Market Reports

While many cities grapple with a declining population, softening rents and a struggling office market, Miami is riding a wave of population growth and apartment demand. This stems from the usual factors — sun, lifestyle and low taxes — as well as something unprecedented: an influx of large office users. New-to-market office tenants are transforming Miami’s economy and helping offset the challenges of inflation and rising interest rates. Miami multifamily fundamentals remain strong, with plenty of liquidity in the market. Our economy is more diversified than ever, and this has made it one of the most desirable markets in the country. Supply and demand People and businesses fleeing states with higher taxes and longer pandemic restrictions helped fuel Miami’s population surge between 2020 and 2022 and led to record-breaking rent growth during that period. Miami has become a magnet for large financial and tech firms, with well-heeled companies like Starwood Property Trust, Citadel Securities, BlockChain and Blackstone Group taking new office space. All told, a record 57 companies relocated or expanded to Miami-Dade County last year. Between May 2022 and May 2023, Miami added over 83,000 jobs, more than a 4 percent increase. Miami’s unemployment rate as of May 2023 …

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— By Nellie Day — Jon Pharris, co-founder and president of Newport Beach, Calif.-based CapRock Partners, is in delivery mode. The firm recently debuted Palomino Ranch Business Park and Saddle Ranch South, two new LEED Silver-certified industrial building complexes in Norco, Calif. Palomino Ranch is a three-phased, 2-million-square-foot industrial development, while Saddle Ranch South is a 374,000-square-foot three-building industrial park. Next up is Central Point III, a component of CapRock’s 5-million-square-foot, master-planned Central Point industrial development in Visalia.  WREB recently sat down with Pharris to discuss these new projects, the types of tenants/users CapRock is now targeting and why location is more important than ever.  WREB: Why was Norco the right choice for both the Saddle Ranch South and Palomino Ranch developments? Pharris: Norco is an important location for logistics and distribution due to its position near the convergence of Riverside, San Bernardino and Orange counties, in addition to its seamless transportation connectivity, robust infrastructure, proximity to major ports and airports, favorable business environment and skilled workforce. These factors collectivelycontribute to the city’s efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and competitiveness for facility operations, attracting businesses seeking to optimize their supply chains and expand their market reach. Norco is highly desired by Orange County, …

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By Jim Pitoukkas, Coldwell Banker Commercial Shook Outside of recognition related to Purdue University, the Greater Lafayette region (consisting of West Lafayette, Lafayette and surrounding towns in Tippecanoe County), has been in the shadows of the Indianapolis MSA to the south and Chicago MSA to the north. This is changing, though. Growth over the last decade has pushed Greater Lafayette into the national spotlight as an emerging hub for innovation in advanced manufacturing in industries including medical, aerospace and defense, agriculture and nanotechnology, and a burgeoning housing market. For three quarters straight, The Wall Street Journal and Realtor.com have ranked Greater Lafayette the No. 1 Emerging Housing Market in America based on comparatively affordable housing, a skilled technology-based workforce, and a strong growing local economy. Additionally, current and to-be residents benefit from consistent public investments in quality-of-life infrastructure that continue to attract new residents across a range of ages and backgrounds. Quality of life Greater Lafayette has invested in excess of $889 million in public investment since 2015. These investments have ranged from new utility infrastructure, a new minor league ball field, parks, county-wide trails, public facilities like the West Lafayette Wellness Center and the Lafayette Public Safety Center, and …

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— By Steven Chattin, Managing Director, Berkadia — Nationwide, inflated interest rates are significantly impacting property values. In the Seattle metro, cap rates are increasing while values decline and bridge debt rates hover at 8 percent or higher — non-starters for many multifamily investors. The common play is to secure favorable short-term financing for if and when rates come back down. Due to these factors, family offices, high-net-worth individuals and private capital groups are the most active players in today’s market. Lenders are also feeling the impact of the economic environment, with the current depth being extremely shallow for competitive options. As transactions slow, some players are scaling back or stepping out of certain arenas entirely. Umpqua Bank recently shuttered its multifamily lending operation on the West Coast. According to second-quarter data provided by CoStar, multifamily sales volume has decreased by 50 percent year over year. Agency debt is most favored right now with fixed rates preferred over floating rate debt. Where available, loan assumptions are generally the most attractive option and have bridged many deals across the finish line.  Challenges aside, many developers are staying busy as evidenced by the nearly 12,000 additional units projected within the Seattle-Tacoma metro …

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— By Scott Romick — The Western region is going through a lot of changes when it comes to the office market. Downtown San Francisco, in particular, was a large tech hub with so much infrastructure prior to the pandemic, but it’s currently become more of a ghost town. Because hybrid and remote work is common now, many of the workers who are back to the office have moved to local submarkets that offer faster commutes, more efficiency, affordability and other key factors.  Southern California, on the other hand, is a growth market. Suburban areas like the San Fernando Valley’s Sherman Oaks — which has become more active than the West Valley — continues to expand its population. This helps the office market as well as existing and new retailers. Even pockets like Encino, Studio City and Burbank have become more populous, attracting a young workforce given their proximity to local restaurants, coffee shops and parks. Unfortunately, Downtown Los Angeles is still struggling to recover as a central business district, Century City is rebounding slowly and Santa Monica is shifting in its downtown area, given the nature of office structures and their footprints. Hybrid & Regionalized Real Estate The hybrid work …

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As Richmond continues to grow, its relative value points to prosperity in the market for years to come. Having grown our company in Richmond, we’ve witnessed the transformative momentum and tremendous change firsthand. Specifically, the diverse employment base has continued to expand through economic strength and migration trends, increasing not only population but also multifamily demand and asset performance. Strong economics support Richmond’s stability. Richmond’s diverse employment base empowers a resilient market with high-growth potential. The MSA is home to 11 Fortune 1000 companies and a robust private sector, encompassing hospitals, energy companies and financial services. The economy is stabilized by the presence of many institutions of higher learning, along with substantial medical and life sciences users. Numerous major corporations have announced or recently completed large expansions. These include CoStar’s new $460 million corporate campus (2,000 jobs) and The LEGO Group’s new $1 billion, 1.7-million-square-foot production facility (1,760 jobs). As Virginia’s state capital, Richmond has a large government presence, including the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank and the U.S. Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals. The city is also actively engaged in creating public-private partnerships — including the “Diamond District,” a 67.5-acre parcel redevelopment into a mixed-use entertainment district, and “City Center,” …

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— By Lisa Stewart, Senior Managing Director, JLL; and Nick Menghini, Puget Sound Research Manager, JLL — Real estate market participants are maintaining cautious optimism for improved conditions across the Puget Sound as signs of vitality are emerging despite persistently challenging economic forces. Viewed through the lens of prior real estate cycles, it’s clear the Seattle area has a greater critical mass of highly skilled talent and a broader, more resilient economic base than previous slowdowns. Among the promising indicators are the Puget Sound’s rebound of population in-migration, from net outflows during the pandemic to more than 53,000 new residents moving here in the first half of the year.  Seattle now lays claim to being the fastest growing of the top 50 U.S. cities, according to Census data. Several leading employers are also growing again. This includes Boeing, which has more hiring underway than in years’ past. Rising star Blue Origin has had about half as many open positions as Boeing over the past 12 months. The life sciences sector is further expanding as Big Pharma firms like Pfizer, Moderna and Novartis join homegrown startups with significant Puget Sound presences. Overall, companies encouraging a return-to-office (RTO) have brought more daytime foot traffic to employment …

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By Mike Rensch, Investors Realty The Omaha office market is facing an increasing amount of sublease space, which is having a significant impact on what spaces tenants prefer to lease right now. This is directly affecting all aspects of the overall office market as well. As the second quarter came to a close, the direct vacancy rate was 7.4 percent, compared with 7.6 percent in the second quarter of 2022.  With that said, those numbers do not paint the whole picture because they do not account for the amount of sublease space on the market. The availability rate (which includes direct space and sublease space available) was at 9.8 percent compared with 8.4 percent in the second quarter of 2022. We see this trend continuing for the time being as companies grapple with whether or not to bring their employees back to the office.    At the end of the second quarter, there was 841,000 square feet of sublease space available in Omaha, up from 723,000 square feet at the end of the second quarter of 2022. This represents a 14 percent increase in sublease space over the past year. It reached its peak of 919,000 square feet of available …

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The effects of sweeping macroeconomic forces in recent years are now manifesting themselves in industrial projects in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW). And while the market still enjoys healthy fundamentals and tenant demand, the product being delivered now comes with a new look, functionality and set of requirements from end users.  To some degree, this paradigm shift in how industrial properties are conceived, designed and constructed stems from major economic factors and trends that are beyond the ability of architects, contractors and developers to control. To start with the obvious, interest rates are now five times what they were 18 months ago. When hikes of that magnitude are enacted so expeditiously, real estate professionals of all walks are impacted, even if it’s in an indirect manner.  “Demand for industrial space is there; if developers are building, the rents are probably there to cover those costs,” says Mike Williams, vice president of preconstruction at Dallas-based Talley Riggins Construction Group. “But for developers that are trying to form a team to get enough equity to get a loan — those deals aren’t working anymore with these rates. So paying extra close attention to who your clients are and their funding sources has been the …

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— By Ted Evans — The white hot, logistic-based real estate market in Southern California has cooled off. This is due to a combination of factors, including the end of COVID-based buying. Labor disputes, interest rate hikes and slower absorption rates are pushing business back to normal in a Western market segment supported by strong fundamentals.    Returning to Normal As the crazed days of pandemic-induced buying slip into the past, we are seeing vacancy levels returning to pre-pandemic conditions. This may not be what some real estate investors want to hear, but the supply chain is certainly not as constricted as it was two years ago. The days of ordering products that were unavailable for weeks or months are over.    The numbers we’re seeing back up our on-the-ground assessments. According to Savills, the warehouse vacancy rate in the logistics-heavy Inland Empire jumped to 3.8 percent in the second quarter. This was compared to 1.2 percent a year earlier, which was largely driven by reduced tenant demand over this period. The national vacancy rate for the sector clocks in at 4.7 percent, proving that the logistic sun is still shining in California.  However, the increased vacancy rate is also …

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