Market Reports

Downtown Cleveland is in the midst of a redevelopment boom. During the last 12 months, the city has seen a new $350 million casino and a new $33 million aquarium open. And over the next 24 months, it will see a new $465 million convention center complex, a new $275 million multi-tenant office building and hotel and a $180 million redevelopment that will include a new 220,000-square-foot office tower as a part of consolidation efforts for the Cuyahoga County government. However, one of the most impactful and long-lasting components is the development of more than 1,100 new residential housing units that have either been announced or are under construction. If all come to fruition, it will increase downtown’s residential inventory by over 20 percent. Market Drivers Although there are numerous factors contributing to this residential building boom, the following stand out as key components. • Build it and they will come? They are already here. As of January 2012, the downtown area had just under 4,200 residential units. Of this, approximately 25 percent were developed in the past five years. However, this delivery schedule was much lower as compared to the blossoming demand. The source of this demand has come …

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The office market in the Baltimore metropolitan statistical area — which encompasses the counties of Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, Howard, and the eastern portion of Carroll County, as well as Baltimore City — experienced a slight uptick in activity in the fourth quarter of 2012. The market saw a 0.49 percent decrease in direct vacancy, dropping from 15.77 percent in the third quarter of 2012 to 15.28 percent in the fourth quarter. This dip is attributed to nearly 100,000 square feet of positive absorption within the overall market. As with any statistical number, a closer look at these numbers reveals several patterns that may or may not be indicative of larger economic trends within the market. The northern part of the market, consisting of Baltimore and Harford counties, saw negative absorption of 100,531 square feet. The 0.44 percent increase is directly attributed to office properties in Harford County entering the market at various levels of occupancy, including a 75,493-square-foot building outside the U.S. Army’s Aberdeen Proving Ground that entered the market completely vacant. Further inspection of activity throughout the north part of the market indicates that small and medium size tenants — firms under 20,000 square feet — are still …

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A tight retail market, rising rents, and record low interest rates led to a jump in New York City multifamily investment sales in 2012. Multifamily building sales in New York City rose to $7.3 billion in 2012, a 45 percent increase compared to 2011, according to Ariel Property Advisors’ Multifamily 2012 Year in Review: New York City. There were 639 multifamily transactions comprised of 965 buildings in 2012, a year-over-year increase of 36 percent and 42 percent, respectively. The fourth quarter was particularly robust as investors rushed to close deals before tax increases took effect. In 2012, we also saw prices for multifamily buildings in prime New York City locations return to pre-financial crisis levels. In Manhattan, cap rates averaged below 4.75 percent and value-added assets traded at below 4 percent. Manhattan multifamily buildings operating at market rental rates even saw prices climb above $1,000 per square foot. One example of this was 105 West 29th Street, where a sale closed in June for $280 million, or $1,056 per square foot. This same institutional investor paid $475 million, or $498 per square foot, in January 2010 for a portfolio comprised of similar core assets at 415 East 53rd Street, 777 …

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For the past several years, the City of Laredo has focused on creating a safe environment that promotes both a high quality of life for its citizens and a business-friendly atmosphere where various industries can prosper. Although some have expressed concerns about the situation on the Mexican side of the border, the U.S. side is safer than many mid-to-large cities and our economy is booming. With our prime location on the U.S./Mexico border, access to Interstate 35, and both Union Pacific and Kansas City Southern rail lines, international trade is the city’s major industry, as reflected in our status as the nation’s No. 1 inland port on the U.S.-Mexico border. Laredo will be the first city in the nation to house Mexican Customs officials pre-clearing air cargo charters leaving Laredo. This allows the cargo to land in Mexico as “domestic cargo” which can then be sent immediately to the manufacturing facility. Additionally, with the recent discovery of the Eagle Ford Shale, a new industry is developing that will fuel Laredo’s, and the state’s, economy for years to come. Geography has certainly played well into the growth and development of the community, with more than $216 billion in annual trade passing …

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Retail operations struggled in the Jacksonville metro through the first half of 2012, but residential construction across the area will contribute to increased leasing activity in the coming months. In the bustling region around the already-expanding St. John’s Town Center, several new housing developments will add between 2,400 and 3,100 residential units, while more than 2,000 apartments are planned in the Arlington/Baymeadows/Mandarin submarket. High-end retailer Nordstrom has signed a lease to anchor the addition to St. John’s with a 124,000-square-foot store set to open in the fall of 2014, and another 30,000 square feet is planned for smaller stores. In other areas of the metro, retailer H&M has opened its first Jacksonville location at the Avenues mall. Winn-Dixie is planning six new stores, and retailers Family Dollar and Dollar General are poised to open a combined six new stores as well. These retailers moving into the region will help attract smaller tenants to nearby locations, filling in dark space and enabling owners to lift rents. After third quarter 2012, employment was down 500 positions although employers created 5,300 jobs during the third quarter. Employment over the quarter was broad-based, as 10 of the 11 sectors realized gains. Employment growth was …

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The Nashville office market may have good cause to be the envy of the commercial real estate world. Despite a sluggish economic recovery for most of the United States, Nashville’s economy and office market have experienced a surge of growth fueled by a diverse business climate that includes healthcare firms, legal firms and corporate headquarters. That surge puts overall office vacancy at a 10-year low and Class A vacancy at record lows, 9.9 percent and 6.3 percent, respectively. Moreover, the types of development and transactions that are shaping the office market and economy are economic development homeruns, bringing or retaining growing firms’ corporate headquarters to Nashville and driving job growth. By any measure, 2012 was a banner year for Nashville’s office market. The CBD submarket has seen the most leasing activity, as many of Nashville’s major law firms and banks have secured homes for the next decade. Butler Snow’s deal at the Pinnacle building placed the 520,000-square-foot Class A office tower at 80 percent leased, and this building ­— which has the highest rents in the city — was closing in on full lease-up at the end of the year. Additionally, with the majority of downtown office space committed and …

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The vacancy rate for the 19.7 million-square-foot Cambridge office and lab market decreased from 11.5 percent to 10.3 percent during the third quarter, with more than 150,000 square feet of positive absorption. Year-to-date absorption totals 386,000 square feet, with all of the positive absorption occurring in the lab market. The lab market continues to be the driving engine of the Cambridge market and with four consecutive quarters of positive absorption, it shows no sign of slowing down. The two largest leases of the quarter were signed by Merrimack Pharmaceuticals (110,000 square feet), a homegrown Cambridge company, and Boston Biomedical Inc. (63,000 square feet), which will open an oncology R&D facility in Cambridge. Conditions in the Cambridge office market generally favor landlords despite three straight quarters of modestly negative net absorption. The office vacancy rate stands at 10.9 percent, but with some sizeable commitments expected to transact in the fourth quarter and a number of active tenants touring the market, conditions are tight, particularly in the East Cambridge submarket. Office Market The 10.3 million-square-foot Cambridge office market has been statistically flat for much of 2012, barely moving from 10 percent at 2011 year end to 10.9 percent at the end of …

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The Salt Lake office market will hopefully continue to improve throughout the next year. At the end of the third quarter, overall direct vacancy rates were 13.6 percent, down from the 14.9 percent rate recorded this time last year. Overall asking lease rates for the same period have also seen a slight increase of 41 cents per square foot to the now average asking lease rate of $19.92 per square foot, per year, full service. Although a healthy appetite for Class A office space has dropped vacancy rates in this category to below 10 percent, Class B space lags behind with vacancy rates close to 17 percent as of the end of the third quarter. There has been considerable buzz around the Downtown submarket, due mostly to the new City Creek retail center that was estimated to cost $1.5 billion. The project was developed by The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints affiliate City Creek Reserve, in collaboration with their partner Taubman Centers. The retail complex is located in the core of Salt Lake’s CBD and came online in March of this year. Despite this unique development, vacancy rates remain high in this submarket. Overall direct vacancy rates for …

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The commercial real estate market for the Rio Grande Valley region, located in south Texas along the U.S.-Mexico border, has remained stable over the last couple of years. During the last half of 2012, there has been a general mood of optimism about 2013. The U.S. economic crisis did play some havoc in the region and many projects lost some momentum. However, the region managed to dodge the bulk of the effects, as some noted projects and acquisitions did come to fruition, including CVS/pharmacy store openings. The company has plans to open 25 stores in this market. H-E-B Grocery opened a new H-E-B Plus concept in Pharr and remodeled and expanded one of its Brownsville stores. The grocery chain is planning another store opening in Palmhust, north of Mission, this year. Other national retailers entering the market include Bass Pro Shop, Sam’s Club, Costco, LongHorn Steakhouse, Party Cityand Cinemark. The City of Pharrsaw the first Costcoin the market while McAllen added its second Sam’s Club. LongHorn Steakhouse is on a fast track and within 24 months will have opened five locations in the region. Additionally, Cinemark will be adding two theaters, including a state-of-the-art movie houseat the El Centro Mall …

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The Tampa Bay multifamily market is a tale of “have” and “have not.” The market has plenty of buyers and tremendous amounts of capital, and it has seen huge moves in valuation over the last 24 months. However, the market does not a large supply of available inventory or a steady supply of REO assets from lenders or special servicers. Let’s look at the amount of increased deal volume in the last 24 months, according to several sources such as LoopNet, CoStar and Real Capital Analytics. According to compiled sales comps, more than 250 multifamily properties ranging from 20 to more than 600 units have sold in the last 24 months. Compared to the prior two years, this number demonstrates an increase in sales volume of more than 200 percent. Sales prices range from $9,000 per unit on the low end of the scale for Class D fully vacant, REO, boarded-up properties to more than $150,000 per unit for several Class A fractured condo complexes that were 100 percent occupied at the time of sale. Lenders and REO special servicers have taken notice of this trend and have started pricing assets accordingly when they are brought to market through REO …

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