Industrial properties in the Upstate region of South Carolina continued to perform at a steady if unspectacular rate through 2008, and this trend is expected to continue through 2009. The market will continue to see good activity on the leasing side of the business. This activity, while driven by the confusion of the credit market, has still reflected the desirability of the area as a place for new businesses and the continued growth of key industries. The current expansion of BMW’s facilities has heightened the likelihood of both secondary and tertiary suppliers opening or expanding locally in anticipation of the plant’s growth. This is further intensified as the International Center for Automotive Research complex continues to grow. The recent opening of the Carroll A. Campbell Jr. Graduate Engineering Center will further improve local research and development capabilities. This strategic investment was cited as one of the reasons the Upstate area was chosen for a multi million-dollar titanium manufacturing facility. Equally impressive has been the announcement that Fitesa, a Brazilian manufacturing company, also plans to establish a presence in the region. Another source of growth has been from foreign-owned corporations that view this as a good time to expand in the …
Market Reports
Apartment conditions in St. Louis will soften this year due to job losses and localized oversupply; however, some submarkets in the metro area will record a relatively strong performance. The local labor market is projected to be weighed down by the manufacturing sector and the trade, transportation and utilities segment, resulting in approximately 12,000 job cuts in 2009, which will ease apartment demand. Vacancy is projected to climb 100 basis points this year to 8.6 percent, the highest rate since early 2006. As a result, owners will reduce rents in an effort to maintain occupancy levels. The average asking rent is forecast to end the year at $722 per month, a contraction of 1 percent, following a 1.7 percent advance in 2008. In the near term, fundamentals will firm in the Airport/Interstate 70 and Clayton/Mid-County submarkets, as their proximity to arterial routes will continue to generate healthy tenant demand. As such, vacancy is forecast to retreat approximately 60 basis points to 9.5 percent this year in the Airport/I-70 submarket, while vacancy in the Clayton/Mid-County area is expected to fall roughly 30 basis points to 7 percent. Class A properties near interstates 270 and 170 are projected to outperform as a …
Howard Bissell of The Bissell Cos. sums his take on the Charlotte office market by echoing a concern voiced by developers all across the country. In nearly every major market and in a vast array of property types, developers are hurting because of rampant economic uncertainty. Tenants and investors simply don’t know what’s next, so they aren’t making any moves. “There’s a lot of concern over the unknown,” Bissell says. “Depending on where you are in the Charlotte market, you can point to slow downs in the velocity of leasing. What we started seeing last year has just accelerated into 2009.” For developers like Bissell, the main concern in Charlotte isn’t that the office market has slowed, but that it’s taken a rapid course downward, a quick pace that nobody quite anticipated. Tenants are on the sidelines looking in. Bissell has had to put two of his developments on hold due to the recession. “We’re out there trying to capture every deal that we can, so long as it makes sense,” he says, noting that he foresees pursuing deals more aggressively in the next year. At the Charlotte Chamber of Commerce, Jeff Edge takes a brighter point of view toward …
Las Vegas’ retail market is now clearly showing the strain of the recession. Decreased consumer spending has directly impacted local retailers, as unemployment climbs and shoppers find themselves with less discretionary income. Holiday season revenues were the weakest on record, and luxury stores, apparel chains and department stores all reported declining sales. Meanwhile, developers continue to experience difficulties securing financing for planned projects. As a result, several planned projects are on hold, and few of the currently planned and under construction projects should open in 2009 and 2010. Underperformance, the liquidity crunch and tighter credit terms with vendors, combined with the recession, made it impossible for many large box retailers to remain in business, thus bringing on the vast amount of power center vacancies. Small local retailers relied on SBA loans and equity from residential properties and saw both of these sources vanish, thus preventing many from opening new stores and leaving many strip centers with higher vacancies. Retailers that are performing well are very cautious regarding expansion. With already close to 3 million square feet of vacant large box retail space in the Las Vegas market, expect to see vacancies continue to rise this year. However, increased vacancies provide …
Clearly, the demand for office space has significantly diminished since the end of last year. Office leasing is directly related to jobs and the expectation of future employment and, therefore, over-reliant on Wall Street. However, it does lag behind the stock market somewhat. Having said that, it is important to look at the Manhattan office space market with a broader perspective. The unique advantages of New York City include the diversity of businesses residing here and the transportation infrastructure that makes it easy for people to get to work. Other cities such as London, Seattle and Silicon Valley, California, are far more reliant on specific industries and their market tends to suffer more dramatically when those industries are in decline. Although the financial services and banking industry represents a large portion of the overall inventory of office space in Manhattan, industries such as healthcare, legal (with strong bankruptcy and litigation departments) and accounting have shown resilience — and in some cases growth — of their businesses. The subleasing of excess office space, although predominantly in the financial services sector, also includes retailers, law firms and pharmaceutical companies. Recent major leases include: Deutsche Bank, which renewed 150,000 square feet at 345 …
The struggles in the capital markets that began to take hold during the second half of 2008 have put the brakes on much of the investment sales activity across all asset classes, but multifamily sales in Indianapolis have weathered the financial storm better than any other sector. Investment sales of multifamily housing in Indianapolis fared reasonably well when compared to other major Midwest cities. Last year, 19 major properties were sold in the Indianapolis area for just less than $200 million and at an average cap rate of 7.98 percent, according to Real Capital Analytics and Colliers Turley Martin Tucker. While the average U.S. cap rate for multifamily sales stood at 6.2 percent during the first three quarters of 2008, Indianapolis posted an average cap rate of 7.4 percent. The 12-month average price per unit for higher quality assets in Indianapolis is $61,022, compared to $100,792 for similar sales throughout the United States. Sales of properties categorized as Class B to non-performing assets have pushed the average unit price down and cap rates up into the 8.5-to-10 percent range. Multifamily properties that needed a total repositioning were trading in the 10-to-12 percent range based on pro-forma. In 2007, two major …
The Memphis industrial market, comprised of 176 million square feet of warehouse space and 7.7 million square feet of flex space, reached a total of just more than 184 million square feet at the end of 2008. Deliveries during that time included just more than 2.8 million square feet in nine new buildings, including the 1.1 million-square-foot Nike Footwear Distribution Center in the Northwest submarket. In the DeSoto County, Mississippi, submarket the 800,000-square-foot Building F in the Crossroads Distribution Center and the 600,000-square-foot Building 3 in the Olive Branch Distribution Center were added as well. Annual deliveries have been in steady decline since hitting a 5-year peak of 6.9 million square feet in 2005. More than 1 million square feet of industrial space is currently under construction in the market, and more than half of the space is pre leased. Virtually all speculative building deliveries in the market have been occurring in DeSoto County, where the business environment is friendly and tax incentives are healthy. During the second quarter of 2008, 16 buildings were delivered in DeSoto County, driving the vacancy rate in the submarket to a high of 23.4 percent, as of the end of the quarter. Three straight …
The northern Nevada office market remained weak in 2008 with all four quarters recording increased vacancy and negative net absorption, a continuation of a trend that began in 2007 when three out of four quarters finished with negative net absorption. Last year finished with negative 116,000 square feet of leased office space and vacancy exceeding 20 percent. Directly related to the drastic downturn in the residential real estate market, Reno’s office performance had been fueled by the national homebuilders, mortgage companies and title companies, who saw their requirements for office space drop as quickly as the demand for their products and services. The area’s office sector quickly changed from growth and high demand to nearly non-existent demand and increasing vacancy, thus leaving investors and developers scrambling for tenants. With rising vacancy and demand declining, many office property owners are willing to slash effective lease rates to secure tenants. The average asking rate for Class A properties at year-end 2008 was $22.08 per square foot, a $1.56 less than a year earlier, and Class B was down to $16.68 per square foot. During the highs of late 2006, the effective rates for class A product exceeded $27 per square foot. With …
The Charlotte industrial market has continued to weather the global economic storm with relative stability. Experts in the market believe this is by design and is not just good fortune. A disciplined development community that did not over-build the city is the foundation for the stability. The market size for institutional grade industrial product in Charlotte is approximately 30 million square feet. The entire market is well more than 100 million square feet, which comprises user-occupied and manufacturing product that institutional investors are not trading day-to-day. With 3.3 million square feet available, the institutional market stands at 11 percent vacant. Given the gloomy economic news that we have all grown accustomed to hearing, an 11 percent vacancy rate is not particularly unhealthy. The key statistic is this: in a 30 million-square-foot market, only 250,000 square feet is being constructed, representing less than 1 percent of the market. In addition, only 1.7 million square feet of product is in the planning stages, with no assurances that it will go vertical in the near future. If all 1.7 million square feet of product were to be built — which won’t happen — it would represent a 5.7 percent increase in inventory. There …
We expect 2009 to continue to be a tough year for commercial/investment real estate, but multifamily is certainly the preferred product type for institutional and private investors delivering stable, solid returns, particularly in the supply-constrained New England markets. Transaction velocity was actually fairly strong through EOY 2008 although cap rates and IRR have increased by 100 to 150-plus basis points from a year ago, and currently we are pricing properties using cash-on-cash returns based on true, twelve month trailing operating data. Fortunately, the greatest demand from institutional investors is for well-constructed Class “B+” to “A” properties in the region. While we don’t have the problem of shadow inventory that we do in Florida, Arizona and other markets, we have noticed an increase in vacancy for Class A and B properties in the region. Occupancy in a number of properties we analyze for our monthly same-store rent comp survey has dipped, but we’re still ahead of most other national markets. We are generally seeing an increase in vacancy in New Haven, Fairfield, Middlesex, New London and Hartford County properties from 100 to 400 basis points but we expect strengthening later this year. After 30-plus years in this business, my honest opinion …