After several years with virtually no new construction of multifamily homes, the Metro Phoenix market looks to rebound with a pipeline of projects that could result in 5,000 to 7,000 new units built per year in 2013, 2014 and 2015. That returns our market to construction levels last seen in 2007. In order to see this volume of construction, developers will need to be successful in raising the required equity, which has been a challenge. At the end of 2012, the Valley had 17 projects (of 50 units or greater) under construction, totaling a little more than 4,200 units. Building on that, we expect to see 15 to 20 projects per year through 2015. This is just a fraction of the more than 20,000 units filling the development pipeline. The demand for all these units, however, will hinge on Phoenix’s population and job growth. It will also be influenced by the national and global economies. Developers are capitalizing on the recent purchases of properties in prime, upscale locations that were not previously considered for strictly rental housing. Alliance Residential, P.B. Bell and JLB have all either begun construction or have plans in the works for rental developments in premium Phoenix …
Market Reports
The Indianapolis industrial market has experienced a significant amount of absorption during the past several quarters, driving down the multi-tenant vacancy rate to 3.3 percent and leading to a new round of speculative development, according to brokerage firm Cassidy Turley. The key engines driving growth are technology, housing, auto suppliers, and distribution centers related to Internet sales. Some 3.2 million square feet of speculative industrial space is under construction in the Indianapolis area. The city currently has 240.5 million square feet of inventory. When completed, the speculative product in the development pipeline is expected to result in the multi-tenant vacancy rate rising closer to the historical norm of approximately 4 percent. Michael Weishaar, senior vice president and principal at Cassidy Turley’s Indianapolis office, says the low industrial vacancy rate is partly the result of proper planning. “Our developers are intelligent about oversupply,” says Weishaar. “They saw a rough economy and thought we needed to re-look at our supply chain.” With so much speculative development under way, is there enough demand to absorb it all? Although vacancy rates will rise closer to their historical average in the short term when space comes available, in the long run this amount of space …
The Woodlands office submarket is one of Houston’s better performing submarkets, experiencing a robust fourth quarter 2012 with total absorption of 107,932 square feet. Spec office buildings have recently achieved 85 percent occupancy or higher prior to completing construction. For example, both 4 Waterway Square Place (a nine-story, 216,000-square-foot Class A building) and 3 Waterway Square Place (an 11-story, 234,000-square-foot Class A building) preleased to more than 95 percent prior to completion of construction. Total net absorption registered a positive 145,804 square feet in 2012. In addition, total vacancy for the market dropped 5.2 percent overall in the third quarter of 2012 to 4.2 percent in the final quarter of 2012. Class A rental rates in the second quarter of 2012 were $33.07, up 83 basis points from the prior quarter. Similarly, Class B rates increased three basis points to $22.81. Based on the continued decreasing vacancy rates, as well as continued increasing rental rates, The Woodlands projects to be a landlord favorable market for the year 2013. Several high-profile projects are under construction, including: • ExxonMobil Corp. is currently developing a 385-acre site along Interstate 45 and Spring Creek. The site will serve to consolidate all upstream Houston ExxonMobil …
Well, 2012 has come to an end, the fiscal cliff has been averted for now and the presidential election is behind us. Despite it all, retail sales in the Arizona market seemed to fair reasonably well last year, albeit with markdowns acting as the trigger point for consumers to make those last-minute holiday purchases. With an active 2012 under our belts, the Phoenix market is hoping to outdo itself this year with leasing activity as retailers gear up for cautious expansions, downsizes and relocations. The housing picture for Maricopa County is terrific in terms of inventory being absorbed. Homebuilders are building out improved lots and creating new subdivisions. It is likely that new housing permits, which were positive in 2011, will result in more than 12,000 new homes in 2013. This number should increase steadily for the balance of the decade. This is not to indicate that new retail development will be built anytime soon, but that these numbers may create more of an opportunity to fill existing retail space that has a current vacancy rate of 11.7 percent. Last year, we experienced a positive absorption of 1.03 million square feet, according to CoStar. Therefore, unless a significant amount of …
In the Detroit area and across Southeast Michigan, medical office continues to be a strong performer. With healthcare being one of the state’s largest and fastest-growing economic drivers, an aging population and a robust system of public, private and university hospitals across the region, a generally positive growth trend seems unlikely to change anytime soon. Farbman Group’s own portfolio of 4 million square feet is currently more than 95 percent occupied, and quality medical office space remains in high demand. There are, however, some noteworthy developments taking place both inside and outside the healthcare industry that are shaping its future. Medical office real estate trends locally and regionally are beginning to reflect those changes. Consolidation Wave Perhaps the healthcare trend with the most significant potential to alter the medical office and medical real estate marketplace in Southeast Michigan is that of consolidation — healthcare systems coming together via mergers, acquisitions and strategic partnerships. This trend is, in some respects, similar to what has occurred in the banking industry during the last decade. We are likely to see the same kind of phenomenon continue to pick up momentum in healthcare during the next five years or so. There are three primary …
The Houston industrial market ended 2012 on a positive growth trajectory and will continue to be one of the healthiest markets in the U.S. into 2013. 2012 ended with a fourth quarter vacancy rate of 5.2 percent and a positive net absorption totaling more than 1.7 million square feet of combined industrial space. A lack of available industrial inventory in the market is driving new development projects (2.5 million square feet) for both traditional warehouse/distribution space as well as freestanding, crane-ready manufacturing facilities that remain at a premium citywide. The lack of available inventory is pushing development outwards and driving rental rates and sales prices upward. This trend will continue to grow into 2013, but rental rates and sale prices will taper-off midway through 2013 as the market can only bear so much increase. Land prices have also seen a sharp uptick forcing users and developers to consider sites upwards of $4 per square foot when they have historically fought to stay under $3 per square foot. Additionally, there is a strong need for rail-served land sites or facilities. As the energy sector continues its growth and the Port of Houston takes on more capacity, the need for rail served …
The Atlanta metro has been named one of the top cities for job growth and the population is rising at one of the fastest paces in the country, creating high demand for rental housing that will persist. Last year, an average of 200 residents per day moved into the area, and nearly 21 percent of the entire metro population falls within the prime renter cohort, which includes people between 20 and 34 years old. Uncertainty in the housing market is driving up the age of the first-time homebuyer. As many young adults form rental households in lieu of ownership, they will likely choose to live in modern, luxury apartments near entertainment and business districts. Meanwhile, in the single-family market, permitting activity remains well below prerecession levels and sales of existing single-family homes are just 57 percent of peaks reached before the recession, confirming that many of these new residents are looking for rentals. Apartment construction is at an all-time low this year, and demand for units will outpace new supply by more than seven times. As a result, vacancy will fall to the lowest point in over a decade, allowing operators to boost rents and match prerecession peaks. Looking at …
Multifamily markets around the country are thriving and Connecticut is no exception, particularly with regard to Class B and Class C properties. The regional mortgage markets have opened up dramatically, approving deals that would have been snubbed a year ago as the market rebounded from the economic downturn. Today, the multifamily sector is alive and well in all classes and markets throughout Connecticut. When the rebound first began roughly 18 months ago, premium core properties were getting all the attention because of discretionary equity and debt. Lending agencies at the time showed a strong preference for garden-variety Class A suburban and high-rise assets. Terms like “value-add” were barely in their vocabulary then, but now closings labeled as such occur all the time. Outside of the New Haven, Fairfield and Stamford core markets, however, plenty of REO and distressed real estate is still working its way through the pipeline, from markets like urban Hartford to outlying suburban areas. Why the delay? For a long time, investors felt repercussions from the market crash, so we had a case of “a falling tide sinking all boats.” Now, while there’s still no urgency to invest in bank-owned real estate, these assets are slowly but …
The San Diego office market continues in the direction of a slow, but steady recovery as we move into 2013. With virtually no new construction of office inventory delivered in 2012, and no projects in the immediate pipeline, the overall occupancy in the county for all office product has risen to about 85 percent. The majority of the leasing activity and positive net absorption has occurred in the Class A market, particularly in the Central San Diego suburban markets. About 85 percent of the absorption over the past three years has been in the Central San Diego office markets, including UTC, Sorrento Mesa, Kearny Mesa and Del Mar Heights. Overall, the Central San Diego office market vacancy sits at 9 percent. As a result, building owners of Class A buildings in these select markets have been able to lower concession packages and hold tight on rents when compared to the previous few years. Lease rates have also stabilized and are poised to increase as the supply tightens for quality space. Class A asking rates had an overall average of $2.58 per square foot (full-service gross) at the end of 2012. This was unchanged from the previous two quarters while Class …
Building on the trends that began to emerge in the second half of 2010, the Toledo region’s industrial real estate market continues to improve. Demand for space in northwest Ohio and southeast Michigan is occurring at its typical slow, steady pace. The result has been positive net absorption of more than 400,000 square feet during the past year. The vacancy rate fell from 8.65 percent at the end of 2011 to 8.52 percent at the close of 2012. If the improvement in the vacancy rate slows during the next 12 months, it will more likely be due to the poorer quality and functionality of much of the residual stock of empty buildings than weakening demand. One can see this evidence with the spike in new construction driven by build-to-suit projects for several noteworthy users who could not find suitable space within the existing supply. Auto sector is big driver It would come as no surprise to anyone remotely familiar with Toledo’s history and economy that a considerable portion of the user activity has come from the automotive sector. Suppliers to primarily Chrysler Group and General Motors (GM) have been quite active and have accounted for several of the larger lease …