Market Reports

Columbia is is considered a tertiary market by definition, with more than 47 million square feet of industrial space. In the past few years, national and international companies have recognized Columbia as having a strategic position in the Southeast. While most markets struggled in the downturn, Columbia’s steady industrial announcements demonstrated stability. Today, the city’s industrial vacancy rate is hovering at 10 percent. The Columbia market has remained attractive due to its low cost of doing business, non-union affiliation and quality of life. The city’s employment base is diverse, ranging from traditional sectors such as agriculture and manufacturing to emerging sectors such as health services, insurance and financial markets. The region is home to the state government, Fort Jackson and the University of South Carolina. Rental rates for Class A industrial space have decreased significantly since 2008. Today, we have a 184,000-square-foot LEED-certified building with a quoted rate of $3.95 per square foot. At delivery, this building had a published rate of $4.75 per square foot. Another competing Class A property in the market is the former Lamson Sessions building, a 350,000-square-foot, cross-docked facility listed at $3.35 per square foot. The reduction in rates has been necessary to stay competitive …

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In Providence, R.I., the the Class A office market has stabilized. GTECH Center has been successful in leasing up just about all of its available space to four or five tenants. Consequently, The GTECH Building sold for more than $50 million prior to the end of 2012. In addition, the new Blue Cross tower was successful in leasing 10,000 square feet of available space with plenty of continued interest for additional floors from prospects. Also, Bank of America’s move from its former headquarters at 111 Westminster into space located in 100 Westminster and One Financial Plaza has further helped push vacancy rates down for Class A office space. The current vacancy rate for this product is less than 9 percent in the Capital City. Consequently, this activity has pushed rental rates for Class A space back over the $30 per square foot mark on new deals. High Rock Development, which owns 111 Westminster (the former Bank of America building), is currently lobbying the state for tax credits to redevelop the building into apartments. It will be interesting to see, since the 38 Studios collapse, how far the state and city are willing to get involved — or if the building …

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The Orange County retail market, which consists of about 140 million square feet of space, continues to thrive as it sees an overall vacancy rate of just 5.5 percent. With strong income demographics, an improving job market and a limited supply of retail property, Orange County continues to be a target for both retailers and investors. As job growth is an indicator of a positive retail market due to increasing demand from the county’s consumer base, the positive data coming supports a well-held belief that the investor protects his or her downside risk by targeting ideally located retail property in Orange County. Through this, they benefit from consistent appreciation by virtue of owning retail property in a market characterized by very high barriers to entry. In its 2013-2014 Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook, the Los Angeles County Economic Development Corp. says that the county’s job market over the next couple of years will be strong. It anticipates an increase of nearly 52,000 jobs. LAEDC also reports that retail jobs will increase, and that taxable retail sales reached $39.3 billion last year. Those sales are expected to reach $42 billion this year and $43.7 billion next year. With that said, from …

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For the first half of 2013, the Cincinnati industrial market has reflected the growing strength of the broader economy, while gaining momentum alongside the manufacturing sector. The increased activity seen thus far has left fewer options for tenants in the market and increased leverage for landlords in negotiations for relocations, expansions and renewals. As supply tightens, new speculative construction will likely fall short of the demands of the marketplace. This trend will likely continue into 2014. Tenant Activity Accelerates While there has certainly been an uptick in the volume of prospects touring properties, these businesses are more committed to a course of action than we have seen in the last few years. Further, these companies are increasingly optimistic and giving consideration to larger spaces to accommodate future growth and longer lease terms in order to lock in today’s aggressive lease rates. Similarly, tenants in older properties are seizing this opportunity to move into more modern spaces, causing a shift in the quality of vacant inventory. A cautious mood remains, as lease negotiations continue to involve discussions of termination options and other risk-mitigation language. The northern Cincinnati suburbs have been active in the first half of the year, with more than …

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Baltimore's government- and defense­-driven neighbor, Washington, D.C, has historically overshadowed the city’s apartment market. Yet setbacks caused by sequestration and concerns of oversupply across the Washington metropolitan area have recently unveiled a new light on Baltimore. After six decades of continuous population decline, the city has finally turned the corner, registering positive growth for the first time since the city’s peak in 1950. Strong market fundamentals driven by improving economic trends and favorable demographic shifts have begun to attract a new cast of institutional investors and top-level developers, establishing Baltimore as a top-tier investment market. The city’s new attraction has resulted in a significant increase in both ground-up apartment developments and residential conversion projects that continue to reshape the character of the downtown area. Predominantly driven by education and life sciences, the Baltimore economy maintains a significant employment base of 1.3 million payroll jobs. Following a loss of 100,000 jobs during the downturn, the metro has rebounded to pre-recession levels registering positive year-over-year employment growth for the past 37 consecutive months. Additionally, the region is expected to add 70,000 new jobs by year-end 2015, according to Moody’s Analytics, helping to further decrease the current unemployment rate of 6.7 percent. The …

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Improvement in the city's employment picture is adding fuel to the fire of an already heated multifamily market. As we enter the summer, the vital signs of continued improvement in apartment operations — rising market rents and lower vacancy — are in place. Investors’ attraction to the relative stability of this market is growing. This is evident as overseas capital and a greater number of private investors join apartment REITs and private equity players, increasing the competition for market listings and compressing cap rates in their wake. On the employment side, the financial sector has yet to rebuild headcounts to the pre-recession level. The loss of this traditional payroll leader during economic expansion has been replaced with the technology and business services’ broad job growth throughout the metro. These sectors have emerged as the new employment leaders, and the expansions of Google, Microsoft, Facebook and others are having a positive impact not only for the apartment market but also for allied employment sectors generating additional renter demand. Additionally, New York City’s emergence as a venture capital powerhouse, closely trailing Silicon Valley and now ahead of Boston, supports additional demand throughout the market. With sound apartment operations in place, investor competition …

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The figures for past and projected new industrial building completions are anemic in Northeast Ohio, leaving a lot of commercial real estate brokers concerned that there will not be enough buildings to meet a steady increase in buyer and tenant demand. From 2008 to 2012, a paltry 1.4 million square feet of new industrial buildings were added to the Cleveland landscape, the majority of which were designed specifically for owner occupants or were fully pre-leased. Projected new construction, as reported by real estate research firm Reis, does suggest an increase in future building velocity. However, absorption is forecast to outpace new buildings through 2017 by a factor of 4 to 1. If this were to occur, Cleveland would see a drop in vacancy rates to historically low levels, approaching five to six percent. That may not seem alarming to some observers, but when you back out functionally obsolete inventory in some of the older pockets of industry, the true vacancy rate will hover at or below four percent. “There is simply not enough product to show prospective buyers and tenants,” says Robert Wetzel of CRESCO Real Estate. “We hope this spurs some speculative construction. Depending on a prospect’s needs, we …

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The Houston metro retail market is attracting retailers and investors from across the world because of its booming economy and impressive job growth, primarily in the energy and healthcare sectors. Since 2012, Houston’s local employment has grown, on average, around 4 percent year over year. As developers continue building and leasing large office and medical developments, notably in The Woodlands and Energy Corridor, retail space has been and will continue to be in high demand. ExxonMobil is currently developing its 385-acre campus near the intersection of Interstate 45 and the Hardy Toll Road in The Woodlands. The development alone has more than 3,000 workers on site every day. With completion slated for 2015, nearly 10,000 workers will re-locate to the campus from the Houston area, as well as from Virginia and Ohio. Another notable development recently announced is ConocoPhillips’ 850,000-square-foot lease of Trammell Crow’s Energy Center Three and Four in the Energy Corridor. Energy Center Three, with expected occupancy in the second quarter of 2015, and Energy Center Four, with expected delivery in the second quarter of 2016, will house approximately 2,100 employees in the submarket. In addition to ConocoPhillips, The University of Texas MD Anderson recently acquired approximately 35 …

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From farmland in the early 1970s to a major economic center in Georgia and the Southeast today, Central Perimeter has evolved into the dominant office submarket in metro Atlanta and an employment center larger than the downtowns of Nashville, Charlotte or Jacksonville. A corporate hub, Central Perimeter contains the headquarters of nearly 50 companies, including four that are Fortune 500s. During 2012, Central Perimeter also was the most active submarket in metro Atlanta, accounting for more than half of the region’s total office space absorption at 1.7 million square feet. The largest lease transaction in metro Atlanta in 2012 was in Perimeter. State Farm opened a new customer service center in nearly 500,000 square feet of space in two buildings in Dunwoody, which created 500 jobs. Metro Atlanta’s largest office sale in 2012 was the $300 million purchase of the 2.1 million-square-foot Concourse Corporate Center that includes the landmark King and Queen buildings. Additionally, Cox Enterprises added two buildings totaling 600,000 square feet to its Perimeter campus, delivering the largest office construction project last year. Central Perimeter is maintaining this strong activity in 2013, with State Farm leasing nearly 200,000 square feet of additional office space, adding 800 jobs. Also, …

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A multi-speed economic and real estate recovery is occurring in Northern California’s office markets. San Francisco and Silicon Valley have been in recovery mode for more than two years with strong growth in both rents and occupancies. The technology industry is the driving force and has produced about 50,000 jobs in the Bay Area since 2010, according to CBRE’s analysis of data provided by the state of California. This has generated high volumes of office space demand that is concentrated mostly in San Francisco and Silicon Valley. These two markets have seen overall average rents grow by more the 60 percent in the most popular submarkets like South of Market (SOMA) in San Francisco, where prices have reached $53.91 per square foot, and Sunnyvale/Mountain View in Silicon Valley, where they hover at $54.36 per square foot. As conditions tightened, activity fanned out to neighboring submarkets, causing new development in popular submarkets to ramp up. The southern portions of the San Francisco Peninsula, northern portions of San Jose and southern portions of the East Bay markets adjacent to Silicon Valley have all benefited from overflow demand. San Francisco has not yet produced significant overflow demand, although further rental rate increases are …

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