Market Reports

If You Build It: How to Maximize Multifamily Returns in 2024

by Kristin Harlow December 20, 2023

By John Bogdasarian, Promanas At a time when the multifamily marketplace is experiencing some turbulence after an extended period of strong growth, some developers, owners and investors are rethinking, repositioning and reworking their approach to a commercial real estate sector that has historically been one of the most reliable investments and dependable asset classes. Current market conditions, however, are not as favorable. A report by The Motley Fool this summer highlighted a 21 percent decline in apartment value. Overbuilding has saturated some markets, contributing to an increase in vacancy rates to around 7 percent and helping push rent growth down to 0.8 percent. In conjunction with persistently high interest rates and increasing delinquency issues with renters, the result is that building a traditional apartment product is a very tricky proposition. Even though the apartment market is somewhat dysfunctional at the moment, there are still plenty of opportunities in multifamily. For thought leaders and forward-thinking commercial real estate investors and professionals, the key is to understand the market, be flexible in your development and investment strategies, and be able to execute an approach that does work in the current marketplace. For those looking to maximize multifamily returns in 2024, there are …

December 20, 2023

Louisiana Market Reports Restaurant Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Retailers in New Orleans Leverage Unique Experiences, Both In-Town and Suburbs

by John Nelson December 18, 2023

The New Orleans retail market is in a state of flux like other markets across the country. The retail experience is changing for the end user, with an increase in online shopping, “try before you buy” customers and quicker walkthroughs. Retailers are left in an odd position, caught between experiential interactions with customers and trying to have them remember to purchase later at home. While the retail market is changing, the Greater New Orleans area is different due to the scarcity of space available for new construction and a stable flow of stores closing or relocating. Our market creates a streamlined experience where consumers have “retail corners” they can visit to shop — such as downtown New Orleans, especially the iconic streets of Canal and Magazine — but also the suburbs that include Metairie, Elmwood and the Westbank. With the concentrated shopping setup of the market, customers can shop more efficiently, and retail investors see the New Orleans market as a more demanding and creative place to build and open stores. Submarket by submarket The retail customer in New Orleans detests spending unneeded time in the car, so when customers can shop locally, get what they need and get it …

December 18, 2023

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

Long Beach Sees Retail Challenges in Downtown, Success on Second Street

by Jeff Shaw December 15, 2023

— By Jason DuFault, Regional Managing Director – Southern California, KW Commercial — With a population of about 440,000, the City of Long Beach has grown substantially over the past two decades. This is due, in part, to the draw of its coastal location, public spaces, dining and nightlife, employment, the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, and its many tourist attractions, including the Queen Mary and the Aquarium of the Pacific. This all bodes well for the retail sector. However, over the past 18 months, the retail market has been inconsistent for success based on location. The city’s overall vacancy rate is currently around 4.3 percent, with the most challenged market being downtown Long Beach, which is currently at 4.6 percent. While the vacancy is still low by most standards, I believe it will likely increase before it gets better. Like many CBDs across the nation, Long Beach’s office vacancy has been high. The decline in the daytime population has retailers struggling. The most challenging projects to rent out retail-wise seem to be the newer vintage mixed-use properties. On the other hand, smaller submarkets in east Long Beach, such as Second Street and Naples, have been strong, giving …

December 15, 2023

Illinois Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Multifamily

Building Sustainable Communities: Three Models for Equitable Development

by Kristin Harlow December 14, 2023

By J. Byron Brazier Equitable development is a knotty concept. In theory, development equity sounds easy and essential. In practice, it’s not clearly defined and not easily sustainable — economically, socially or politically. Equitable development is generally seen as an approach that revitalizes and empowers disinvested communities by meeting residents’ wants and needs, diminishing disparities and spurring economic growth, ensuring residents benefit from such growth and creating conditions for people to live healthy and happy lives. That definition is accurate but incomplete. Equitable development has multiple meanings, some less intuitive than others. Chicago lawyer Danielle Meltzer Cassel says there are three ways to define development equity. The first is the one above, which is the direct model of equitable development. This model rectifies inequality through what development directly produces, such as affordable housing in areas where there’s little or no such housing, good jobs for people who are unemployed or underemployed, greater access to quality healthcare and education, and other resources that allow communities to thrive. There are two other definitions, the indirect model and what Cassel calls the procedural model of equitable development. The indirect model involves real estate developments that do not directly benefit disinvested communities, such as …

December 14, 2023

Louisiana Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Shell’s Move Exemplifies Flight to Quality Trend for Office Users in New Orleans

by John Nelson December 11, 2023

Shell’s announcement in mid-September to relocate its home from the Central Business District (CBD) of New Orleans to the planned 50-plus acre River District rocked the office market. The oil and gas giant has been in the Hancock Whitney Center (formerly One Shell Square) since 1972, and will be rightsizing in a Class A mid-rise office building that will anchor the River District. The planned building will be approximately 142,000 square feet and home to 850 to 1,000 employees. What a huge win for the planned River District and city of New Orleans. However, the void left in Hancock Whitney Center raises the question, what will building ownership group do with all of the space that Shell vacates? If the current occupancy rate stands, Hancock Whitney Center will have over 500,000 square feet of vacant space. Elsewhere, Entergy is in the process of a major contraction in its building located at 639 Loyola Ave., and earlier this year, Freeport McMoRan vacated over 100,000 square feet of space at 1615 Poydras. Both buildings are also located in the CBD. A number of office towers have loans maturing within the next 24 months, and the logical assumption is that securing financing will …

December 11, 2023

Market Reports Nevada Retail Western Western Market Reports

Job Growth, Tourism Create Opportunities for Northern Nevada Retail

by Jeff Shaw December 8, 2023

— By Tad Loran, Vice President, Retail Specialist, Avison Young | Western Alliance Commercial Inc. — The Northern Nevada retail sector has made quite a comeback post-pandemic as both the population and job market expand. The retail vacancy rate ended last year at 4.7 percent and increased 20 basis points to a current level of 4.9 percent, while market rent increased from $1.70 to $1.83 on a monthly basis for the same period. South Virginia, Meadowood, South Reno and the North Valleys are all recipients of a thriving market. Tenants that have recently entered the region or are expanding in Northern Nevada include Petco, Panera Bread, Colombia Sportswear, Voodoo Brewing Company, the Human Bean, Starbucks, Cracker Barrel, Mountain Mike Pizza, Take 5 Oil Change, AutoZone and Five Below. Tenants with recent closures include Bed Bath & Beyond, Lucky Brand Jeans, Tuesday Morning, Steak ‘n Shake, Sizzler Steakhouse and Claim Jumper. Unemployment in Nevada increased to 4.4 percent in July 2023 from 3.5 percent in December 2022. Even though there was an increase, this continued low unemployment rate has created a challenging labor market with employers lacking the necessary labor pool to grow. Unfortunately, this shortage has led to some prospective new businesses …

December 8, 2023

Market Reports New York Northeast Northeast Market Reports Retail

Stability Returns to New York City Retail Market

by Taylor Williams December 7, 2023

By Taylor Williams Across Manhattan’s major retail corridors and pockets, leasing agents, operators and owners are all gaining greater clarity on what levels of rent various submarkets can bear and, by extension, how much spaces are truly worth. After three years of disruptions of the public health and financial variety — each devastating in its own right — a reset of sorts is a major windfall for the country’s largest and arguably most dynamic retail market. Closing deals is challenging enough when all parties are on the same page and the economy is stable. When markets are going through tumultuous phases of discovery in which perceived valuations of spaces fluctuate wildly, negotiations tend to flame out even more quickly — if they even get going at all. “A year ago in Manhattan, you could have two adjacent stores, and one might have been asking for $120 per square foot while the other wanted $220 per square foot,” says Chase Welles, partner at TSCG, an Atlanta-based brokerage and consulting firm that is active in New York City. “There’s certainly more definition relative to last year, and the range of asking rents in each submarket has narrowed.” “The market has become more …

December 7, 2023

Market Reports Midwest Market Reports

Consider Constitutionality in Property Taxation

by Kristin Harlow December 6, 2023

By Cecilia Hyun, Esq. Taxpayers usually appeal property tax assessments by proving a market value different from the assessor’s finding, but they should not overlook constitutional guarantees of uniform and equal taxation. As an ad valorem tax, real property taxes are charged on the value of the underlying real estate, usually measured as fair market value. In many states, taxpayers can demonstrate their property’s market value with a recent, arm’s-length sale price or by independent appraisal evidence. Two potential concerns emerge for taxpayers in an assessment appeal centered on market value: the declining reliability of data in volatile and rapidly changing markets, and the trailing nature of market data used by assessors. Those data issues can skew the mass appraisal techniques tax assessors often use, including comparisons to sales of similar properties, when assessing real property. Volatility, rapid change Commercial property data can lose relevancy with surprising speed in a volatile market. For example, office properties continue to bear the consequences of increased remote work and occupants’ shrinking footprints since the pandemic. Many office properties with mortgages maturing in 2023 have lost half or more of their previously underwritten asset values. Badge swipes tracked by Kastle Systems show an average …

December 6, 2023

Louisiana Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

New Orleans Multifamily Market Contends With Inflation, Interest Rates, Insurance

by John Nelson December 4, 2023

The volatility in the capital markets over the past 12 to 18 months has wreaked havoc on many aspects of the economy, and real estate has not gone unscathed. Unlike the retail and office sectors whereby there is a fundamental shift in how people work and shop, housing is a basic need. The equilibrium between supply and demand in metro New Orleans’ multifamily market is still in sync. It would however be naïve to suggest there are no challenges that are affecting our real estate market. The “three dreaded Is” (i.e. inflation, interest rates, insurance) is not a Halloween mask but a euphemism that crystallizes the challenges multifamily owners are faced with both locally and nationally. Each of these factors singularly are powerful forces, yet the trifecta is playing a role in the current state of our metro market. However, despite these challenges, the regional multifamily market has stable occupancy with most submarkets reporting levels in the 92 to 94 percent range. Overall monthly rental rates average $1,263 with rents ranging from a low of $1,000 in Eastern New Orleans and Algiers to rents in the Downtown market as high as $3,000. Once again, the barriers to entry (lack of …

December 4, 2023

Industrial Market Reports Nevada Western Western Market Reports

Tourism to Operations: Reno’s Robust Industrial Market

by Jeff Shaw December 1, 2023

— By Justin Basie President of Real Estate, Mark IV Capital — While the Reno-Sparks Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) is best known for its gaming-tourism industry, its location in Northern Nevada also appeals to fans of the outdoors. In addition, Reno’s diversified economy readily attracts Fortune 500 companies that are targeting the area for their manufacturing and distribution efforts. This, in turn, drives the massive growth of Northern Nevada’s industrial sector, generating overwhelming demand for warehouse, logistics and manufacturing space in the region. The following fundamentals have positioned Northern Nevada and the Reno-Sparks MSA as ideal destinations for logistics, manufacturing and other industrial activities: • Population Proximity The MSA is conveniently located within a one-day trip of major West Coast cities like Los Angeles, San Francisco and Portland, Ore. Thanks to an efficient infrastructure network that includes major highways, two railways and the Reno-Tahoe International Airport, companies can reach a vast 80 percent of the Western U.S. population in less than 24 hours. • Business-Friendly Climate Nevada is consistently ranked as a top 10 state for conducting business because of its pro-business regulatory environment, low-cost start-up fees, and streamlined licensing and approval processes. Nevada also offers a favorable tax environment for …

December 1, 2023

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