In the decade between 1997-2007, a massive amount of retail development swept the country, and Birmingham — like much of the Southeast — was considered a demographic sweet spot. During this 10-year period, the majority of the population was at a peak buying age, the economy was performing well and most of the population was experiencing higher income levels. In Alabama, developers and retailers alike scrambled to keep up with the growth by building new shopping centers anchored by big and junior box concepts in every major town across the state. Then the recession hit. As the market continued to slow, big and junior box retailers experienced decreasing sales and an overabundance of square footage brought new development pipelines to a halt. Despite a growing desire among today’s retailers to lease new space, the market is lacking supply. Now that big box development has largely stopped in Birmingham and retailers are starting to downsize, there is virtually no development pipeline for new shopping centers within the suburban markets. Competition for prime leasable space within these suburban locations has become fierce. Retailers, medical office tenants, and restaurants are all now vying for the same spaces that were built 10 years ago. …
Market Reports
What comes to mind when you say the name “Hoboken” today? A thriving downtown area filled with young, hip residents, high-class retail and 24/7 traffic that rivals areas of downtown Brooklyn. However, that wasn’t the case 10 years ago. National and regional tenants seeking space would first — and in most cases only — look to the suburban centers that were the heart of New Jersey life. Downtown retail areas were seen as lunch-driven areas boasting only five-day foot traffic and not enough parking. Now mainstays like Starbucks, Chipotle and Panera Bread have all made a home for themselves in Hoboken. What has brought about this change — which has seen Hoboken thrive but also brought about a new era of downtown retail that can be seen in the emerging neighborhoods of Newark and Jersey City? A prime factor in these areas’ rise to prominence has been the massive swell of development, not only in office towers but in entertainment centers and residential hubs. The opening of the Prudential Center in Newark four years ago revitalized the area with more than 200 events each year, including home games for the New Jersey Devils. The project was truly the first …
Multifamily development in the State of Hawaii and specifically on the Island of Oahu is primarily focused on for-sale condominium development. This has limited new developments of rental projects, leading to a critical shortage of affordable housing. In response, county governments implemented workforce housing requirements on new developments. The limited supply of rental housing is reflected in the region’s low vacancy rates, creating upward pressure on rental rates. Perhaps the primary reason for the limited supply and resulting high rental rates in Hawaii, and on the Island of Oahu in particular, are the significant barriers to entry. The primary barriers are the high cost of land and the infeasibility of developers to put together rental residential projects without public subsidy. Secondly, building regulations and urban boundary limits aimed at reducing sprawl have constrained the amount of land that can be developed with residential uses. Additionally, a stringent and often lengthy entitlement process adds time and risk to projects, further reducing their financial feasibility. The conversion of military housing to private use over the past decade resulted in an increase in private sector apartment units for Honolulu County. However, this was a transfer from the public to the private sector, rather …
The Omaha industrial market, which contains a total inventory of roughly 67.5 million square feet, posted a tight vacancy rate of 5.1 percent at the end of 2012, according to commercial real estate research firm Xceligent Inc. For the year, about 652,000 square feet of space was absorbed, or about 1 percent of the market. Overall, 2012 was a strong year with an estimated 142 new leasing transactions completed. Unlike 2011, however, in which eight major deals in excess of 100,000 square feet dominated the industrial market reports, none of the deals in 2012 were blockbuster. In fact, only three transactions were in excess of 50,000 square feet. What does this mean? A lot of mid-sized deals occurred. For the first time in a while, those vacant spaces ranging from 2,000 to 10,000 square feet have accounted for a glut of excess space in recent years are getting leased. More significantly, the mid-sized deals indicate growth of both new and local businesses expanding their presence in the Omaha industrial market. Meanwhile, speculative or new construction is at a standstill. Almost all of the new construction in the market has either taken the form of build-to-suit or owner-occupied space, or is …
Austin has quickly become one of the hottest office investment markets in the country. In fact, many local market players say they’ve never seen this market more active, and for good reason. For Austin, it’s all about the strong combination of both outsized job growth and limited new development activity. On the jobs front, Austin gained 150,000 new residents over the past two years, according to the Census Bureau. In terms of construction starts, only three buildings were delivered to the market in the fourth quarter, and only 171,468 square feet of space was still under construction. These factors contributed to the Austin office market ending the fourth quarter of 2012 with a vacancy rate of 10.1 percent, down from 11.3 percent in the third quarter, with net absorption totaling positive 824,646 square feet in the fourth quarter. This year will see continued improvement in occupancy growth in Austin, though property performance will vary by submarket. For example, in the Round Rock/Georgetown/Cedar Park area, where a substantial amount of space was delivered during the recession, vacancy will tighten but will remain above 30 percent. As a result, rents in the area will continue to languish nearly 20 percent below the …
The big story in the Indianapolis office market is not the latest change in the occupancy rate or rents, but rather the desire by landlords and tenants to create a sense of place. Connectivity and collaboration, amenities and perks, as well as talent recruitment and retention have taken on a heightened importance. Interestingly, these buzzwords are used just as frequently when assessing corporate real estate as they are in the human resources department. Employees today look for their work experience to offer something more than a desktop. They look for connectivity to diverse and conveniently located amenities within walking distance. They want easy access to biking and walking trails and fitness facilities. They seek open collaborative workstations, game rooms, huddle rooms, bike storage, as well as showers and lockers. Their desires are influencing real estate development and the locations employers ultimately select. There is ample evidence of these trends in Indianapolis. Thanks to the wisdom of the city’s early founders and more recently key city officials, Indianapolis enjoys a condensed city core. Its downtown already has the framework to offer up an easy-to-connect experience, recently enhanced with a world-class urban bike and pedestrian path connecting neighborhoods, cultural districts and other …
With the presidential election and fiscal cliff behind us, the mood among retailers, developers and brokers in the Baton Rouge market has turned to cautious optimism. This year, expect continued growth at a measured pace in the Baton Rouge retail market. The Baton Rouge MSA is made up of nine parishes with a total population of 820,000. Over the past two years, the Baton Rouge MSA has seen employment growth increase at an average rate of 0.5 percent, with an unemployment rate currently at 6.2 percent, well under the national average. Home sales in 2012 were up 13.8 percent as compared to 2011, with average sales prices also increasing by 0.3 percent. The Baton Rouge retail market is comprised of 12 million square feet. The market experienced slight improvement in 2012 with the vacancy rate down to 9 percent. Most of the vacancy is concentrated in less affluent areas in centers built prior to 1985. Mirroring the national trend, month-to-month retail sales for East Baton Rouge Parish increased in 2012 as compared to 2011. On average, sales are 7.1 percent higher than 2011 and are on pace to return to pre-recession levels. In 2012 Baton Rouge saw several retailers expand …
The largest challenge facing the Greenville/Spartanburg industrial market is the lack of quality industrial buildings. So, how did we go from the worst recession in recent memory to a shortage of available industrial space? With the recession and the 2012 election behind us, the industrial sector has stabilized and continues to improve. Much like the rest of the country, the effects of the Great Recession were felt in the Greenville/Spartanburg market, which experienced higher-than-normal vacancy rates, lack of leasing activity and depressed rental rates. Companies planning for expansion and growth during the recession — and that ultimately survived the tough years — have recovered to the point of near-normal business. In the past few years, these companies have been able to implement their growth plans, after being on hold for an extended period. Many businesses experienced a delay in business growth, ultimately resulting in pent-up demand. The companies that were waiting to expand took advantage of the symptoms of a slowly recovering market, including depressed rental rates and high vacancy levels, to expand or enter the market at historically rental rates. In conversations with prospective clients, often times I help provide clarification on the current status of the Greenville/Spartanburg industrial …
As we come off the high of the holiday season and take a look at how New York retail fared throughout the year, we can expel a deep sigh of relief knowing that the Big Apple continued to recover faster than the national average and has a bright outlook for 2013. While New York City’s retail recovery has been slow and steady, the year closed on a positive note with total retail vacancy rates hovering around two percent. New York City continues to be a one of the most vibrant and growing retail markets in the world as the local economy has seen steady gains in private sector hiring that outweigh cuts in government employment. While Hurricane Sandy dented the recovery, the city rebounded almost immediately with Black Friday weekend sales exceeding expectations. New York’s resiliency and continued low unemployment bodes well for the Big Apple’s continued success. Big Apple Big Deals The New York retail market saw some notable large deals in 2012 including H&M’s new 57,000-square-foot lease and Cartier’s 50,000-square-foot renewal on Fifth Avenue. This coupled with the unprecedented 200,000 square feet available on Fifth Avenue solidifies the opportunity for a successful 2013. While the market has seen …
Multifamily transaction activity increased 13 percent year over year in San Diego in 2012. Although many people predicted a dramatic increase in year-end closings to avoid the uncertainty of tax reform, owners continued to shelter their money in apartments. Economic Drivers San Diego’s diverse economic base added 24,600 jobs over the past 12 months, and year-over-year employment gains were positive in all sectors except manufacturing. • Unemployment has decreased 1.1 percent since November 2011, and as of November 2012, is 1.3 percent below state levels. • Home prices increased about 8.6 percent in 2012, but remained 35 percent below the peak levels of 2006, with a median priced home at $397,000, and a mere 50 percent homeownership rate in the metro area compared to 66 percent nationally. • San Diego’s population has increased 5.81 percent since 2008. Projections call for solid 1.5 percent annual growth through 2017. Performance San Diego remains a supply constrained market with a vacancy rate of 5.3 percent countywide, including Class A, B and C product. Coastal and core submarkets routinely log less than 3 percent vacancy. San Diego’s year-over-year rent growth is expected to be 2.2 percent in 2013. It is expected to increase to …