There is no denying that most, if not all, industrial markets across Texas were exposed to the economic effects of the “Great Recession.” McAllen and the Rio Grande Valley of Texas were no different. However, today Texas markets are again thriving with activity and occupancy above recession-contracted rates. Trends for McAllen—the seventh largest industrial market in Texas—are following suit. Economic The McAllen-Edinburg-Mission metropolitan statistical area (MSA) has evolved as a vital part of the dynamic Rio Grande Valley in south Texas. Once a rural and agricultural region, the area is now one of the fastest growing in Texas, fueled by accelerated population growth, economic development and a booming neighboring industrial market in north-central and northeastern Mexico. Data from the U.S. Census Bureau show that the McAllen MSA, also defined as Hidalgo County, has almost tripled in population since 1980, from 283,323 to 815,996 in 2013. Likewise, an overall Metro Business Cycle Index produced by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas places the McAllen MSA as the second most improved metropolitan area in Texas and first among the border markets, relative to its own base since 1980. The index, which summarizes the broad movements in nonagricultural employment, the unemployment rate, real …
The big story in the St. Louis office market is that available Class A space continues to become more scarce. As we watch the larger blocks of space being absorbed, and as Class A asking rates continue to increase, the probability for new development seems inevitable, leaving some property owners wondering if they should move forward and build. Although little new office construction is underway, the tightening market has undoubtedly prompted conversations. Expect projects to surface once developers land their first major tenant. The most likely submarkets for new development are in Clayton and West County, where many tenants requiring more than 25,000 contiguous square feet of office space are looking. You cannot have a full recovery for office occupancy until employment increases and the abundance of empty desks is absorbed. The local unemployment rate reached its peak of 10.9 percent in February 2010. The good news is that the unemployment rate hit a six-year low of 5.4 percent in October 2014. This significant drop can be attributed to the gain of over 11,000 jobs since January 2014 in the professional and business services sector. The St. Louis office market ended the year at a 10.5 vacancy rate, with Class …
The New Castle County office market includes roughly 16 million square feet of total inventory with nearly 3 million square feet of that vacant. Vacancy in Class A space has improved somewhat as tenants take advantage of market conditions but these moves have not had much impact on overall vacancy rate. Jackson Cross Partners reports 2014 absorption of 80,000 square feet; although positive, this indicates we have years of recovery before a healthy overall vacancy rate is reached. We are seeing a number of projects that will have some impact on reducing inventory and improving vacancy rates as marginal office space is redeveloped for various non-office uses. These projects include: • A group of local investors purchased 1001 Jefferson Street in the city of Wilmington, which contains 170,000 square feet of office space on approximately 1.4 acres in May 2014, following a failed auction process. The building was recently demolished and the site is now being improved for surface parking, at least temporarily. Although a new office project is not being ruled out down the road, the site is being marketed for other uses, including residential and retail. • 1300 Market Street, also in the City of Wilmington, containing 62,000 …
Before raising the curtain on 2015, it is important to understand how the stage has been set. The Phoenix industrial sector continues to build for changes in the market. Local and national developers delivered 6.3 million square feet of speculative industrial warehousing in the market last year, primarily due to big box projects. While most of these projects were in the Southwest Phoenix submarket, we have seen construction in the Sky Harbor and Southeast Valley submarkets as well. The national economy continues to improve slowly, and while activity levels during the numerous projects have been steady, closed deals for large blocks of space continue to be elusive. Although net absorption was positive by the end of last year, lease transaction volumes were mostly in the 50,000 to 200,000 square feet range. This prompted developers to modify their efforts by offering to divide their big boxes to accommodate partial building tenants, where prior expectations were geared toward single-tenant, full-building occupancy. There were still several big box projects under construction by the end of last year. This includes projects by Wentworth Properties, Trammel Crow/Clarion Partners, Conor Commercial, Hillwood and several other projects in shovel-ready position. Those ready to break ground include Prologis, …
As 2015 begins, the Raleigh-Durham market continues to see heavy investment and development interest in the multifamily sector. Strong fundamentals, including an influx of young professionals lured by healthy job growth, an emergent live-work-play atmosphere and an economy that has continued to outpace its national counterpart, justify the area’s reign as one of the most attractive non-gateway markets in the country. The healthy, long-term fundamentals are challenged by an apartment construction pipeline that is among the nation’s most active, but so far the market is performing remarkably well. Construction starts in the area have exploded during the last two years, and there are now 8,835 units under construction throughout the Triangle area, with an additional 4,919 units proposed, according to Real Data. Whether demand can keep up with supply has been a widely debated topic among real estate analysts. The high number of units delivered represents an increase in supply of 9.3 percent over the past 24 months. Strong demand has shielded the region from notable occupancy declines. In the first half of 2014, 2,453 units were absorbed and 2,642 new units were completed, providing a differential of only 189 units, according to Real Data. Average vacancy ticked up to …
Everyone is buzzing about the significant amount of speculative construction all over Texas. For the first time since 2008, San Antonio’s office construction is picking up the pace with 928,395 square feet of speculative development underway. Local developers with conservative land positions are taking the lead on all of these developments as they respond to an increasing need for relevant office building options for corporate firms—something San Antonio has not had since 2009, when Concord Park II, Overlook at the Rim, Plaza Las Campanas and others were delivered. Both the Far North Central and Northwest submarkets have witnessed the bulk of recent absorption activity, offering newer, more efficient office options near the more modern residential subdivisions and retail developments. The Northwest submarket also accounts for one-third of San Antonio’s total rentable building area for office space. As of Q4 2014, the Northwest submarket absorbed 342,927 square feet, while the North Central submarket absorbed 312,856 square feet. Two great examples of success in these submarkets are WestRidge One at La Cantera (completed in Q4 2014) and Éilan Buildings I and II (completed in Q1 2011). These two projects are responsible for 253,976 square feet of absorption in the past two years …
The Phoenix retail market ended 2014 on a promising note, with vacancy rates dipping below 10 percent for the first time since the Great Recession ended. It also experienced net absorption of more than 2 million square feet of retail space. Expectations for 2015 are positive, and continued improvement is anticipated, albeit slower than we might have hoped. While many segments of the market have improved, lackluster job growth and housing sales have slowed the recovery. However, both areas show signs of improvement for the coming year. Forecasts estimate Phoenix will add about 70,000 jobs in 2015, bringing the total number close to the pre-recession total. The demand for single-family housing should improve with the continuance of low interest rates, job growth and investor interest. The market is finally showing signs it is on the upward path to recovery. Leasing activity for Class A space remains strong, while rental rates are on the rise. We have seen marked improvement in some areas like Scottsdale where rates for Class A space in centers like The Marketplace at Lincoln & Scottsdale and Hilton Village are approaching or surpassing $40 per square foot, and where vacancy rates are below 6 percent. In contrast, …
In a city known for its fast-shifting real estate cycles and ever-changing demographics, it’s becoming clear that change is the only real constant in Miami. Examples are everywhere — from the construction cranes dotting the skyline and trendy neighborhoods emerging throughout the region, to a fresh crop of international investors and the launch of entirely new industries. The makeup of our people is also evolving. A report by the Miami Downtown Development Authority (DDA) found that the city’s urban core has experienced 100 percent population growth since 2000 as its population becomes younger and more educated. Residents ages 25 to 44 make up 46 percent of the population and 58 percent of residents over the age of 25 have a college degree. It’s easy to overlook the impact these trends are having on commercial real estate in favor of Miami’s headline-grabbing residential market, but the demographic shifts taking place are also impacting the office market as employers cultivate a workforce increasingly dominated by Millennials drawn to growth-oriented jobs. This change has been in the making for years as Miami’s public and private sectors invest in creating new business opportunities for young professionals across industries less prone to economic swings, such …
The Amarillo Economic Development Corp. (EDC) is celebrating its 25th anniversary this year and it’s amazing to compare the state of our local economy in 1989 to today. Back then, Amarillo’s unemployment rate was higher than the national average and consumer activity was in a state of decline. What job opportunities did exist in Amarillo in the late 1980s were in a limited number of industry sectors. We were in a state of economic inertia. I joined the Amarillo EDC twenty years ago and thus have been able to witness and participate in the transformation that has followed. Legislation allowing the establishment of a local economic development sales tax, enacted in Texas in 1989, was overwhelmingly adopted by Amarillo voters that fall. Early on, that economic development sales tax revenue stream brought us about $6 million per year. Next year we expect those revenues will approach $18 million. That statistic alone is testament to the extent Amarillo’s economy has grown in 25 years. As Texans, we’ve been fortunate to have the nation’s strongest economy for several years and Amarillo has definitely contributed, having engaged in projects with companies like Tyson, AIG, Blue Cross Blue Shield and Atmos Energy. One of …
After a recession-induced lull, speculative construction is back in full swing in the St. Louis industrial sector. Record-setting absorption in 2014 drove vacancy rates to near record lows, and spurred speculative construction on both the Missouri and Illinois side of the Mississippi River. With activity on both fronts, it’s clear that the St. Louis industrial market is well past recovery mode and into growth mode. The St. Louis industrial market posted net absorption of 5.2 million square feet in 2014, passing the all-time record for annual absorption set back in 2005 by more than 20 percent. This is more than double the square feet absorbed in 2013, which itself was a banner year. The positive absorption figure has significantly affected the market’s overall industrial vacancy rate, dropping it to 6.3 percent — the lowest rate since 2005. The Class A vacancy dropped to an impressive 4.1 percent and modern bulk vacancy rate stands at 4.6 percent. Just as in 2006-2007 when nearly 5 million square feet of new construction was delivered, St. Louis is seeing a surge of new construction with these historic vacancy rates. The lack of available industrial space has drastically changed the landscape for tenants during the …