Is suburban retail dead? The short answer is “of course not.” While the recession was especially hard on many suburbs, recent activity indicates that conditions have improved greatly. To better understand where we are, we need to examine where we have been. During the real estate boom leading up to 2007-08, retail developments were sprouting up everywhere. Many developers expanded farther and farther away from Chicago, while incurring an additional risk through overleverage and speculative projects. The economy started to crash about the same time that many real estate projects came to market. Developers and landlords quickly discovered that there was a lack of consumer demand necessary to drive retailers to lease space in the newest suburban centers. Many retailers were attracted to the suburbs due to high household income levels. However, population density was often overlooked. Even the most affluent suburbs experienced difficulties as too many retailers were chasing a limited amount of customers. Tale of Two Markets As the economy and overall real estate market started to recover, many retailers focused their energies on opening stores in Chicago’s core metro areas. Neighborhoods such as the West Loop, Streeterville, River North and Wicker Park were on fire. For many …
Market Reports
Manufacturing, beer and the Green Bay Packers are typically the three things that come to mind when one thinks of Wisconsin. Although we will always love beer and our Green Bay Packers, the real estate landscape is changing. During the past decade — and even more so over the past few years — Milwaukee has begun its transformation into a hip and vibrant city and is making its mark in progressive green technologies, water research and startups. As Steve Palec, managing principal of Cresa Milwaukee, pointed out in his May 2012 article for Heartland Real Estate Business, for the first time since 2001 we are finally going to see a new office development and a change in our skyline. With the exception of the world-renowned Calatrava Art Museum and Pier Wisconsin in 2001 and 2006, respectively, Milwaukee’s lakefront has remained relatively unchanged for decades. The recession is only partly to blame. A 1915 deal made by the city of Milwaukee divided the lakeshore into land reserved for public use and land eligible for private development. Although the city entered into this agreement for several reasons, it was partially to ensure that all, not just the elite, could utilize the shores …
We all know the recent recession was hard on the Las Vegas commercial market. The good news is that a recovery is now well underway. End users are moving quickly to take advantage of historically low interest rates, which are coupled with potential rental income streams in buildings and office projects that are mostly vacant. The overall market vacancy rate is currently estimated to be at about 25 percent. For tenants that need larger spaces, however, that number can be misleading. Smaller tenants have more options, and Downtown Las Vegas continues to outperform the rest of the market, with only a 10 percent vacancy rate. Although it’s still a tenant’s market, they no longer have the leverage they once had during the middle of the downturn. Landlords are tightening concessions and seeking stronger tenant commitments, though many investors have budgeted tenant improvement dollars during acquisition and underwriting. Investors are now willing to spend these dollars to acquire quality tenants, which previously would have presented a tough sell to banks, receivers and servicers. Most other concessions remain similar to other years, with landlords standing somewhat firmer in the negotiating process. Given these conditions, Las Vegas is now seeing activity in all …
Nashville’s commercial real estate market accelerated in 2013 as both lease and sales activity reached pre-recessionary levels. A number of new development projects were announced to account for the tightening vacancy as Nashville’s economy progressed with lower unemployment than the U.S. average. It was a big year all around in 2013 as Nashville was nationally praised for its fast-growing suburbs, new businesses and careers and the much hyped up-and-coming culinary scene. Furthermore, Nashville made a solid case for its newest accolade as one of the ‘Top Markets to Watch’, by the Urban Land Institute. The city’s economy proved to be resilient and competitive with low unemployment and new businesses entering the market. November 2013 recorded 5.8 percent unemployment in Davidson County, 1.2 percent less than the national average. Low Vacancy Nashville retail is currently experiencing its lowest vacancy in years. At the end of 2013, the overall vacancy rate dropped to 7.8 percent, down from last year’s year-end vacancy rate of 8.3 percent. At the peak of the recession in 2010, Nashville recorded a retail vacancy rate of 10 percent. The recent improvement trend over the past two years is a result of the city’s low unemployment numbers and business-friendly …
Whether your business is in the exploration of space, firmly grounded in oil and gas exploration or focused on residential and commercial development, Midland — center of the country’s fastest-growing and richest economy — is clearly the place to be in 2014. Continued growth in all sectors of the economy, strong public-private partnerships and a development plan that welcomes diversity are driving a continued resurgence of demand for locations in our downtown district. Current real estate development in the downtown area includes both renovation and new construction and ranges from office space to new retail stores and eateries, as well as hotels and lofts for downtown living. These new locations are supported with improvements in public transportation and multi-story parking garages, enhancing the rapidly expanding clientele and customer base. In line with Midland’s long-standing “Tall City” nickname, the hottest topic in town is the proposed Energy Tower at City Center. The tower is a 58 story mixed-use development, with 53 floors above ground and five subterranean floors provide parking for the Tower and surrounding developments. The property features 99,000 square feet of retail space, a four-star hotel, residential and office space and is topped by a sky restaurant/bar. And just …
Metropolitan Boston continues to enjoy robust economic expansion and exceptionally strong real estate fundamentals. Strength in local housing prices, wages and consumer confidence demonstrated during 2013, coupled with low inflation and increases in consumer spending, will enable the economy’s growth to continue well into 2014 and beyond. With an unemployment rate among the strongest in the U.S. (7.1 percent as of November 2013), Massachusetts continues to thrive due to the presence of world-class educational, medical and research institutions. State GDP grew an estimated 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2013, according to MassBenchmarks, following a revised 1.7 percent increase in the second quarter of the year. The publication forecasts 3.4 percent growth in state GDP from October through March. Commercial real estate saw falling vacancies, rising rents and new construction across most property types. In 2013, 5.5 million square feet of new inventory was delivered, including 3.1 million square feet of multifamily residential and 1.9 million square feet of office. More than 16 million square feet is under construction — three times greater than the previous five-year average in metro Boston — including 7 million square feet of multifamily residential, 6.9 million square feet of office and 2.2 million …
There is no question that the technology sector is one of the principal drivers of our commercial real estate sector today. Downtowns nationally have seen an influx of new economy firms because of the presence of young knowledge workers in CBDs — and Chicago is one of its stars. More than $265 million flowed into Chicago-area digital tech companies during the third quarter of 2013. In addition to startups, this growth caused an exodus of firms out of suburban business parks into areas populated by millennials like the West Loop and River North. Developers are planning to build 8 million square feet of office space in downtown Chicago during the next 24 months. Arrivals and Departures Following Motorola Mobility’s move out of Schaumburg, Gogo Inc. signed a 230,000-square-foot lease to move its headquarters to 111 N. Canal St., shifting more than 500 workers from two buildings in Itasca. Meanwhile, OfficeMax Inc. is leaving behind 344,000 square feet in Naperville to consolidate in Boca Raton, Fla. Much of the media coverage has focused on these relocations as the only story worth telling about the Chicago office sector. But the reality is the suburbs aren’t throwing in the towel. Defying conventional wisdom, …
The answer to that question is both yes and no. For some institutional investors and developers, perception is all that matters. And their perception of the metro Phoenix office market is “we’ll pass – for now.” Driving this perception is the 23 percent office vacancy rate reported by major brokerage firms in their recent quarterly market reports. But perception and reality are not always the same. Drilling down into the data reveals that certain submarkets have vacancy rates in the low single digits, and the size of available vacant space differs from what users in the market want. What cannot be determined from quarterly market reports is just how much space suffers from functional obsolescence. Numerous buildings sit vacant – even during good economic conditions – due to poor location, not enough parking, inadequate power, deferred maintenance and numerous other deficiencies. Most office brokers believe that at least 5 percent to 7 percent of vacant space is in obsolete buildings. Assuming that is true, why are good, quality buildings still 16 percent to 18 percent vacant? The majority of office vacancy is composed of smaller, non-contiguous, spaces. Due to lingering uncertainty in the overall economy, most small- to medium-size businesses …
E-commerce and the automotive industry drove a resurgent Nashville industrial market in 2013, and we predict another strong, steady year for absorption and investor demand this year. Perhaps the biggest question mark, though, revolves around backfilling second-generation space as its former occupiers move into new build-to-suits. This factor is indicative of robust build-to-suit activity, and while it may increase vacancy early in the year and stall speculative development, the market’s overall health and forward momentum is unquestionable. Nashville’s 200 million-square-foot industrial market closed 2013 with vacancy at 7.9 percent, down from 8.7 percent at the end of 2012, on positive absorption of 3.4 million square feet. The 55 million-square-foot Southeast submarket proved to be the region’s most active, with 1.7 million square feet of net absorption for the year and a vacancy rate of 10.1 percent, followed closely by the East, with 1.6 million square feet of net absorption and a 13.9 percent vacancy rate. Clearly, build-to-suit activity was and is king in Nashville, as it is in many markets. Four build-to-suit projects are currently underway, including distribution centers for Dex Imaging, Allied Modular, Hogebuilt and Panattoni Development Co.’s 240,000-square-foot building for medical products firm Hollister. Panattoni also delivered a …
Amarillo’s market rarely experiences periods of rapid growth or rapid deceleration. The market cycle sustains solid performance. This stability is due to a well-rounded economy that has benefitted from strong commodity prices and job growth. Like many markets around the country, the last couple years have been fairly flat, but we did see some areas of economic strength. Retail sales were much higher in 2013 compared to the lower levels of 2012. The leasing of previously empty big box space, significant centers changing hands and the construction of new projects point to a promising 2014. According to the Amarillo Economic Forecast for 2014 published by Amarillo National Bank, 2013 saw retail sales up 8 percent from the previous year. While such aspects as gains in the stock market have been a factor, a hail storm and the subsequent claims contributed to the increase as well. After a lull, national and regional tenants are making their way back to Amarillo. The leasing of two previously vacant big box spaces are indications of this reality: A 40,000-square-foot space at The Summit Shopping Center was leased by Sears Outlet, and a 33,000-square-foot vacancy at the Shops on Soncy, previously occupied by Circuit City, …