Although El Paso’s industrial vacancy rate remains near recession highs, the city is surrounded by positive developments expected to drive stronger demand and allow for tighter industrial fundamentals. The high vacancy is due in large part to the availability of large, bulk spaces of 200,000 square feet and more. However, such properties account for only 30 percent of El Paso’s industrial inventory, and these structures do not serve the market’s core tenants, which typically seek spaces of 100,000 square feet or less. There are currently six of these large vacancies in El Paso for a total of 2.6 million square feet, which represents 34 percent of the total vacant space in the market. Without these large blocks of availability, the market vacancy rate would be in single digits; also, several encouraging trends point to improved conditions ahead. Submarkets The East and Lower Valley industrial submarkets, which account for more than half of the total industrial inventory in the city, have stabilized for spaces less than 100,000 square feet. Bulk vacancies (in this case, buildings greater than 600,000 square feet) in these submarkets are keeping overall vacancy elevated, but for industrial space that meets the size of El Paso’s core tenants, …
Market Reports
The Manhattan office leasing market witnessed a substantial amount of activity in 2013. Surprising moves were made as tenants relocated out of traditional submarkets into emerging submarkets throughout the city. Many well-known companies, such as Condé Nast and Jones Day, made big commitments to move from traditional office space in Midtown to Downtown. The low vacancy rate in the Midtown South market forced tenants to look for outside options. Companies such as Nielsen, Shazam Media Services, and Alloy Digital have moved out of the Midtown South market over the past 12 to 18 months. This movement is expected to continue in 2014. This year started off well. However, anecdotal evidence suggests that many early 2014 transactions were carried over from the end of 2013. From January through end of February, a total of 301 lease transactions were signed amounting to 4.4 million square feet of leased space, as compared to 600 transactions closed in the first quarter of 2013. The average Class A vacancy rate throughout Manhattan remained between 9 and 10 percent, while Downtown experienced vacancy in the lower double digits mainly due to new construction. Pockets within the Midtown submarket showed diverging dynamics. For example, the Midtown submarket …
The Toledo industrial market remained stuck in a bit of a soft patch through most of the second half of 2013. Transaction activity was tepid until mid to late fourth quarter when deal flow began to increase. Consequently, the overall market vacancy rate and average asking rental rate have been essentially flat since mid-2013. With the delivery of the newly built and fully occupied FedEx building in Perrysburg Township contributing materially, the market did absorb more than 316,000 square feet during the last six months of 2013. Encouraging Signs There are a number of factors suggesting that real estate fundamentals in Toledo’s industrial market will start moving in a positive direction this year, in some cases quite dramatically. The first is a new construction boom, which we have been anticipating for some time. With the groundbreaking for the new 1.6 million-square-foot Home Depot warehouse in Troy Township, there is now more space under construction than at any time since before the recession. Several other build-to-suit projects are already in the works and poised to launch in 2014. Secondly, a rebound in demand from users at the end of 2013 year suggests there will be more transaction activity in the coming …
As predicted, the Columbus industrial market saw a wild end to 2013 with more than 1 million square feet of leasing activity in the final weeks. During the first two months of 2014, the market continued this aggressive pace, as Denver-based DCT Industrial Trust leased its final block of 500,000 square feet. Several other prospective tenants for both existing big-box spaces and build-to-suit facilities are ready to ink deals. The perfect storm is now brewing in Columbus for speculative construction as tenant demand remains strong and vacancy rates continue to fall. Only one Class A bulk warehouse and one Class B bulk warehouse currently remain vacant in the market for existing available product. Flurry of a Finish The Columbus market was feverish with activity near the end of 2013, resulting in Almo Corp. leasing 240,000 square feet, food safety innovator Handgards leasing 312,000 square feet and Government Liquidation leasing 516,000 square feet. When you combine that last-minute rush with several other deals that were signed during the final months of the year, Columbus recorded more than 2 million square feet of positive absorption during the fourth quarter of 2013. This final burst of activity for the year resulted in just …
The Las Vegas multifamily market is back with a vengeance. The market went into a meltdown in 2009 while the financial crisis was in full swing, delivering the biggest blow to the local economy in Vegas’ history. What had been low unemployment and a development boom to rival all past development cycles quickly turned into a downward spiral. Construction came to a standstill and workers fled the city in search of work elsewhere. Apartment fundamentals dropped to record lows. Asking rents dropped 19.25 percent between 2009 and the second quarter of 2012, while concessions stood at 8.5 percent. Even with all this in play, the Las Vegas market is known for reinventing itself. The market recovery was in full swing last year. Stalled projects were restarted with a whole new set of players, and employment was picking up speed. An exodus from California to Nevada is currently underway, with Penske Truck Rental citing Las Vegas as one of its top 10 places where new residents are moving. Unfortunately, unemployment is still above the national average, but that is changing fast. Fundamentals are improving with concession shrinking to 5.25 percent compared to a high of 8.5 percent in 2009. Asking rents …
Having been at the same desk and phone for 37 years, I can definitively proclaim that the activity has reached a level in Waco and Central Texas that has never been experienced before. Blessed with a diverse economic base and stable market growth, the greater Waco real estate market weathered the storm of the last few years rather well with the addition of jobs and capital investment throughout the recession and sluggish economic recovery. The metro is one of only 34 of the 372 MSAs in the U.S. that has now exceeded its pre-downturn employment levels, and the city saw 20 consecutive months of economic growth in 2012 and 2013. Capital investment in the past five years has totaled nearly $1.8 billion, including corporate, university, health care and public investments. There’s considerable excitement for several reasons, one of which is a resurgence of the Interstate 35 corridor. With the rise in popularity and awareness of Baylor University, especially its sports, activity has picked up on I-35 near the school, including demo and new construction at a fever pitch. What’s more, the new stadium serves as representation of the excitement and new development. Industrial Landscape Since 2010, the majority of industrial …
If 2013 was considered a year of great health in New England retail real estate, we’ll likely need to craft stronger superlatives to describe 2014. Exciting new projects circling metro Boston, rising retailer demand, and a flood of capital chasing retail centers were consistent stories throughout 2013 and will only amplify in 2014. Surprisingly quiet during the prior decade, grocers are now driving much of the activity and creating the lion’s share of the retail headlines. With Whole Foods inhaling five Food-master stores, opening in Lynnfield and exploring any other site that comes available and with Wegmans committed in the Fenway, set to open in Burlington and Chestnut Hill and construction finally underway in Westwood, stories of supermarket growth were ubiquitous throughout 2013. The recent announcement of a new Star Market at North Station provides evidence that the new entity behind the Shaw’s chain may have quickly turned around the grocery operator’s downward spiral while the team at Roche Bros. surprised many in the industry with a small store in Medfield and an urban store to join the Millennium Tower project at Downtown Crossing. And Market Basket? Here’s to hoping that 2014 provides a clearer path for the powerhouse local …
Considering the city’s recent negative press, as well as the government loans that General Motors and Chrysler both required in order to manage their way through structured bankruptcies nearly five years ago, it is understandable why one would question the economic vibrancy of Detroit and the surrounding region. However, the much-maligned Motor City is actually a lot healthier than the view projected by the city’s high-profile bankruptcy status. The Michigan jobless rate is hovering near 9 percent. While still high compared to other states, the unemployment rate is the lowest it has been since mid-2008. Since March 2012, the state has gained more than 18,000 manufacturing jobs and over 20,000 jobs in other sectors. The U.S. energy boom is making it more cost effective for factories to operate, and Michigan’s manufacturing base is directly benefitting from lower energy costs. In addition to the automotive sector, Michigan industries that thrive include advanced manufacturing, defense, information technology, water technology, medical devices, food processing and logistics and supply-chain management. The rebound in manufacturing has cut metro Detroit’s overall industrial vacancy rate by 400 basis points since the peak of the recession, falling from approximately 14 percent in mid-2010 to 10 percent at the …
There’s a clarity that’s emerged in the Inland Empire industrial market following 20 consecutive quarters of positive absorption. As a result, it’s not surprising the market is experiencing the highest number of speculative developments in five years. In 2013, development took off, absorption was strong, and the overall vacancy rate was low, all of which were strong indicators of the role and importance the industrial sector plays in Southern California and the entire Western Region. The Inland Empire West submarket experienced the majority of the increased gross activity that was reflected in an overall 1.2-million-square-foot, year-over-year increase on 7.9 million square feet of activity in the fourth quarter of 2013. That resulted in 4.2 million square feet of net absorption for the quarter, pushing the year-end total to 14.8 million square feet. Notably, the Inland Empire East submarket surpassed the West submarket in generating more net absorption during this same time – 2.3 million square feet to 1.9 million square feet, respectively. This was due to the lack of supply of high-quality buildings in the West submarket, while the East submarket was viewed as a more desirable location in terms of building quality. Steady demand and shrinking supply during the …
More than 9.5 million people live in the Chicago area, making it the third most populous metropolitan statistical area (MSA) in the country. Like many other markets in the Midwest and Northeast, the ongoing population shift from north to south in the United States continues to pose a challenge. Consequently, population growth during the next five years in Chicago is projected to lag behind the national average. The good news is that Chicago employers are expected to generate the largest job growth locally in 15 years in 2014. Indeed, Marcus & Millichap forecasts a net gain of 79,900 jobs this year, a 1.8 percent annual increase. If realized, this would top 2013’s 1.7 percent expansion. The increased job creation is expected to attract new residents to the region, boosting population. During the past decade, the western suburbs have recorded the largest population gains, especially in Aurora, Naperville and Joliet. Renewed urbanism is playing a major role in growth within the city of Chicago, as young professionals and empty nesters return to the urban core. An influx of young workers and an exodus of retirees have lowered the median age in the metro to 36.1 years, which is below the national …