Market Reports

Accessibility, amenities and coworking spaces are driving the suburban and urban real estate markets in Philadelphia. While suburban office tenants prefer to have access to transit and amenities, Center City office tenants seek experiences and collaboration with new coworkers. Suburban Perspective The Philadelphia suburban market consists of 59.4 million square feet comprising 13 distinct submarkets. The majority of this inventory consists of dated commodity office space, mostly built prior to 1990. With an overall vacancy rate of 20.8 percent and average asking rents of $24.90 per square foot, the Philadelphia suburban market has been less dynamic than its Center City counterpart. Although many older properties suffer from functional obsolescence, well-maintained assets with access to major roadways/public transit and amenities outperform the market average. For example, the Radnor, Conshohocken and Bala Cynwyd submarkets remain the three strongest submarkets in the region. Vacancy rates in these markets range from 2 to 14 percent, with average asking rents ranging from $30.75 to $37.00 per square foot. All three of these submarkets have immediate access to major roadways, public transit and amenities. Suburban office developers have taken note of the strong fundamentals in these areas as well as Center City Philadelphia. They have created …

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The economic recovery has flipped Louisville’s office market. Historically, the central business district (CBD) has lower vacancy and higher leasing rates than the suburban office market, while new development and low barriers to entry generally kept vacancy higher in the suburbs. Now, suburban vacancy rates rest below the CBD’s, especially for Class A product. Even as speculative development returns to the suburbs, the submarket’s hot streak shows no signs of abating, and the downtown submarket has plenty of positive momentum as well. Suburban Class A vacancy was 8.4 percent at mid-year, with average asking rates in the $20 to $22 per square foot range, or higher in top-tier new office developments. The suburban office market has been quite active, but Class A and B vacancies haven’t materially changed this year due to a spate of renewals and net moves from one building to another. Still, we expect a noteworthy fourth quarter as demand is perhaps as strong as it’s ever been, and owners remain aggressive, in many cases offering three months free rent and turnkey tenant improvements with long-term deals. Lack of available large blocks of space could lead to build-to-suit activity, too. There are virtually no available blocks of …

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It’s a trend that’s happening across the country. Millennials are fleeing the suburbs of their childhood and choosing to work and live in the urban areas of every major American city. But there’s a unique twist to this story in Kansas City. While Millennials are moving downtown in droves, many have a reverse commute. Most Fortune 500 companies have remained in the suburbs after their flight from downtown beginning in the 1970s. In addition, several large companies have jumped the state line due to favorable tax incentives. In the second quarter, the downtown office vacancy rate stood at an unhealthy 29.9 percent. Only one office submarket posted a higher vacancy rate. Meanwhile, the leading submarket, South Johnson County, recorded a 12.8 percent vacancy rate. It’s been difficult for older office buildings with smaller floor plates of 10,000 to 15,000 square feet to compete as companies look for larger floor plates of 25,000 to 30,000 square feet. Companies are also finding that surface parking in the suburbs is more economical. Building Conversion Wave The good news is that a slow reversal in both the multifamily and office markets is occurring as older and historic office buildings are adapting to the demands …

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While the industrial recovery in the Phoenix area has been slow, market indicators show signs of steady improvement. Average rental rates for the Phoenix metro industrial market have remained consistent, hovering around $0.52 per square foot for the past year. In the Southwest Valley, however, which constitutes almost one-third of the entire valley’s industrial space, average rental rates are much lower at $0.36 per square foot. Lease rates at Sky Harbor Airport are averaging about $0.59 per square foot, and $0.66 per square foot in the Southeast Valley. The highest average rental rates are predictably seen in the Northeast Valley, which reported an average of $0.85 per square foot. More than 2.9 million square feet was leased in the second quarter, representing 593 transactions. Leases remain steady compared to the first quarter of this year, but the rate will likely fall short of 2013 when 16.7 million square feet was leased. Vacancy rates continue to fall after the spike seen last year. The second quarter of 2014 reported a 12.6 percent vacancy, down from the high of 13.2 percent in the third quarter of 2013. While a positive indicator, vacancy rates in the industrial sector swing on such a pendulum …

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Louisville is riding a wave of momentum after hosting its third PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club in August. In addition, the $2.5 billion Louisville-Southern Indiana Ohio River bridge projects are under construction and scheduled to open in 2016. This project adds two new bridges, an east end bridge connecting I-265 in Kentucky with I-265 in Indiana, and a second bridge located downtown as part of improvements to I-65. These significant infrastructure improvements are a game changer in the fact that they will improve accessibility to new retail trade areas such as southern Indiana and northeast Louisville. In anticipation of the Kentucky International Convention Center being dramatically expanded and remodeled, Louisville has five hotels under construction or planned for downtown. Omni Hotels & Resorts will build its first property in Kentucky in Louisville, a 600-room convention hotel at Third and Liberty streets. Estimated to open no later than 2017, the Omni will be adjacent to 200 apartments, a grocery store and retail shops. The project is a public-private partnership between Omni, Cordish Cos., metro government and the state of Kentucky. REI Real Estate Services and Poe Cos. are developing a 172-room Aloft Hotel located in the central business district at …

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It’s been a remarkable 18-month run in the Kansas City industrial market. Developers are being rewarded for their patience and long-term land positions, and larger tenants finally have several options from which to choose among Class-A distribution facilities. In January 2013, the vacancy rate in the Kansas City industrial market was a tight 6 percent, with barely any product available for users searching for modern distribution space of 200,000 square feet or more. At that time, I made some predictions about new construction, vacancy and absorption. Let’s review what happened. Market Drivers Kansas City recorded more than 3.5 million square feet of positive absorption in 2013 alone, adding another 800,000 square feet during the first two quarters of 2014. This demand was driven in large part by the automobile suppliers, online retailers and by governmental agencies. At mid-year, the vacancy rate for Kansas City warehouse product had fallen to 5.6 percent, well below the national average of 7.3 percent. Average lease rates have moved up to pre-recession levels, as regional distributors and third-party logistics companies attempt to secure large blocks of space for their national footprints. In 2013, the market delivered 2.4 million square feet of new industrial product, with …

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The health club tenant is a very hot category throughout the nation. This is especially proving to be the case in the Las Vegas and Henderson markets. Two of the best examples of this are Village Square Shopping Center and Canyon Lakes Center, located on the northwest and southwest corners of Fort Apache and Sahara in the Summerlin submarket. Just three years ago, neither center had any type of fitness use. In the past 18 months, however, Village Square has leased to Sumits Yoga, a 5160-square-foot hot yoga center, and Orange Theory Fitness, a 2,915-square-foot fitness franchise out of Florida. Across the street to the east, Canyon Lakes has just signed a lease with Body Heat Pilates and Yoga for 5,332 square feet. It is also working with a martial arts tenant for another space. Both centers report they have interest from larger boot camps, ballet-based workouts and Pilates-type tenants. This example repeats itself throughout the entire Las Vegas Valley. Planet Fitness, made popular by The Biggest Loser television show, has opened its fifth location, a 24-hour-a-day center with memberships starting at $10 per month and no long-term obligations. At the other end of the spectrum, LifeTime Fitness, a full-service, …

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With a booming tourism industry driving economic expansion and a new owner/renter paradigm impacting apartment renter dynamics, Orlando is experiencing continued expansion in apartment development. Currently, development for more than 22 apartment communities totaling over 6,000 units is underway in just three hot submarkets. Demand has continued to keep up with this new supply, surging to a 10-year high in the second quarter of 2014, with market-wide occupancies topping 95 percent. Job Creation Metro Orlando is predicted to have an average annual growth rate of 4.1 percent from 2013 to 2020, putting it 13th for growth among American cities, according to a report from the U.S. Conference of Mayors. With an unemployment rate of 5.7 percent — well below both state and national unemployment averages — Orlando is outpacing much of the country in job creation and economic growth. Orlando’s $50 billion tourism industry has undeniably distinguished itself as the leader for growth in Central Florida, with the largest theme parks currently undergoing historic expansions. This will add thousands of jobs to Central Florida’s employment market over the next few years. For example, Disney World announced in early July that it is actively hiring for 1,000 new local jobs, and …

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Before the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009, many developers believed they could continue to build commercial product and demand would follow. But as the economy came to a screeching halt, reality kicked in and many owners and developers were stuck with product that couldn’t be sold or leased. Fast forward to 2014, and that stagnant product has slowly been absorbed as the economy has gradually recovered. From 2008 to 2014, construction of commercial real estate fizzled, resulting in lower vacancy rates and increased net absorption. Now, construction activity is beginning to increase and speculative construction is back in action. This uptick in construction and speculative development is especially apparent in the industrial real estate market. In Ohio, the industrial vacancy rate sits at an average of 6.8 percent for 962 million square feet of industrial space that Colliers|Ohio tracks in Cincinnati, Cleveland, Columbus and Dayton. Colliers|Ohio recorded more than 10 million square feet of positive absorption in 2013, and 6.9 million square feet during the first half of this year. Colliers has tracked an uptick in absorption in the industrial market for several years, and the supply of quality Class A bulk product has diminished significantly. Developers have taken …

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Since 2010, the Brooklyn real estate market has been surging. Over the course of the last four years, the total dollar amount of commercial real estate sales in Brooklyn has increased 397 percent with transaction volume up 151 percent. In 2010, $1 billion of commercial sales were completed, compared to more than $5 billion in 2013 — and projections for commercial sales in Brooklyn for 2014 are more than $6 billion. Retail property sales in the first half of 2014 compared to the first half of 2013 have increased 33 percent in dollar volume and have seen a 12 percent increase in transaction volume. Brooklyn has become a true retail destination, with more national retailers than ever opening up shop. Barney’s Co-op is credited as being one of the first upscale retailers in the borough four years ago. J. Crew, Sephora, Nord-strom Rack and Whole Foods are several of the other nationally known retailers to make the move to Brooklyn. Apple is looking to open its first Brooklyn store, and the potential location of the store continues to be a widely discussed topic. Brooklyn offers a dense concentration of consumers for retailers to serve. According to an economic development report …

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