Market Reports

Winners and Losers in Connecticut Retail

by Taylor Williams December 13, 2017

The retail market in Connecticut is alive and well. Sure it’s changing but what industry doesn’t experience change? There are numerous retail categories that continue to post healthy sales while also keeping their new store counts in a growth trajectory. Other categories will adapt to consumer trends and stay relevant in the world of brick and mortar. As we close 2017, we see that traditional shopping centers, especially grocery-anchored centers, are the solid performers in the sector. The “services” or “daily needs” category of retail continue to flock to these centers mainly because of consumer routine. The “services/daily needs” category includes health/fitness, traditional sit-down restaurants, quick-service restaurants, pharmacies, pet supply retailers, wireless communications, medical (walk-ins) and banking. Traditional neighborhood centers are becoming more conscious about merchandising with this specific category while trying to avoid deals with the more risky retail categories, such as off-priced apparel. The big-box power centers and the centers with large chunks of vacancy are another story, and there will be winners and losers. Geography plays a big role here and it’s not the dead-end road that some suggest. Over the past 18 months, my team’s exclusive leasing portfolio has had two Kmart closures in two separate …

December 13, 2017

Louisiana Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Multifamily Investors, Developers Find Hidden Opportunities in New Orleans

by John Nelson December 11, 2017

Sometimes there is a “herding” mentality in real estate investment activity, but markets that do not make the headlines of news stories or appear on the top market lists are the ones investors should focus on. New Orleans is one such market, and while it might not be on everyone’s radar, it has the fundamentals and dynamics that are attracting investors’ attention. With a total inventory of approximately 55,000 units, demand for multifamily acquisitions in New Orleans and the Gulf South region overall remains strong. Over the past 24 months, the market has experienced heightened demand from national, regional and foreign investors. The investment community is attracted to the stability of the market, as well as its significant barriers to entry. What is attracting investors to metro New Orleans are higher cash on cash returns and cap rates than what they are finding in larger metropolitan areas. Investors feel confident in their ability to realize rent growth, given the high cost of single-family housing and the significant geographic barriers to entry. Developable land is scarce and has given multifamily owners a franchise of sort since the ability to increase the supply is limited. As New Orleans prepares to celebrate its …

December 11, 2017

Market Reports Office Texas Texas Market Reports

Urban Renaissance: San Antonio Office Market Gains A New Identity

by Taylor Williams December 8, 2017

Regional investors have always described San Antonio as a steady market with desirable economic indicators. But with the impending delivery of a Class AA office tower and a growing tech presence, the city is on the brink of emerging as a national contender for commercial real estate investment. Historically, San Antonio has posted strong employment figures that have kept it firing on all cylinders and ready for business. The San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA has experienced seven straight years of job growth. The metro’s unemployment rate has dropped 10 basis points quarter-over-quarter to its current level of 3.7 percent, a figure that strongly outperforms the national average of 4.5 percent. By comparison, the MSA’s 10-year average unemployment rate was 5.5 percent and the nation’s 7 percent. As new investors analyze the San Antonio office market’s history, they should consider the similarities and differences between San Antonio and other major Texas metros. Assessing the last peak-and-valley metrics from 2007 through 2010 provides insight into how the market reacts to a changing economy. Vacancy Rate Stabilizes The vacancy rate for Class A office properties in San Antonio peaked in 2009 at 16.7 percent, while vacancy rates in Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) and Houston …

December 8, 2017

Hospitality Market Reports Michigan Midwest Midwest Market Reports

Wave of New Hotel Supply in Metro Detroit Reflects Improved Economic Fortunes

by Kristin Harlow December 7, 2017

The Detroit metropolitan area has experienced significant economic growth in recent years, fueled by a strengthening auto industry as well as the continued diversification of the local employment landscape. The hotel sector is benefitting from existing employers expanding operations locally and new entrants to the market. The Big Three automakers continue to invest in the region, while companies like e-commerce giant Amazon.com Inc. are building large warehouse facilities. Revenue gains for hotels were accordingly robust during the 2010–2016 period. Revenue per available room (RevPAR) during that stretch grew nearly 71 percent, rising from a low of roughly $38 in 2009 at the depths of the Great Recession to over $64 by year-end 2016. Both the average daily rate (ADR) and occupancy have posted consistent gains since 2010. Moreover, hoteliers sold a record number of room nights in the city of Detroit in 2016, according to STR. Occupancy levels approached 70 percent by the end of 2016, with ADRs of nearly $150 in the central business district (CBD). The data for 2017 show a relatively stable occupancy level with robust gains in ADR. The record performance achieved in this expansionary period has spurred tremendous hotel development in the downtown core and …

December 7, 2017

Connecticut Market Reports Northeast Northeast Market Reports Office

Connecticut’s Fairfield County Office Market Displays Healthy Indicators

by Taylor Williams December 6, 2017

Connecticut’s Fairfield County ranks among America’s 40 wealthiest counties with a median household income of $81,268 in 2010. And while some of its current office market data stand at low levels, many indicators point to a bright future. Year-to-date office leasing activity reached 1.7 million square feet as of the third quarter. This amounts to a 21 percent increase relative to the same period one year ago. While this figure stands 3.1 percent below the five-year historical average, overall leasing volume does not take into account a 500,000-square-foot, build-to-suit lease undertaken by Charter Communications at Gateway Harbor Point in Stamford. For the quarter, aggregate office leasing in the county totaled 555,629 square feet. Stamford and Greenwich accounted for more than 77 percent of the total. Major transactions included Bank of America’s 166,000-square-foot lease at 600 Washington Boulevard in Stamford and AQR Capital’s 90,000-square-foot expansion at One Greenwich Plaza. In August, Stamford scored its most impactful corporate attraction of the year when the German-based multinational Henkel moved its North American headquarters from Scottsdale, Arizona, to 155,000 square feet within the BLT Financial Centre at 200 Elm Street. The consumer products firm said its laundry, beauty and home-care divisions are employing approximately …

December 6, 2017

Georgia Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Demand for Live-Work-Play Fueling Global Interest in Atlanta Multifamily Market

by John Nelson December 4, 2017

With Atlanta’s economy more robust than ever, demand for multifamily housing remains high, driving rent growth and investor interest throughout the market. Since the last cycle — when a reliance on construction hit hard — the city has transformed its economy by building up its IT, healthcare and automotive sectors, among others. The results of strong job growth and the diversification of employment are evident market-wide. In particular, Buckhead and Midtown have seen a substantial increase in multifamily supply over the last three to five years, as spillover activity in East Atlanta and West Midtown will continue. And the rise of two multibillion-dollar sports stadiums (Mercedes-Benz Stadium and SunTrust Park) in the same year — a first for the city — continues to draw national and international attention to intown and metro submarkets. Urban Goes Suburban A seemingly insatiable demand for urban live-work-play settings has inspired developers to replicate the highly-amenitized and high-rent success in the suburbs. Alpharetta’s Avalon was a game changer, spurring destinations in John’s Creek, Gwinnett County’s Peachtree Corners and the mixed-use boon around SunTrust Park in Cobb County. So far, development activity has been steady in the northern submarkets, with little activity on Atlanta’s south side. …

December 4, 2017

Industrial Market Reports Texas Texas Market Reports

Direct Vacancy Reaches 12-Year Low in San Antonio Industrial Market

by Taylor Williams December 1, 2017

As we enter the fourth quarter, fundamentals are strong in San Antonio’s industrial market, with direct vacancy tightening and continuing the hot streak it’s been on the past few years. At the third quarter’s end, the metro’s direct vacancy rate stood at 5.4 percent, down from 6.2 percent during the second quarter and 5.8 percent during 2016. In fact, that 5.4 percent direct vacancy rate represents a 12-year low. The figure is a far cry from the 9.3 percent direct vacancy registered during the third quarter of 2006 — the last time the market posted a rate above 9 percent. This d in direct vacancy is particularly noteworthy given that more than 10 million square feet of inventory has been added to the market since that time. The shrinking rate has also coincided with a slight increase in direct average asking rent, which now stands at $5.99 per square foot following a $0.16 quarter-over-quarter increase. Driving the falling vacancy numbers was an economy that fast-tracked over the summer. The San Antonio Business-Cycle Index increased at its fastest pace since 2016, while the area unemployment rate remained the same and job growth surged. Job growth increased at a 3.6 percent annualized …

December 1, 2017

Market Reports Massachusetts Northeast Northeast Market Reports Retail

Urbanizing the Suburbs: Retail’s Role in Reshaping Boston’s Landscape

by Taylor Williams November 29, 2017

Over the past decade, urbanization has emerged as one of the most impactful trends to hit the real estate industry. This trend, embodied by the live-work-play concept, has been embraced by all demographic cohorts, from millennials to baby boomers and even retirees. While the impact has been most visible in the urban core, Boston’s suburbs are also being transformed, and the inclusion of pedestrian-oriented retail into new and existing projects is playing the integral role. Modernized, high-traffic retail concepts now provide the coveted ability to work, shop, dine and entertain with the same convenience of downtown while being proximate to the region’s top bedroom communities. The Polaroid Site, Waltham Waltham is Boston’s top suburban office market; however, its biggest drawback had been a lack of real amenities. Sam Park & Company acquired Polaroid’s former headquarters and planned a 1.5 million-square-foot, mixed-use development, which includes Market Basket, Not Your Average Joe’s, Flank, Starbucks and Jake n Joes Sports Grille. The existing and improving amenity package at 1265 Main immediately drew the attention of Clarks, which moved its American headquarters to a new 120,000-square-foot building on the site. MarketStreet Lynnfield Once the Colonial Country Club, MarketStreet Lynnfield is now a mixed-use development …

November 29, 2017

Georgia Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Creative Office Space Fuels Growth in the Already Robust Atlanta Market

by John Nelson November 27, 2017

Although so-called “creative office space” is for now a tiny slice of the overall supply in Atlanta, it represents the most significant change in the use of office space in generations. Tenants and landlords have only begun to use creative design principles to push rents past levels previously thought unreachable, while increasing worker productivity and satisfaction. Trends in this sector will define the American workplace for decades. The largest users of creative office space — also commonly referred to as loft office space — today are in the TAMI sector (tech, advertising, media and information), but law practices, engineering firms and others are also embracing the open office concept. In Atlanta, there is 3 million square feet of creative office space, which is only 1.2 percent of the metro area’s total inventory. But the vacancy rate for creative spaces is just 8.3 percent and the gross asking price is $29.90 per square foot, both considerably outperforming the traditional office arena. Since 2013 the asking rate for traditional office space in Atlanta has grown 17.2 percent. For creative space the asking rate has shot up 62.5 percent. The top end asking rate for creative spaces is more than $6.50 higher than …

November 27, 2017

Industrial Market Reports Massachusetts Northeast Northeast Market Reports

Boston Industrial Market Posts Lowest Vacancy Seen in Decades

by Taylor Williams November 22, 2017

The commercial real estate market in the Greater Boston area continued its torrid pace in the first half of 2017. All sections of the commercial real estate market inside Route 128 are white hot, especially after the announcement that General Electric will move its corporate headquarters to the Seaport District. Recent data indicates that Boston has one of the hottest economies in the United States and ranks as one of the top economies in the world. The 2017 Investment Intensity Index ranks Boston as the fourth market in the U.S. and 14th in the world for commercial real estate investment. In the industrial sector, which includes warehouse/distribution and flex/R&D product, vacancies are at the lowest point seen in decades. At the end of the first quarter the vacancy rate decreased to 5.7 percent. Net absorption totaled 2.24 million square feet for the quarter. The fact that the urban industrial market is continually shrinking as aging industrial properties are redeveloped into “higher and better uses” has caused a tremendous displacement of companies from inside Route 128 to areas outside the coveted Route 95 corridor. A dearth of available institutional-quality industrial product exists in today’s market with just over 13 percent of …

November 22, 2017

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