Market Reports

Global, National Brands Heat Up Nashville’s Industrial Market

by John Nelson March 16, 2015

Jack Daniels, FedEx and Gibson Guitar are a few international brands that already call Tennessee home, and the list has expanded over the past two years, as major brands have chosen to grow their operations in Middle Tennessee. Recent industrial relocations including Under Armour, Beretta and Hankook Tire are a few notable companies that chose Nashville over other major markets in the U.S. In addition, existing companies such as General Motors, FedEx and Nissan continue to expand their footprint in the region, creating more jobs and building larger facilities. All of this activity has created the demand for more site-ready properties that can accommodate build-to-suit projects and be delivered quickly. Nashville’s continued evolution as the South’s leading auto manufacturing hub, as well as its favorable central location, has bode well for the industrial market over the last few years. Favorable Fundamentals Nashville’s industrial market vacancy rate of 7.1 percent at the end of fourth-quarter 2014 is the lowest it has been since the fourth quarter of 2008, and the 2014 total net absorption has reached more than 2.25 million square feet, the highest absorption since 2006. This year is projected to be a banner year for new construction with multiple …

March 16, 2015

Industrial Market Reports Texas Texas Market Reports

Need for Smaller Spaces Drives Austin Industrial Development

by Haisten Willis March 13, 2015

Austin is happening. The city was ranked No. 1 for small business growth by Forbes.com and No. 1 in Kiplinger Finance Magazine’s “10 Best Cities for the Next Decade.” Steady population growth has created demand for virtually all real estate product types in Austin. While the office market and vertical condo developments grab most of the headlines, the regional industrial real estate market has recovered significantly from the recession and is expanding in lock step with the overall economy. The Texas capital is now the 11th most populous city in the U.S. and the fourth largest in Texas. From a population of 132,459 in 1950, the city grew to 465,622 in 1990, 656,562 in 2000, 790,390 in 2010 and an estimated 865,504 today. More new industrial product was delivered in Austin last year, approximately 675,000 square feet, than any year since 2008. Another 550,000 square feet of industrial property is expected to deliver this year. In a market of 46 million square feet in total, these are robust years for industrial development. Net absorption for the year was 376,279 square feet, according to Xceligent. While positive, it was substantially less than the 887,544 square feet of net absorption in 2013. …

March 13, 2015

Industrial Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Ohio

Demand for High-Quality Industrial Space in Toledo Greatly Exceeds Supply

by Danielle Everson March 12, 2015

Industrial real estate market fundamentals in the Toledo, Ohio, area remained quite sound at the end of 2014. Most key indices showed stability or improvement. The most noteworthy statistic is the 2.3 million square feet of positive net absorption recorded in the second half of the year — the highest amount in recent memory. The lion’s share of the absorbed space can be attributed to the delivery of the 1.6 million-square-foot Home Depot warehouse in Troy Township. Even if the Home Depot deal is excluded from the data, the total absorption notched in the third and fourth quarters was impressive. Absorption would have been higher had the nearly 400,000-square-foot former Ace Hardware distribution center in Perrysburg Township not become vacant. In 2014, Ace announced that it would relocate its warehouse in the Columbus, Ohio area. Dearth of Suitable Space Despite the generally strong performance of the industrial real estate sector this past year, one senses that many of the players in the market are feeling some level of frustration. The frustration stems from the sentiment that things could be better — a result of the generally tight supply of buildings and the even tighter supply of the right types of …

March 12, 2015

Market Reports Massachusetts Northeast Northeast Market Reports Office

Boston Office Market: Can 2015 Top a Blockbuster 2014?

by Jaime Lackey March 11, 2015

By all measures, 2014 was the strongest year in recent memory for the Boston office market. With an approximate 1.8 million square feet of positive net absorption, nearly 5 million square feet of tenant demand, and continued development around the city, Boston remained one the country’s strongest markets. It’s not news that proximity to parking, public transportation, restaurants, bars and other amenities keeps employees happy. But Boston’s escalating prices mean cost-conscious companies must evaluate their downtown options — which means they have begun trading other items of importance, such as locational cachet, space configuration, look, feel and ultimately building type, for access to amenities. As a result, if 2013 was the year of the Seaport, then 2014 was the year of Downtown Crossing (DTX). With the renovation of 10 Summer Street and Havas’ 120,000-square-foot move to the Millennium redevelopment complete, other companies have followed suit. The third and fourth quarters brought more than 250,000 square feet of deals to 500 Washington Street. Carbonite and Sonos took 52,000 square feet and 170,000 square feet, respectively, in the third quarter, while Safari Books Online took 30,000 square feet in the fourth. Prominent national non-profit Year Up also consolidated its headquarters near DTX …

March 11, 2015

California Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

San Diego’s Office Landscape is Changing

by Nellie Day March 10, 2015

San Diego’s core commercial office markets continue to tighten. Less than 1 million square feet was added last year, while more than 1.2 million square feet was absorbed. In 2014, construction commenced on the first speculative high-rise office project since Hines’ La Jolla Commons I in 2008. The Irvine Company plans to deliver a 306,000-square-foot, Class A development called One La Jolla Center in UTC this year. This project follows on the heels of the adjacent 415,000-square-foot, build-to-suit for LPL. This activity points to a strengthening market as developers, equity partners and lenders believe the benefit outweighs the risk of speculative development. Sorrento Mesa also received 410,000 square feet of new office space at 10001 Pacific Heights Blvd. last year that was pre-committed by owner-user Qualcomm. The overall vacancy rate for the core markets in three San Diego regions (Downtown, Central and North County) was reduced to 11.5 percent by year’s end, indicating a tight market for users. Rent spikes can be anticipated when vacancy rates shrink to single digits. This should occur this year in submarkets like the Uptown area (5.5 percent), Poway (5.4 percent), Rancho Bernardo (6.8 percent), North Beach Cities (5.7 percent), Torrey Pines (8.0 percent), Sorrento …

March 10, 2015

Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Thriving Economy Fuels New Class A Office Development in Nashville

by John Nelson March 9, 2015

Nashville is now an established growth leader regionally and nationally. The city was a national trailblazer as the U.S. economy recovered from the Great Recession. That head start positioned Nashville to take advantage of broader growth trends and stay ahead of the pack as the remainder of the region and country started to grow again. Moody’s Analytics places Nashville firmly in an expansion phase, with fourth quarter employment growth 330 basis points ahead of the prior year, in-migration driving single-family housing permits up 13 percent last year and accelerating wage growth. Quoting Moody’s, “With the commercial real estate market tightening quickly, the pace of hiring will soon be contingent on how quickly new offices can be built or renovated. Yet there is still a good chance office-using employment could beat expectations, especially after 2016.” Class A buildings continue to dominate growth. Overall absorption for 2014 totaled 666,639 square feet, while Class A absorption was 689,009 square feet. Absorption exceeded construction by over 200,000 square feet, and Class A vacancy dropped from 5 percent at the beginning of the year to 3.5 percent at year-end. Vacancy that low inhibits movement, as is obvious in Brentwood with only 45,000 square feet vacant, …

March 9, 2015

Market Reports Midwest Texas Texas Market Reports

Migration to Central Texas Fuels Austin Multifamily Market

by Haisten Willis March 6, 2015

Austin continues to be one of the hottest multifamily markets in the country due to its exceptional economic and population growth. According to Angelou Economics, Austin gained 39,100 jobs in 2014, a growth rate of 4.5 percent. In the 12 months ending in November 2014, Austin experienced an unemployment rate of 3.9 percent, well below the national average of 5.6 percent, according to numbers published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fueled largely by the city’s increased hiring in the tech sector, Austin had an in-migration of 66,000 people in 2014, a growth rate of 3.5 percent. The city attracts residents from all over the country due to the low cost of living, the University of Texas college atmosphere, the beautiful hill country setting, and internationally renowned events such as Austin City Limits, Formula 1 Grand Prix and ESPN’s Summer X-Games to name a few. Supported by technology, creative industry jobs and the seat of state government, the Austin MSA was recently ranked No. 2 on Forbes magazine’s list of “America’s Fastest Growing Metros,” down from the No. 1 position the city held for the previous four years. The U.S. Census Bureau estimates Austin will exceed 2 million residents …

March 6, 2015

Illinois Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Retail

Several Factors Keeping Retail Construction in Check Across Metro Chicago

by Danielle Everson March 5, 2015

Mid-America Real Estate’s annual Chicagoland Shopping Center Report shows construction completions totaled 2.4 million square feet in 2014, a slight uptick from the 2.26 million square feet completed in 2013. Looking ahead, 2015 should yield a little over 2 million square feet, which will likely prove to be within the normal range for development going forward. However, this is significantly less than the 8.3 million square feet completed in 2007. One of the primary causes of this decline is the demand for new shopping center space in the suburbs is primarily limited to single users, predominately grocery stores. While the demand for multi-tenant retail developments in urban markets remains high, the barriers to entry are significant. Consider, for example, that of the combined 26 new projects delivered in 2014 and planned for 2015, only one project, Regency Centers’ Shops on Main in Schererville, Indiana, is a suburban project built to accommodate more than one big-box retailer. Anchored by Gordmans, Shops on Main is also home to DSW, Home Goods, Ross, Pier 1 Imports and a planned Whole Foods. All of the remaining suburban projects are limited to single users such as Walmart/Sam’s Club, Target, Mariano’s or Meijer. The mid-sized boxes …

March 5, 2015

Market Reports Massachusetts Northeast Northeast Market Reports Retail

New Construction & Increasing Vacancy in Eastern Massachusetts Retail Market

by Jaime Lackey March 4, 2015

While it was unfortunate to see retail vacancy in Eastern Massachusetts on the upswing during 2014, it was more than offset by new retail construction as major development resurfaced. At year-end, total retail inventory was 191.6 million square feet, an increase from the prior year of approximately 2.1 million square feet. Vacant retail space in the region was up more than 1.3 million square feet, due to major contractions and liquidations such as Building 19, Dots, and Shaw’s Supermarkets. Net absorption ended the year ahead by 712,500 square feet. The 10 towns with the greatest retail supply remain in place from a year ago with one exception: thanks to new Walmart Supercenter and Sam’s Club locations, Fall River replaced Peabody. The top retail hub is Boston, followed by Cambridge, Natick, Brockton and Framingham. Among communities with at least 500,000 square feet of retail space, five towns broke into the top 10 with lowest vacancy rates: Foxboro, Hingham, Hudson, Danvers, and Everett. Abington remained at the top with a 1.2 percent vacancy rate. Foxborough made the biggest leap — up from 58th last year — as the result of Patriot Place filling significant vacancy, and Ocean State Job Lot opening in …

March 4, 2015

Market Reports Mixed-Use Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

New Mixed-Use Developments Will Change the Face of Nashville’s Retail Market

by John Nelson March 2, 2015

The Nashville retail market continues to gain momentum. With approximately 338,773 square feet of retail construction underway, Nashville remains in a growth and expansion phase, with nationally recognized retail that offers unique options for tourists and locals. In 2014, approximately 53 restaurants opened, most notably Chauhan Ale and Masala House, Sinema, Prima, Acme Feed & Seed, Adele’s, City Winery, Two Ten Jack, Moto Cucina + Enoteca, Epice and Party Foul. Most of these landed in hot neighborhoods — The Gulch, East Nashville, 12th South, SoBro and Germantown. Nationally and locally we’re seeing demand for grocery-anchored retail. Demand has outstripped supply by a long shot. Major grocers own much of their real estate, and Publix followed suit in 2014, acquiring some centers it anchors, leaving fewer investor opportunities that will drive pricing and also move some investors into opportunities anchored by regional or independent grocers, or shadow-anchored assets. We actually expect non-retail projects to change the dynamic in Nashville in 2015. Within the Downtown loop, retail was non-existent, but with 1,000 new hotel rooms, 2,493 residential units and several new office projects under construction, bringing 5,000 more workers downtown, retail will follow. The $232.6 million Highwoods development for Bridgestone’s U.S. headquarters …

March 2, 2015

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