Market Reports

— By Sebastian Bernt and Erick Parulan of Avison Young — The Orange County office market continues to show resilience, particularly compared to urban centers like Downtown Los Angeles. Its suburban environment, coupled with higher office utilization rates, has made it an attractive option for businesses adapting to evolving workplace strategies. As a result, leasing activity has remained steady with availability stabilizing and tenant demand holding firm. Total leasing volume reached 1.6 million square feet in the fourth quarter of 2024, bringing the annual total to 7.8 million square feet. Notable transactions included Willow Laboratories, which signed a 63,440-square-foot lease at 121 Theory Drive in Irvine, and Acrisure, which secured 59,409 square feet at 611 Anton Blvd in Costa Mesa. While leasing slowed slightly in the fourth quarter, demand for modern, amenity-rich office spaces remained strong as companies continued implementing return-to-office strategies. This demand has pushed average asking lease rates to $35.05 per square foot, reflecting a broader shift toward high-quality, collaborative work environments that prioritize employee engagement and workplace experience. Orange County’s growing residential appeal has further fueled office demand as young professionals and families increasingly opt for a suburban lifestyle. As a result, companies are prioritizing locations with …

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The national office market continues to face headwinds in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, and Baltimore is no exception. Shifting tenant preferences and the city’s evolving economic landscape have created challenges, with rising vacancy rates in some submarkets. However, recent trends suggest that Baltimore’s office sector is stabilizing, with positive momentum in key areas. Changing office landscape For decades, Baltimore’s office market was defined by two primary submarkets: the traditional central business district (CBD) that is centered around Charles, Saint Paul/Light and Baltimore streets, and the Inner Harbor. The CBD was home to corporate giants such as Alex. Brown & Sons (now part of Deutsche Bank), USF&G (now part of St Paul Insurance), T. Rowe Price and Maryland National Bank (now part of Bank of America). In the 1980s, the Inner Harbor emerged as a national model for waterfront redevelopment, attracting major tenants and commanding some of the city’s highest occupancy rates. The early 2000s saw another shift with the rise of Harbor East and later Harbor Point, both of which drew high-end office tenants and further pulled demand toward the waterfront. More recently, Baltimore Peninsula has emerged as the next major office and mixed-use submarket.  Historically, vacancies created …

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By Joe Lutz, managing director at Leon Multifamily Group Market uncertainty has many real estate investors hesitating. Rising costs, high interest rates and shifting supply-demand dynamics add to the caution. Yet Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) remains a powerhouse in multifamily development, driven by strong demand and solid market fundamentals. For those willing to act, the opportunities are hard to ignore. Investor caution is evident, with a “stay alive through ’25” mentality  reflecting economic pressures. Transaction volumes have dropped to historic lows. Newmark Capital Research (NCR) reports that 2023 and 2024 saw the weakest activity since 2013, with sales down 30 percent compared to the pre-COVID era. For the first time since 2008, 2023 ended without the usual year-end sales uptick, and 2024 data suggests a similar trend. While some feared a market collapse, conditions haven’t reached Great Financial Crisis levels. The multifamily sector faces supply imbalances and growing debt pressures. Construction starts hit their lowest levels since 2013, while completions exceeded new starts by over 200,000 units — a gap unseen since the 1970s, according to data from NCR. The surge in 2023 completions resulted from post-COVID, low-interest-rate incentives, but now concerns over vacancies, concessions and stagnant rent growth linger. Debt …

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By Andy Gutman, Farbman Group Detroit’s office market, like many other large cities across the Midwest, has experienced many shifts — specifically in the office sector. Despite the challenges Detroit has seen over the past few years, the city has also shown great resilience. As companies continue to reconsider and revise their office needs, and workspaces evolve, Detroit is well positioned to capitalize on office occupancy in 2025 thanks to its historical assets, as well as opportunities in the city that are ripe for redevelopment. Tech, transportation and tenacity One of the city’s strengths in the office sector is its potential to rebound faster than many other Midwest cities. Unlike other markets that are overbuilt with more pain coming in the form of downsizing, such as Chicago, Detroit has avoided oversupply and isn’t overburdened with soaring vacancy rates. The city’s office market vacancy rate has slowly declined over the last several quarters — a positive sign for the local market. Detroit has also benefitted from steady and incremental growth, particularly by incubation, innovation and technology-focused tenants. It’s these types of tenants who have assisted in revitalizing the city’s urban core. The market is also characterized by a higher proportion of …

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— By John K. Jackson of Colliers Phoenix — Casa Grande, Ariz., stands at a pivotal juncture that could see it transition into a Tier II retail market this year. Phoenix’s Greater Metropolitan Area has been characterized by historically low retail vacancy rates, prompting retailers and developers to explore opportunities outside the urban core. Casa Grande’s strategic location less than 50 miles south of Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport makes it well-positioned to capitalize on this migration. The Dynamics of Casa Grande’s Growth Casa Grande has experienced notable growth in recent years. It was the seventh fastest-growing U.S. city in 2021, experiencing a remarkable 24 percent population increase since 2016. This growth, paired with job creation across sectors, is attracting major employers, including Lucid, LG Energy Solution and Kohler. These three firms promise to collectively bring more than 6,400 jobs to the area. Such economic development lays a solid foundation for retail expansion. After all, a growing workforce typically leads to increased consumer demand.  The significant investments being made in the area further bolster Casa Grande’s potential as a retail hub. Lucid has recently expanded its manufacturing complex to 4 million square feet, with plans for additional land acquisition to support …

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A notable shift in the way we live, work and play has occurred since the pandemic — one that emphasizes efficiency, multi-functionality and convenience. The result has been an increase in the demand and popularity of mixed-use developments. Developers love them for their efficiency. Investors love them for their diversity. And consumers love them for their ability to achieve said live-work-play trifecta all under one roof. Within Orange County, South Coast Metro stands out as an area that fosters this type of urban development, blending retail, multifamily, office and cultural assets in a way that fosters economic growth and community engagement. Adjacent to John Wayne Airport, this 2,500-acre district shows how strategic development can create a self-sustaining urban environment. A Retail Powerhouse with Expanding Opportunities South Coast Metro is arguably most known for being the home of South Coast Plaza. The West Coast’s largest luxury shopping destination saw record annual sales exceeding $2.3 billion in 2023. While luxury retail remains a major draw, the broader South Coast Metro caters to a diverse range of shopping experiences, which includes the boutique-driven OC Mix and SoBECA District, as well as major national retailers. This variety underscores a key trend in commercial real estate: …

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Raleigh-Durham’s office market entered the year on a positive note as 2024 ended strong. Vacancy was largely flat in the fourth quarter, net absorption neared 300,000 square feet and move-outs were sparse. After years of uncertainty and short-term renewals dominating the landscape, companies are now committing to longer leases. Clarity around business drivers, a growing labor pool and new market entrants are all contributing factors to this decisive turn. Firms are confidently making long-term real estate decisions, bringing lease terms back to the five- to 10-year range. While the vibrancy of the pre-pandemic era has not fully returned, data shows a steady recovery throughout 2024, and 2025 is poised to bring even stronger growth. In 2024, Raleigh-Durham welcomed several notable commitments from companies establishing a foothold in the market, like Jewelers Mutual, JTL and Amgen.  Leasing activity stayed strong through the fourth quarter, supporting the net absorption of nearly 160,000 square feet of office space over the course of the year. Rents have seen some downward corrections overall, but well-located, highly amenitized assets have retained rent stability. Recent recommitments from major companies like Nutanix and Hitachi highlight the area’s enduring appeal. Vacancy closed out December at 17.3 percent but was …

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They may not be ready to do cartwheels and pop champagne, but when it comes to business expectations for 2025, commercial real estate professionals in the Northeast have a decidedly brighter outlook than in recent years. The last two years have been defined by barriers to economic growth on numerous levels. Pick your post-COVID geopolitical or macroeconomic poison — stubborn inflation, crushing interest rate hikes, multiple wars, restarting of global supply chains — all culminating with an incredibly heated U.S. presidential election. Is it any wonder that “survive till ’25” became the rallying cry of the commercial real estate industry?  And while 2025 has arrived, the election has been decided and the Federal Reserve has strung together a series of small, yet meaningful cuts to short-term interest rates, the hangover from the aforementioned disruptors has not fully evaporated. Donald Trump’s return to the Oval Office brings a fresh slate of questions about how certain policies — namely tariffs and mass deportations, will impact business at both the national and local levels. And the expectation-smashing December jobs report proved sufficient to immediately pause the Fed’s would-be pattern of rate cuts. And it’s only been one month.  As such, cautious optimism is …

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— Scott Hintze and Marti Weinstein of Diversified Partners Commercial Real Estate — Phoenix’s retail development market is seeing a surge in optimism as the city benefits from a growing economy and a shift in political leadership. With the new administration coming into power, the outlook for the Phoenix retail market has become increasingly positive, promising a wave of new projects and investment opportunities in the coming years. The city’s rapid population growth, expanding infrastructure and bustling job market have positioned Phoenix as one of the most attractive cities in the U.S. for retail development. The new administration has brought a renewed focus on urban development, job creation and business-friendly policies, which is expected to help stimulate both demand for retail spaces and the construction of new commercial properties. Government support, including incentives for developers and tax breaks for businesses, is anticipated to foster a thriving retail sector that will benefit both local residents and national retailers looking to expand into the area. Several projects we have been working on have seen unprecedented demand from tenants. We recently completed a 25,000-square-foot building across from Gilbert Mercy Hospital that includes a two-story Starbucks, the first in the market. In addition to …

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The secret is getting out about Apex, a western suburb of Raleigh that also lies 20 miles south of Chapel Hill. In 2018, Realtor.com ranked the city as the No. 1 fastest growing suburb in the United States. This was aided by the master planning of local homebuilder/developer ExperienceOne Homes, which debuted its large-scale Sweetwater residential development in 2016. The allure of Apex didn’t stop there as the local schools within the Wake County Public School System have long been considered top-notch. As more and more families moved to the once-sleepy town, the need for community-serving retail became apparent. And not just any sprawling shopping center would suffice. Retail Strategies of N.C. Inc., on behalf of development partner The Kalikow Group, a multifamily and mixed-use development firm based in Westbury, New York, and the aforementioned ExperienceOne, set out to create a sense of place that would resemble village towns in Northeast states such as Maine and Massachusetts. What all of these hamlets have in common is they are built up over decades around a town center, thus the idea of Sweetwater Town Center was established. East Side The “hard part” was essentially in the rearview mirror as ExperienceOne had already …

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