Market Reports

It’s safe to say that the Jackson MSA, as a whole, responds slower to national trends than the vast majority of markets in the United States. In regards to the economic recovery, Jackson is about two years behind the national economy post-recession. The retail market is just now moving from the recovery phase and into the expansion phase of its growth cycle, which is evidenced by decreasing vacancy rates and stabilizing lease rates. A limited amount of new construction has been a main driver for absorption in this area. There is approximately 35 million square feet of retail inventory in the Jackson MSA, with a moderate amount of new construction scheduled to deliver in the next 12 months. The first phase of expansion for the retail market is beginning to occur and is expected to gain in strength over the next 12 to 18 months. From an investment sales standpoint, Jackson has seen continued interest and stable transaction velocity from local and national retail investors in the last 12 to 24 months. As cap rates have compressed nationally, investors have continued to look to tertiary markets like Jackson in search of higher yields. The current going-in cap rate for acquisitions …

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The Midland-Odessa retail market continues to get stronger due to the rise in oil prices over the last year. West Texas intermediate crude oil prices have risen from around $46 per barrel in June 2017 to more than $72 per barrel as of June 27, 2018. According to a recent survey from the Dallas branch of the Federal Reserve, new technology is allowing energy companies to break even at $25 per barrel. In addition, the Midland Development Corp. (MDC) notes that the combined Midland-Odessa unemployment rate is down to 2.8 percent, which is the lowest on record. The rise in prices, combined with this scaling of the oil-driven economy, is contributing to local consumers having more disposable income. In turn, spending at restaurants, hotels and retail stores in the Midland-Odessa area is up across the board. Housing Connects The Dots Due to the rise in oil prices and strong economic growth, demand for more housing developments in the Midland-Odessa market is strong and getting stronger. And wherever there’s a boom in housing, a new wave of retail development is likely to follow. According to the MDC, roughly 500 single-family building permits had been issued as of March, the highest first-quarter …

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Like many other Midwestern markets, Milwaukee is experiencing a mixed bag in retail. While headlines have been dominated primarily by closures, there has also been an abundance of new activity in the market. While it’s taken its hits, the retail market has fought back and retail vacancy has actually decreased slightly to 4.4 percent in the first quarter, according to CoStar Group. Rents are edging up and Class A space is difficult to find. The inventory of Class B and C space is more robust. Due to low demand, landlords are not enjoying much negotiating leverage. Market turbulence On the surface, multiple big box closings that have occurred in metro Milwaukee this year paint a gloomy picture of the retail marketplace. Grocery, wholesale, apparel, toys, restaurants and other categories of retailers have closed fairly rapidly. These include Pick ‘n Save (Kroger) in Cudahy, Sendik’s in West Milwaukee, Sam’s Club in West Allis, Toys ‘R’ Us and Babies ‘R’ Us in Brookfield and iPic Theater at Bayshore Town Center in Glendale. Another ominous cloud is the Bon-Ton bankruptcy and the closure of seven area Boston Store locations, including the company’s clearance center and furniture gallery in metro Milwaukee. Compound that with …

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The Rhode Island retail market has seen a considerable level of activity over the last year that presents promising signs of a strengthening economy and an improving property market. Generally speaking, each submarket has seen positive absorption of retail space, with the new concepts entering the market for the first time, as well as existing operators further expanding their footprints and market share. From street retail to lifestyle and big-box centers, each class has seen significant activity that represents a much healthier retail climate than popular opinion and media reporting might suggest. Some specific transactions are worth noting. Garden City Center in Cranston continues to outperform as the dominant outdoor shopping destination in the greater Providence market. This past year, The Wilder Companies built an approximately 29,800-square-foot addition at Garden City, which allowed them to bring Boston favorites Legal C Bar and Tavern in the Square to town. These are the first Rhode Island locations for both operators, which points to the strength of the local Rhode Island economy as well as the faith tenants have in the long-term viability of the best retail projects. Wilder was also able to bring The Simple Greek, Anthony’s Coal Fired Pizza, Z Gallerie …

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Denver’s office market has been riding a wave of expansion, entering its ninth straight year of growth, with net absorption totaling 186,826 square feet in the first quarter of 2018. While vacancy ticked up — ending at 15.9 percent, up from 15.1 percent in the prior quarter and from 14.6 percent one year ago — it is expected to fall over the next several quarters as tenants continue to absorb space in both new and existing buildings. The Denver office market’s impressive expansion has lasted 33 consecutive quarters, resulting in a total of 9.7 million square feet of absorption, 7.4 million square feet of new deliveries and a 409-basis-point plunge in vacancy. The majority of the 9.7 million square feet absorbed between the first quarter of 2010 and the first quarter of 2018 occurred in three key submarkets. This included the Southeast Suburban (SES), Downtown and Northwest (NW) markets, which recorded 3.3 million, 2.9 million and 1.3 million square feet of absorption, respectively. The Downtown market ended the quarter with absorption of 214,317 square feet, and Class A median asking rates were up 39.5 percent from year-end 2009 to $39.76 per square foot.  Asking rates in some of the newest …

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“How long will Atlanta’s retail boom last?” That is the multibillion-dollar question everyone in the market is asking themselves. Nobody knows for sure, although there are many valid reasons to think that Atlanta will sustain its growth through 2018 and beyond. The state of Georgia has placed a strong emphasis on drawing technology companies to the state, and Atlanta’s tech boom has catapulted the city to the front of the race for Amazon’s $5 billion HQ2 project. The city already boasts the world’s busiest airport, which makes it easy for any company to relocate here because they can directly connect to anywhere in the world. Most recently, Facebook announced it will build a sprawling data center campus at Stanton Springs, about 40 miles east of Atlanta, and NCR Corp. recently opened its new headquarters campus in Midtown. The emerging tech community includes startup hubs such as Atlanta Tech Village, Switchyards Downtown Club, the upcoming Coda project at Tech Square and Advanced Technology Development Center, an affiliate of Georgia Tech. With elite local colleges like Georgia Tech, Emory University and the state’s flagship school, the University of Georgia, about 60 miles east in Athens rapidly producing new graduates, the city is …

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Amarillo’s industrial market is truly a tale of two sectors, as some form of that expression goes, and the key number is 50,000 square feet. The occupancy rate for industrial properties in the sub-50,000-square-foot range in Amarillo remains very high, with few properties of this size sitting on the market for extended amounts of time. With such high occupancy rates, several new developments have recently sprung up. Those with both large footprints and divisible floor plans to meet the needs of smaller tenants tend to be most successful in terms of leasing velocity. In addition, developers of this product type are seeing its success and gravitating to Amarillo with spec projects. This sector of the industrial market should remain profitable for developers unless construction costs increase at a greater pace than rents can justify. The lull lies in existing properties that measure more than 50,000 square feet. In a smaller market like Amarillo, properties of this size sitting empty can be an ominous sign, and a few in particular have really come to symbolize concerns about sales of assets of this magnitude. Such properties include a 140,208-square-foot manufacturing facility previously occupied by chemicals manufacturer Techspray; a 115,000-square-foot facility formerly occupied …

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In 2008, the credit crisis had gripped the world and in particular, the Midwest. Lenders, whether CMBS or life insurance companies, had put large “X’s” through Michigan on their maps. And Detroit? South of 8 Mile, you couldn’t get a deal done. Enter entrepreneur businessman Dan Gilbert. Inspired by an intern spurning his then Livonia-based Quicken Loans for a more urban, walkable environment in Chicago, Gilbert made the bold decision to move his entire operation to downtown Detroit. Now in 2018, Ford, GM and Chrysler (and various suppliers) are humming, resulting in a decade-low statewide unemployment rate of 4.8 percent. The central business district (CBD) and Midtown Detroit multifamily occupancy rates are at 95 percent, with office just a touch under that, according to CoStar Group. And in downtown Detroit, which many in the metro area once regarded as a quasi-War Zone, vacant buildings are selling for millions of dollars and millennials in yoga pants dot the streets. Detroit’s resurgence since 2008 has earned it the nickname of “America’s Great Comeback City,” with no better metaphor than Ford Motor Co. recently buying one of the world’s great eyesores, Michigan Central Station, the former train station. However, the city’s renaissance is …

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Throughout metro Detroit, employment and population gains are bolstering apartment demand. Following the creation of 40,200 jobs one year ago, employers in the metro area added 22,200 people to payrolls during the past four quarters. The hiring brought the unemployment rate to 4.5 percent in March, down 10 basis points year over year. The tighter rate may make it more difficult for some employers to find qualified workers to fill openings. During the past 12 months, the hospitality sector led hiring with 8,200 additional workers. New hotel openings contributed to the increase. Sustained job growth has helped to boost the metro population by nearly 11,700 people and 6,600 households over the past year. Many of these residents are opting to rent, as rising home prices place homeownership beyond the reach of more households. During the past five years, the median price of a single-family home has soared 68 percent to $177,053 as of March. Highly amenitized homes or properties in desired areas such as downtown Detroit, Troy or Royal Oak, have much higher median prices, making renting a more affordable option in numerous areas of the region. Construction concentrations Multifamily construction is gaining traction in the suburbs. Completions in the …

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The Inland Empire continues to be one of the most dynamic industrial real estate markets in the country from both a user and investor perspective. Rent growth remains exceptionally strong, boasting a growth rate of more than 50 percent in the past five years, with a 10.1 percent increase in 2017. Although current average asking rents are at record highs, they remain at a 40 percent discount when compared to the neighboring infill markets of Los Angeles and Orange County, indicating ample room for further growth. Vacancy remains unchanged at 3.7 percent, despite 20 million square feet of deliveries last year, a testament to the market’s unrivaled user demand. Leasing momentum continues to outpace supply, particularly for recently constructed distribution space. This is demonstrated by the 46 percent pre-lease rate for deliveries greater than 1 million square feet last year. The Inland Empire’s proximity to world-class transportation infrastructure, combined with a relatively large supply of recently delivered distribution facilities, creates a highly optimistic future outlook when considering the projected exponential growth of e-commerce. The Inland Empire’s e-commerce primacy of location as it relates to underlying market fundamentals are attracting best-in-class domestic and global capital. This is creating a hyper-competitive buyer …

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