Market Reports

Reno’s Household Growth Boosts its Office Sector

by Jeff Shaw November 3, 2023

— By Daniel A. Kapic, Vice President, Regional Manager, Marcus & Millichap — Reno continues to be one of the nation’s fastest-growing smaller markets, underpinning tenant demand in the office sector. While remote and hybrid work have impacted office use in the metro, market-wide vacancies have kept in decent shape. Entering July 2023, Reno’s 15.1 percent vacancy rate was below the pre-2017 average. Rapid household growth has backstopped space needs, with law, financial and health service providers executing expansions to capture share in a growing market. The local household count increased 2.2 percent year over year in September, which was the second fastest among metros with fewer than 600,000 households. South Reno is spearheading this growth with 14 consecutive quarters of positive apartment net absorption through June 2023, drawing consumer-facing office tenants to the highly developed Meadowood neighborhood. The Reno VA Medical Center — which serves patients as far as Alturas, Calif. — recently announced its relocation to the area, which should also elevate long-term needs for nearby medical office space. While household growth has shored up space demand, Reno’s office market is still recalibrating to a 20-year-high supply injection. Overall inventory expanded 2 percent in the first half of …

November 3, 2023

Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

InterFace Panel: Texas Multifamily Investors Shy Away from Negative Leverage

by Taylor Williams October 31, 2023

By Taylor Williams DALLAS — Just 18 months ago, multifamily lenders and investors in major Texas markets were underwriting record-high levels of rent growth to accompany historically low cap rates, giving capital sources little hesitation to lend at negative leverage. Following a spate of nearly a dozen interest rate hikes, the opposite is now mostly true. Negative leverage occurs when a buyer’s going-in capitalization rate is lower than the all-in interest rate on the debt attached to the property. The scenario tends to manifest when a property with an encumbered cash flow is purchased in a high- or rising-interest-rate environment. As a rule of thumb, net operating income should comfortably cover debt service, or at least clearly be moving in that direction at the time of acquisition. When times are good — meaning prices are high for sellers and money is cheap to borrow for buyers — negative leverage can present a flexible and creative way of getting deals across the finish line. Lenders and equity partners may be willing to accept negative leverage in the short run because they are confident that rents/cash flows will soon increase, or that interest rates will remain low, or both. But the ability to …

October 31, 2023

Florida Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Strong Office Sector Helps Propel Miami’s Multifamily Market

by John Nelson October 30, 2023

While many cities grapple with a declining population, softening rents and a struggling office market, Miami is riding a wave of population growth and apartment demand. This stems from the usual factors — sun, lifestyle and low taxes — as well as something unprecedented: an influx of large office users. New-to-market office tenants are transforming Miami’s economy and helping offset the challenges of inflation and rising interest rates. Miami multifamily fundamentals remain strong, with plenty of liquidity in the market. Our economy is more diversified than ever, and this has made it one of the most desirable markets in the country. Supply and demand People and businesses fleeing states with higher taxes and longer pandemic restrictions helped fuel Miami’s population surge between 2020 and 2022 and led to record-breaking rent growth during that period. Miami has become a magnet for large financial and tech firms, with well-heeled companies like Starwood Property Trust, Citadel Securities, BlockChain and Blackstone Group taking new office space. All told, a record 57 companies relocated or expanded to Miami-Dade County last year. Between May 2022 and May 2023, Miami added over 83,000 jobs, more than a 4 percent increase. Miami’s unemployment rate as of May 2023 …

October 30, 2023

California Industrial Market Reports Western Western Market Reports

CapRock Continues Industrial Development in Southern California

by Jeff Shaw October 27, 2023

— By Nellie Day — Jon Pharris, co-founder and president of Newport Beach, Calif.-based CapRock Partners, is in delivery mode. The firm recently debuted Palomino Ranch Business Park and Saddle Ranch South, two new LEED Silver-certified industrial building complexes in Norco, Calif. Palomino Ranch is a three-phased, 2-million-square-foot industrial development, while Saddle Ranch South is a 374,000-square-foot three-building industrial park. Next up is Central Point III, a component of CapRock’s 5-million-square-foot, master-planned Central Point industrial development in Visalia. WREB recently sat down with Pharris to discuss these new projects, the types of tenants/users CapRock is now targeting and why location is more important than ever. WREB: Why was Norco the right choice for both the Saddle Ranch South and Palomino Ranch developments? Pharris: Norco is an important location for logistics and distribution due to its position near the convergence of Riverside, San Bernardino and Orange counties, in addition to its seamless transportation connectivity, robust infrastructure, proximity to major ports and airports, favorable business environment and skilled workforce. These factors collectivelycontribute to the city’s efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and competitiveness for facility operations, attracting businesses seeking to optimize their supply chains and expand their market reach. Norco is highly desired by Orange County, …

October 27, 2023

Indiana Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Mixed-Use

Greater Lafayette, Indiana Is No Longer in the Shadows

by Kristin Harlow October 26, 2023

By Jim Pitoukkas, Coldwell Banker Commercial Shook Outside of recognition related to Purdue University, the Greater Lafayette region (consisting of West Lafayette, Lafayette and surrounding towns in Tippecanoe County), has been in the shadows of the Indianapolis MSA to the south and Chicago MSA to the north. This is changing, though. Growth over the last decade has pushed Greater Lafayette into the national spotlight as an emerging hub for innovation in advanced manufacturing in industries including medical, aerospace and defense, agriculture and nanotechnology, and a burgeoning housing market. For three quarters straight, The Wall Street Journal and Realtor.com have ranked Greater Lafayette the No. 1 Emerging Housing Market in America based on comparatively affordable housing, a skilled technology-based workforce, and a strong growing local economy. Additionally, current and to-be residents benefit from consistent public investments in quality-of-life infrastructure that continue to attract new residents across a range of ages and backgrounds. Quality of life Greater Lafayette has invested in excess of $889 million in public investment since 2015. These investments have ranged from new utility infrastructure, a new minor league ball field, parks, county-wide trails, public facilities like the West Lafayette Wellness Center and the Lafayette Public Safety Center, and …

October 26, 2023

Market Reports Washington Western Western Market Reports

Inflated Interest Rates Impact Values, but Tech and Growth Drive Resilience in Metro Seattle

by Jeff Shaw October 25, 2023

— By Steven Chattin, Managing Director, Berkadia — Nationwide, inflated interest rates are significantly impacting property values. In the Seattle metro, cap rates are increasing while values decline and bridge debt rates hover at 8 percent or higher — non-starters for many multifamily investors. The common play is to secure favorable short-term financing for if and when rates come back down. Due to these factors, family offices, high-net-worth individuals and private capital groups are the most active players in today’s market. Lenders are also feeling the impact of the economic environment, with the current depth being extremely shallow for competitive options. As transactions slow, some players are scaling back or stepping out of certain arenas entirely. Umpqua Bank recently shuttered its multifamily lending operation on the West Coast. According to second-quarter data provided by CoStar, multifamily sales volume has decreased by 50 percent year over year. Agency debt is most favored right now with fixed rates preferred over floating rate debt. Where available, loan assumptions are generally the most attractive option and have bridged many deals across the finish line. Challenges aside, many developers are staying busy as evidenced by the nearly 12,000 additional units projected within the Seattle-Tacoma metro …

October 25, 2023

Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

The Future of Office Space Out West

by Jeff Shaw October 24, 2023

— By Scott Romick — The Western region is going through a lot of changes when it comes to the office market. Downtown San Francisco, in particular, was a large tech hub with so much infrastructure prior to the pandemic, but it’s currently become more of a ghost town. Because hybrid and remote work is common now, many of the workers who are back to the office have moved to local submarkets that offer faster commutes, more efficiency, affordability and other key factors. Southern California, on the other hand, is a growth market. Suburban areas like the San Fernando Valley’s Sherman Oaks — which has become more active than the West Valley — continues to expand its population. This helps the office market as well as existing and new retailers. Even pockets like Encino, Studio City and Burbank have become more populous, attracting a young workforce given their proximity to local restaurants, coffee shops and parks. Unfortunately, Downtown Los Angeles is still struggling to recover as a central business district, Century City is rebounding slowly and Santa Monica is shifting in its downtown area, given the nature of office structures and their footprints. Hybrid & Regionalized Real Estate The hybrid work …

October 24, 2023

Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports Virginia

Richmond’s Multifamily Growth Reflects the Local Economy’s Positive Trajectory

by John Nelson October 23, 2023

As Richmond continues to grow, its relative value points to prosperity in the market for years to come. Having grown our company in Richmond, we’ve witnessed the transformative momentum and tremendous change firsthand. Specifically, the diverse employment base has continued to expand through economic strength and migration trends, increasing not only population but also multifamily demand and asset performance. Strong economics support Richmond’s stability. Richmond’s diverse employment base empowers a resilient market with high-growth potential. The MSA is home to 11 Fortune 1000 companies and a robust private sector, encompassing hospitals, energy companies and financial services. The economy is stabilized by the presence of many institutions of higher learning, along with substantial medical and life sciences users. Numerous major corporations have announced or recently completed large expansions. These include CoStar’s new $460 million corporate campus (2,000 jobs) and The LEGO Group’s new $1 billion, 1.7-million-square-foot production facility (1,760 jobs). As Virginia’s state capital, Richmond has a large government presence, including the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank and the U.S. Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals. The city is also actively engaged in creating public-private partnerships — including the “Diamond District,” a 67.5-acre parcel redevelopment into a mixed-use entertainment district, and “City Center,” …

October 23, 2023

Market Reports Office Washington Western Western Market Reports

Seattle, Eastside Office Shows Upbeat Trends Amid Market Challenges

by Jeff Shaw October 20, 2023

— By Lisa Stewart, Senior Managing Director, JLL; and Nick Menghini, Puget Sound Research Manager, JLL — Real estate market participants are maintaining cautious optimism for improved conditions across the Puget Sound as signs of vitality are emerging despite persistently challenging economic forces. Viewed through the lens of prior real estate cycles, it’s clear the Seattle area has a greater critical mass of highly skilled talent and a broader, more resilient economic base than previous slowdowns. Among the promising indicators are the Puget Sound’s rebound of population in-migration, from net outflows during the pandemic to more than 53,000 new residents moving here in the first half of the year. Seattle now lays claim to being the fastest growing of the top 50 U.S. cities, according to Census data. Several leading employers are also growing again. This includes Boeing, which has more hiring underway than in years’ past. Rising star Blue Origin has had about half as many open positions as Boeing over the past 12 months. The life sciences sector is further expanding as Big Pharma firms like Pfizer, Moderna and Novartis join homegrown startups with significant Puget Sound presences. Overall, companies encouraging a return-to-office (RTO) have brought more daytime foot traffic to employment …

October 20, 2023

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Nebraska Office

Surge in Sublease Space Puts Pressure on Omaha Office Market

by Kristin Harlow October 19, 2023

By Mike Rensch, Investors Realty The Omaha office market is facing an increasing amount of sublease space, which is having a significant impact on what spaces tenants prefer to lease right now. This is directly affecting all aspects of the overall office market as well. As the second quarter came to a close, the direct vacancy rate was 7.4 percent, compared with 7.6 percent in the second quarter of 2022. With that said, those numbers do not paint the whole picture because they do not account for the amount of sublease space on the market. The availability rate (which includes direct space and sublease space available) was at 9.8 percent compared with 8.4 percent in the second quarter of 2022. We see this trend continuing for the time being as companies grapple with whether or not to bring their employees back to the office. At the end of the second quarter, there was 841,000 square feet of sublease space available in Omaha, up from 723,000 square feet at the end of the second quarter of 2022. This represents a 14 percent increase in sublease space over the past year. It reached its peak of 919,000 square feet of available …

October 19, 2023

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