Market Reports

The Sky is Not Falling for Miami’s Retail Market as Healthcare, Dining Activity Soars

by John Nelson June 6, 2022

When the world shut down in March 2020, “Chicken Littles” everywhere proclaimed the end of one of the primary asset classes in commercial real estate: retail. Retail tenants largely abandoned expansion plans and entered survival mode by shifting focus to seeking rent abatements and lease restructurings. Landlords in weak financial positions fought to meet significant debt obligations, while those in stronger positions took the opportunity to evict struggling tenants and refresh inventory, hoping that more creditworthy tenants would come calling. Fast forward two years and any lingering uncertainty about the survival of retail has waned, and, today, we seem to be in one of the stronger landlord markets in recent memory. What drove this radical shift from fear and hesitation to boundless market optimism? Increased competition among tenants with strong financial backing. Two factors have changed the landscape: private equity-sponsored healthcare companies and capital-rich restaurant groups. Medtail in Miami Healthcare businesses appeared to thrive during the pandemic as most were able to remain operational through state and local “shut down” orders. Many of these businesses used the pandemic as an opportunity to pounce on large spaces vacated by big box retailers and service-oriented businesses, like nail salons, barbershops and dry …

June 6, 2022

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

San Diego’s Unique Retail Environment Proves Pandemic-Resilient

by Jeff Shaw June 3, 2022

By John Hickman, Managing Director, NewMark Merrill San Diego may be California’s second most populous county, but you wouldn’t know it by strolling through one of its many business districts. The county has grown up since its early days as a small military outpost, yet today its hundreds of communities and neighborhoods still impart a small-town feel. The retail real estate market reflects an intimate beach town vibe with a tightly knit brokerage and landlord community. Brokers and investors can cover the market with a limited footprint, while many retailers can achieve a major presence with a handful of locations. This is opposed to the dozens of locations they may require in other California markets, such as Los Angeles, Orange County and the Bay Area. And big, national brands aren’t the only retailers finding success — 98 percent of firms in San Diego are small businesses. Retailers in San Diego are open to taking chances on new concepts and structuring different types of leases. They’re also willing to pay slightly higher rent to gain access to the area’s strong demographics and limited supply of new shopping centers. This uniqueness provided resiliency during the pandemic and will contribute to a thriving …

June 3, 2022

Industrial Market Reports Texas Texas Market Reports

Population Growth, Industrial Activity Explode Along Central Texas’ I-35 Corridor

by Taylor Williams June 1, 2022

By Paige Suvalsky, field research manager — Central Texas, CBRE; Rob Burlingame, senior vice president — Central Texas, CBRE; and Miller Hamrick, Texas industrial & logistics research lead, CBRE CBRE Research recently profiled Austin and San Antonio as an “emerging” industrial market along the Interstate 35 corridor in Central Texas. This region makes up much of the western portion of the “Texas Triangle”, a mega-region on a global scale that had an economic output of $1.5 trillion in 2021 and a population of just over 20 million people. The Texas Triangle represents a top 25 global economy, just ahead of Spain. The northern apex of the Texas Triangle, Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW), is projected to surpass Chicago by 2034-2035 to become the third-most populous urban region in the United States with a population of 9.4 million. This massive boom in population and business is driving the current rush to Central Texas and pushing regional and national developers to stake their claims in this growing market. Currently, about 5.5 million people live between the stretch of Texas from Laredo to Georgetown, and this area’s population is expected to grow by 10.8 percent over the next five years. According to data from the …

June 1, 2022

Florida Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Tenant, Investor Demand Propels South Florida’s Multifamily Market to New Peak

by John Nelson May 31, 2022

Miami’s multifamily market slowed down dramatically at the start of COVID-19 and now has quickly rebounded to record levels. Collections and occupancies are excellent, new supply is quickly absorbed, population/household growth is on fire, the job market has largely rebounded, wages are up, home prices are at record levels — meaning more people are renting — and limited land is keeping construction in balance. Going forward, the market is ideally positioned for continued long-term growth thanks to positive market fundamentals and continued strong sales activity. Demand for rentals was strong pre-pandemic and will grow even greater in the post COVID-19 era as South Florida continues to increase its resident count. Between 2020 and 2021, South Florida added 42,842 residents, including 14,318 new residents in Miami-Dade County. With the influx of residents, South Florida is expected to have over 37,000 new households created each year over the next five years. That represents over 14,800 new renters per year, assuming 60 percent of households enter homeownership and 40 percent rent, which is in line with historical ratios. Record year for sales 2021 was a record-setting year for the South Florida multifamily market. The region experienced 603 multifamily sales totaling $11.4 billion, which …

May 31, 2022

Industrial Kansas Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Retail

Retail, Industrial Brokers in Wichita Market Remain Busy

by Kristin Harlow May 26, 2022

Wichita experienced considerable retail and restaurant expansion throughout 2021, with other new stores planned for 2022. The two biggest new players to Wichita include Top Golf at 29th Street and Greenwich Road, now under construction, and Scheel’s entering the market with a new 220,000-square-foot store to be located in the former Sears space at Towne East Square. Top Golf is anticipated to open in late 2022, spurring more retail activity on North Greenwich. Furniture stores have been actively backfilling big boxes, including Bob Mills who took the former Michael’s, and Wichita Furniture, a strong regional player, taking the former 100,000-square-foot Kmart building on West Kellogg/US-54. Discount stores have continued to find a way to open more locations to increase their footprints in the market, both new construction and conversion of former retail spaces. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet opened its west store at Central and Ridge roads, and is also opening a store at Brittany Center. Quick-service restaurants (QSRs) have been active, including two new locations opening in 2022 for Dunkin’ and several new Dutch Bros Coffee locations as they enter the market as well in late 2022 and 2023. Tropical Smoothie Café opened a location last year and Smoothie King …

May 26, 2022

Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

Residential Development Nears Cyclical Peak Across RGV Markets

by Taylor Williams May 25, 2022

By Brad Frisby, director of land acquisitions, Rhodes Enterprises Demand for housing of all types continues to outpace supply in the Rio Grande Valley (RGV), and developers’ best efforts to add much-needed product throughout the region appear to be reaching a crescendo. Like the rest of the country, residential development in the RGV has been stymied and exacerbated by global supply chain disruption over the last year. Nor have developers in the region been spared from the pricing volatility of key construction materials, from basic building blocks like lumber and steel to more precise pieces such as air conditioning units and kitchen appliances. These factors, along with rising labor costs generated by the reheating of the regional economy, have negatively impacted conventional multifamily construction timelines and budgets over the past 12 to 18 months. While traditional single-family projects have not been hit nearly as hard as their multifamily counterparts, the net result of all this activity has been a widening of the gap between housing supply and demand. Though the regional vacancy rate for multifamily product is up on a year-over-year basis — about 4.5 percent today versus 3.5 percent at the end of the first quarter of 2021 — …

May 25, 2022

Georgia Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Atlanta Multifamily Sales Market Downshifts from ‘White Hot’ to ‘Hot’

by John Nelson May 23, 2022

Like much of the rest of the country, the Atlanta multifamily market has been white-hot with strong occupancies and rent growth that is contributing to outsized returns for owners, investors and developers. Recent increases in financing costs does not mean the music is stopping, but the tempo is slowing a bit. Atlanta’s multifamily fundamentals are still outstanding. Occupancies are holding strong and rents are continuing to rise. According to Northmarq’s fourth-quarter 2021 research, occupancy improved by 90 basis points while asking rents spiked by 15.9 percent at year-end. The compelling story fueling investor interest — growing demand and limited supply of housing options — remains firmly in place. In addition, there is plenty of investor appetite and capital available for multifamily assets for both debt and equity financing. The big change that has occurred over the past several weeks is the increasing cost of debt that will likely take some of the edge off what has been an ultra-aggressive investment sales market. The 10-year Treasury was 1.73 percent on March 1, 2022. At the end of April, it was 2.91 percent, a 118-basis-point increase in less than two months. Additionally, lender spreads have widened over this same period — 30 …

May 23, 2022

Market Reports Northeast Northeast Market Reports Restaurant Retail

Mixed-Use Owners in Northeast Face Retail Tenancy Dilemma

by Taylor Williams May 20, 2022

By Taylor Williams As the pandemic recedes from the minds and wallets of American consumers, the food and beverage (F&B) industry finds itself embroiled in a host of new financial problems, driven this time by pure economics rather than public health. Inflation and supply chain disruption are working both in tandem and within independent channels to bring new hardships to the sector, mainly in the form of elevated costs and delayed timelines for operating and expanding restaurants of all types. At the same time, F&B owners and operators finds themselves awash with pent-up demand to dine out, drink, socialize and enjoy entertainment attractions and activities. Meanwhile, across the Northeast, quality F&B spaces that went dark during the first 18 months of the pandemic have largely been reabsorbed. That confluence of circumstances encapsulates major incentives and opportunities for landlords to raise rents. Add in the fact that these property owners have in many cases been operating on deferred, reduced or restructured rent payment schedules for much or all of the last two years, and the move to push F&B rents is even more justifiable. For owners of traditional retail product — from power centers to neighborhood strip malls to single-tenant, net-leased …

May 20, 2022

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports NAI Office Wisconsin

Office Designs, Layouts Look Different in Post-Pandemic Marketplace

by Kristin Harlow May 19, 2022

It’s safe to say office space design has been transformed over the past two years in large part due to COVID-19 and the work-from-home experience. It has changed for now, the foreseeable future and maybe forever. Though many people are still working from home, others have returned to the office, even if only for a few days a week, and many of the office spaces are looking entirely different. While this may be happening in other markets, it is a trend we are seeing in the Milwaukee office market. The idea of the design and aesthetic of the office has changed. Current trends in office design are focusing on safety and comfort, while also creating a sense of home at the office. Tenants are being more thoughtful about their space layout and design. Instead of trying to fit as many people as possible into the space, tenants are occupying roughly the same size, or even slightly smaller spaces, but focusing on making those spaces more welcoming to help ease those workers coming back into the office, as well as recruiting new employees. Bring home into the office This design trend has the goal to provide comfort and safety at every …

May 19, 2022

Market Reports Retail Texas Texas Market Reports

Rio Grande Valley Retail Market Sees No Shortage of Demand from National Brands

by Taylor Williams May 18, 2022

By Randy Summers, vice president, CCIM, CPM, Davis Equity Realty “Y’all come” is the message being sent to developers, retailers, franchisees, quick-service restaurants, corporations and manufacturers from the Rio Grande Valley (RGV) region of Texas — and all these users seem to be heeding the call. The local economy seems to be hitting on all cylinders, albeit with constraints on labor and supplies, as well as rising costs. The four counties that statistically make up the RGV — Hidalgo, Cameron, Starr and Willacy — combine to produce a regional population of over 1.4 million and a workforce population of over 485,000. While COVID-19 continues to have lasting effects on labor, the Small Business Administration reported that the Lower Rio Grande Valley District, which serves 14 counties, had 44,471 Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans approved totaling $2.4 billion. Of that, 71 percent were loans for the RGV’s four counties representing 59 percent of the dollar amount, or $1.4 billion. That is a considerable amount of money that was pumped into the local economy and doesn’t include the $64.6 million in grants provided to restaurants through the Restaurant Revitalization Fund out of the American Rescue Plan Act. Year-to-date sales tax revenue provided …

May 18, 2022

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