What was once a vacant landscape has undergone a modern-day renaissance, transforming into a thriving, energetic hub infused with dynamic retail, local chef-driven eateries and desirable living and working environments. Tampa has evolved into a top “a place to see” and “place to be” for both out-of-state guests and residents alike. What is one the main driving forces behind this urban revitalization? The rise of high-density mixed-use developments and lifestyle centers that create central spaces for people to live, work, play, shop, dine and explore new experiences. Recently, Florida has benefited from a massive influx of residents and development activity as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Varying demographics and age groups flocked to the Sunshine State in search of more space, agreeable weather and an expedient reopening as far as retail, restaurant and entertainment. Along with the mass of new residents, Tampa quickly rose to become the second most popular city in the country for prospective homebuyers, reflecting a new interest to settle down in the area. The retail sector also boomed state-wide, but specifically in Tampa, with retail rents growing 7.8 percent over the last 12 months and ranking among the top 10 fastest growing markets, according to …
Market Reports
By Brandon Wright, Associate, Blue West Capital Retail properties in Colorado have experienced significant cap rate compression over the past five years and are selling for premiums compared to most markets across the country. Since 2019, the average cap rate for a single-tenant retail property in Colorado has compressed by 79 basis points, while cap rates for multi-tenant retail properties have compressed by 74 basis points. Cap rates this year for single- and multi-tenant retail properties in Colorado averaged 5.42 percent and 6.10 percent, respectively, through September 2022. Nationally, the average cap rate for these two property types were 5.62 percent and 6.53 percent. Cap rates in Colorado have remained compressed despite various headwinds facing the market. There’s a notable supply and demand imbalance of high-quality properties. The limited inventory of available properties and strong national demand for Colorado properties has helped keep cap rates near record lows. Public and private REITS, family offices, high-net-worth individuals and 1031 exchange investors remain optimistic on Colorado for its long-term upside and growth, and are looking to deploy capital here. Colorado has a vibrant and diverse economy, in addition to strong demographics that include a young and educated workforce. It is the fifth most educated state, …
By Traci Kapsalis, JLL It’s no secret that the COVID-19 pandemic turned every office market across the globe upside down. In the process, quality of life, health and well-being have become top priorities for office workers, as well as a push for hybrid and flexible working models. To understand and support these evolving expectations, local governments, employers and landlords are working together to identify and shape their new future of work. In fact, new research from JLL reports that the next three years will be a critical phase for commercial real estate strategy, representing a crucial window of opportunity that will determine how successful companies (and cities) will be in adapting to rapid changes. At the crossroads of America, the Indianapolis market is well on its way to a reimagined office environment. Here are three demonstrable signs. 1. Flight to quality dominates the office market Leasing activity for Class A office properties is strong in Indianapolis. According to a recent report, activity in this sector is reaching new heights as it achieved 248,000 square feet of occupancy growth in the second quarter — the highest in a single quarter in over four years — and hit record-high rents of almost …
By Taylor Williams Much as the commercial community and society at large would like to avoid a recession, prolonged periods of contraction are part of the natural economic cycle, and the U.S. financial powers that be appear to be on a collision course for exactly that scenario. But for assets classes backed by exceptional demand drivers and fundamentals, like industrial real estate in major Texas markets, is there really a need to sweat a downturn? Like any conflict, the battle between macro- and micro-level forces essentially comes down to magnitude. Will the severity of interest rate increases — three separate hikes totaling 200-plus basis points in a few months — prevail over robust tenant demand that has fueled record occupancy and rent growth throughout Texas and beyond in recent years? Only the Federal Reserve can speak to the first variable. The nation’s central bank appears hell-bent on whipping inflation, which registered a year-over-year increase of 8.3 percent in August, and is seemingly resigned to the inevitability of recession as a byproduct of its monetary policy. As for the competing forces that are industrial fundamentals, third-quarter figures were not available at the time of this writing. But, using Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) …
Following the trends of both regional and national multifamily statistics, the Louisville metro area has had a robust stretch of development, repositioning and innovation in the multifamily housing sector that has surpassed 10 years in duration. With a population of 1.32 million, there are 516,000 households in Louisville with an average household income of $69,000. Pursuant to a recent CoStar Group report, Louisville has a total inventory of just over 84,000 units. It is anticipated that there will be over 91,000 units by 2026, a 8.3 percent increase. CoStar also forecasts that the Derby City’s vacancy rate will hover around 5.5 percent in 2026. One of the projects under development includes The Reserve (the Stable) at English Station. The 172-unit, Class A community adjoins a patio home development that was developed by Sunshine Industries. The property is slated for completion in January 2023. As far as popular neighborhoods for development, there are several recently developed or under construction projects in the city’s East End district. The city’s economy has benefited from the accelerated adoption of e-commerce as a result of the pandemic. Retailers and logistics providers are leasing a record amount of space as they seek to expand their distribution …
By Chris Pearson, Industrial Specialist, TOK Commercial Idaho remains a prime area for industrial growth in 2022, with nearly 180 deals completed across Southern Idaho’s top markets. Activity is strongest in the Boise MSA as more than 1.2 million square feet of net absorption has been recorded so far in 2022. This is up from 1.1 million square feet at the end of June 2021. Top deals for the year include Federated Ordinance leasing 265,200 square feet of new construction in Caldwell, as well as Amazon leasing 141,400 square feet in North Meridian. Overall industrial vacancy has remained low across Idaho. Total vacancy in the Boise area has been below 1.5 percent over the past 12 months. It currently sits at 1.2 percent. Vacancy is slightly higher in the Magic Valley & Eastern Idaho MSAs, with total vacancy above 2.5 percent in both markets. However, total vacancy in Idaho Falls, the largest market in Eastern Idaho, hit a historic low of 1.3 percent in June. Vacancy is also at a record low in Twin Falls, the Magic Valley’s main industrial hub, which is currently at just 0.2 percent. Based on vacancy alone, supply appears to lag behind demand. This should not remain the case for …
By Tyler Hague, Colliers A colleague of mine recently had to move out of her West Loop apartment quickly and she faced a conundrum: how much am I willing to pay for a one-bedroom apartment in Chicago? The unfortunate answer: not even close to the $2,700 per month rent she was continually being asked to pay. She ended up renting a studio. The average price for a one-bedroom apartment in the central business district is $2,478 per month, a figure that has grown 9.5 percent in the last year alone and equates to a $235.41 year-over-year rental increase, according to Yardi Matrix. It also translates to a national housing insecurity crisis, not just a local and presumed urbanized problem, and one that has been exacerbated by many of the detrimental housing laws and zoning regulations that exist in Chicago today. Whether it is aldermanic privilege, the Affordable Requirements Ordinance (ARO) or general NIMBYism, it is clear rent is too darn high — and it isn’t the entrepreneurial real estate professional’s doing but rather a major (and obvious) supply dilemma. This summer, for the first time in U.S. history, median rent costs in major cities surpassed $2,000 per month, according to …
By Kevin Leamy, senior vice president, debt & equity, Northmarq Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) has been one of the hottest multifamily markets in the country over the past five years. And as the area’s growth pushes further north, developers and investors are finding plenty of liquidity to support transactions. The northern DFW suburbs experienced a huge inflow of people over the past several years. The growth to suburbs such as Addison, Richardson, Plano, Frisco and McKinney gained even more traction during the pandemic. An increasingly diverse employer base and corresponding job growth are attracting people and driving demand for both for-sale homes and multifamily units. Instead of making a long commute into downtown Dallas or Fort Worth, there are now several big employers in North Dallas that offer high-quality jobs. One key catalyst for expansion was the opening of Toyota’s North American headquarters in Plano five years ago. The 100-acre campus is home to more than 4,000 employees. Other major corporations have followed, including the newly opened regional headquarters for J.P. Morgan Chase. Another factor drawing new residents to the area is strong schools, including a reputation for some of the best elementary and high schools in the country. Multifamily developers …
Remote Work Prompts Flight to Quality, High Urban Vacancies for Louisville Office Market
by John Nelson
The Louisville office market is taking diverse paths forward following the pandemic. The suburban Class A market is thriving with new construction, rental rate growth and resiliency in the face of downsizing tenants and negative absorption. A flight to quality among tenants has benefited local developers such as NTS Development, which has been constructing first-class, next-generation buildings at ShelbyHurst Office Campus since 2012. NTS recently completed its fifth speculative office building at the project, 425 North Whittington, a four-story, 130,000-square-foot building that is 60 percent leased with strong leasing activity. The flight to quality is driving tenants to choose higher-quality buildings with more expensive rental rates to help attract and retain talent and cater to a hybrid workforce. Traditional downtown occupiers are also considering the suburbs for the first time to create a workplace that draws employees back to the office. Suburban vacancy rates have increased since the end of 2019, with the Class A rate increasing by 490 basis points to 13.5 percent and the Class B vacancy rate increasing by 440 basis points to 15.2 percent as of second-quarter 2022. The average asking rental rate for Class A suburban space rose during this period despite increased vacancy rates. …
By Taylor Williams Though very much in its infancy, the Philadelphia 76ers’ recent decision to assemble a development team and file a formal proposal for a new arena at the current site of Fashion District Philadelphia has drawn the city’s retail market into speculation on how buildings, operators and streetscapes will be impacted. Known as 76 Place, the $1.3 billion venue would theoretically anchor the Market East corridor that connects Center City to Chinatown and Old City via its location atop the city’s largest public transit hub. The ability to centralize the arrival of fans, shoppers and diners from all cardinal directions, as well as multiple states, automatically sparks excitement for growth opportunities in the world of retail real estate. This project would immediately check that box. “The announcement of the new 76ers arena has generated a lot of discussion in the retail world,” says Steve Gartner, executive vice president at CBRE. “Bringing an arena to downtown Center City, especially one that’s adjacent to a convention center, will allow Philadelphia to hold more concerts and global events, like political conventions, that impact retailers and restaurants. These positive impacts will permeate the fabric of all of downtown.” “The retail community is …