Demosthenes G. Mekras of Marcus & Millichap gives his take on the multifamily market in Miami-Dade County. • What trends do you see presently in multifamily development in your area? Multifamily development for rental projects has been limited to non-existent. Builders are expected to complete 380 units in 2009. This is a drop in the bucket in terms of supply, so one would expect for the fundamentals to be advancing on that metric alone. Unfortunately, continued local job loss and the shadow market have depressed rents and increased vacancies across the board. No class of building or size of project has escaped this downturn, and that is true for every submarket in Miami-Dade County. • Who are the active multifamily developers in your area? Affordable housing developers, such as Pinnacle Housing Group, have clearly been the most active, but they are not entirely sheltered from the turn in the market. In the market-rate arena, the most notable developer has been J. Milton & Associates, a local multifamily developer, owner and operator that is arguably the largest private owner in Miami-Dade County. They have a 97-unit tower under construction in the Fontainebleau submarket west of Miami International Airport, which is slated …
Market Reports
Barry Wolfe and Michael Zimmerman of Marcus & Millichap sit down with REBusinessOnline.com to give their take on the South Florida retail sector. • What trends do you see presently in retail development in your area? While a recovery in the retail property sector may not start for several more quarters, the slowing in construction will help to set the stage for an eventual rebound in occupancy and rent growth. There is little to no construction currently beginning in South Florida; therefore, completions in 2009 will fall considerably less than the average posted over the past 5 years. • What type of retail product is doing well in your area? Retailers holding up well during the on-going recession are necessity-based retailers such as grocery, drug stores and gas stations. Retailers offering lower price points on their goods and services, such as Dollar General and Family Dollar, are also doing well. • What retailers are new to your area? Kohl’s continues to open stores throughout South Florida. Anthony’s Coal Fire Pizza is also expanding. Otherwise, we are seeing minimal retail expansion and development in the current market environment. • Please name one or two significant retail developments in your area. What …
When it comes to the metro Detroit area, perception may not equal reality. The once-and-future motor city is meeting the challenges of a downsizing auto industry and a national economic slow down head on. The changing dynamics have altered the names of expanding retailers, but this shift has managed to present an opportunity to many local entrepreneurs and market savvy retailers. Similar to the rest of the country, the metro Detroit retail sector has been impacted by consumer pull back, national big box closures and the reduction in new store openings. Store closures from Mervyns, Circuit City, Cost Plus, Linens N Things, La-Z-Boy and Office Depot have increased the overall vacancy rate to 9.9 percent, and left landlord’s seeking replacement retailers and/or new uses for empty space. Increasing vacancy is pressuring the market, slowing demand for new development in greenfield growth markets and creating better opportunities for new locations in dense, established markets. Aside from Taubman Center’s Mall at Partridge Creek, metro Detroit did not get caught up in the over development of lifestyle centers in recent years. Instead, Michigan developers focused on smaller, traditional grocery centers or Walmart, Meijer or Target-anchored endeavors. A number of these projects have recently …
Alex Zylberglait CCIM, SIOR and Ryan Shaw of Marcus & Millichap answer pressing questions on the state of the Miami office market. • What trends do you see presently in office development in your area? Office development is relatively slow at this time except for the projects that were already in the works prior to the market downturn, specifically projects in Downtown Miami as well as in Coral Gables and Doral. Given the current market conditions, it is unlikely that we will see any significant development for the next few years. In addition, most office assets today could be acquired at below replacement cost therefore stifling the development of new product. There are a few exceptions that include some medical office buildings and some buildings that are being built as “green” buildings, which is a trend likely to be around for a while as long as there is development. In fact, many government tenants are requiring that any space they lease be in a building that complies with the latest “green” standards. • Who are the active office developers in your area? Rilea Group is active in Downtown Miami as is MDM Development Group, which is working on Met2, and …
In Buffalo, New York, the office market is in the midst of a slow recovery from the lows experienced in the early 2000s. Even with the recent economic downturn, the statistics show that this market is still showing improvement. The inventory continues to grow at a slow, controlled pace and net absorption of space is positive. There is a growing preference for regionally based companies to invest in Buffalo. Two recent corporate relocations, HealthNow and New Era Cap, had a significant impact on the market by moving their headquarters operations into Buffalo’s Central Business District. HealthNow took 469,000 square feet of space and New Era Cap signed on for 130,000 square feet. The second trend has been the growth of governmental agencies and their policy of leasing privately owned facilities. Over the past 3 years, 600,000 square feet of government tenants have been moved to new, privately owned, Class A buildings. The best example of this is the relocation of 280,000 square feet of Federal GSA tenants from a government owned building to the new Federal Center at 150 S. Elmwood Avenue. The two largest tenants were the Veterans Administration, which leased 85,000 square feet, and the IRS, which took …
1. What trends do you see presently in industrial development in your area? There are no new developments breaking ground and few nearing completion. There has recently been drastic increases in industrial product vacancy rates which, inherently, has compressed lease rates. I do not expect to see any new projects breaking ground until the current vacancies are absorbed and lease rates stabilize. 2. What type of industrial product is doing well in your area? Large warehouse/distribution buildings with 24-foot+ clear height continue to outperform the market vacancy rates but are still subject to lease rate compression as business revenues continue to decline. 3. Who are the active industrial developers in your area? Prologis Butters Construction REMS Group 4. Please name one or two significant industrial developments in your area. What impact will these projects have on the market? The 595 Park of Commerce, located directly off I-595 halfway between Downtown Fort Lauderdale and Weston, has recently completed its first of three phases. Upon completion, the 595 Park of Commerce will consist of 18 office, retail and warehouse buildings. The developers, REMS Group, have been able to adapt to the challenging conditions of today’s market by offering tenants an array of …
The Albany industrial market has become almost an incubation area for the nanotechnology industry, brining major tenants with large space needs to the area. Despite the recent downturn the industrial sector is still holding it own due to the growth and success of the technology industry. Cory M. Tyksinski, principal broker/manager of NAI Platform notes that there was an initial drop in business, but that is was more of a knee jerk reaction as the economy started to slow and then essentially skidded to a stop last year. The Upstate New York marketplace, and primarily Albany, is fairly insulated from the major downturns, and unfortunately, conversely the upswings in the marketplace,” notes Tyksinski. “That is primarily because we have the government seat here and we have a tremendous base in education, as well as in research and development and now technology.” Therefore, Tyksinski explains that once people got over the initial knee jerk reaction, the market picked back up again. “Actually, we have seen an upswing in the last 3 or 4 months,” he says. Overall the growth of the nanotechnology sector has been a real boon to the market. “We have seen a lot of what would be support …
As with the rest of the nation, Central Florida is adapting to drastic changes to our financial system. The local retail market has been adversely affected by the severe downturn in construction and housing-related industries — those segments were large components the local economy. Although the area currently ranks eighth nationally for foreclosures and the median home price has stabilized at the 2002 level of $130,000, residential sales volume increased 51 percent year over year. Unemployment for the region peaked in March at 10.1 percent, but is now down to 9.7 percent. Fortunately, Central Florida continues to make progress in diversifying its workforce with significant growth in the defense, high-tech and medical fields. Burnham Institute, University of Central Florida Medical School, Nemours Hospital and Florida Hospital are all growing. Additionally, government-funded projects in infrastructure and community venues in Orlando should build momentum in the recovery. As it is occurring nationally, we are witnessing a stratification of retailers locally as well – a separation between the Good, the Bad and the Ugly. The Good retailers are focusing on marketing, remerchandising, remodeling, expanding, recruiting and taking advantage of deflated costs and weakened competition. Some are seeing increases in sales of 25 percent. …
While a rapidly deteriorating local economy is weighing on apartment operations in Detroit, weakness is expected to be mitigated by residents remaining hesitant to transition away from rental units. The Detroit metro area has one of the most affordable housing markets in the country, as overbuilding and a declining population have resulted in a significant supply/demand imbalance. Nonetheless, many local inhabitants are exhibiting caution when considering a move into a home due to still-falling prices and the high-risk employment market. The weak national economy is limiting options for job seekers outside of the metro area, which could stem the tide of out-migration in the short term, boosting demand for area apartments. On the supply side, development activity is minimal again this year, as construction costs continue to outweigh attainable rents. Competition is emerging from fractured condominium projects, however, some of which are offering units for lease until demand rebounds. Early estimates indicate that employers decreased payrolls by 6.8 percent, or 130,700 jobs, in the year ending in the first quarter. As auto-related companies restructure, 102,000 area positions have been eliminated in the last 6 months. While vacancy does not fluctuate significantly in Detroit, mounting job losses will force some local …
Job cuts among financial and professional services firms will cause office fundamentals to weaken in Boston this year, but modest amounts of new construction will temper the supply and demand imbalance. With layoffs at State Street Bank, Bank of America, Merrill Lynch and Fidelity Investments projected to total in the thousands, a resulting decline in office space demand will drive up vacancy for the second consecutive year. In the CBD, negative net absorption of approximately 550,000 square feet will raise the average vacancy rate nearly 200 basis points to the high-11 percent range. While tenant demand across the metro will wane in the near term, tighter construction financing and lingering economic concerns have reined in development activity. Completions in 2009 will drop off from last year and will represent only a 0.6 percent expansion of metrowide inventory, helping to offset reduced employment-generated demand. Weakening fundamentals and an uncertain economic outlook will underpin conservative buyer expectations this year. As a result, deals will be underwritten assuming higher vacancy rates and rent declines, elevating cap rates metrowide. Currently, initial yields are averaging in the high-6 percent to mid-7 percent range, up about 25 basis points to 50 basis points over the past …