When Clint Eastwood’s “Halftime in America” ad aired during the 2012 Super Bowl, the much-discussed spot displayed a kind of gritty optimism about Detroit’s economic prospects. Lines like the “Motor City is fighting again” and “Detroit’s showing us it can be done” resonated not just with Southeast Michigan residents, but a nation hungry for optimism in the wake of an extended recessionary cycle. Despite the recent announcement that Detroit has become the largest U.S. city to file for bankruptcy, a closer look at the broader trends within the Detroit retail market reveals a development landscape that is generally moving in a positive direction. While the bankruptcy filing will affect certain aspects of Detroit’s immediate recovery, the overall theme is one of renewal and revitalization. Motown Momentum Across the Detroit marketplace, retailers are reviewing their existing inventory as leases mature, with a general focus on infill or relocations. There seems to be a widespread understanding that Southeast Michigan has historically been a solid retail market, and that the region’s economic turnaround is opening up new opportunities. The list of positive developments across metro Detroit continues to grow. As Wayne State University continues to transition from a commuter campus to a more …
Market Reports
The Austin industrial market is comprised of 37.2 million square feet, representing investment-grade buildings that are not owner-occupied and larger than 20,000 square feet. While that may seem like a smaller tertiary market in terms of square footage, Austin has proven to be a dynamic market, attracting interest and commitments from both creditworthy tenants and high-profile investors. As of mid-year 2013, Austin’s industrial market is 12 percent vacant and trending in the right direction with positive absorption of 215,000 square feet, according to NAI REOC. There was no new notable construction from 2010 to 2012, which helped vacancy rates decrease as existing tenants expanded and new tenants entered the market. The recovery was highlighted by positive absorption of more than 2 million square feet during 2012. While some of the absorption was associated with short-term warehousing needs for Samsung’s $3.6 billion expansion of its semiconductor fabrication plant in northeast Austin, the market reached a state of equilibrium. As the market stabilized, investment sales activity increased with institutional capital acting as a major player. In the past 18 months, several noteworthy transactions took place including: – Karlin Real Estate purchased three former Dell facilities totaling more than 900,000 square feet; 297.9 …
In just one generation, the Orlando market and its surrounding area became one of the premier vacation destinations in the United States and the world. With a room inventory second only to Las Vegas, this tourist hot spot strongly felt the financial market meltdown of 2008. However, the last two years have seen the hotel market undergo a strong recovery. In fact, the rate of recovery in the region’s hotel segment is stronger than for hotels nationwide. This trend and the lean operations many hotels adopted during the downturn should produce excellent operating returns for hotels in the region for the foreseeable future, assuming no overbuilding. Improving Vital Signs With a 2008 total room inventory in the metro Orlando region of 111,551 rooms and 437 properties, hoteliers could demand an average daily rate of $106.25. According to STR, in 2009 that daily rate dropped a very painful 11.8 percent to $93.70. This corresponded to a drop in occupancy from 65.2 percent to 60 percent. Between 2008 and 2012, the total inventory of both rooms and properties increased. This growth saw the number of properties rise to 456 and total room inventory to 117,396 in 2012. The permanent and temporary closing …
The multifamily market in the Phoenix metropolitan area remains, as it was in 2012, the most popular property sector for investment and new construction. Post-recession job creation, coupled with echo-boomers leaving the nest, has created a leveraged demand for multifamily product. Years of near-zero construction, followed by a rapid increase in demand, has created a landlord’s market throughout most of the valley. Vacancy across the Phoenix metro area is now less than 7 percent. It is expected to fall to less than 6 percent by the end of the year. Rental rates are up 3 percent to 5 percent valley-wide, with some submarkets fairing much better than others. Scottsdale, North Tempe and South Phoenix are some of the areas where rents are up significantly and vacancies are down. Concessions are waning in most regions, though a few remain in parts of the West Valley and Central Black Canyon. This surge in demand is spurring new apartment development catering to Generation Y (echo-boomer) tenants. Many in this demographic subset are choosing apartment living. They are doing so for two reasons: either to avoid the hurdles of qualifying for a home mortgage or to enjoy higher-end finishes and amenities that are found …
Consumer spending in St. Louis is up, according to the latest Federal Reserve Beige Book. Likewise, the Fed reports that residential real estate activity is increasing at a moderate to strong pace with escalating home sales and prices. All around, there is a sense of optimism that has jump-started retail activity. The vital signs are just starting to reflect this surge in activity and are expected to continue improving for the foreseeable future. Asking rates, averaged across all retail sectors, have remained near $12 per square foot triple net over the last three quarters, while vacancy rates have fallen from 9 percent to 8.5 percent during that same period. Net absorption has seen positive gains over the last three quarters with the delivery of a few new fully occupied projects. These positive changes in absorption and vacancy rates should result in higher asking rates going forward. Competitive Landscape An example of a successful project is in Chesterfield Valley, where two outlet mall developers have created more than 660,000 square feet of new retail space within a two-mile radius. The two projects, headed by Taubman Prestige Outlets and Simon Property Group, will open this month in time for back-to-school shopping. The …
At the mid-year mark, CoStar reported industrial occupancy in Richmond was approaching 90 percent for industrial product of all sizes, excluding flex space. Buyers looking to purchase single-user Class A facilities of 40,000 square foot or greater are experiencing an acute shortage of said product. These larger free-standing, single-occupant facilities are now in shorter supply in the suburban areas of all four quadrants, though multiple opportunities remain in the city of Richmond, both north and south of the river, generally class B/C type product, but functional and reasonably priced. There are also several free-standing purchase opportunities under 40,000 square feet available in the suburban sector of the northwest quadrant. The second quarter ended with four large facilities (two in the city of Richmond and two in Henrico County) going under contract to users, which further impacted the availability of freestanding facilities for owner/users looking to relocate into facilities with a minimum of 40,000 square feet. Local expansion has comprised approximately 78 percent of large industrial sales since the third quarter of 2012, with 14 of the last 18 major transfers (totaling approximately 1 million square feet). The majority of these acquisitions involved end users purchasing Class B facilities for manufacturing/warehousing …
In June 2008, Cedar Rapids experienced what at the time was the fifth worst disaster in U.S. history. A historic flood covered 10 square miles in the four core neighborhoods and the entire downtown, damaging more than 5,000 homes, over 1,000 businesses, and numerous public, cultural and religious facilities. Since that time, 1,088 residences have been demolished and 2,356 residential properties repaired or rehabilitated. Some 82 percent of the damaged businesses have reopened compared to a national average of 55 percent in previous major disasters. The scope of the recovery in just five years is remarkable. The numbers speak for themselves: • 1,311 new housing units completed since 2008; • 118 new multifamily units recently funded by state recovery grants; • 16 major city of Cedar Rapids facilities built or under construction with all to be finished by 2014; • building permits in 2012 totaled 11,000 with 1,300 commercial and 9,700 residential, which set a record of more than $400 million (63 percent from the private sector); • population growth of 4.6 percent in the last decade despite the June 2008 flood; • unemployment rate currently at 4.9 percent; • AAA bond rating by Moody’s for 41 consecutive years. The …
If you subscribe to the notion that “a rising tide floats all boats,” then all of South Florida is benefiting from the renewed interest by out-of-market and international investors in all of the region’s commercial property sectors. In addition to regular South Florida investors from America’s Northeast and affluent Latin Americans, Florida has experienced a significant number of property acquisitions by Canadians in the last 18 months. While much of the international investment has focused on Miami/Dade County, one of the largest Broward County investments this year has come from Miami-based Fifteen Group, which recently acquired the Sawgrass Technology Park for $52 million in Sunrise, Fla. The Class B office and industrial buildings were formerly occupied by Racal Milgo and the seller had planned to redevelop the campus but never did. While industrial, multifamily and retail are garnering the most attention, the pricing structure for office properties is improving. The current cap rate for well-located, stabilized assets is on average 7.5 to 8.5 percent and falling as the market recovers. Much foreign investment is tied to capital flight and is less concerned with achieving the highest yield. As such, pricing is less important to those investors. In terms of sales …
When it comes to national economic cycles, Baltimore has always led a charmed existence. Its proximity to our nation’s capital, sustained strong consumer demographics and the presence of diversified industries have contributed to Baltimore entering recessionary times late and emerging early. New Centers Underway Five significant retail sites are either recently opened, under construction or nearing approval to initiate development. McHenry Row, positioned adjacent to the headquarters of the rapidly expanding Under Armour, is open and features a Harris Teeter grocery store. Baltimore City will also welcome a premier power center in 2013, as well as Canton Crossing, a 320,000-square-foot Harris Teeter- and Target-anchored center. This project is located east of the Inner Harbor on Boston Street and will be home to fast-casual restaurants and soft good retailers such as DSW, Michaels, Loft, Five Below, Ulta, Red Robin, Jimmy John’s and Chick-fil-A. In 2015, Baltimoreans on the north side of the city will begin shopping in the redeveloped Rotunda; D.C.-based Mom’s Organic Market is rumored to be the lead anchor. This renovation was spurred by the relocation of Giant Food to a larger footprint in the former Super Fresh at Green Spring Tower Square. Whole Foods is making whispers about …
New York City continues to make economic progress. The city’s workforce grew by 78,900 jobs over the 12 months ending April 2013. As a consequence, the unemployment rate declined to 7.7 percent in April compared to 8.8 percent a year ago. Reflecting continued employment growth, the office market was quite active across Manhattan, as a wide range of tenants signed leases during the first quarter. Tenant volume exceeded the previous quarter activity by 38 percent and was more than twice that of a year ago. Availability rates, however, remained relatively unchanged in Midtown North and Downtown and increased in Midtown South. Overall asking rents declined in Midtown North, but rose in Midtown South and Downtown. A number of tenants are viewing their space needs differently than in the past. Collaborative working spaces and “green” are de rigueur; oversized workspaces are not. The recent slow absorption is the result of a combination of tenants frequently relocating or renewing at the same or reduced size and the return of numerous large blocks of space to the market. Manhattan is blessed with the ability to continually reinvent itself. A wide range of exciting changes are in various stages of development that will alter …