It should come as no surprise at this point that Orange County is on course with a robust economic recovery. Furthermore, there are favorable indicators for a steady increase in value over the next few years. Even though industrial product is limited in the county, development is picking up now that vacancy rates have been on a downward slope and rental rates continue their course on a gradual upturn. While all sectors in Orange County are seeing movement in a desirable direction, quality industrial space is becoming even more of a premium. The larger industrial spaces are drying up in Orange County. Most of the industrial spaces available today are smaller than 20,000 square feet. Meanwhile, many older buildings are being converted or remodeled to invite a variety of other property uses like residential, creative office and self-storage. The average asking price for investment-grade industrial properties of more than 20,000 square feet in Orange County is at $147 per square foot, as of the halfway point through the second quarter of 2014. This number has been on the rise year-over-year since the drop at the end of 2010 when the average asking price dipped to $120 per square foot. The …
Market Reports
The center cores of Baltimore and Washington, D.C., are located approximately 40 miles apart, and talk has renewed about the possibility of connecting the two metropolises by a Maglev rail system. The Baltimore/Washington region is generally considered the fourth largest in the country, boasting nearly 9 million people in the common area. But, when it comes time to rate the demographics, quality of life and overall attributes between the two, Baltimore assumes its secondary status in most comparisons, especially among some professionals in the retail real estate industry. Yet, given the recent successes of retail ventures that have opened in Baltimore City within the past year, prospects for future developments that promise to reinvigorate oft-neglected sections of the city and planned expansions of other mixed-use projects, Baltimore is currently enjoying a “charmed” life. The iconic advertising campaign for National Bohemian beer, which referred to Maryland as “The Land of Pleasant Living,” seems like an appropriate descriptor these days. The project that still has Baltimoreans buzzing is The Shops at Canton Crossing, the 330,000-square-foot retail shopping center situated within the city’s east side that opened last fall, and could easily serve as a national model for successful brownsfield development. Abandoned warehouse …
Due to its unique location and an economy pretty well recovered from the recession, Honolulu has experienced explosive growth in high-rise condo developments. These are exciting times for investors and developers of multifamily properties on the islands. Hawaii’s economy is finally on a positive growth trend for 2014. This is expected to continue into 2015 and beyond. The state’s economy relies heavily on conditions in the U.S. economy and key international economies, particularly Japan, which has experienced slow growth. Tourism in Hawaii is the No. 1 industry. Last year, it grew 4.8 percent, which resulted in more than eight million annual visitors. This is expected to taper to 3 percent in 2014. U.S real GDP is expected to increase by 2.4 percent in 2014 and 3 percent in 2015. In comparison, Hawaii’s economy is projected to show a 2.4 percent increase in 2014 and 2.2 percent in 2015. Hawaii’s unemployment rate is projected to be 4.2 percent in 2014, 4 percent in 2015 and 3.5 percent in 2017. The Honolulu Consumer Price index is expected to increase to 2.1 percent in 2014 and 2.5 percent in 2015. These are all positive signs. However, Hawaii suffers from a critical shortage of …
Purpose-built student housing has always been a dynamic market segment with unique challenges and opportunities. As an asset class, student housing fared well during the recent downturn, but the micro-market nature of these developments precludes too many generalizations. What makes a university a strong market for new student housing is in large part due to the dynamics at work in that specific university community. In addition, student housing being developed today reveals a trend toward high-end finishes and lavish amenities. Hyper-local Market On a national scale, the student housing market is large and growing. As the recession drove more people back to college, developers began adding new beds to campus communities across the nation. The swelling ranks of college enrollment, even as the job market declined, is one reason student housing continued to provide strong returns in a weak economy. But within a university community, there is a finite market for off-campus housing. For example, if a university has 20,000 students, one-third may live on-campus and one-third may commute or live in conventional housing. The other third — 6,500 students — in the market for off-campus housing likely represents the total market. If there were already 5,000 beds available, the …
While Southern New England gambles on casino development, shopping centers are the game of choice in Seacoast New Hampshire. DDR Corp., Waterstone Retail and New England Development have all chosen to invest in major new ventures in the sales tax-free state, and they are expanding their horizons for locations, retail tenants and customers. Supporting retail development, housing activity continues to be robust in Rockingham and Strafford counties. The latest Seacoast shopping center launch is Waterstone Retail’s Granite Ridge Marketplace, at exit 15 of the Spaulding Turnpike in Rochester, N.H. The development plans to capitalize on the Route 11 tourist corridor as well as the populations in the southern Lakes and northern Seacoast regions. (See sidebar below.) With Holiday Inn Express and multiple restaurants already in place, the Granite Ridge District shows great promise as a regional destination and attraction. Combining customers of the Lakes and Seacoast regions, Rochester is a hub of development activity. The Spaulding Turnpike expansion involved an investment of $135 million and has transformed the six Rochester exits. Rochester Crossing by The Wilder Companies (exit 13) is anchored by Lowe’s Home Improvement, Kohl’s and PetSmart, and features Buffalo Wild Wings, GameStop, and Sally Beauty Supply. IHOP Restaurant …
Southern California has one of today’s strongest retail markets in the nation. Orange County has fared particularly well recently, showing resilience to the tough economic period of the past six to seven years. According to CBRE research, the average per capita income in Orange County is 20 percent above the national average, while its unemployment rate stands at 5.8 percent. This is well below the State of California’s rate at 8 percent, and below the nation’s rate of 6.7 percent. The overall retail vacancy rate of 4.9 percent has reduced 50 basis points since the first quarter of 2013 and has shown three consecutive quarters of positive net absorption. While the overall retail numbers in Orange County are improving, certain fundamental changes in the personality of the market are evolving after the recession: E-commerce: Bricks-and-mortar stores in Orange County are responding to unprecedented levels of online sales. According to CBRE research, national online sales are up 185 percent over the past 10 years. They’re projected to grow between 10 percent and 14 percent annually through 2017. Many of the region’s retailers are actively enhancing their customer’s in-store shopping experience to create an environment that e-commerce is unable to offer. Customer …
Comprising approximately 155 million square feet of industrial space, the Baltimore industrial market continues to recover, albeit gradually, from the recession. Key drivers for the Baltimore metropolitan area include the Port of Baltimore, proximity to Washington, D.C., and direct accessibility to Interstate 95 and the major population centers along the Eastern seaboard. As of the end of the first quarter, the vacancy rate for the Baltimore industrial market was 9 percent, which is down from 13.3 percent at the depth of the recession. Vacant inventory has been gradually absorbed since the recession and market fundamentals continue to improve. Industrial product continues to be a favored asset class, and Baltimore is deemed to be a “core” market among private and public institutional investors. Rental Rates Warehouse rental rates throughout the Baltimore metropolitan market have increased from 2010 to 2014 as the local and national economy continues its slow recovery. Overall asking rates on a triple-net basis have increased approximately $1 per square foot since 2010 as the average asking rate for bulk industrial product was at $5.22 per square foot as of the first quarter of this year. As the vacancy rate has dropped in recent years, landlords have held firmer …
When we read or hear about economic recovery, whether it is regarding commercial real estate or a different sector of the economy, so often the perspectives and projections we hear are on a national, or even global, scale. Unfortunately, such analyses can result in a picture of the economy that seems like it was taken with a wide-angle lens. Typically, commercial real estate activity in larger cities will not be representative of tertiary markets like Springfield, Ill. The big picture can give a distorted view of the health of our local economy here in Springfield. Dr. Peter Linneman, chief economist for NAI Global, says that employment levels in America have recovered to nearly pre-recession levels and that many of the jobs created during the recovery have been semi-skilled jobs, rather than minimum-wage jobs. The jobs recovery is especially meaningful for the housing industry, and multifamily in particular. New home construction is expected to be on a gradual rise in Springfield during the next two to three years. Most everyone knows that small business is the main staple for job creation, yet government handouts and subsidies are funneled to the largest banks in America, and there the money sits instead of …
For Cincinnati residents and businesses, the ongoing revitalization of the city’s urban core is an exciting example of how the traditional live, work and play dynamic can set in motion a cycle of positive reinforcement whereby new housing spurs new commercial development, which in turn encourages additional residential growth. While the Queen City’s renewed civic connections and commercial synergies are making headlines and garnering justified attention, it is precisely this residential spark that has fanned the retail flame. Like so much development — and redevelopment — it is all about “chasing rooftops,” responding to demographic shifts and finding new ways to meet the needs of a changing urban populous. In today’s rapidly evolving Cincinnati market, those changes are evident, and the resulting development is literally and figuratively altering the Cincinnati cityscape. City Living Cincinnati’s recent urban residential development can be broken down into two categories: downtown development in and around the central business district (CBD), and the development in the first-ring communities just outside of that urban core. Both areas are seeing a great deal of high-end multifamily coming online. Typically, this new housing stock is amenity-driven and priced at a premium. The tight rental market for this product has …
Hawaii has been immersed in an economic recovery over the past two years. This recovery has exceeded the overall U.S. performance in regards to total employment growth and total personal income growth. These figures have grown in Hawaii by 2.2 percent and 3.4 percent, respectively. Such economic growth has spurred strong performance from retail centers, while healthy spending from domestic and international shoppers has advanced the retail recovery in Hawaii. According to the Hawaii Tourism Authority, total visitor expenditures for 2013 were a record high of $14.5 billion, a 2 percent increase over 2012. The total visitor arrivals increased 2.6 percent, to 8.2 million, exceeding the previous record of eight million in 2012. International tourism is a strong factor in Hawaii’s economy as well. According to the Office of Travel and Tourism, Honolulu ranks as the fourth-largest port for total overseas arrivals. Honolulu received almost two million non-domestic arrivals in 2012, not including those from Canada and Mexico. Not only is the level of overseas visitor arrivals placing Hawaii close to the top of the pack, but its growth has exceeded the U.S. (on a year-over-year growth basis) every quarter since 2011. International tourism arrivals to Hawaii have grown an …