Market Reports

To take measure of the recession’s effect on office transactions in the Washington market, simply watch the city’s tenant base. In a town where the market-wide vacancy rate is 10.8 percent, lessees are being very careful about any real estate moves they make. Tenants who are active are obtaining short-term deals, hoping a brighter day is in the immediate future. “Getting decisions made takes considerably more time than in years past,” says Wendy Feldman Block of Studley’s Washington office. “Although some people feel that tenants are showing less hesitancy recently than they were 6 months ago, it’s very painful getting decisions made.” Hesitancy among landlords also is contributing to the city’s transactional slump. These owners are in financial trouble, but tenants are requiring massive tenant improvement packages and free rent before leases are signed. This culture leaves landlords in a bind; they want to get space leased up, but they also have to make money. If tenants were more prevalent, finding other interested parties wouldn’t be a problem, but the tenant pool has become smaller and smaller. “There are too few tenants for too much space — particularly for those who have requirements that are under 50,000 square feet,” she …

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The Atlanta multifamily market has experienced a 200-point jump in its vacancy rate when compared to the fourth quarter of last year. The market-wide total rate is sitting at 12. 5 percent, and the rate for Class B and Class C properties is a few percentage points higher. These numbers are, of course, a function of the recession and the overall lack of job stability in the city. When the jobs return, says Andrew Mays of Marcus & Millichap’s Atlanta office, the vacancy rate will start to recede. “Unemployment is the main deterrent to multifamily growth,” he says. “It’s such a function of the job market right now, and until we work our way through this, it’s going to take a little while to get that number back in check. Ideally, Atlanta performs much better around the high single digits.” Increased transactions from high net-worth buyers from South Florida, the Northeast and Chicago, along with the occasional foreign spender, has helped prevent a complete shutdown of the market. Mays says the number of transactions, and interest from international investors, will increase once lenders release more distressed assets onto the market. “Moving forward, It’s not going to be ‘06 or ‘07 …

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The Orange County industrial market continues to suffer from the effects of the national recession — widespread job losses, corporate downsizing, a lack of liquidity and an overall resetting of property values. Local businesses are postponing capital expenditures, reducing workforces and attempting to shed excess space, which has caused the availability rate for industrial product to increase by 70 percent since the first quarter of last year. North Orange County has experienced seven consecutive quarters of negative net absorption. The vacancy rate is just shy of 6 percent, while the availability rate is approaching 11 percent. The sharp increase in availability, coupled with an overall lack of demand, has created a tenant’s market where landlords are forced to be creative and are offering substantial rate reductions, free rent and moving allowances to entice tenants. Despite the aggressive attempts by landlords to lure tenants to their vacant buildings, many tenants do not have the confidence in their businesses to justify a large-scale move and are working with their existing landlords to complete short-term renewals. Although asking lease rates haven’t moved much given the lack of velocity and tenant demand, recently completed deals show that lease rates are down 25 to 30 …

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The old adage that every cloud has a silver lining holds true for the St. Louis industrial market. After posting positive absorption during every quarter of the current recession, the industrial market got cloudier when Chrysler shuttered its St. Louis plants during the early part of the third quarter. That placed more than 5.1 million square feet of space on the market and boosted the vacancy rate a couple points. The auto industry’s woes trickled down to a number of Chrysler’s suppliers as well. Another 2.1 million square feet of auto supplier buildings also became available. So where’s the silver lining? Actually, there are several. For starters, Chrysler’s plants and its suppliers are primarily located in the South County submarket. Historically, South County has been one of the area’s strongholds for industrial, with a vacancy rate of only 4.2 percent at the end of the second quarter. The availability of space now opens up opportunities for large and small users. A number of companies have already taken advantage of these opportunities. Colt Industries, the area’s distributor for Corian countertops, purchased a nearly 100,000-square-foot building formerly occupied by Dakkota Integrated Systems, which supplied vehicle interiors. An aerosol can supplier has signed …

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In comparison to many other U.S. markets, the Indianapolis bulk warehouse sector has weathered the financial crisis and the downturn fairly well, but in no way is the city immune to the recession. The market’s vacancy rate has crept up from 13.25 percent at the beginning of 2009 to 15.20 percent at the end of the third quarter. Some of this increase in the vacancy rate can be contributed to two new projects coming online — Browning Development’s Axcess70 Buildings 1 and 2, totaling 673,000 square feet, and Browning/Duke Realty’s 533,520-square-foot Allpoints Midwest. In 2008, the modern bulk warehouse market experienced more than 5 million square feet of positive absorption while managing reasonable growth of 3.35 million square feet. The net result was a 7.5 percent increase to the entire Indianapolis modern bulk market. Through the close of third quarter 2009, the market has remained mostly idle, while only recording two new transactions — AEL Span 144,075-square-foot deal and Niagara Water’s 226,900-square-foot deal — and only growing the overall market inventory by 2.5 percent. Only a couple of new projects have come online, but these projects were financed and under way prior to the financial crisis really hitting in the …

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Several factors have contributed to the softness in the St. Louis apartment market and are expected to continue to present operational challenges in the near term. A spike in construction has been met with the weak demand caused by the slumping labor market. In fact, demand for rental housing contracted 2.2 percent year-over-year in the third quarter — the largest decline in more than 20 years — and will likely fall until payrolls begin to expand. Owners have increased concessions to roughly 26 days of free rent. With vacancy on track to rise further this year, concessions will remain elevated, particularly in the Maryland Heights/Northwest County submarket. Area operators are currently offering renters nearly 40 days of free rent, the most of any submarket in the metro area. Nonetheless, many residents are opting to relocate out of the area and into St. Charles to capture lower rents or into Clayton to be near the metro’s healthiest employment corridors. As such, owners in the Clayton/Mid-County submarket have kept concessions relatively flat during the past 12 months. Turning to investment sales, transaction velocity has slowed in the St. Louis market due primarily to reduced pricing and increased buyer caution regarding weakened fundamentals. …

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With little demand for new retail space and even less money to fund new development, developers and owners have been focused on improvements at existing properties, tenant retention and strategic redevelopment. Westfield has plans to relocate the food court at Great Northern Mall in North Olmsted, Ohio, to allow for a new anchor and restaurant space with exterior entrances, which continues with the trend of turning malls inside out. In Solon, Giant Eagle has won a rezoning effort to replace its store at Solar Shopping Center with a new 99,000-square-foot store and Getgo fuel station. The remainder of the center is slated to undergo a complete redevelopment as well. Giant Eagle has also replaced its stores at Southland Shopping Center in Middleburgh Heights and the Day Drive location in Parma with new larger prototypes. Coral Company has revised its development agreement with the city of South Euclid to allow for the Cedar Center North redevelopment project to be completed in phases; leasing for the all-retail first phase is currently under way. The largest retail development in the Cleveland market is Visconsi Companies’ Plaza at Southpark in Strongsville, which has just opened with Costco, Bed, Bath & Beyond and Best Buy …

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Although much of the country may think Michigan’s economic outlook is bleak, Grand Rapids is still holding on strong through the economic downturn. The city is faring better than Southeast Michigan and currently is looking toward the future. With more than 1 billion square feet in proposed construction, the area is getting a head start on the rebound, especially in the medical office sector. Absorption in the traditional office market is slow, causing there to be less speculative development in the pipeline. That being said, Grand Rapids is experiencing an influx in medical office and healthcare development, especially in the central business district (CBD), where Michigan State is currently developing a new medical school. Even with medical office development proposed and under way, there is a perception that companies need to wait and see what everyone else decides to do before making any decisions for themselves. This pause is fueling a vicious cycle in the market that is making it difficult to get deals across the finish line. Like many markets across the nation, the leasing sector of Grand Rapids is seeing a great deal of concessions and incentives pass from landlords to tenants. Some owners are making bare-bone deals …

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Boston has the third largest investment management center in the world, eclipsed only by New York and London. It’s the birthplace of the mutual fund and is now arguably the “mutual fund capital of the world,” with literally trillions of dollars invested in funds managed there. The Boston retail market has certainly had its share of woes along with the rest of the country, but high barriers to entry, its infill nature and the city's promising long-term results keep the retail market pretty strong. Boston, perhaps more than any other Northeast market, has been nearly impossible for developers to crack and has become a notoriously challenging market in which to build. Because of this, the demand for retail space has remained light, but the vacancy rate for the area is nominal, hovering around only 5 to 7 percent. Although the amount of retail space in the city has increased by 12 percent since 2003, it has failed to keep pace with demand, which has grown 19 percent during the same time frame. Facing stiff economic headwinds, several developers have announced they will scale back on projects proposed for Boston. Earlier this year, plans for a massive urban shopping center in …

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Multifamily brokers in Orlando are breathing a little easier this quarter. Officials certainly aren’t carefree, but the market is starting to gain traction and generate some forward momentum, which is a positive leap toward a recovery. Property occupancy levels have risen, and brokers have witnessed concessions getting smaller. Subtle rent growth is a present factor in the current market, which is more than anyone could say 6 months ago. “We feel a little better telling our story these days than we did at the beginning of the year,” says Shelton Granade of CB Richard Ellis’ Orlando office. “Over the last 90 to 120 days … we’ve been seeing and feeling some modest improvement.” During the summer, properties Granade took to market started getting attention from multiple buyers, a stark contrast to the lack of enthusiasm felt during the depths of the downturn. Most of the minimal sale activity is fueled by the private equity investment market because these firms have cash to pony up in a tight financial landscape. There has also been a bit of foreign investment, especially from Canadian and South American companies. “More people are entering the game,” he says. Tenants are looking to lease space and …

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