The current pace of development and absorption of manufacturing and warehousing space in El Paso reveals just how closely the local economy is linked to that of its sister city across the border, Ciudad Juárez. Mexico’s maquiladora system allows foreign companies to produce and export materials to that company’s home country, largely on a duty- and tariff-free basis. When the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was passed in the mid-1990s, maquiladora activity saw its largest historical increase while still facing considerable competition from China for foreign investment. But when American manufacturers realized that outsourcing production to China didn’t translate to more efficient supply chains, they once again looked toward Mexico, which also boasted strong supplies of affordable labor. With the United States now locked in a trade dispute with China, the economic development initiatives offered by the current Mexican Presidential Administration and the threat of a drastically renegotiated NAFTA agreement having passed, American companies are beginning to return to Mexico. Ciudad Juárez is among the Mexican cities benefitting most from this activity, and it is translating to greater demand for storage and distribution space in El Paso. Many maquiladora companies count end users in southwestern U.S. markets as significant …
Market Reports
Seeking higher yield, private capital multifamily investors are increasingly looking to the Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Chesapeake MSA. This region of seven cities and a population of more than 1.7 million people is known collectively as Hampton Roads. Strong fundamentals, a youthful population and an expanding economy offer more promising returns than most surrounding MSAs. Compressing cap rates Over the last 12 months, cap rates compressed nationwide. In Hampton Roads, Class A cap rates ranged between 5.25 and 5.50 percent. There is very little spread between Class A and going-in cap rates for well located, true value-add deals. Notable recent sales include the Waypoint Portfolio in Newport News, Trail Creek in Hampton and Brookfield and Woodshire in Virginia Beach. Collectively, cap rates for these transactions ranged from 5.50 to 5.75 percent. Transaction volume in 2018 exceeded $665 million. With deals in the MSA now trading as high as $70 million a piece, more private equity groups nationwide are seeking to invest in the market. Strong fundamentals Fundamentals in Hampton Roads continue to improve with steady year-over-year rent growth and occupancy near 95 percent. With numerous MSAs battling oversupply and concessionary pressures, Hampton Roads apartment owners benefit from a more modest development pipeline. CoStar …
It’s not often that a single project captures an office market’s growth and evolution over a 40-year period. But that is precisely what’s happening in El Paso. WestStar Tower, a 19-story, Class A building, is the first project of its kind to be built in El Paso in 40 years since the 415,000-square-foot Stanton Tower was constructed for El Paso Natural Gas. With co-developers Hunt Cos. and WestStar Bank beginning vertical construction of the 262,000-square-foot building last summer, El Paso’s skyline is set to change considerably upon its completion in late 2020. The symbolism of WestStar Tower to El Paso is not unlike the relationship between Frost Tower and San Antonio, another city that was starved of major Class A office development throughout the 1990s and 2000s. With both cities experiencing steady job growth from local expansions and new relocations, developers of quality office product are viewing these markets in new lights. El Paso is also getting younger. According to recent research from El Paso’s economic development department, roughly 40 percent of the city’s 838,000 residents are under the age of 40. The median age is 31 and the city ranks in the Top 10 in terms of its appeal …
Remarkable. It’s the word that continues to pop up in interviews and conversations relating to the present transformation occurring in Omaha’s downtown area. If you think you might be experiencing déjà vu, it’s likely because you are. After all, it wasn’t that long ago when the same word was being used to describe the transformation that took place in downtown Omaha 10 to 15 years ago. It was at that time that approximately $2.5 billion was invested in Omaha’s downtown through a combination of public and private developments. Omaha introduced a laundry list of new buildings and projects, including the city’s new arena and convention center (presently branded the CHI Health Center), TD Ameritrade Park (the home of College World Series), the 45-story First National Bank Tower, the National Park Service Building, Gallup Organization’s operational headquarters, Union Pacific’s 1.1 million-square-foot headquarters, The Holland Performing Arts Center, Roman L. Hruska Federal Courthouse and The Bob Kerrey Pedestrian Bridge. That was remarkable. What could be so “remarkable” about the current downtown Omaha transformation? The answer is a redevelopment of the Gene Leahy Pedestrian Mall as part of the $300 million Riverfront Revitalization project. You might be thinking $300 million doesn’t sound remarkable …
Strengthening office performance in the northern New Jersey marketplace signals good things to come as 2019 unfolds. The market yielded approximately 292,000 square feet of net occupancy gains in 2018. This was fueled by three straight quarters of more than 1 million square feet in new leasing activity, with annual demand finishing 15.4 percent ahead of 2017. This progress runs parallel to improving employment numbers. At year-end, the Garden State unemployment rate registered at 4 percent, its lowest point since mid-2001. This marks a 70-basis-point decline year-over-year, with private-sector employment increasing by almost 62,000 jobs. Within this context, the diversity of New Jersey’s tenant mix is making itself apparent. No one sector is predominantly making waves. We are seeing healthy Class A leasing activity among life sciences, technology, financial, professional services and a range of other space users that comprise the state’s balanced occupier base. Last year was proof that both urban and suburban submarkets continue to thrive. Where one company prefers the Hudson Waterfront with immediate access to mass transit and ability to draw talent from New York City, another may seek a suburban campus that draws upon a labor force of commuters driving from the state’s western counties …
If you had to sum up the El Paso multifamily market — and to some degree the entire city — in word, it would be “steady.” Though El Paso’s location ensures that impacts of political policies with Mexico can cause immediate disruption in the economy, our commercial real estate markets remain insulated from this activity. Even so, as the city’s jobs and population have grown in tandem with the national economic expansion, El Paso has not yet experienced a true building boom of Class A multifamily product. The city is seeing its renter base become more gentrified, particularly on the west side. In addition, developers in El Paso face the same rising construction costs as builders in other markets. The citywide vacancy rate, which currently stands at about 8 percent, is slowly declining while average asking rents are creeping up. These economic and demographic trends suggest the ceiling for new development of Class A multifamily product in El Paso is quite high. Absorption of new units has remained consistent during this cycle, but as things currently stand, there are only a couple hundred units under construction. Retail Influence Retail frequently follows rooftops, but in El Paso, the two seem to …
The industrial real estate sector is currently undergoing one of the greatest expansionary periods in the nation’s history. Record development, all-time high occupancy and rental rates and strong leasing activity have been a boon to the U.S. industrial market in the last two years. In addition to these fundamental elements that make up a strong sector, there has been a demand driver that has transformed the industrial market more now than ever: e-commerce. Amazon is now the largest industrial occupier post-recession, which is forcing retailers and wholesalers to modernize their supply chain to keep up. E-commerce is not a new phenomenon, but it is becoming increasingly competitive, and is expected to grow another 55 percent in the next four years, according to Colliers International research. E-commerce has reshaped the way people purchase goods, resulting in new increased requirements on the transportation of products. As such, organizations are needing to reevaluate their supply chain strategies and transportation costs, and demand for smaller fulfillment centers closer to the urban population is exploding. This challenge around the “last-mile delivery” is altering the distribution and logistics sectors. IMS Worldwide defines the last mile as the “last point of distribution or sortation to the final …
Even before the city’s population growth began exploding and its reputation as a tech hub became entrenched, Austin was always a true last-mile market for industrial users. Now that e-commerce has morphed into a worldwide phenomenon with real staying power, Austin looks like one of the next ideal locations for institutional industrial developers to make their marks with larger projects. However, the market does present a handful of challenges, including an intricate entitlement process, expensive land and a slightly higher cost of construction as compared to Texas’ other major markets. These barriers to entry have helped characterize the Austin industrial market we see today, with local developers leading the way. The Austin Market Today From both a developer’s and a broker’s perspective, the biggest advantage of being in a high-barrier-to-entry market, aside from less competition, is that the likelihood of becoming overbuilt is minimized. We saw this in 2008 and 2009, when the recession forced industrial users to cut operating costs and landlords to lower rents. Like the rest of the country, Austin took some hits during the Great Recession and saw a handful of properties foreclosed upon. But due to minimal new development, the market was able to maintain …
Omaha’s apartment market continues to be fundamentally strong and attractive to national and regional investors. According to Reis, Omaha’s asking rental rates have increased in every quarter over the past eight years, and vacancy remains low at 5.6 percent as of the end of 2018. Historically Omaha has had low vacancy. The 4.6 percent average vacancy rate over the past decade and 4.4 percent over the past five years is in line with the five-year national average of 4.5 percent. Looking forward, Reis expects the vacancy rate in 2019 to remain steady at 5.6 percent, and Colliers International expects the vacancy rate to dip slightly during 2019. Remaining affordable Not surprisingly, the relatively tight market, coupled with new construction, has continued to drive rents higher with asking rental rates growing at a strong 5.1 percent during 2019, according to Reis. Colliers, as well as local developers we surveyed, expect that rents will continue to grow in 2019, but at a more modest level, which we expect will be very close to Omaha’s average annual increase of 2.7 percent over the past 10 years. Importantly, Omaha also continues to have a relatively low cost of living for apartment dwellers with an …
Everything is bigger in Texas, including commercial real estate. Since 2017, Texas has surpassed every other state in commercial real estate development and carved out an industry that makes up nearly $60 billion of the state’s economy and supports almost 380,000 jobs. One of the contributing factors to this expansion is the recent increase in population, with more and more professionals moving to Texas for work. The Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex is currently outpacing the rest of the U.S. as the fastest-growing metro area. Overall, seven of the nation’s most rapidly growing cities are in Texas, including Midland, Pearland, McKinney and College Station Moreover, multiple major corporations are planning to relocate their headquarters from California to Texas. The 33 percent downturn in commercial construction in Dallas will turn around, and cities like Austin and Houston will also see greater — or at least sustained — commercial development, which will translate to heightened demand for commercial real estate. Where To Start? Given the positive industry projections and Texas’ business-friendly atmosphere, this may be a good time to step out and start a commercial real estate business. We recommend following these steps to set yourself up for success: Get Licensed Before you …