CBRE recently completed a comprehensive study on the state of big box vacancy in Orange County. It showed that while the county continues its struggle to replace large tenants lost during the recession, there is progress being made in this important sector of the retail market, particularly in Class A locations. There are currently 59 big box vacancies (20,000 square feet or larger) in 55 centers with a total of 2.3 million square feet within the county. In the past two years, approximately 1.6 million square feet of big box retail has been absorbed. The question now is, what’s left and when will it be absorbed? Since the downturn, retailers have had their pick of great real estate. Class A space that was near impossible to find in Orange County during the boom years became available for the first time. The most active retailers, including Wal-Mart, Kohls, grocers and gyms, moved quickly to take advantage of the opportunities. In many cases, these retailers even modified their prototypes in order to do so. With most of the Class A space quickly absorbed, our study found that 48 of the 59 boxes currently remaining, or 84 percent, are located in B or …
Market Reports
Redevelopment initiatives in Cleveland’s urban core will attract rental households to the area, while healthy job growth and a lackluster single-family housing market will uphold modest demand in the suburbs. Among ongoing projects in the urban core, the $2 billion redevelopment of University Circle, which includes the expansion of the VA Medical Center, Cleveland Clinic and University Hospitals, has created more than 4,000 jobs since construction started in 2005. The renovations are expected to be complete by 2015 and will support over 36,000 jobs in the area. Surrounding neighborhoods such as Beachwood, Shaker Heights and Cleveland Heights will benefit most as roughly 30 percent of the employees live in these areas. Many of these young professionals occupy apartments and will delay purchasing single-family homes, a trend that will sustain demand throughout the metro area. As a result, most submarkets will post vacancy decreases this year, providing many owners with enough leverage to ease concessions and lift rents. Construction pipeline Development slowed significantly during the last year, as only one apartment complex came on line. The 38-unit University Lofts was delivered in the Cleveland Heights/Shaker Heights area in the first half of 2011. The first phase of the Uptown project will …
With low rental rates and available square footage, Atlanta’s industrial market remains a favorable environment for tenants and buyers interested in discounted real estate. Many are taking the opportunity to renegotiate leases on existing space or upgrade in terms of size, quality and location. With its close proximity to Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, CoStar Property reports South Atlanta’s Industrial Submarket is leading the metro area, with net absorption year-to-date in the third quarter of 2011 of 4.64 million square feet at an average quoted rental rate of $3.05 per square foot. The Northeast Atlanta submarket followed by posting year-to-date net absorption of 1.12 million square feet in the third quarter of 2011 at a higher quoted rental rates averaging $4.60 per square foot. Total year-to-date net absorption in the third quarter of 2011 for the metro area was 5.52 million square feet, with average quoted rental rates of $3.83 per square foot. This is in spite of the fact that flex space experienced negative net absorption, which accounts for approximately 10 percent of industrial inventory. The third quarter 2011 average vacancy rate of 13.3 percent has dropped relative to previous periods due in part to positive absorption and anemic new …
Operations will remain tight in the urban core as retailers expand to premier locations in Boston, while stagnant building activity and an uptick in demand will allow operators to backfill under-utilized space in the suburbs. As businesses expand payrolls in the Financial District, residents will migrate toward major employment hubs and entertainment districts in surrounding areas. As a result, global and national retailers will expand or relocate from older centers in peripheral neighborhoods to newer, redeveloped infill properties in Boston. Prime shopping districts in Back Bay, including Newbury Street, Commonwealth Avenue, and Boylston Street will garner the most consideration this year as tenants lease quality, street-level store fronts with high visibility. As available space shrinks in the submarket, vacancy will drop to a metrowide best of 3.4 percent this year, giving owners enough leverage to raise rents. Meanwhile, muted construction and large lease signings will support positive net absorption in third-ring suburbs such as Bristol County and Merrimac Valley submarkets, reducing vacancy an average of 100 basis points this year. Solid retail sales and job growth encouraged tenants to move forward with expansions, underpinning a 60-basis-point decrease in vacancy over the past year to 6.5 percent. In the prior 12 …
One of the hardest-hit real estate segments, both in Cleveland and across the nation, has been the retail sector. A dramatic reduction in consumer spending over the past four years has caused significantly lower retail sales and resulted in a long list of bankrupt retailers and struggling retail centers. While the pullback by the consumer has ultimately led to numerous instances of shuttered stores and bank-owned retail centers across the region, there have also been some noticeable trends that illustrate the underlying resiliency and strength of this segment. Digging in the dirt Although the pace of retail development has been at a near standstill for the past few years, some projects have begun to take shape. The furthest along is a new 86,000-square-foot Giant Eagle in Broadview Heights, which is under construction with an early 2012 opening planned. The South Euclid/Cleveland Heights area has also emerged as a favored development location with two large-scale projects. The long-planned expansion and renovation to the northern half of Cedar Center began in the spring with the construction of a new GFS Marketplace. When fully completed in late 2012, this project is expected to contain approximately 60,000 square feet of total retail as well …
Southeastern Wisconsin’s industrial market absorbed nearly 1.28 million square feet in the third quarter — the fifth consecutive quarter of positive absorption — and 2.87 million square feet of absorption year-to-date. The vacancy rate registered 7.6 percent in the third quarter, down from 9.2 percent a year ago, according to Xceligent/CARW. Leasing activity in Milwaukee and Waukesha counties has accounted for 80 percent of the 2.87 million square feet absorbed year-to-date. Kenosha and Racine counties both experienced positive absorption of 81,527 square feet and 486,832 square feet in the third quarter, respectively. While impressive, this data is less substantial than previous quarters that we have analyzed. Traditionally, Racine and Kenosha counties compete for tenants crossing over the border from Illinois. These two counties will likely attract the next speculative or build-to-suit developments in Southeastern Wisconsin. With leasing and sales activity continuing to be on the rise late into the third quarter, we expect these positive trends to carry over into the final quarter of 2011. Quality industrial space is being depleted in many of the more popular submarkets south of I-94 and west of I-45. Natural tensions between quality supply and increasing demand are causing a stabilization of lease rates …
When we look back at the last couple of years in the Dallas/Fort Worth industrial real estate sector, it is absolutely certain that it’s been great to be a tenant. Landlords have been fighting for new deals and trying to keep the ones they have. But is next year going to be better or worse than this year? In the past year, there have been glimmers that the real estate market and the economy might be on the rebound. With a complete lack of any notable new speculative industrial construction in the past 3 years in DFW, we’ve all been working to fill up the existing vacant inventory. In the past 4 quarters, we’ve seen positive absorption of approximately 10 million square feet. We’ve moved the needle in DFW from 11.5 percent vacancy, to 10.5 percent in one year’s time. While that’s significant compared to where we’ve been, it’s approximately half of where we were in 2007 when we saw more than 20 million square feet of industrial absorption in 2007 in DFW alone. While it seems that the market is positioning itself for some sustained growth, the flex sector of the industrial market still seems to be flagging. Vacancy …
As we approach the end of the 2011, there are clear indications of an improving economy. Although the rate of commercial property foreclosure is still high, the rate of absorption of foreclosed properties has risen appreciably. These properties are not sitting on the market like they did the previous 24 months. One may say that this is not only a clear indication that we have turned the corner, but also that the community has genuine faith in the investment in commercial real estate. Although it may be time-consuming for some local businesses to secure financing, it is evident that traditional lending institutions are far more accessible than they were in 2009 and early 2010, albeit some more than others. The Small Business Administration (SBA) programs are propagated frequently, and the qualification process is not as cumbersome as in years past. The types of businesses that have taken advantage of the improved lending environment vary, and include automotive parts suppliers, manufacturing businesses, and distribution companies. Many area businesses are unsure about the near future. Considering what Detroit has endured over the past three years, this is to be expected. Although cautious, these same businesses are moving forward in a confident manner. …
After years of little or no new construction, the Greater Cleveland area is experiencing the construction of a broad range of major new projects representing more than $5 billion of new investment. Some of the largest projects include a new convention center and medical mart, a new Caesars Horseshoe Casino, plus major new medical center facilities developed for the Cleveland Clinic, University Hospitals and the VA Medical Center. There also are four new office developments: a 450,000-square-foot multi-tenant office tower in the Flats East Bank area of the central business district; a 580,000-square-foot world headquarters complex on 53 acres in the eastern suburb of Beachwood for Fortune 500 company Eaton Corp; a 700,000-square-foot corporate headquarters for American Greetings in Westlake, a western suburb; and a 639,000 sq. ft. global headquarters for Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. in Akron to the south. Not since the 1990s, when we saw the completion of a half dozen CBD office towers and new stadiums for the Browns, Indians, and Cavaliers has Cleveland seen this kind of activity. Build new or renovate? In mature, established cities like Cleveland, the time comes for companies and institutions to decide between building new or renovating existing structures. The …
As the national market recession began in 2008, and started to settle in throughout the city of Houston around mid-year 2009, businesses focused on the implementation of efficiency, accomplishing more with fewer resources applied to the daily routine. In most business models, the most expensive resources are the current staff, followed closely by office space. In that most office leases are illiquid, downsizing of non-essential personnel is logically the most expedient way to an immediate impact on the bottom line during an economic downturn. However, this also results in an immediate surplus of office space per person or phantom vacancy; a pattern logically should trend downward during a recessionary cycle in the economy. According to CoStar data from the 3rd quarter 2011 webinar, the average square footage per worker has increased by almost 10% since 2008, and leveling off after 2009 without significant decrease. Certainly, the trend is quite the opposite of what we would expect today, arguably even in a stable economy as the trend is increasingly toward efficiency. However, such excess may not only be to the lack of the ability to dispose of such vacancy, but the intentional positioning where employers are seeking to recruit quality personnel …