Market Reports

Is the Current Bull Run for Chicago’s Hotel Sector Nearing an End?

by Christina Cannon February 4, 2016

The hotel industry has gained momentum over the last few years, with impressive increases in revenue per available room (RevPAR) and a continuing development boom in virtually all major markets across the Midwest and the nation. In the Chicago hotel market, RevPAR increased 7.2 percent in 2014 on a year-over-basis, according to STR Inc., and RevPAR was up 7.7 percent through the first 11 months of 2015. With consumer demand so strong and the development pipeline quite active, it might feel like the challenges of the last recession are long in the past. The reality, however, is that in a cyclical market the next downturn is never too far away. There are some indications that the ride may be slowing down and that the good times the region and the industry have enjoyed in recent years may be coming to an end. Oversupply Concerns While Chicago’s construction pipeline is smaller than a number of other metropolitan areas, it is the Windy City’s most robust development pipeline in recent memory. In aggregate, there will be a 20 percent increase in the room supply over three years. That could easily balloon to 25 percent with projects recently announced. This is very likely …

February 4, 2016

Connecticut Market Reports Northeast Northeast Market Reports Office

Tenants Have the Upper Hand in Stamford Office Market

by Jaime Lackey February 3, 2016

The Stamford, Connecticut, office market has everything going for it: proximity to New York City, a good transportation system, a wonderful quality of life, a superior public school network, great recreational possibilities being on Long Island Sound and great professionals. The one negative: almost zero growth in the state for the past 25 years in terms of both population and office-using jobs. This lack of growth has led to a very soft economic climate as it relates to office space. The vacancy rate for class A office space has hovered at more than 20 percent for the last seven years or more and has dipped below that only a few times since 1990. Vacancy Rate Favors Tenants In Fairfield County, the point of equilibrium is an office vacancy rate of approximately 15 percent. In other words, when the vacancy rate is 15 percent, neither landlords nor tenants have the upper hand in the negotiation of a lease transaction. In Stamford, the current vacancy rate resides at just over 23 percent — and that gives significant negotiating leverage to tenants that are looking for space. Interestingly enough, landlords of some of the better Class A institutional buildings are willing, and able, …

February 3, 2016

Industrial Market Reports New Jersey Northeast Northeast Market Reports

New Jersey Industrial Market Improves to Pre-recession Level

by Jaime Lackey February 3, 2016

With an increasing number of tenants seeking to relocate to New Jersey from parts of New York City, including Brooklyn and the Bronx, the Garden State’s industrial market is at its healthiest since first-quarter 2008. The amount of vacant space has now reached pre-recession levels, decreasing from 7.5 percent to 7.2 percent during the third quarter of 2015. Moreover, the vacancy rate experienced its best year-over-year improvement since the first quarter of 2014. Strong markets include central New Jersey submarkets Exit 8A, Exit 9/Brunswick, and Route 287 West, while the Meadowlands area remains the strongest submarket in northern New Jersey, followed by Exit 14/Newark near the port, and the Route 46/23/3 submarket. While transactions by large tenants, such as Amazon, dominated activity during the first half of the year, industrial buildings were filled up by smaller and mid-sized tenants during the third quarter of 2015. Retailers/wholesalers led the way, which is not surprising considering the continually growing e-commerce sector and recent increases in consumer spending. Supporting the recent economic resurgence of the sector, tenants in the manufacturing industry were also very active during the quarter, though many of their leases were small in size. Transportation companies also took space, enhancing …

February 3, 2016

Louisiana Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

New Orleans’ Retail Market Continues to Thrive 10 Years After Hurricane Katrina

by John Nelson February 1, 2016

New Orleans recently celebrated a significant milestone: the 10-year anniversary of Hurricane Katrina making landfall. Those familiar with the area’s commercial real estate market agree that the city continues to thrive in and around the metro area. Despite a low vacancy rate and shortage of commercial opportunities in downtown proper, competition is fierce for quality properties, and new-to-market retailers have moved into the area. From the market downtown to the immediate suburbs and surrounding parishes, the Big Easy is well-positioned for continuous, steady growth. Sharing a border with New Orleans, Jefferson Parish is the most populous parish in the state. Veterans Memorial Boulevard is a six-lane thoroughfare in Jefferson Parish, which remains the primary retail development corridor in the market with the 120-store Lakeside Shopping Center. One of the most desirable spans of commercial real estate, the seven-mile stretch of highway runs from the airport to the intersection of Jefferson Parish and Orleans Parish. After scouring the market for several years, Trader Joe’s recently announced its first New Orleans metro area store in one of the last undeveloped tracts on Veterans Memorial Boulevard. Another grocery retailer, The Fresh Market, opened its first Jefferson Parish store in July. In addition, the …

February 1, 2016

Georgia Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Mixed-Use Projects with Grocery Anchors Top the Bill for Atlanta Retail Market

by John Nelson January 25, 2016

Economic indicators that support the retail market in Atlanta, like unemployment and the addition of non-farm payroll jobs, show positive signs that the sector has recovered from the economic downturn. Unemployment dropped to 6.1 percent in July 2015, compared with 7.6 percent a year earlier, and companies are showing no signs of slowing down on the hiring process. Non-farm payroll jobs in July reached 2.58 million, an increase of 85,000 jobs, or 3.4 percent, from a year ago. Atlanta’s vacancy rate continues to fall, dropping from 8.1 percent earlier this year to 7.9 percent in the second quarter, according to CoStar. While space is hard to come by, the good news is that some developments are popping up. In fact, during the second quarter, 12 buildings were completed totaling 208,524 square feet. Mixed-use projects featuring multifamily units are still active, particularly when a grocery store anchor is involved. Fuqua Development is building a six-acre project on Piedmont Road near Cheshire Bridge Road that will feature 300 apartment units, as well as 34,000 square feet of retail space. Sprouts Farmers Market will anchor the retail space with a 26,000-square-foot store. Fuqua Development also broke ground on Kennesaw Marketplace in June. Academy …

January 25, 2016

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Missouri Multifamily

St. Louis Apartment Builders Play Catch-Up

by Christina Cannon January 21, 2016

Strong renter demand in the metro St. Louis apartment market helped boost annual effective rent growth by 3.6 percent in 2015, 200 basis points above the market’s long-term average, according to Axiometrics. An estimated 1,012 apartment units were delivered to the St. Louis market for all of 2015 compared with 2,378 units of absorption during the same period, reports Axiometrics. But with numerous projects in the pipeline, that ratio is likely to change over the next few years, say real estate experts. “We expect supply levels to increase in 2017 and for absorption to begin to struggle to keep up due to slowing job growth,” says Sophie Zatterstrom Gore, analyst with Axiometrics. But 2016 is a different story, she points out. Robust job growth will help absorption outpace new supply by about 600 units in 2016: 1,587 units of absorption versus 990 units of new supply. Such strong demand is giving a strong lift to real estate fundamentals in the local apartment sector. The average effective rent in the third quarter of 2015 was $914, which Axiometrics projects will rise to $948 by the end of 2016. The average vacancy rate is projected to fall from 6.3 percent at the …

January 21, 2016

Georgia Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Tech Firms are Bringing Atlanta’s Office Market Into the Modern Age

by John Nelson January 18, 2016

Atlanta’s office market offers key factors that are harder to come by in other top markets: stability and top universities. Because the city is so diverse, it is not reliant on any one type of business for survival. It’s less volatile, which is one factor that has allowed us to come back from the Great Recession, although slowly, in a more firm and healthy fashion. In line with the majority of the country, Atlanta is currently a landlord’s market. With continued occupancy gains and a shortage of new product, rents are increasing and will continue to do so until additional Class A product delivers and the price gap between existing buildings and new construction gets smaller. Overall office vacancy in Atlanta is as its lowest point in 14 years, with strong growth in rental rates. However, Atlanta still offers the best deal overall, as tenants, developers, owners and investors are able to take advantage of its low cost of living and operating costs, excellent quality of life and a rich local talent pool. Driving the Atlanta office market, we see the technology, advertising, media and information (TAMI) sector. CBRE recently released two tech-related reports that rank the top tech talent …

January 18, 2016

Georgia Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Atlanta’s Industrial Market Continues Historic Pace of Sales, Leasing Activity

by John Nelson January 11, 2016

Atlanta’s industrial market is hotter than the proverbial pistol. Second-quarter activity set a single-quarter record with more than 18.2 million square feet leased or sold. When added to the activity from the previous three quarters, Atlanta strung together more than 59.6 million square feet of completed transactions. This represents the second highest activity level ever recorded for a four-quarter period. There was more than 6.3 million square feet of positive net absorption. Combined with the previous three quarters, Atlanta shows a total of more than 19.7 million square feet of positive net absorption for the last four quarters. For the second quarter, the availability rate dropped one-tenth of a percent to 14 percent — the lowest it has been since the fourth quarter of 2000. And just four to five years ago, the overall availability rate was above 20 percent. Development and construction are absolutely booming. With more than 7 million square feet of new construction recorded during the second quarter, the market also set a record for new construction in a single quarter. When looking at the four-quarter total, we see more than 18.8 million square feet of new construction — a level not seen since 1998. Of that …

January 11, 2016

Industrial Market Reports Multifamily Office Retail Texas Texas Market Reports

Strong Economic Growth Continues in Waco

by Haisten Willis January 8, 2016

Greater Waco’s economy is on a roll. Positioned halfway between Dallas and Austin, Waco is a prime destination for companies and individuals wanting access to large metro areas without the hassles of traffic, expensive real estate and labor shortages. With newly completed facilities such as Baylor University’s McLane Stadium and major downtown redevelopment projects, Waco is hitting the radar for new development opportunities. October 2015 marked 43 months of positive economic growth for the area, with 4.8 percent growth in the third quarter of 2015 alone. Major organizations, including Baylor, continue to aid in elevating the status of Waco as a dominant player in the Central Texas region. Just as Texas has seen significant growth since 2008, so too has Waco. One major contributor to Waco’s economic success has been employment growth. Employers are creating new jobs in the area, with 1,600 more positions now in place, 113,700 compared to 112,100 in October 2014. Construction, manufacturing, healthcare, hospitality and logistics remain strong drivers for the economy. The result is a community with a 4.8 percent unemployment rate and residents with more disposable income. In fact, real median household income for the Waco MSA grew 5.8 percent, to $43,184, between the …

January 8, 2016

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Missouri Retail

IKEA Leads Retail Development in St. Louis

by Christina Cannon January 7, 2016

Without question 2015 was a “great year” for the St. Louis retail market, says Adam Glosier, senior vice president with Colliers International. “New users entered the market and few vacated. The St. Louis retail landscape benefitted from the continued expansion of organic grocers, sporting goods operators, quick service restaurants and soft goods retailers.” At the end of the third quarter, the vacancy rate stood at 7.1 percent, unchanged from the prior quarter but down from 8.2 percent a year earlier, according to CoStar Group. Net absorption totaled 579,206 square feet during the third quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to just under 900,000 square feet. Six new retail buildings were delivered in the third quarter, which collectively brought 612,595 square feet to the market. The gross leasable area (GLA) of the 29 buildings under construction at the end of the third quarter totaled 915,751 square feet. “There was a lot of activity in 2015 in the freestanding and small retailer market, as well as activity from junior anchors,” says Christopher Zoellner, senior vice president of retail with Balke Brown Transwestern. “This has created strong activity and a good pipeline going into 2016.” IKEA Makes ‘Big Splash’ A few retailers opening new …

January 7, 2016

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