— By Anthony Johnson and A.J. Johnson of Pegasus Retail — Looking back on the market sentiment at the start of 2024, the mantra was “Survive ‘til 25.” Now, halfway through 2025, it’s clear that the record-breaking cap rate sales of 2021 and 2022 are firmly in the rearview. Speculative development is reserved for those with a generational outlook, and high interest rates are the new normal. While that may seem bleak, for those who’ve weathered the storm, it feels like a breath of fresh air. The market has reset. Seller and buyer expectations are realigning. Landlords and tenants are exploring new deals in a more stable environment. And smart developers are dusting off models and cautiously getting back to work. The construction hiatus of recent years has benefited owners of existing product. Tenants, fueled by Wall Street growth expectations, had to get creative. We now see many national retailers occupying second and third generation retail space that they’d historically passed in favor of shinier and newer projects. Many neighborhood centers that were 50 percent vacant at the onset of the pandemic are now close to fully leased. A surprising but welcome shift. This outcome, partly driven by the lack …
This year marks the centennial of several Miami municipalities, including Coral Gables and Hialeah, placing Miami-Dade County in a unique position: looking back on a rich history as a sunseeker’s playground, while charging full speed into a future where it is also a tech hub and financial powerhouse, with some dubbing the city as “Wall Street South.” From the first land rush in the 1920s to the post-pandemic migration surge a century later, Miami’s real estate story includes fascinating characters, iconic architecture, multiple booms and busts and not one but two great railroad eras — all contributing to the city’s allure as a place to live, and where institutional-quality capital is increasingly eager to invest. Population, job momentum Miami has enjoyed one of the strongest multifamily markets in the country for roughly the past decade. A blend of population growth and job creation forms the backbone of Miami’s resilient rental market. Miami-Dade County added over 64,000 net new residents as of July 2024, driven almost entirely by international newcomers. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the county saw 123,835 international arrivals, offsetting the 67,000 locals who left. Behind that growth is an unprecedented business boom. Lured by Florida’s business-friendly environment …
By Lee Kiser, Kiser Group Multifamily real estate investment in the Midwest in 2025 presents a compelling opportunity, driven by strong fundamentals, favorable market dynamics and emerging trends. Here’s an overview of the key trends and outlook. Strong rent growth Midwestern cities are experiencing some of the fastest rent increases in the nation. Cleveland leads with a 5.1 percent year-over-year rent growth, while other metros like Chicago, Kansas City and Detroit rank among the top 10 for rent gains, outperforming the national average. This surge is attributed to steady demand and limited new supply, allowing landlords to continue raising rents. Much of the rent growth is due to declining construction activity. Nationally, multifamily construction is expected to decline by 11 percent in 2025, with completions projected to fall to 317,000 units. The Midwest has a significantly smaller pipeline than the national statistics, with only 3.4 percent of inventory currently under construction versus 6 percent nationally. Workforce housing stock The Midwest is recognized for its affordability, with monthly multifamily rents averaging $1,405, which is lower than the national average of $1,823 and more than 10 percent less than the Sun Belt average. Midwest transaction velocity is shifting toward Class B and …
— By Liz Claire of Avison Young — The Las Vegas retail market continued its strong performance in fourth-quarter 2024. Vacancy rates declined to 5.3 percent, marking a 200-basis-point drop from the fourth quarter of 2020. Strong absorption rates and healthy rent increases highlight the market’s resilience, even as growth has moderated since its peak in first-quarter 2021. Vacancy Declines and Strong Absorption Las Vegas experienced a significant increase in positive retail space absorption in fourth-quarter 2024, following eight quarters of minimal movement, with a total of 619,000 square feet absorbed. This surge was primarily driven by major developments, including the completion of the 500,000-square-foot BLVD retail project, which saw strong pre-leasing activity from prominent tenants like Adidas, H&M, Lululemon and In-N-Out Burger. Sustained high demand lowered the vacancy rate by 40 basis points from the previous quarter, further solidifying Las Vegas as a leading retail market. Retail Rents and Growth Trends Market-wide retail asking rents averaged $35.20 per square foot, with rents outside the high-priced resort corridor averaging $29.08 per square foot. Year over year, rents increased by 5.8 percent, significantly outpacing the national average rent growth of 3 percent. This steady rent appreciation demonstrates continued demand for retail space in …
Over the past five years, the national office market has faced its fair share of challenges: hybrid work reshaping demand, a surge in sublease spaces and rents stagnating in many cities. But Miami’s office market? It’s been a standout performer, and it’s soaring, not just holding its ground. From the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, Miami began to separate itself from other major metros. While cities across the country struggled to coax tenants back to the office, Miami became a hotspot for companies eager to expand. What began as an influx of interest from financial firms, law practices and tech companies quickly evolved into a significant shift. These weren’t temporary moves — these were long-term leases and major investments. Since 2020, Miami-Dade has absorbed nearly 3 million square feet of office space. Unlike other cities where growth has fluctuated, Miami’s demand has been steady. Even as leasing slowed down nationally in 2023, Miami managed to hold strong. By 2024, leasing activity picked up again, and the first quarter of 2025 saw impressive absorption numbers. A major factor in Miami’s success is its disciplined approach to office development. While other markets overbuilt, leading to high vacancy rates, Miami’s new supply has …
— By Charles Van Geel of Cushman & Wakefield — Despite broader economic headwinds, Southern Nevada’s commercial real estate market continues to showcase remarkable resilience – especially in the office sector. The demand for high-quality office space remains strong in the Southwest and Summerlin submarkets, underpinned by a flight to quality and shifting corporate priorities toward top-tier environments. The bulk of today’s office activity is concentrated along the critical Interstate 215 corridor, stretching from Green Valley to Summerlin parkways. This corridor has become the heartbeat of the region’s office market. However, within this high-demand stretch, the availability of true Class A product (particularly in the Southwest submarket) is diminishing. Small blocks of space are becoming increasingly rare, while sublease opportunities along this corridor are practically nonexistent. Adding pressure to this is the fact that new construction is largely stalled. Speculative development is not economically feasible with the current market dynamics. Lenders are unwilling to fund projects unless developers can demonstrate significant preleasing commitments, often north of 50 percent. This has been a challenge, as preleasing activity in the broader market remains minimal. Still, the area has received a few recent high-profile deliveries. These include Downtown Summerlin’s 1700 Pavilion, Phase II of …
South Florida remains one of the most attractive markets for multifamily investment in the United States, driven by population growth, job creation and limited rental supply. While 2024 saw slower transaction volumes, fundamentals suggest a rebound is coming in 2025. This article explores trends in investment sales, debt capital markets and joint venture (JV) equity, highlighting how strategic structuring and strong relationships are driving activity in today’s selective capital environment. Poised for sales growth Miami’s multifamily market continues to thrive, fueled by population growth, high rental demand and major developments. The city’s job market, with an unemployment rate of just 2.4 percent, is expected to grow by over 18,000 positions in 2025. Corporate expansions — like Citadel, MSC Group, Nvidia, Microsoft and Shopify — have driven demand for luxury rentals, while vacancy rates remain under 5 percent. With home prices rising over 70 percent in the past five years and mortgage rates more than doubling, homeownership is out of reach for many. As a result, demand for luxury rentals remains strong, especially in suburban areas where transit-oriented developments are emerging. One standout is Terra’s $1 billion Upland Park in West Miami-Dade County. In partnership with the county, the project includes …
— By Jerry Doty of Colliers — While several other Western markets started to slow down in late 2022 or early 2023, the Southern Nevada industrial market seemed to be relatively unscathed going into 2024. However, the impact was finally felt early in the first quarter of 2024. It lasted through the remainder of the year. Despite this noticeable decline in activity, most remained optimistic that it would be a quick slump. We were hoping 2025 would come out with guns blazing. These prognostications have so far proven to be incorrect. First-quarter 2025 felt very much like the past four quarters. This noticeable slowdown could not have come at a worse time. We are in the midst of a record wave of new completions that will continue to deliver through the third quarter. The Las Vegas industrial market delivered a little less than 16 million square feet of new inventory in 2024, bringing the total market up to 180 million square feet. The Valley is composed of eight different industrial submarkets, with the North being both the largest in total size (75 million square feet) and the largest amount of product under construction (almost 3.6 million square feet). At the …
Five years after the world shut down, the national multifamily market is still on a roller coaster ride. After the highs of 2021 quickly turned into the lows of 2023, the dust settled in 2024. Today, the market has begun to reactivate while continuing to grapple with the aftereffects of the run-up. While national multifamily transactions soared 22 percent in 2024, Atlanta transaction volume was flat year-over-year as the investment community shifted a favorable view of Atlanta toward ambivalence. Perceptions surrounding new supply and non-paying tenants contributed to the city falling out of vogue with some investors, but Atlanta is a resilient market. With new deliveries having peaked in 2024 and property-level fundamentals rapidly turning the corner, Atlanta may be beaten up, but the light at the end of the tunnel is coming into focus: Atlanta is still a long-term winner. Days of peak supply are over While Atlanta experienced a record 24,000 units delivered in 2024, that figure represents just 4 percent of its total inventory. When compared to other Sun Belt markets like Charlotte (10 percent of total inventory delivered in 2024), Nashville (8 percent) and Dallas (5 percent), the number doesn’t seem as jarring. Looking ahead to …
By Nate Wilkins, associate at Munsch Hardt Kopf & Harr PC Office conversions represent one of the hottest real estate plays in the country, and Texas is undoubtedly a hotspot for those projects. According to D Magazine, in Dallas and Houston combined, there is more than 10 million square feet of vacant office space that is currently being transformed or is slated for conversion. A majority of these projects are mixed-use, meaning that office tenants will eventually be occupying the same building as residential tenants. Therefore, there are several key factors that office tenants and their landlords must consider when signing or renewing leases in the conversion projects, including utilization of common areas, use of utilities and parking allotments. What follows are some strategies for navigating office conversions as they become more prevalent in Texas over the next several years. Common Areas In a typical mixed-use property in which retail space is on the ground floor with multifamily above, landlords are prone to include lease language that states “Tenant shall have no right to use the elevator lobbies, apartment floors and any other areas designated by landlord exclusively for residential occupants.” While standard, this language becomes troublesome when the only …