Market Reports

Orange County’s Robust Demographics Keep Multifamily Assets in High Demand

by Jeff Shaw August 12, 2022

By Pat Swanson, Executive Vice President, Colliers Orange County Lack of supply remains most evident in the Orange County multifamily market, with vacancies trending near historic lows at 2.3 percent. As supply dwindles, we have seen the pressure felt by investors to ramp up and hunt for the elusive value-add opportunities in this marketplace. Many profit hunters actively seek properties with upside in rent, accessory dwelling unit (ADU) potential and inadequacies as part of the existing management. A recent example is a 12-unit, single-story Garden Grove asset on a large parcel of land that was purchased below replacement cost. The Florida-based seller operated and managed the building remotely and desired to move his assets closer to home. Due to the long-distance operations, the local buyer felt they could control the property more efficiently by adding improvements to generate higher rents, while also taking advantage of the open spaces that could accommodate additional ADU units. This was a perfect fit for both parties, and we were able to execute the deal. It shows the type of value-add complex that has become highly sought after. Like the investors who flocked to Garden Grove, similar buyers have reevaluated their wants for quality Class A …

August 12, 2022

Industrial Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Ohio

Low Vacancy, Increasing Rents Boost Cleveland Industrial Market

by Kristin Harlow August 11, 2022

By Alec Pacella, NAI Pleasant Valley The Cleveland industrial market enjoyed a strong first half of 2022, characterized by record-low vacancy rates, brisk new construction and increased rental rates and sales prices. Although the market has made several headlines over the first six months, many of these trends began several years ago and the pandemic only accelerated the activity level amongst several key sectors. Market wide, the average vacancy rate was just over 4 percent at the mid-year mark, which is a slight decrease from the 4.5 percent rate at the end of last year. By most accounts, this is a record-low level and represents a decrease of two full percentage points over the last five years. The most popular submarket, the Southeast, which encompasses favored industrial locations such as Solon, Twinsburg, Streetsboro and Aurora, finished the first half with a slightly higher rate of 4.4 percent. However, this market has also seen significant new construction, including a predominance of speculative projects. The submarket with the lowest vacancy rate is the Southwest, which stretches from Middleburg Heights through Medina, checking in at 3.7 percent. At the other end was the downtown submarket. Characterized by a significant amount of older properties, …

August 11, 2022

Market Reports Texas Texas Market Reports

The Great CRE Resignation: What Texas Companies Need to Know

by Taylor Williams August 10, 2022

By Kent Elliott, principal, and Chase Fryhover, director, RETS Associates By now, we’re all familiar with the Great Resignation — workers’ mass exodus from their jobs during the pandemic. The phenomenon hit just about every office-using industry, including commercial real estate. In fact, our firm recently conducted a survey of 200 individuals in the industry on job sentiment, which revealed that more than 75 percent of respondents intend to or would consider leaving their current company this year. The trend has affected Texas in a very profound way. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, more Texans quit their jobs in September and October 2021 than did workers in any other state. So, what can commercial real estate companies — particularly in the Texas markets — do to maintain a productive and happy workforce and remain competitive in the field? Here are a few recommendations for companies looking to attract and retain talent in the current work environment based on our 20 years of experience as a national recruiting firm for the industry. Be Willing to Bend These days, flexibility is an essential quality at companies where people want to work. This largely began with the pandemic. The business community’s recognition …

August 10, 2022

Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Memphis Economic Outlook Provides Cause for Optimism for Multifamily Market

by John Nelson August 9, 2022

Inflation is here. Is the Memphis multifamily market built to withstand it? Coming off an unprecedented year of sales volume in 2021, Memphis multifamily assets continue to be in high demand despite rising interest rates. While year-over-year sales volume might be down, the average market sale price per unit increased by 10 percent to $90,700 over the same period, as of second-quarter 2022. While overall market rent per unit growth is off double-digit highs from 2021, it is still up a sturdy 8 percent year-over-year. Strong occupancy levels, low concession rates and limited on-market supply is keeping pricing buoyant, leading to steady cap rates in the face of rising debt cost — at least for now. Capital investment and renovation to existing multifamily properties contributed greatly to both rent growth and sales volume in 2021. Memphis is a very appealing option for investors seeking value, as over 50 percent of all transactions in 2021 fell within the $40,000 to $80,000 per unit range, which is much more competitive than many primary markets. With over two-thirds of existing inventory built before 2000, the vintage of current inventory provides ample opportunities to reposition assets. Local government entities have actively played a role …

August 9, 2022

Market Reports Office Oregon Western Western Market Reports

Portland’s Office Market Continues its Evolution

by Jeff Shaw August 5, 2022

By Mike Holzgang and Brad Christiansen, Executive Vice Presidents, Colliers Portland is seeing a number of employers reassess their post-pandemic workplace. Generally, this translates to companies downsizing to account for hybrid work models, with smaller/shared workstations and more conferencing space. New development has slowed in anticipation of an increased interest rate environment, historically high construction costs and supply chain constraints. Construction timelines are protracted due to all of those issues by as much as 50 percent to 100 percent. Most of the new construction coming online in Portland was initiated before the pandemic. Notable downtown projects include two mixed-use developments named 11W and Block 216. Both of these projects will add significant office space to the city’s popular West End district. The first, 11W, should deliver this year, while Block 216 will deliver in 2023. Construction in the suburban submarkets has also been slow, but we wouldn’t be surprised if it starts to pick up within the next 18 months or so. Interest and Effect Depending on where you are looking, the market is favorable for both landlords and tenants. It is a landlord’s market in the suburban areas, particularly in those south and southwest of Portland. The Central City …

August 5, 2022

Iowa Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports

Real Estate Momentum Continues in 2022 in Cedar Rapids

by Kristin Harlow August 4, 2022

By Douglas Laird and Karl Hoffman, Skogman Commercial Realty Last year’s article on Cedar Rapids began by describing the 2020 Derecho windstorm that brought major damage to Iowa. This included our entire city of Cedar Rapids — an area of 75 square miles. There has been good progress toward recovery; yet many homes and businesses are still in need of repair. In addition, both individuals and companies confront inflation, energy costs and unpredictable consumer costs and shortages. In spite of these hurdles, however, the growth in the multifamily, residential and industrial sectors matches national trends. National rankings are exemplary for the city of Cedar Rapids: • No. 10 in “Best Cities to Buy a House in America” • No. 18 in “Cities with the Lowest Cost of Living in America” • No. 3 in the list of “Top 20 Fastest Metro Areas to Save for Your First Home” The multifamily sector has many exciting new projects in the pipeline totaling over $100 million. Here are just a few: • First on First West: a mixed-use site along First Avenue West • Loftus Lumber site: a five-story building with 186 market-rate units • KCG Development at Jacolyn Drive SW Land sales …

August 4, 2022

Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

Multifamily Prices Adjust to Macroeconomics Throughout Texas Markets

by Taylor Williams August 3, 2022

By Taylor Williams First things first: By most objective metrics and standards, multifamily assets in major Texas markets still represent strong investment propositions relative to certain other commercial sectors, as well as to the stock market, the other long-term vehicle to which real estate investments are most commonly compared. But as we cross the midpoint of 2022, the U.S. economy finds itself awash in a unique combination of challenging and extreme circumstances. Mainstream news coverage increasingly includes the word “record” in reports on inflation, one-off interest rate hikes and movement in the 10-Year Treasury yield. The yield on two-year Treasury notes recently eclipsed that of the 10-year, creating the “inverted curve” that has historically been an indicator of an upcoming downturn. Rumblings of an imminent recession grow louder by the day. Fear is contagious, and some markets are already showing signs of hunkering down in anticipation of a downturn. The expectation of recession, let alone the materialization of it, impacts even the strongest of markets, including multifamily assets in Texas. Investors and brokers who specialize in the property type recognize that certain factors — net in-migration of hundreds of thousands of people per year, exceptional corporate relocation activity, and supply …

August 3, 2022

Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Memphis Retail Market is Returning to Pre-Pandemic Norms

by John Nelson August 2, 2022

Memphis has seen a tight retail market for quality space and development opportunities since the COVID-19 pandemic. Our market sits at a 3.5 percent vacancy rate, according to CoStar Group analytics, and overall retail leasing activity is strong. Memphis has benefitted from a consumer base that is ready to return to the pre-pandemic rhythms of life. Retail sales have been healthy overall, with strong increases in sales of restaurants, particularly restaurants with a drive-thru. Rents for high-demand space have increased accordingly given the lack of quality opportunities for new-to-market or expanding retailers. Investment sales activity has been steady with an average cap rate around 7 percent, according to CoStar. Well-located and stable shopping centers are trading lower. A handful of high-profile institutional assets are either on the market or about to hit the market, and we expect those to trade at sub-7 percent cap rates. Ford Motors and SK Innovation’s new electronic vehicle (EV) and battery production facility in Stanton, Tenn., (25 miles east of Memphis) is anticipated to have a positive impact on the local economy. The $5.6 billion mega campus, called Blue Oval City, will add around 5,700 new jobs at its plant, with several more thousands indirectly …

August 2, 2022

Market Reports New York Northeast Northeast Market Reports Retail

New York City’s Retail Investment Market is Poised for Greater Activity

by Taylor Williams August 1, 2022

By Brent Glodowski, director, capital markets group, Avison Young Conditions are looking up for retail real estate investment in New York City. In one sense, “up” is the only way to go for a sector that has been bumping along the bottom of a trough. But with inflation tempering investors’ recent fascination with multifamily and industrial properties, retail also offers opportunities to acquire price-corrected assets when those other property types hover near cyclical peaks. Retail’s Head Start New York’s retail real estate market was already suffering from changing consumer tendencies when COVID-19 arrived and thrust many retailers and their landlords into a full-blown crisis. Even when government-ordered shutdowns eased, remote work policies drained office buildings of the customer bases that had supported swaths of restaurants, shops and entertainment businesses. Home-bound workers became a redistributed daytime population, shifting demand for meal delivery and other retail to new areas. Hundreds of small businesses went under, leaving vacant storefronts in their wake. Some retailers altered business plans to serve shifting customer bases that had developed new, pandemic-influenced consumption practices. Landlords with vacancies to fill turned to traditional strategies, such as relocating tenants from out-of-the-way spaces to fill their most visible storefronts. Property owners …

August 1, 2022

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

Despite Economic Headwinds, Orange County’s Retail Market Fundamentals Remain Sound

by Jeff Shaw July 29, 2022

By John R. Read, Senior Vice President, CBRE National Retail Partners-West It’s critical to go back to the basics in times of ever-increasing uncertainty. It is not new news that we are currently seeing inflation at a 40-year high, significantly higher interest rates and weaker economic growth expectations, including more talks of a pending recession, which is driving uncertainty in the U.S. market. These factors require us to consider a market’s fundamentals. For attractive fundamentals, look no further than Orange County’s retail market. Orange County’s unemployment rate was 2.7 percent in April 2022, down from a revised 3.1 percent in March 2022, and below the year-ago estimate of 6.8 percent. With California’s unadjusted unemployment rate at 3.8 percent and the nation at 3.3 percent (for the same period), Orange County outperformed both metrics. The county’s leisure and hospitality sector added 6,200 jobs, with 74 percent of these added between March and April of 2022, the most job additions of any sector. Food services and drinking establishments provided most of the employment increase in the subsector, with 4,000 more jobs. Arts, entertainment and recreation also added 1,600 jobs. Orange County boasts about 1,246 arts, entertainment and recreation destinations, along with 7,993 accommodations and …

July 29, 2022

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