April 4, 2019

Market Reports Massachusetts Northeast Northeast Market Reports Retail

Entertainment, Grocery Sectors Expand in Greater Boston Retail Market

by David Cohen April 3, 2019

The greater Boston retail market experienced a substantial rise in the vacancy rate to 9.5 percent through June 2018, reflecting an 11.3 percent increase in unoccupied space, compared to a level of 8.6 percent in 2017. At the same time, total inventory ended the year at 196 million square feet, a gain of 1 percent, nearly the same square footage as the increase in vacant space. This resulted in a nominal negative absorption rate of only 21,900 square feet. A considerable number of large format store closings and chain liquidations were responsible for the disappointing outcome, which could have been even worse without a significant number of retail conversions to non-retail space cushioning the impact. The retailer gaining the most retail space in the region was Wegmans, adding a two-level store at Natick Mall and a second unit at the redeveloped Meadow Glen in Medford. In second place was 7-Eleven, completing its brand conversion from Tedeschi Food Shops, which it acquired in 2015. Market Basket rounded out the top three, adding new stores in Lynn and Fall River. By number of new units, 7-Eleven added 68, the most of any retailer. Metro PCS was a distant second, adding 16 stores …

April 3, 2019

Market Reports Mixed-Use Texas Texas Market Reports

Making ‘Live, Work, Play’ A Reality

by Taylor Williams April 2, 2019

Mixed-use properties come in all shapes, sizes and locations, but developers say the most effective projects are those that transform multi-use real estate developments into unique destinations with vibrant social scenes. In Texas’ biggest markets, robust job and population growth have bolstered demand for more apartments and hotels, as well as office, retail and restaurant space. But it takes a developer that understands human psychology and social behaviors to successfully combine three or more of these uses into a final product that receives equal levels of demand for each use. To that end, the “live, work, play” notion has become a catchphrase that to some extent figures into the branding and marketing campaigns of virtually every mixed-use project that comes out of the ground. However, the developments that become real hubs for social gathering, new experiences and the general passing of time are those in which uses complement one another, and in which the site supports all uses evenly. “The concept behind ‘mixed-use’ — a smaller environment where uses aren’t as clearly separated and people conduct their home, work and entertainment lives in the same place — really defines how people live in many other parts of the world,” says …

April 2, 2019

Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Job Creation in Middle Tennessee Sparks Rise in Demand for Multifamily

by Alex Tostado April 1, 2019

In 2018, Nashville continued experiencing unprecedented population growth. Major job announcements, rising home prices and income growth have led to a shift in renters-by-choice. This has continued to transform our urban core and has had an immense impact on various industries within the city. On the investment side, multifamily assets in the market demonstrated some notable pricing trends through year-end 2018. The median price per unit in Nashville increased by more than 14 percent from fourth-quarter 2017 to fourth-quarter 2018, reaching $145,000 compared to $117,000 in the Southeast and $162,000 across the nation. This comparison demonstrates how Nashville is a highly valued market in the Southeast but remains attractive from a pricing standpoint to national investors looking to acquire quality product. What was an increasingly concessionary environment in 2017 and 2018, the Nashville multifamily market will tighten throughout 2019. Large-scale job announcements like AllianceBernstein, Amazon and Ernst & Young will bring thousands of jobs to Middle Tennessee. These announcements will help ensure that the recent trend of high absorption will continue through the year. Demand in Nashville has been strong relative to the historical average, but supply has outperformed demand in the past year due to new construction of much-needed …

April 1, 2019

Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

Addressing Increasing Demand in Austin’s Apartment Market

by Taylor Williams March 29, 2019

The Austin apartment market is currently experiencing significant growth. Increasing demand is driving more intensive development and developers are addressing tenants’ desire for a better experience. The result is the development of communities that capitalize on space to the fullest extent. Architects are providing extremely detailed designs of common area “living experiences” before properties are constructed. Examples of such designs include the final positioning of equipment in fitness centers, pool/cabana layouts, rooftop lounges and Zen gardens that are thoughtfully and efficiently planned to maximize the effect while being cost-conscious. The importance of garage layouts and identifying necessary parking needed has increased as we become more dependent on ride-sharing services like Uber and Lyft, as well as Lime and Bird scooters to move around the city. Job, Population Growth The key to the success of new developments and long-term investments is the ongoing population and job growth, future projections of which remain extremely positive. Austin enjoys a prime age (25 to 34) rental percentage that reportedly exceeds 30 percent, approximately 44 percent higher than the national average of 20.9 percent. Additionally, we must take into consideration locals opting to move from single-family homes to rental communities in favor of more services …

March 29, 2019

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Minnesota Multifamily

Twin Cities’ Apartment Market Poised for a Strong 2019

by Kristin Harlow March 28, 2019

The Twin Cities apartment market is historically characterized by high occupancy and minimal volatility, with consistent and solid year-over-year rent increases, minimal concessions and a sustained vacancy rate well below 5 percent. As a result, there is abundant interest from investors and lenders alike to place capital in the Twin Cities. The lending environment for Twin Cities’ apartment owners appears poised for another great run in 2019, with all lender types having a large appetite to place capital in the market. Agency lenders Agency lenders (Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and HUD) have been extremely active, and that will not change. Their allocations remain high, and all agencies are expected to compete aggressively for business. Additionally, there is an increased focus on products catering to affordable and workforce housing, not only for existing properties, but in providing loan commitments and locked interest rates for takeout financing for affordable or workforce housing projects. The agency reach extends geographically to secondary and tertiary out-of-state markets as well, with minimal impact on underwriting standards. Agency lenders are able to provide relatively high leverage, longer-term, nonrecourse financing for all classes of apartments. Their ability to offer partial or full-term interest-only payments is a significant …

March 28, 2019

Market Reports North Carolina Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Raleigh-Durham’s Retail Market Reaches Healthy Supply-Demand Balance

by Alex Tostado March 25, 2019

The Raleigh and overall Triangle retail markets ended 2018 in a strong position with several large sites changing hands, urban growth booming in the downtowns, numerous suburban ground-up projects in the pipeline and traditional malls undergoing major transitions. The market is poised to see retail construction activity grow with a healthy balance of supply and demand, despite national brick-and-mortar retail industry challenges. The Triangle vacancy rate ended the year with a vacancy rate below 7 percent, which represents strong improvement from the end of 2017, even with accounting for the large-scale closing and downsizings in the Triangle. Positive absorption over the past year has included re-leasing 12 Kroger stores, two Gander Mountains, five hhgregg stores and several other significant box vacancies. Fierce grocery competition and continued pressure on “in-store” sales have caused retailers, owners and developers to rethink and recreate the retail experience and development landscape. Downtown urban centers Rapid multifamily and housing gentrification in the downtowns of Raleigh and Durham continue to push mixed-use and high-street retail. With residential and employment densification occurring, Raleigh has experienced several first-time retail events in 2018. Morgan Street Food Hall and Urban Outfitters opened in the Warehouse District, Publix is under construction on …

March 25, 2019

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