A multi-speed economic and real estate recovery is occurring in Northern California’s office markets. San Francisco and Silicon Valley have been in recovery mode for more than two years with strong growth in both rents and occupancies. The technology industry is the driving force and has produced about 50,000 jobs in the Bay Area since 2010, according to CBRE’s analysis of data provided by the state of California. This has generated high volumes of office space demand that is concentrated mostly in San Francisco and Silicon Valley. These two markets have seen overall average rents grow by more the 60 percent in the most popular submarkets like South of Market (SOMA) in San Francisco, where prices have reached $53.91 per square foot, and Sunnyvale/Mountain View in Silicon Valley, where they hover at $54.36 per square foot. As conditions tightened, activity fanned out to neighboring submarkets, causing new development in popular submarkets to ramp up. The southern portions of the San Francisco Peninsula, northern portions of San Jose and southern portions of the East Bay markets adjacent to Silicon Valley have all benefited from overflow demand. San Francisco has not yet produced significant overflow demand, although further rental rate increases are …
Market Reports
Technology growth in the southern portion of the Salt Lake Valley is prompting additional development of multifamily properties. A new Adobe campus in Lehi, located between Utah’s major employment areas, has led to further technology sector investment in this region. The company expansions and job creation that is occurring in Lehi is certainly driving the need for new housing. In Bluffdale, located about 20 miles south of Salt Lake City, several hundred acres are being developed into two mixed-use apartment projects. The recently acquired Aclaime at Independence development is expected to include 1,000 residential units and 21 acres designated for mixed-use commercial structures. Adjacent to this development is Independence at the Point, a master-planned community containing 294 acres. This project will include 1,900 single-family homes, townhomes and apartments, as well as 27 acres of commercial development. Overall, steady demand for housing will continue to draw investors and developers to the region as vacancy remains limited and rent growth outpaces the rest of the metro. Metro employers are expected to add 29,900 new jobs by the end of 2013, an annual growth of 4.6 percent, which pushes employment nearly 6 percent above the pre-recession peak. Completions are set to total 2,100 …
Charlotte's retail sector has been robust with activity in the past several months, with positive signs on the horizon. Residential development in Charlotte has been driving a rise in retail projects, particularly in the city’s infill areas, such as SouthPark and the South End. For instance, more than 1,200 apartment units are under construction or planned in the South End area. This has led to more urbanized retail, including a 55,000-square-foot Publix that is under construction on four acres at South Boulevard and Iverson Way. The site will also include structured parking and additional shops. Publix has also announced a new location in Ballantyne Town Center, located at Providence Road West and Johnston Road, which is scheduled to open in early 2014. When Harris Teeter announced that it had hired JP Morgan to sell the company, rumors were rampant and there has been a lot of speculation that Publix was a likely buyer. Most industry insiders do not think that this is likely, so it will be interesting to see how this dynamic plays out. In the meantime, Publix continues to scour opportunities for new locations throughout the Charlotte market, adding a new player in the highly competitive grocery sector. …
The San Francisco Bay Area’s major warehouse/distribution and manufacturing hub can be found along the I-880 corridor in the East Bay. This region’s industrial market has enjoyed steady growth with both overall vacancy rates and asking rental rates improving by about 10 percent year-over-year. The overall vacancy rate in the first quarter of 2013 was 10.22 percent — a three-year low — while the asking rental rate was $7.44 per square foot, triple-net, annually. Interestingly, the most significant growth this year came from the market’s largest segment: the warehouse sector. The warehouse market’s vacancy rate dropped by more than 25 percent year-over-year, to just 8.27 percent. In fact, the vacancy rates in all I-880 warehouse submarkets, aside from Newark, now sit at less than 10 percent. Asking rental rates in the warehouse market increased by nearly 8 percent to $4.80 per square foot, triple-net, annually. Several properties were listed during the second quarter of 2013 and therefore not included in these statistics. However, these properties boast asking rates as high as $5.76. Cornish & Carey Commercial Newmark Knight Frank believes these latest trends indicate an imminent spike in asking rates in the warehouse market. Third-party logistics providers, or 3PLs, are …
National retailers have slowed their progress into the market now that City Creek and Fashion Place Mall have completed the majority of their renovations. The discount segment continues to expand in infill locations along the Wasatch Front. Ross, TJ Maxx and Marshalls continue to lead the charge in this category, with Rue 21 and Dress Barn as the larger tenants. Rural areas are the new frontier within the State of Utah. Many small communities are riding the wave of the energy boom, from natural gas, oil and wind power. These smaller towns are growing at a rapid pace, and with the influx of expendable income, retailers are flocking to these areas. The challenge that many developers face in these towns, however, is the lower rent numbers that national tenants can afford due to the immediate lack of population within the trade areas. Ross, JoAnn Fabrics, Petco, Sportsman’s Warehouse, Sports Authority, Rue 21 and Dress Barn are the retailers that lead the charge in these areas. The grocery sector continues its movement within the state, with Walmart’s Neighborhood Market, Sprouts and Smith’s being the most active. Smith’s is in the process of remodeling many of its existing locations and is looking …
Charlotte has become one of the most desirable and sought-after investment markets in the nation with a diverse economy fueling job growth, attracting new talent and enticing investors. In fact, Charlotte had the largest population growth rate for urban areas of 1 million people or more in the decade from 2000 to 2010 and is expected to increase its population by another quarter-million people by 2020, fueled by diverse industries such as banking, energy, healthcare, manufacturing and transportation. With 37,000 jobs created in 2012, Charlotte’s employment has added back every job lost during the recent recession, eclipsing its previous high-water mark set in 2007. Approximately 50 companies have announced major expansions or relocations in the Charlotte area over the past year-and-a-half. Highlights include Metlife announcing plans to establish a hub for its U.S. retail business in Charlotte bringing 1,300 jobs to the city and Convergys, the business process outsourcing giant, announced plans to create 1,600 jobs. From a multifamily operations perspective, the Charlotte MSA has seen outstanding performance over the last two years with both total occupancy and average rents at their highest levels in the past 10 years. With current occupancy levels above 95 percent (increased by approximately 490 …
Much like the economy in general, commercial real estate has experienced its share of ups and downs over the past 10 years. However, the strength of Utah’s economy, established infrastructure and strategic regional location are sustaining the Salt Lake industrial market and securing its position as one of the most resilient in the nation. For three consecutive years, Utah has been ranked as the “Best State for Business” by Forbes magazine. It was also recently designated as a boom state by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. The strength of the local economy has convinced many national and international companies to relocate to Utah, and new construction has followed close behind. By the end of the first quarter of 2013, there were 1.4 million square feet of industrial space under construction, 70 percent of which was pre-leased. Although overall market activity slowed during that quarter, as compared to 2012, the Salt Lake market continues to experience growth. Consequently, industrial availability remains below the average for the Western region. Another sign of market strength is the improvement in lease rates. Utah’s industrial market experienced increasing lease rates and positive net absorption. In fact, from March 2012 to March 2013, the overall achieved …
The top 10 fastest growing subdivisions in San Antonio had a combined 1,832 housing starts in fourth quarter 2012, according to a recent report from housing-market research firm Metrostudy. And that number is already up with 2,042 new home starts in first quarter 2013, a 24.3 percent increase over the same time period last year. So far, builders are on track to build 8,478 homes this year, as major markets in Texas continues to outperform the nation. Alamo Ranch is the bright star in the bunch. Statistics solidly place this northwest subdivision in the top spot of San Antonio’s fastest growing subdivisions with 649 new housing starts in fourth quarter 2012. Bulverde Village, in second place, saw 169 new home starts during the same time. April single-family home sales rose 14 percent over last year and 4.5 percent from last month, according to the San Antonio Board of Realtors. In keeping with the boost in housing, retail is showing solid, if slow, growth. San Antonio retail occupancy rates increased for the fourth consecutive quarter, reaching 94.5 percent in first quarter 2013. And while rental rates remain fairly flat, according to research from Delta Associates, the second half of 2013 is …
While most office markets are bifurcated between Class A and the rest, the Triangle market has a particularly pronounced disparity that is driving market trends. In the first quarter of 2013, Class A vacancy was 12.7 percent — nearly half that of both Class B (24.7 percent) and Class C (23.0 percent). The playing field, in terms of both tenant desires and rental rate differential economics, is skewed heavily in favor of Class A space, which currently only has six options for tenants seeking blocks 50,000 square feet or greater. Not even projects currently under construction, including the NC State Employees Credit Union’s downtown Raleigh headquarters and Diamond View III in downtown Durham, offer available space in that range. Class A vacancy is at its lowest rate in nearly five years and is only slightly above the 11 percent range that spurred the office building boom between 2005 and 2007. The lack of available large blocks has already resulted in lost opportunities and market timing mismatches for potential preleasing or build-to-suit tenants, such as Wyrick Robbins Yates & Ponton. The law firm recently renewed and expanded its lease in place at The Summit in the West Raleigh submarket, due to …
Apartment development is ramping up across the U.S., creating significant concerns for multifamily operators in 2013 and 2014. Nevertheless, there is pent-up apartment demand. Slow but steady job creation is allowing college graduates to move out of their parents’ homes or to shed the extra roommates who assisted with living expenses. Additionally, construction averaged fewer than 70,000 rentals in the past three years, compared to 130,000 units annually prior to that span. Yet more than 100,000 apartment are expected to come on line nationwide this year alone. While many of the Northern California apartment markets are typically high barrier-to-entry metros for developers, supply concerns are mounting in some areas. Fortunately for apartment operators in the region, a majority of this construction is occurring in the largest metro areas. Elevated populations and job creation in these metros will bolster demand and ease supply-side vacancy pressure. Although construction activity will elevate for the foreseeable future, the biggest Northern California inventory additions will occur in 2014. About 10,000 units will come on line in the region next year. Deliveries will be greatest in San Jose and San Francisco between 2013 and 2014 as 7,000 units and 6,700 units are delivered, respectively. The surge …