Monday, May 19, 2025
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AlabamaMarket ReportsRestaurantRetailSoutheastSoutheast Market Reports

Birmingham Retail Market: Stability Amid Changing Dynamics

by John Nelson

Birmingham’s retail market continues to demonstrate resilience despite national economic challenges. With a vacancy rate of 3.8 percent — slightly below the national average of 4.1 percent — and rental rates holding steady at $13.13 per square foot, the city remains an attractive destination for both investors and tenants.  However, rising interest rates have slowed development and softened transaction volumes, reshaping the investment landscape. Macroeconomic trends  The intersection of economic pressures and shifting consumer habits is redefining Birmingham’s retail landscape. Across the nation, big-box retailer bankruptcies have contributed to negative net absorption of 346,200 square feet over the past year, and Birmingham has felt similar effects. The closure of Conn’s HomePlus, among other retailers, has contributed to this contraction. Despite these challenges, suburban retail demand remains robust. Homewood, Hoover and Alabaster are experiencing continued growth, and Crestwood Festival Shopping Center has added new tenants like Fun City Adventure and Armor Gym occupying 100,000 square feet. These trends highlight the increasing popularity of experiential retail, as consumers gravitate toward destinations that offer more than just traditional shopping. Development slows New retail construction has slowed significantly, with only 130,000 square feet delivered in the past year — well below historical averages. However, …

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IllinoisMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsMixed-Use

Urban Revitalization Is Chicago’s Legacy — and its Future

by Kristin Harlow

By Trina Sandschafer, AIA, Project Management Advisors Adaptation and reinvention are core parts of what makes American cities great, and Chicago is a prime example. Whether rebuilding, reimagining space for modern usage or creating new neighborhoods from formerly empty lots, the city has become known for its unique ability to bring new energy and life to formerly underutilized areas. Chicago knows how to reimagine the built environment and is leading the way with several transformative development strategies.  Adaptive reuse: A well-tested Chicago tactic Chicago’s long history of adaptive reuse began with the pioneering residential loft developers. In the wake of nationwide manufacturing declines, these enterprising developers saw opportunity in the city’s largely vacant warehouses and manufacturing buildings. The success of these early loft conversions encouraged further reimagining of Chicago’s aging industrial and office stock into condominiums, apartments, offices, entertainment venues and hospitality spaces, which continue to this day.  Now, adaptive reuse strategies are helping to increase the supply of housing and restore economic viability to communities dealing with the lingering impact of the pandemic on local businesses. Converting legacy structures to new and better uses is more environmentally sustainable and can be more cost-effective than demolishing older buildings and starting …

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Market ReportsOfficeTexasTexas Market Reports

Tenants’ Flight to Quality Remains Entrenched Across Texas Office Markets

by Taylor Williams

The “flight to quality” trend has been ensconced in the embattled office sector for much of the post-pandemic era, and it’s showing little sign of slowing in the major markets of Texas.   With overall tenant demand depressed in the aftermath of COVID-19, opportunities existed in droves for office users to upgrade their spaces and move into buildings with desirable amenities and vibrant surrounding neighborhoods. In doing so, these companies sought to incentivize their employees to come back to the office. Simultaneously, owners that invested in wellness features and activation programs for their properties sought to gain a leg up on the competition — and make tough conversations with lenders a bit more palatable. Whether or not those initiatives worked as intended undoubtedly varies greatly from company to company and owner to owner. But after multiple years of stagnant occupancy and rent growth, the targeting of seemingly superior buildings and locations has come to represent more than just opportunistic decision-making by tenants. It’s a movement that has created visible delineation among winning and losing submarkets, a strategy that embodies basic financial prudence and perhaps a necessary evil — assuming that office usage is finally starting to rebound in a meaningful …

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IndustrialMarket ReportsUtahWesternWestern Market Reports

Utah’s Industrial Market Enters 2025 With Steady Demand, Evolving Product Mix

by John Nelson

— By Jarrod Hunt of Colliers —  Utah’s industrial real estate market continues to show resilience in 2025, supported by healthy tenant demand and an evolving mix of warehouse, flex and manufacturing product types. Leasing activity remains particularly strong in the 20,000- to 50,000-square-foot range, with a steady stream of local fulfillment and light manufacturing tenants driving mid-sized requirements across the Wasatch Front. Product Type and Demand Trends With enhanced industrial tracking now focused by building type, warehouse space stands out as the most active, though flex and light manufacturing buildings are seeing targeted interest. Mid-sized tenants seeking efficient, modern, move-in-ready space continue to account for most lease activity, favoring locations with convenient access to transportation corridors and workforce hubs. South Market Poised for a Breakout Year The South Utah County market is positioned for another active year, with a wave of new deliveries and groundbreakings happening this year. The Ritchie Group’s Global Logistics Center near the Spanish Fork Airport is the region’s largest project. It will feature 13 planned buildings comprising 3.3 million square feet, and early leasing interest is encouraging. While the Central market has led to early year absorption, momentum in the South is expected to build …

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AlabamaIndustrialMarket ReportsSoutheastSoutheast Market Reports

‘Clouds Are Clearing’ for Next Step of Birmingham’s Industrial Market

by John Nelson

The Birmingham industrial market is poised for an increase in absorption as the apex of higher interest rates seem to be settling down, not to mention the post-election certainty that now favors business expansion. Corporate America is waking up and the clouds are clearing.   For the past 24 months, the competitive set of investor-controlled warehouse space has been sitting on about 2 million square feet of inventory. About 550,000 square feet of that is still unleased speculative space in three different projects delivered at the back-end of the post-COVID development wave that did see about 700,000 square feet of absorption of new spec space before the music metaphorically stopped.  Then came the 2023/2024 wave of the “new spec space,” a byproduct of the mentioned interest rates and COVID over-correction. Several second-generation spaces are now being marketed as companies vacated or downsized for various reasons. For example, discount retailer Dollar General is vacating an entire 307,000-square-foot warehouse.  Broader, there have been two major announcements in Central Alabama for the closure of distribution centers, both as a result of retailers’ bankruptcies. JoAnn Fabric’s 700,000-square-foot distribution facility in Opelika at I-85 is now on the market as is the 1.2 million-square-foot former …

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IndianaMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsMultifamily

Indianapolis Apartment Market Shows Promising Signs of Stabilization

by Kristin Harlow

By Chris Bruzas, Berkadia After a particularly challenging and unpredictable 2024, marked by continued interest rate volatility and a persistent bid-ask spread differential that contributed to low transaction volume, the Indianapolis apartment market is showing promising signs of stabilization as we move into 2025.  Yardi Matrix data highlights Indianapolis’ resilience, posting 2.7 percent year-over-year rent growth in November. This performance is especially noteworthy as it surpasses several popular Sun Belt markets, which have experienced declines, dipping into negative territory. The outlook for 2025 appears more balanced, with new supply moderating to approximately 3,500 units from 2024’s record-breaking 6,500+ deliveries. This timing aligns well with the market’s strong population growth, as Indianapolis expects to welcome 22,200 new residents in 2025, significantly exceeding the historical average of 12,800 annual net movers. Key factors of the population’s growth are due to the presence of reputable universities and colleges, such as Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI). Compared with other major metropolitan areas, Indianapolis offers a relatively low cost of living, making it an attractive destination for those looking to maximize their quality of life without the high expenses associated with larger cities. The region’s economic fundamentals remain strong, anchored by transformative projects including Eli …

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CaliforniaMarket ReportsWesternWestern Market Reports

Demand, Rents Rise in Orange County’s Apartment Market

by John Nelson

— By Shane Shafer of Northmarq — The Orange County apartment market is one of the most dynamic and sought-after real estate sectors in Southern California. Known for its beautiful beaches, high quality of life, and proximity to major job centers like Los Angeles and San Diego, Orange County has become a prime location for renters. As of 2025, the apartment market in the area is marked by a blend of high demand, rising rents, and an evolving landscape shaped by both economic and demographic trends. The demand for apartments in Orange County has been consistently strong in recent years. This is driven by both local and regional factors. The county’s thriving economy — bolstered by sectors like technology, healthcare, tourism and finance — provides ample job opportunities, making it an attractive place for workers from across the state and beyond. This influx of talent, combined with a relatively low housing supply, has kept rental demand high, particularly in areas near major employment hubs, such as Irvine, Costa Mesa and Anaheim.  The region’s high desirability keeps apartment vacancies generally low, with occupancy rates often nearing or surpassing 95 percent. New construction, while robust, has not fully kept pace with the …

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Conference CoverageMarket ReportsRetailTexasTexas Market Reports

InterFace Panel: Retail, Restaurant Operators Targeting Austin MSA Must Temper Expectations

by Taylor Williams

By Taylor Williams AUSTIN, TEXAS — On the surface, Austin has everything that expanding retail and restaurant operators could possibly want: youth, density, culture, high-paying jobs. Yet when these users begin scouting and diving into the state capital’s retail real estate market, they often find that entering or expanding there is much easier said than done. Skyrocketing home prices, increased vehicular congestion and limited infrastructure outside the urban core are just the most visible ways in which Austin has been somewhat victimized by its own torrid growth over the past 10 to 15 years. And each of those variables factors into retail site selection and contributes to the challenges of adding new retail and restaurant space to the market. Editor’s note: InterFace Conference Group, a division of France Media Inc., produces networking and educational conferences for commercial real estate executives. To sign up for email announcements about specific events, visit www.interfaceconferencegroup.com/subscribe. Simply put, if there are no rooftops, roads, parking spaces and utilities, there can be no new retail development. Such is the story in some of Austin’s more remote suburbs, though few doubt that those preliminary requirements for retail growth will eventually be delivered. But there is also the issue of raw …

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CaliforniaMarket ReportsRestaurantRetailWesternWestern Market Reports

Orange County’s Retail Investment Sales Market Is in the Black

by John Nelson

— By John Read of CBRE Retail Investment Properties-West — The expression “in the black” signifies financial health, a positive outlook, investment opportunities and growth. It’s a phrase that’s resonating strongly with investors, as Orange County’s thriving retail fundamentals spur robust demand for investment properties. Despite ongoing capital market volatility and fluctuating interest rates, Orange County remains a prime target for retail property investors. The county’s strong retail property fundamentals is driven by its diverse, affluent and highly educated population. The average household income in Orange County exceeds $157,000, with more than 46 percent of residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. It also boasts a low unemployment rate of 3.8 percent. Retail property fundamentals concluded the fourth quarter of 2024 with a county-wide availability rate of 3.8 percent, down from the previous quarter. This reduction was fueled by sustained demand, limited inventory, minimal future supply, 547,000 square feet of positive net absorption and an average asking rent of $2.57 per square foot, a $0.13 increase from the prior year. These positive trends, combined with limited new retail property construction (only 190,000 square feet of supply, representing 0.1 percent of existing inventory and the lowest share among the nation’s 40 …

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AlabamaMarket ReportsMultifamilySoutheastSoutheast Market Reports

Limited Construction Starts Should Help Birmingham Absorb Available Apartments in 2025

by John Nelson

Southeast Real Estate Business recently caught up with John McCrary, director of investment sales in Berkadia’s Birmingham office, to discuss trends in the local apartment market. McCrary, who specializes in investment sales in Alabama, east Tennessee and southern Mississippi, says that Birmingham’s occupancy will likely take a hit as new deliveries hit the market in the first half of the year, but there’s optimism that renters will be able to absorb those availabilities in short order. “With approximately 800 units expected to be delivered at the beginning of 2025, vacancy rates are likely to rise throughout the year,” says McCrary. “However, the slowdown in construction starts should help absorb existing units and eventually reduce the elevated vacancy rate.” The following is an edited interview: Southeast Real Estate Business: What major local or macro-economic trends are affecting the multifamily market in Birmingham?  John McCrary: The interest rate environment is a key factor influencing multifamily dispositions, both in the Southeast and nationwide. Fluctuations in interest rates impact borrowing costs for developers and investors, thereby affecting the supply and demand for multifamily properties. Over the past year, Birmingham has seen strong multifamily demand, but it hasn’t kept pace with the influx of new …

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