Market Reports

The recent announcement that XTO Energy Inc., a division of energy giant ExxonMobil,  will be moving 1,600 jobs to Houston was not the best news for Fort Worth. The move, which will occur in waves between 2018 and 2020, will reduce downtown’s private workforce by 3 percent over the next few years and lead to several of the company’s CBD properties hitting the market for sale. Broader economic implications notwithstanding, many tenants, landlords and city officials are wondering what impact XTO’s move will have, not only on the office market, but also on the downtown area’s commercial real estate market. However, any worries that the move would drastically upset the downtown market’s equilibrium appear to be misplaced. Most office sectors, especially the CBD’s Class A market and the suburban market that includes the West 7th and West/Southwest Fort Worth areas — should see minimal impact. It is even possible that most of the Class B market in the CBD will remain unaffected, as demand for re-development or from existing office users may consume much of XTO’s spaces. To understand how this move could affect downtown Fort Worth, it helps to look at the bigger picture. The current CBD office inventory …

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The Columbus industrial market continues to thrive as a hot center for logistics, warehousing and manufacturing. Its strategic location within a one-day truck drive of 50 percent of the U.S. population and one-third of the Canadian population is an important part of this success. Other contributing factors to this success include a strong Midwestern work ethic, low cost of real estate, low taxes, low wages and minimal union activity. With a total population of about 2 million in metro Columbus, central Ohio has 86,000 employees in the manufacturing industry and 80,000 employees in logistics at 4,100 logistics companies. Positive vital signs Central Ohio’s 273-million-square-foot industrial real estate market continues to expand with nearly 5.7 million square feet of new construction in 2017. Year to date, there has been 1.3 million square feet of positive net absorption and vacancy is 4.6 percent, down from 5.1 percent as of year-end 2016. Net absorption totaled 9 million square feet in 2016. Effective rental rates in central Ohio range from $2 to $3.75 per square foot net for larger warehouse and manufacturing spaces. Operating expenses run from 35 cents to $1.25 per square foot. Sales prices will range from $10 to $45 per square …

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Despite a slow start to the year, the Northern New Jersey office market decreased vacancy to 20.2 percent as we moved from fourth quarter 2016 into 2017. More than 750,000 square feet of office space is expected to be absorbed in the market to drop the vacancy rate 20 basis points. New deliveries in Morris and Essex Counties, including a 200,000-square-foot office for UPS in Parsippany, are leading the way. Moreover, landlords and investors alike are upgrading and investing in larger redevelopment projects throughout the state which has increased leasing activity. In response to healthier market conditions, owners have also increased rents for office space, which caused higher vacancy rates at the beginning of the year. The average asking rent is anticipated to climb to $27.59 per square foot this year, outpacing the 2 percent rise in office rents posted in 2016. In first quarter, the Hudson Waterfront saw an increase of 3.6 percent per square foot. Hudson Waterfront The main trends in Jersey City and Hoboken are driven by the large populations of millennials in and around surrounding areas. Millennials account for 27.2 percent of the population in Hudson County. In the last 12 months, investors — particularly New …

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The Richmond retail market continues to be strong. Overall vacancy rates are slightly higher than usual, hovering around 7 percent with negative absorption, due to all types of new products coming online in the first half of 2017. The market is adding millennials at double the pace of any other generation and has been recently named in multiple media outlets as one of the top living destinations for millennials nationwide. With this influx, multifamily development in Richmond is robust, which in turn is attracting all types of urban retail and chef-driven restaurants. The most popular submarkets for new urban retail are the Central Business District, Shockoe Bottom and the white-hot Scott’s Addition, with many developers taking advantage of Richmond’s Historic Tax Credit program. Richmond’s famous grocery wars continue with major players jockeying for the best positions. Kroger has historically positioned themselves well in the market with 18 stores, many of which have gone through recent expansions to the Marketplace concept. It recently scrapped plans for the development of two new relocation positions in Mechanicsville and Colonial Heights. The most recent grocery news has been Martin’s Food Markets exiting and Publix entering the market. Martin’s peaked at 19 stores, most of …

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Healthcare facilities have become a mainstream investment asset class for private and institutional investors over the last decade. Healthcare assets with strong credit tenancy and on-campus locations are now fetching record pricing. Pressure from consumers, federal and state legislation and fiscal responsibility are driving changes in the delivery of healthcare services. Significant consolidation is occurring in the form of acquisitions and affiliations. The most visible and tangible change to the consumer has been the proliferation of urgent care facilities. Other drivers of healthcare facility construction include hospital operators pushing for their brands and facilities to be more convenient to the consumer. Increased focus on preventative care and consumers’ desire for quick and convenient access to services near work or home plays a role as well. These trends are relevant and visible in the 2017 El Paso healthcare market. Population Growth Leads Historically, El Paso ranks among the nation’s fastest-growing metropolitan areas, averaging decade-over-decade growth of 21 percent from 1960 to 2010. The MSA, composed of El Paso County and the more recently added Hudspeth County, is projected to hit nearly 883,000 residents by 2019. In 2014, when El Paso data was combined with data from sister city Ciudad Juárez and …

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In today’s world, nearly every company is a technology company. That trend is changing the way we do business and interact with one another. Ted Anglyn, president of the Parking Property Advisors, summarizes how these changes are impacting space utilization, which in turn affects parking needs: The space per square foot per employee in newly leased office space decreased from a range of 300 to 350 square feet per person in 2005 to 150 to 200 square feet in 2010. Some of this space reduction is linked to the recession, but much of it is because of open office design and the predominance of electronic storage, which reduces the need for physical file storage. This change has the potential to increase the typical office parking ratios that range from three to four spaces per 1,000 square feet to five to six spaces per 1,000 square feet. This begs the question of how we, as commercial real estate experts, address this gap. Parking, access and location are not new issues, but they are still major factors in today’s real estate environment. Landlords and economic development directors are all striving to address the needs of business today while also looking to future …

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The New Jersey retail market continues to gain strength as landlords redevelop existing properties, successfully backfill formerly vacant supermarket and Sports Authority boxes, and even break ground on several major shopping centers. Green Leaf at Union, a new redevelopment scheduled to open this fall, will include 111,000 square feet of gross leasable area. Located on Route 22 and West Chestnut Street, the center will be anchored by Bob’s Discount Furniture and LA Fitness. Chimney Rock East and West in Bridgewater is also under construction. The new upscale center will add more than 200,000 square feet of gross leasable area to the Route 22 corridor. Tenants will include Whole Foods, The Container Store, Saks Off Fifth and Nordstrom Rack, as well as ULTA and European Wax Center, which were both represented by R.J. Brunelli & Co. (RJBCO). The District at Metuchen, a new 78,505-square-foot upscale neighborhood center, opened in downtown Metuchen on Route 27 and Middlesex Ave. It is anchored by Whole Foods, with a satellite tenant lineup that includes RJBCO clients Massage Envy and European Wax Center. The Route 35 corridor in Hazlet/Holmdel/Middletown has seen its ups and downs this past year. In Middletown, the WRDC-owned property formerly anchored by …

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Over the past 12 months, a surge in out-of-market activity has stabilized Richmond’s downtown office market, which had faced a seemingly insurmountable glut of space just last year. For years, Richmond’s Central Business District (CBD) struggled to retain tenants as many sought more affordable locations in the suburbs, while other tenants shed space as they optimized their footprints. However, with a steady flow of high-profile inbound operations into Richmond’s CBD, the momentum has since shifted and the re-urbanization trend, an established facet of many of the nation’s major markets, has now taken hold in Richmond. Out-of-Market Demand Swells After five consecutive quarters of securing a sizable new-to-market operation, the cumulative direct impact of this inflow climbed to over 300,000 square feet. This surge in inbound activity played a pivotal role in stabilizing the CBD, which captured 94 percent of these inbound operations. Much of this activity has been driven by the explosive 14.9 percent growth in Richmond’s millennial population from 2010 to 2015, per a recent study by the Urban Land Institute for Time magazine. According to the study, Richmond is the second fastest growing city for millennials in the country, only behind Hampton Roads. Similarly, Virginia shot up in …

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The border economy of the United States and Mexico is complex and deeply intertwined, to say the least. As such, the sister cities of El Paso and Juarez should be  viewed as one economy. The region ended 2016 on a high note. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, El Paso’s total nonfarm employment rose 1.7 percent during the year, besting the state average of 1.6 percent. The city added more than 5,000 jobs, with strong gains in service-providing sectors offsetting losses in the manufacturing sector. Leisure and hospitality led the way, according to the Fed, adding more than 1,700 jobs. At the same time, employment in Juarez’s manufacturing sector was up 5.4 percent from the previous year for a projected total of 263,000 new jobs. The downtown El Paso office market currently totals about 3.2 million square feet across 65 buildings. It breaks down into about 1.1 million square feet of Class A space, 1.2 million square feet of Class B space and 900,000 square feet of Class C space. For years, vacancy in the city’s Central Business District hovered around 20 percent, with virtually no new construction. But lately, conditions have dramatically improved. According to CoStar Group, …

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The Minneapolis retail market ended the second quarter with a vacancy rate of 3.1 percent. The freestanding retail segment (buildings not contained within a shopping center) posted a vacancy rate of 1.8 percent. Over the past year, there has been a pattern of positive absorption in the market. The average quoted asking retail rental rate at the end of the second quarter was $13.94 per square foot. Comparably, a year ago this rate was $13.29 per square foot. Meanwhile, construction of retail properties has been on an upward climb. Within the past four quarters, 1.2 million square feet of retail space has been built, and there is an additional 892,910 square feet in progress, according to CoStar Group. Net absorption continues Retail net absorption was moderate in Minneapolis in the second quarter of 2017, totaling 484,120 square feet. That’s up from 135,536 square feet of positive absorption in the first quarter and 366,652 square feet in the fourth quarter of 2016. However, these figures are all down from the third quarter of 2016, when 638,183 square feet were positively absorbed in the market. Several tenants have moved out of large blocks of space in 2017. For example, Sears vacated 125,209 …

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