While it was unfortunate to see retail vacancy in Eastern Massachusetts on the upswing during 2014, it was more than offset by new retail construction as major development resurfaced. At year-end, total retail inventory was 191.6 million square feet, an increase from the prior year of approximately 2.1 million square feet. Vacant retail space in the region was up more than 1.3 million square feet, due to major contractions and liquidations such as Building 19, Dots, and Shaw’s Supermarkets. Net absorption ended the year ahead by 712,500 square feet. The 10 towns with the greatest retail supply remain in place from a year ago with one exception: thanks to new Walmart Supercenter and Sam’s Club locations, Fall River replaced Peabody. The top retail hub is Boston, followed by Cambridge, Natick, Brockton and Framingham. Among communities with at least 500,000 square feet of retail space, five towns broke into the top 10 with lowest vacancy rates: Foxboro, Hingham, Hudson, Danvers, and Everett. Abington remained at the top with a 1.2 percent vacancy rate. Foxborough made the biggest leap — up from 58th last year — as the result of Patriot Place filling significant vacancy, and Ocean State Job Lot opening in …
The Nashville retail market continues to gain momentum. With approximately 338,773 square feet of retail construction underway, Nashville remains in a growth and expansion phase, with nationally recognized retail that offers unique options for tourists and locals. In 2014, approximately 53 restaurants opened, most notably Chauhan Ale and Masala House, Sinema, Prima, Acme Feed & Seed, Adele’s, City Winery, Two Ten Jack, Moto Cucina + Enoteca, Epice and Party Foul. Most of these landed in hot neighborhoods — The Gulch, East Nashville, 12th South, SoBro and Germantown. Nationally and locally we’re seeing demand for grocery-anchored retail. Demand has outstripped supply by a long shot. Major grocers own much of their real estate, and Publix followed suit in 2014, acquiring some centers it anchors, leaving fewer investor opportunities that will drive pricing and also move some investors into opportunities anchored by regional or independent grocers, or shadow-anchored assets. We actually expect non-retail projects to change the dynamic in Nashville in 2015. Within the Downtown loop, retail was non-existent, but with 1,000 new hotel rooms, 2,493 residential units and several new office projects under construction, bringing 5,000 more workers downtown, retail will follow. The $232.6 million Highwoods development for Bridgestone’s U.S. headquarters …
There is no denying that most, if not all, industrial markets across Texas were exposed to the economic effects of the “Great Recession.” McAllen and the Rio Grande Valley of Texas were no different. However, today Texas markets are again thriving with activity and occupancy above recession-contracted rates. Trends for McAllen—the seventh largest industrial market in Texas—are following suit. Economic The McAllen-Edinburg-Mission metropolitan statistical area (MSA) has evolved as a vital part of the dynamic Rio Grande Valley in south Texas. Once a rural and agricultural region, the area is now one of the fastest growing in Texas, fueled by accelerated population growth, economic development and a booming neighboring industrial market in north-central and northeastern Mexico. Data from the U.S. Census Bureau show that the McAllen MSA, also defined as Hidalgo County, has almost tripled in population since 1980, from 283,323 to 815,996 in 2013. Likewise, an overall Metro Business Cycle Index produced by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas places the McAllen MSA as the second most improved metropolitan area in Texas and first among the border markets, relative to its own base since 1980. The index, which summarizes the broad movements in nonagricultural employment, the unemployment rate, real …
The big story in the St. Louis office market is that available Class A space continues to become more scarce. As we watch the larger blocks of space being absorbed, and as Class A asking rates continue to increase, the probability for new development seems inevitable, leaving some property owners wondering if they should move forward and build. Although little new office construction is underway, the tightening market has undoubtedly prompted conversations. Expect projects to surface once developers land their first major tenant. The most likely submarkets for new development are in Clayton and West County, where many tenants requiring more than 25,000 contiguous square feet of office space are looking. You cannot have a full recovery for office occupancy until employment increases and the abundance of empty desks is absorbed. The local unemployment rate reached its peak of 10.9 percent in February 2010. The good news is that the unemployment rate hit a six-year low of 5.4 percent in October 2014. This significant drop can be attributed to the gain of over 11,000 jobs since January 2014 in the professional and business services sector. The St. Louis office market ended the year at a 10.5 vacancy rate, with Class …
The New Castle County office market includes roughly 16 million square feet of total inventory with nearly 3 million square feet of that vacant. Vacancy in Class A space has improved somewhat as tenants take advantage of market conditions but these moves have not had much impact on overall vacancy rate. Jackson Cross Partners reports 2014 absorption of 80,000 square feet; although positive, this indicates we have years of recovery before a healthy overall vacancy rate is reached. We are seeing a number of projects that will have some impact on reducing inventory and improving vacancy rates as marginal office space is redeveloped for various non-office uses. These projects include: • A group of local investors purchased 1001 Jefferson Street in the city of Wilmington, which contains 170,000 square feet of office space on approximately 1.4 acres in May 2014, following a failed auction process. The building was recently demolished and the site is now being improved for surface parking, at least temporarily. Although a new office project is not being ruled out down the road, the site is being marketed for other uses, including residential and retail. • 1300 Market Street, also in the City of Wilmington, containing 62,000 …
Before raising the curtain on 2015, it is important to understand how the stage has been set. The Phoenix industrial sector continues to build for changes in the market. Local and national developers delivered 6.3 million square feet of speculative industrial warehousing in the market last year, primarily due to big box projects. While most of these projects were in the Southwest Phoenix submarket, we have seen construction in the Sky Harbor and Southeast Valley submarkets as well. The national economy continues to improve slowly, and while activity levels during the numerous projects have been steady, closed deals for large blocks of space continue to be elusive. Although net absorption was positive by the end of last year, lease transaction volumes were mostly in the 50,000 to 200,000 square feet range. This prompted developers to modify their efforts by offering to divide their big boxes to accommodate partial building tenants, where prior expectations were geared toward single-tenant, full-building occupancy. There were still several big box projects under construction by the end of last year. This includes projects by Wentworth Properties, Trammel Crow/Clarion Partners, Conor Commercial, Hillwood and several other projects in shovel-ready position. Those ready to break ground include Prologis, …
As 2015 begins, the Raleigh-Durham market continues to see heavy investment and development interest in the multifamily sector. Strong fundamentals, including an influx of young professionals lured by healthy job growth, an emergent live-work-play atmosphere and an economy that has continued to outpace its national counterpart, justify the area’s reign as one of the most attractive non-gateway markets in the country. The healthy, long-term fundamentals are challenged by an apartment construction pipeline that is among the nation’s most active, but so far the market is performing remarkably well. Construction starts in the area have exploded during the last two years, and there are now 8,835 units under construction throughout the Triangle area, with an additional 4,919 units proposed, according to Real Data. Whether demand can keep up with supply has been a widely debated topic among real estate analysts. The high number of units delivered represents an increase in supply of 9.3 percent over the past 24 months. Strong demand has shielded the region from notable occupancy declines. In the first half of 2014, 2,453 units were absorbed and 2,642 new units were completed, providing a differential of only 189 units, according to Real Data. Average vacancy ticked up to …
Everyone is buzzing about the significant amount of speculative construction all over Texas. For the first time since 2008, San Antonio’s office construction is picking up the pace with 928,395 square feet of speculative development underway. Local developers with conservative land positions are taking the lead on all of these developments as they respond to an increasing need for relevant office building options for corporate firms—something San Antonio has not had since 2009, when Concord Park II, Overlook at the Rim, Plaza Las Campanas and others were delivered. Both the Far North Central and Northwest submarkets have witnessed the bulk of recent absorption activity, offering newer, more efficient office options near the more modern residential subdivisions and retail developments. The Northwest submarket also accounts for one-third of San Antonio’s total rentable building area for office space. As of Q4 2014, the Northwest submarket absorbed 342,927 square feet, while the North Central submarket absorbed 312,856 square feet. Two great examples of success in these submarkets are WestRidge One at La Cantera (completed in Q4 2014) and Éilan Buildings I and II (completed in Q1 2011). These two projects are responsible for 253,976 square feet of absorption in the past two years …
The Phoenix retail market ended 2014 on a promising note, with vacancy rates dipping below 10 percent for the first time since the Great Recession ended. It also experienced net absorption of more than 2 million square feet of retail space. Expectations for 2015 are positive, and continued improvement is anticipated, albeit slower than we might have hoped. While many segments of the market have improved, lackluster job growth and housing sales have slowed the recovery. However, both areas show signs of improvement for the coming year. Forecasts estimate Phoenix will add about 70,000 jobs in 2015, bringing the total number close to the pre-recession total. The demand for single-family housing should improve with the continuance of low interest rates, job growth and investor interest. The market is finally showing signs it is on the upward path to recovery. Leasing activity for Class A space remains strong, while rental rates are on the rise. We have seen marked improvement in some areas like Scottsdale where rates for Class A space in centers like The Marketplace at Lincoln & Scottsdale and Hilton Village are approaching or surpassing $40 per square foot, and where vacancy rates are below 6 percent. In contrast, …
In a city known for its fast-shifting real estate cycles and ever-changing demographics, it’s becoming clear that change is the only real constant in Miami. Examples are everywhere — from the construction cranes dotting the skyline and trendy neighborhoods emerging throughout the region, to a fresh crop of international investors and the launch of entirely new industries. The makeup of our people is also evolving. A report by the Miami Downtown Development Authority (DDA) found that the city’s urban core has experienced 100 percent population growth since 2000 as its population becomes younger and more educated. Residents ages 25 to 44 make up 46 percent of the population and 58 percent of residents over the age of 25 have a college degree. It’s easy to overlook the impact these trends are having on commercial real estate in favor of Miami’s headline-grabbing residential market, but the demographic shifts taking place are also impacting the office market as employers cultivate a workforce increasingly dominated by Millennials drawn to growth-oriented jobs. This change has been in the making for years as Miami’s public and private sectors invest in creating new business opportunities for young professionals across industries less prone to economic swings, such …