Market Reports

Cincinnati’s central business district (CBD) is humming with activity, particularly in the office sector with nearly 13 million square feet of office space spread across 54 buildings. Class A office space has been in high demand in the past year as approximately 245,000 square feet was absorbed by area businesses, according to DTZ. During that time, the vacancy rate declined 380 basis points and now sits at 16.4 percent. The Banks, an 18-acre mixed-use development on the Ohio River between Great American Ball Park and Paul Brown Stadium, is driving much of the recent activity downtown. It links entertainment venues and connects the CBD to the waterfront via a riverfront park. A much-anticipated 340,000-square-foot office building is currently under construction there. The Banks’ office building, developed for General Electric’s new U.S. Global Operations Center, will accommodate up to 2,000 employees. The riverfront development edged out bids from other areas in the region, including Oakley and Mason, to land GE’s new operations center. In June, GE announced that it is leasing 80,000 square feet in the Atrium Two building on a three-year temporary basis, allowing the company time to set up operations during construction. Cincinnati Bell recently leased 220,000 square feet …

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In Providence, the Class A office market continues to maintain vacancy rates under 10 percent, with an overall office vacancy of about 14 percent. This trend should continue as there is not any new Class A office development on the horizon for the capital city. There have been a few larger market transactions in Providence over the past 12 months. Waldorf Capital Management, a local real estate investment firm, purchased the Turks Head Building (150,000 rentable square feet) in late 2014. In addition, 170 Westminster Street (65,000 rentable square feet) recently traded; according to local rumor, the property will be converted to residential apartments. If 170 Westminster comes out of circulation, this will have a positive impact on the Class B vacancy rate in the city. Just south of the city on the 195 redevelopment land — dubbed “The Link” by the 195 Commission — work is just about complete to make the 19 available acres “shovel ready.” The 195 Commission has been successful in fully negotiating two purchase and sale agreements. The first is for student housing and the second is mixed-use residential. However, both projects are contingent on an acceptable tax stabilization agreement from the city, which has …

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Hawaii is one of – if not the – top-performing industrial market in the country. The city and county of Honolulu, which contains Hawaii’s main shipping port, had a low vacancy rate of 2.05 percent at the end of the first quarter. This vacancy rate peaked at 4.8 percent in 2009. Significant gains have been made since then. The direct weighted average asking net rental rate for industrial users in Honolulu was $13.80 per square foot (NNN) at the end of the first quarter, while operating expenses ran an additional $5.16 per square foot, per year on top of that. Having bottomed out after the downturn in 2009 at $11.20 per square foot, the Honolulu market has gained almost 24 percent since then. Land values have also followed suit. Hawaii is definitely not Chicago or Los Angeles. In fact, both of those markets have individual industrial parks greater in size than the entire Hawaii marketplace, at 39 million square feet. Having said this, Hawaii is in the midst of a construction and tourism boom, with billions of dollars being allocated to urban core renewal projects, light rail, resort renovations and new residential developments. Up until recently, this renewal had occurred …

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All Aboard Miami

Downtown Miami is on fire by any measure. The neighborhood is home to more construction cranes than any other place in the U.S., businesses are moving in and expanding on an almost daily basis, hotel room rates and occupancy levels are at all-time highs, and new residents are relocating here from all over the world. A recent study by the Miami Downtown Development Authority found that greater downtown Miami’s residential population has literally doubled in size — from 40,000 people to 80,000 people — since 2000. Another 200,000 people commute to the area each day for business. The area’s commercial real estate market has closely followed this trajectory of growth, with Downtown Miami and the Brickell Financial District welcoming more than 2 million square feet of new Class A office product in the last five years. Strong demand among domestic and multinational companies, along with an improving economy, has resulted in positive absorption and record-setting lease rates in excess of $50 per square foot for premium space. Land values in downtown are also reaching new heights as developers spend as much as $125 million for one acre on the water. All of this is creating a steep barrier to entry …

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Eagle-Park

The Dallas/Fort Worth industrial market is one of the biggest and most strategically important in North America. With an inventory of more than 500 million square feet of warehouse and distribution space, the DFW industrial market serves a metro area of 6.8 million people and a larger region that stretches to Mexico. More than 70 percent of goods exported to Mexico roll through the metro area, and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has been a huge driver of those exports. These days, the industrial market is buoyed by a local economy that is outpacing most of the nation’s major metros. In March, Dallas/Fort Worth registered an unemployment rate of 4 percent, compared to 5.9 percent in Atlanta, 6 percent in New York, 6.4 percent in Chicago and 6.6 percent in Los Angeles, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The GDP also grew by a healthy 2.2 percent in 2014. Dallas/Fort Worth’s economic momentum has heightened demand for industrial space. The first quarter of 2015 marked the 18th consecutive quarter of positive absorption, according to CBRE. The DFW industrial market has been among the top five markets in absorption over the past several years, and this impressive …

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The Cleveland retail market has shown a dramatic recovery over the last five years. The overall vacancy rate has fallen from just over 14 percent in 2011 to slightly under 9 percent at the beginning of 2015, and rental rates have noticeably increased. As a result, there have been some landmark sales as part of a brisk investment market and new retail development has started in earnest. However, there are also some high-profile retail centers that continue to be plagued by a variety of issues, in spite of the market’s turnaround. Nearly $400 million of retail properties have changed hands over the last 12 months and this sector is the most active of all the property types. While local investors have certainly played a part, the majority of the buyers have been from outside the region. Among the most active non-local purchasers has been a pair of REITs — Inland Real Estate Corp. (NYSE: IRC) and Devonshire REIT. Recent purchases by Inland include Creekside Commons, a 200,000-square-foot center that sold for $28.3 million and Cedar Center North, a 60,000-square-foot center that sold for $15.4 million. Meanwhile, Devonshire REIT has acquired The Plaza at Chapel Hills, a 450,000-square-foot center that sold …

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Rhode Island’s retail market continues to improve, although not to the point that new ground-up major projects are feasible. There is considerable activity with retailers expanding and absorbing the existing supply of retail space. In the past few years, a lot of the activity has focused on absorbing the mid-size boxes that went dark after the start of the recession, due to the closings of stores such as Circuit City, Linens ’N Things, and Borders. The leasing activity over the last several years seems to be the final stages of the absorption of these vacant boxes. As the supply of these existing anchor spaces continues to be reduced, the health of the retail market continues to improve with the result being a slight upward pressure on rents. The 500,000-square-foot Garden City Center in Cranston, which first opened in 1948, continues to upgrade its tenants, with The Wilder Company’s ongoing multi-year expansion and renovation of Rhode Island’s premier open-air mixed-use shopping center. New tenants opening over the last year include The Container Store, which has taken 25,000 square feet, as well as French natural skin care retailer L’Occitane and natural burger concept b. good. Additional new leases have been signed with …

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The industrial market in Los Angeles County is extremely tight and shows no signs of letting up as the trend for conversion of industrial property to creative office space by tech and media industries is very prevalent. Many industrial property owners either sell their assets and realize major equity gains with the new buyer planning a conversion, or choose to convert it to creative office themselves, garnering two to four times the rental rate for creative space. The vacancy rate of 3.2 percent in the first quarter of 2015 was parallel to that of the last quarter of 2014. To give some perspective, the downward trend of industrial vacancy has continued since the second quarter of 2013 when vacancy posted at a 5 percent rate. Additionally, the majority of larger industrial development in the region is build-to-suit product, which has virtually no impact on vacancy. The Downtown Los Angeles industrial market continues this trend of industrial property conversion to creative office. The Arts District is ground zero for this. While the rejuvenation and gentrification of Downtown is a welcome sight, the industrial users are now having to relocate, seeking other spaces throughout the LA basin. Many of these users are …

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Three Alliance Center Buckhead

The Atlanta office market continues to gain steam. Although Atlanta was slower to rebound from the recession than many U.S. markets, it was only a matter of time before the city’s numerous strengths — including its low cost of living, pro-business environment, excellent labor pool, above-average household income and strong university systems — placed it on a path of sustained recovery. The Atlanta office market has posted 13 consecutive quarters of occupancy gains. Strong absorption and limited development are exerting upward pressure on rental rates, particularly in the Class A market. There are also some significant new trends. While there was previously a clear “flight to quality” that enabled tenants to take advantage of rent bargains and concessions at Class A properties, diminishing space options and the pricier rental rate environment are causing tenants to consider Class B properties as a more economically viable alternative. Still, it is yet another sign of the overall recovery in Atlanta’s office sector that we are seeing an increase in rental rates and a decrease in landlord concessions in the Class B sector as well. The rebound of Atlanta’s office sector is not lost on investors. Strong tenant demand and the rise in rental …

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Job growth in New York City is expected to reach a new high in 2015 with the addition of 92,500 jobs. This spike in employment will bode well for retail owners. Drawn by the strong economy, several retailers are expanding in the city, including Lowe’s, which already has two locations in Brooklyn and one in Queens. In the second half of 2015, Lowe’s will open its first two stores in Manhattan. Apple plans to open shop in Brooklyn; they’ve signed a long-term lease for a 20,000-square-foot store at 247 Bedford Avenue at the corner of North Third Street in Williamsburg. As retailers ramp up their presence in the five boroughs, the vacancy rate is going to reach a new multi-year low. Vacancy for retail properties in 2015 will fall to 3.9 percent on net absorption in excess of 2.8 million square feet. Tightening vacancy will allow for operators to increase asking rents for the fourth consecutive year and will encourage builders to start new projects. Currently, builders are on track to deliver 2.5 million square feet of retail space in 2015, increasing stock by 1.2 percent. The most notable project scheduled for delivery is the Westfield World Trade Center, a …

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