The retail market in Los Angeles is demonstrating exponential growth. Rents are going up, cap rates are going down and occupancy is soaring. Naturally, as lease prices rise, so do sale prices. As such, it is becoming increasingly difficult for investors to find opportunities where substantial rent growth is possible. Tenant competition is also fierce, and landlords are benefitting from extremely high demand throughout the market. Competition Abounds It’s only natural that retailers are competing over space as occupancy rises. One trend that has emerged in Los Angeles is competition among not only direct competitors, but indirect competitors as well. For example, a small grocer might compete with a Ross Dress 4 Less for the same location. Fueling this competition is an increase in large national retailers seeking out smaller urban spaces in downtown areas. Target, for example, is opening a store in LA’s Koreatown on Vermont and 6th streets at the base of a high-rise apartment building. When national soft goods chains open in urban hubs, there will be an evolution of retail surrounding those stores. Smaller discount stores and mom-and-pop retailers will likely suffer, which will lead to vacancies that tend to open the doors for new specialty …
Market Reports
An apartment building boom is encouraging a consistent march of new residents to select sections of Baltimore City, and the construction of new retail venues to support this emerging audience has followed in lockstep. The last several years has seen the opening of stylish shopping centers featuring national anchor tenants such as Harris Teeter and Target, including The Shops at Canton Crossing, a 330,000-square-foot retail shopping center situated within the city’s east side, as well as McHenry Row, located in the Locust Point section of the city (next to Under Armour’s headquarters). Other notable retail developments underway in Baltimore City are the capital improvement and re-invention program at Harborplace; The Stadium Square, a $250 million mixed-use project situated near M&T Bank Stadium; the $25 million facelift being given to Lexington Market, a collection of 100 food vendors; the ongoing retail build-out of Harbor East (the recognized “place to be and be seen” spot of the city); and the initiation of construction on Harbor Point, the site of the new Exelon Corp. headquarters (the company merging with Constellation Energy). Baltimore County is Booming Owings Mills, Towson and White Marsh are the sites of four significant projects, several of which have been …
When people come to Corpus Christi, many of them expect to find a community that has been devastated by the downturn caused by the oversupply of cheap oil and gas. They expect a community with rising unemployment and vacant buildings. Based on the past, they would be correct. However, Corpus Christi and the Coastal Bend have been experiencing a major transformation of their economy, which is now much more diverse. This is partly because of the leadership, hard work and vision of its people, and partly because of good luck caused by the infrastructure that had been put in place by the Port of Corpus Christi. This infrastructure was at the right place at the right time. The Port of Corpus Christi has always been a driving force and major contributor to the economy of Corpus Christi. The port’s leaders knew that if they didn’t make some major changes, they would not remain competitive. The Port of Corpus Christi is the fifth largest port in the U.S. in total tonnage. However, because of the depth of the port channel and the height of the harbor bridge which crosses over the port, the newer, larger ships could not enter the port. …
Consumers’ desire for shopping convenience and lower prices is driving online retail sales up, accounting for 7.2 percent of total U.S. retail sales so far in 2015, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. And that percentage is expected to double by 2020. It’s no wonder that the popularity of online shopping also is spurring growth in the industrial segment of commercial real estate, particularly in central Indiana. Over the past three years, the growth of e-commerce has accounted for 55 percent of total industrial net absorption in the United States. In 2015 alone, e-commerce has been responsible for 31 percent of industrial net absorption year to date. During the current expansion, the Indianapolis industrial market ranks eighth among all U.S. industrial markets in terms of total net absorption, according to Cushman & Wakefield. In the second quarter of this year, net absorption for modern bulk space totaled 1.6 million square feet, more than any other industrial segment in the market. Since 2013, nearly 15 percent of industrial square footage leased in metro Indianapolis has been related to e-commerce. The FedEx Factor With a compound annual growth rate of 14 percent since 2008, e-commerce has driven retailers to establish dedicated dot-com …
Three major storylines are playing out in Baltimore, the northern part of the one-two city punch that combines for more than 9 million people and forms the fourth-largest metropolitan region of the country. These three sub-plots each contribute to the larger vernacular of the Charm City story. The activity in the office sector is occurring against the backdrop of a robust warehouse/industrial market, as national companies are recognizing the attractiveness of the Port of Baltimore and access to the Eastern Seaboard. Baltimore is also enjoying the healthiest retail environments seen in years, highlighted by the construction of new large-scale shopping centers to service Millennials and empty-nesters moving downtown. 1. Shifting Blocks of Space Two separate 200,000-square-foot blocks of prime office space are moving to the now-under-construction Harbor Point overlooking Baltimore’s Inner Harbor, the development centerpiece of the Constellation Energy Group merger with Exelon Corp. Upon completion, the former industrial brownfield site will feature more than 1.6 million square feet of commercial office space. Add in a separate 200,000-square-foot move by the Baltimore headquarters of M&T Bank from 25 S. Charles St. (with sources indicating the company may back-fill the space themselves) and you have pretty large shoes to fill in …
It is a great time to be a multifamily owner in San Diego. Vacancies are at the low rate of 4.1 percent for the county, while rent growth is at its highest level since 2011. Cap rates and interest rates are still at record lows, and we are slowly seeing an increase in inventory as owners realize values are higher than ever. We will soon see a rise in interest rates, and can expect a reduction in values as the cash-on-cash returns are reduced. For every 100 basis points of increase in rates, we may see up to a 6.7 percent reduction in value. Rental market performance, according to the San Diego County Apartment Association, has weighted averages in San Diego up to: $974: Studios $1,301: one-bedroom $1,609: two -bedrooms $1,943: three -bedrooms South Bay has the highest vacancies at 5.1 percent, while North County has the lowest at 3.1 percent. Chase, one of the largest lenders in San Diego, is expecting rent growth of 35 percent over the next five years. This news is encouraging as the market has been flat in San Diego for years. There were 139 apartment buildings with 50 units or less that sold in …
The transformation of downtown Baltimore into a contemporary world-class city began nearly two decades ago, but over the past few years it has irrefutably evolved into a true 24/7 city and a top-tier housing market that is nationally recognized by the investment community. An influx of commercial investment drove job growth, which inevitably boosted downtown Baltimore’s daytime population. But what is remarkable is how many of these individuals also decided to become city residents. The number of degree-holding young people living in downtown Baltimore increased by 92 percent between 2000 and 2010, exceeding the pace of 20-something magnet cities like New York and Boston. Whether it was the chicken or the egg, this new group of residents favored a rental urban lifestyle, and downtown Baltimore delivered nearly 4,700 new apartments between 2000 and 2010. Ambitious developers John Paterakis and Michael S. Beatty paved the way in the late 1990s with the development of Harbor East, which congregates upscale retailers, Class A office space and luxury rental apartments. Its immediate success filled a niche in the market and spurred growth in other communities around the Inner Harbor, including the Ritz-Carlton. As this wave of development continued throughout the 2000s, slowly but …
The San Diego retail market had another positive quarter, which built on the strength of the local economy. Strong job growth and low unemployment led to positive net absorption and a spike in sales activities. The unemployment rate decreased across the board. San Diego posted a 4.9 percent rate, a post-recession low for overall unemployment. This is the first time San Diego unemployment has been sub-5 percent since the beginning of 2008. Local San Diego retail employment has been steadily increasing by 2.4 percent over the past five years, according to CBRE Econometric Advisors. Annual growth for the next five years, however, is expected to be relatively flat. Despite the lack of space, there have been a few construction deliveries. Most of the current retail construction in San Diego is from mixed-use development and property renovations. Westfield plans to spend $500 million to expand its center at UTC. It will also spend $300 million in Carlsbad where it plans intends to transform an indoor mall into an open-air center. Regional malls are leading the trend, and smaller centers like Flower Hill Promenade and Del Mar Heights Town Center are keeping up with them. One of the most significant signings this …
Chattanooga is Enjoying a Boom of Office, Retail and Hotel Activity Amid its Urban Renewal.
by John Nelson
Chattanooga is situated at a U-turn of the Tennessee River amidst forests and mountains, hence the community’s nickname, Scenic City. Two of Chattanooga’s largest employers are Volkswagen, which has a plant here, and Amazon, which runs a distribution center in the city. Insurance firm Unum Group, a Fortune 500 Company founded in 1848, is headquartered here and is one of the larger occupiers of downtown office space. Long-known for its natural resources and as a tourism destination, Chattanooga is experiencing a real estate boom fueled by urbanization trends and its proximity to Atlanta (2 hours south) and Nashville (1.5 hours northwest), as well as its growing recognition as one of the South’s top tourism and entertainment venues. Key to the urban renewal is the conversion of dozens of properties — mostly from office uses to residential, retail or hotel uses. The combination of the Great Recession and a 2009 move by BlueCross BlueShield into a new $229 million downtown facility has led to the relatively high vacancy rate of 17.5 percent that persisted up until early 2014. Most of the 600,000 square feet of facilities vacated by BlueCross BlueShield were not suitable for multi-tenanted office use and the spaces would …
El Paso is a thriving community with active investments across the area ranging from redevelopment of its downtown to new infrastructure across the city. Notable for being the safest city in the Unites States, El Paso is the sixth largest city in Texas and a vital part of one of the largest borderplex metropolitan economies in the world. The city is the focal point of more than $88 billion of the $530 billion annual trade between the United States and its third largest trading partner, Mexico. But trade isn’t the only industry thriving in El Paso, other sectors such as education and healthcare continue on a strong path forward given stable population growth and a significant military base. The City of El Paso has a population just over 679,000. Its metropolitan statistical area, composed of El Paso County and the more recently added Hudspeth County, is home to over 837,000 individuals. The area is projected to grow to nearly 863,000 residents by 2016. Historically, El Paso is among the fastest-growing metropolitan areas in the nation with an average growth per decade of 21 percent from 1960 to 2010. According to a recent report by the UTEP Border Region Modeling Project, …