Market Reports

Two Proposed Port Container Projects Could Catapult NOLA’s Industrial Sector

by John Nelson December 28, 2021

The current state of the New Orleans industrial real estate market can best be described as “dichotomic.” On the one hand, New Orleans has the stability of a mature market featuring one of the largest and oldest ports in North America, traditionally serving heavy industry that continues to perform. On the other, you have two new proposed container port projects that could significantly alter the landscape of the industrial real estate market for the foreseeable future. Like so many other markets across the country, the New Orleans area is gaining its fair share of distribution facilities, with Amazon and the like scrambling for sites to service increased consumer and business-to-business demand. That said, the real game-changer for the distribution sector will ensue when at least one of the two announced container port projects in the New Orleans area comes on line. The Port of Plaquemines and the Port of New Orleans have both identified sites with access to rail, major roadways and water-based transport options that would fundamentally alter the opportunity for distribution emanating out of the New Orleans area. Either project would instantly create a great demand for warehousing and distribution space and further diversify the industrial asset class …

December 28, 2021

Industrial Market Reports Southeast Market Reports

Four Reasons Why Louisville Industrial Market Shows No Signs of Slowing Down

by John Nelson December 27, 2021

With the explosion of e-commerce over the past year and a half, it’s no surprise the industrial sector across the United States is posting significant gains. In fact, 2021’s national demand for industrial space is up by 22 percent year-over-year, and the market is showing no signs of retreating. This trend comes as a result of increased consumer demand for immediate, contactless deliveries, which has boosted demand for distribution centers that house e-commerce and logistics companies. The Louisville market, which features major attractors such as the UPS Worldport, two Ford plants, the GE Appliance Park and robust interstate connectivity, has experienced record success in 2021, with several key trends driving this sector’s growth. 1. Explosive leasing Louisville’s net absorption metrics are approaching historic highs. When COVID-19 hit, nearly all businesses took a 30-day pause to evaluate the implications the pandemic posed. The ensuing change in consumer purchasing patterns and product delivery pushed the national industrial market on a positive trajectory for both absorption and construction starts. Louisville is no exception. To date, 62 percent of industrial buildings in Louisville were leased prior to construction completion, compared to 25 percent in 2020. In addition, 85 percent of facilities delivered this year …

December 27, 2021

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Ohio

APTC: Ohio School Districts Push for Excessive Property Taxes

by Kristin Harlow December 23, 2021

A recent order from the Ohio Board of Tax Appeals highlights a troubling aspect of real property tax valuation in the Buckeye State, where school districts wield extraordinary authority to influence assessments. In this instance, courts allowed a district to demand a taxpayer’s confidential business data, which it can now use to support its own case for an assessment increase. Ohio is one of the few states that permit school districts to participate in the tax valuation process, allowing a district to file its own complaint to increase the value of a parcel of real estate, and permitting a school district to argue against a property owner that seeks to lower the taxable valuation of a parcel of real estate. Generally, school districts looking to increase tax revenue will review recent property sales for opportunities to seek assessment increases. Likely candidates for an increase complaint include real estate that changed hands at a purchase price or transfer value that exceeds the county assessor’s valuation. That is not always the case, however. In the case that gave rise to this article, there was no recent sale of the subject property, which is a multi-story apartment building. The apartment building owner had …

December 23, 2021

Louisiana Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

NOLA’s Apartment Market Remains Stable as Occupancy Gains Momentum

by John Nelson December 21, 2021

Like the rest of the country, metro New Orleans is slowly coming out of the COVID-19 fog. The uncertainty of these uncharted waters caused a lot of anxiety for multifamily owner and operators. Although there were some challenges, the market has survived the pandemic surprisingly well. The overall vacancy factor for the city is in the 5 to 6 percent range and should compress further given the modest pipeline of new inventory coming on line. The highest vacancy rates reported are in Algiers (15 percent) and East New Orleans (12 percent) where the majority of service and tourism workers lived and the most affected by COVID-19. It should be noted that we feel this downturn in occupancy is temporary and is showing signs of recovery as our tourism industry slowly rebounds. The Downtown/Warehouse district also experienced increased vacancies as residents fled the urban market for the suburbs with communities reporting vacancy rates as high as 15 percent. As the height of COVID-19 dissipated, the submarket rebounded strongly with many communities reporting 92 to 95 percent occupancy. Although previous years have seen a host of new developments enter the Downtown submarket, currently there are only two communities in the pipeline that …

December 21, 2021

Market Reports New Jersey Northeast Northeast Market Reports Restaurant Retail

Large-Format Retailers Find Turnkey Spaces, Expansion Opportunities in Northern New Jersey

by Taylor Williams December 21, 2021

By Taylor Williams Demand for retail and restaurant space in Northern New Jersey has long been buoyed by spillover tenants that find themselves priced out of premium spaces in New York City. Yet despite the fact that retail rents throughout the city have been depressed for the last 18 months, users have not flocked to Manhattan and Brooklyn at the expense of the fringe markets of Northern New Jersey. In fact, brokers in the latter region see a healthy level of demand from a wide range of users that see opportunity in the current conditions. “The closures of national soft goods retailers that were squeezed by reduced demand and supply chain constraints during the height of COVID-19 left some beautifully built-out spaces,” notes Kevin Pelio, director of leasing at Azarian Group. “This has benefitted local and regional operators who can come into a prominent retail location without the capital-intensive, upfront investment typically required in a normal market.” Pelio adds that the larger trend among brick-and-mortar retailers to reduce initial capital outlays and build-out costs has also led to reductions in landlords’ tenant improvement (TI) allowances. Brian Katz, CEO of Englewood, N.J.-based Katz & Associates, concurs that certain retailers are aggressively …

December 21, 2021

Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Chattanooga Multifamily Sales are Up 300 Percent From 2017 Levels

by John Nelson December 20, 2021

The mountaintop of multifamily transactions was blown off in 2020 and 2021. Sales transactions are up 300 percent from 2017. Chattanooga’s hot market has gone from $150 million in transactions to nearly $500 million. Hungry investors have found prices lower than in many other desirable cities, the cap rates higher, attractive rental price increases and the locale unbeatable. Two-bedroom apartment rents are up over 17.6 percent in 2021 according to a recent local study yet still 19 percent below the average rate nationally. Residential price increases have outpaced the multifamily increases and made many single-family homes unaffordable for first-time homebuyers, further feeding the apartment demand. In addition to the volume of transactions increasing by some 300 percent, the sales price per door has risen significantly. In 2017 the average price per door for the market was $69,459 and in 2021 we are seeing $132,125 for a 90.2 percent increase. This statistic includes all product classifications. Class A prices per door have increased from $107,193 to $163,488. This is an increase of 52.5 percent. Class C product has risen from $46,176 to $93,308 per door. This indicates a 102 percent growth. Class C has outpaced all other classes in the last …

December 20, 2021

Industrial Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports Virginia

Richmond’s Trajectory is Still in the Early Innings

by John Nelson December 20, 2021

Richmond continues to solidify its position as a high growth Mid-Atlantic market and one of the top secondary markets in the country for inbound corporate and real estate investment. The Richmond MSA, totaling nearly 1.4 million people, has been one of the true beneficiaries of the COVID-19 pandemic due to its historical performance during economic distress, in-bound millennial and corporate migration from larger peer markets, quality of life and affordability, diversified economy, educated workforce, pro-business environment and the city’s central East Coast location. With such broad and fundamentally important characteristics, Richmond will continue to attract both domestic and global corporations and capital alike. The continued growth of Richmond’s diverse economy and workforce, fueled by its core industries including healthcare, manufacturing, industrial and technology, and further supported by its federal (Federal Reserve Branch and 4th Circuit Court) and state capital underpinnings, has generated a bullish sentiment on the economic growth prospects for 2022. As of fourth-quarter 2021, Richmond’s unemployment currently sits at 4 percent, representing a consistent decrease since the start of 2021 and well below the national average of 5 percent. City’s Industrial Sector is Taking Off Richmond’s highly coveted Interstate 95 corridor location and $300 million Port of Richmond …

December 20, 2021

Kentucky Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Derby City Office Market Now Entering Full-On Recovery Mode

by John Nelson December 20, 2021

Louisville’s office market is certainly a representative example of a typical office market in a mid-sized city. As expected, Louisville experienced the impact of COVID-19 and the remote work trend. Downtown had to endure the social unrest during summer 2020 that created a perception of a lack of safety. Our community has work to do to get things back to “normal,” but things are slowly starting to move in the right direction. As has always been the case, the downtown and suburban markets face different trends. Typically, the suburban market has outperformed the central business district (CBD) with higher average rents and lower vacancy. Presently, the downtown Class A market has average rents in the $19.11 per square foot range and vacancy around 22 percent. The suburbs are seeing $22.16 per square foot in rent and 14.6 percent vacancy. Recently, the CBD posted 480 square feet of negative net absorption for the second quarter. After taking large hits throughout most of the pandemic, this looks to be a sign that downtown may finally be turning the corner. The suburban market took a big hit this past quarter due to vacancies and downsizing of two large companies. Even so, suburban markets …

December 20, 2021

Market Reports New York Northeast Northeast Market Reports Restaurant Retail

Food & Beverage Leads New York City’s Retail Comeback

by Taylor Williams December 16, 2021

By Taylor Williams The fervent desire that many Americans have to make up for lost eating, drinking and socializing time has New York City’s food and beverage (F&B) market roaring back to life, prompting tenants to revisit growth plans, landlords to aggressively market their spaces and the brokers who represent the two sides to sharpen their pencils. In mid-August, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio announced that residents wishing to eat or drink inside a restaurant or bar would have to show proof of receipt of at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. Yet after two months of seeing this policy enforced, local brokers say the mandate has had a minimally adverse impact on business. Consequently, leasing activity, which began rebounding a year ago, is now accelerating in the F&B space. According to data from CBRE, F&B deals accounted for 30 percent of all new retail leases executed in New York City between March 2020 and August 2021. The company’s research team also identified 65 F&B leases throughout New York City in 2021 alone, representing about 33 percent of the total deal volume. Specifically within Manhattan, there were 24 leases executed for F&B concepts in the third quarter …

December 16, 2021

Georgia Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Just Like the Rest of the Country, Atlanta is Also Shattering Industrial Records

by John Nelson December 15, 2021

The Atlanta industrial market has been hot and setting records for quite some time now, and the third-quarter numbers for 2021 show that this trend is continuing as we are once again setting all-time record highs for activity, positive net absorption and new construction. Activity for the Atlanta industrial market for the third quarter alone was over 24.6 million square feet, which beat the previous record for a single quarter by over 4.1 million square feet. Adding the third-quarter numbers for activity to the previous three quarters, Atlanta has posted a new record high for a four-quarter period with over 82.2 million square feet of activity. This breaks the previous four-quarter record for activity by over 6.4 million square feet. It would certainly be logical to conclude that the net absorption numbers would be robust and positive as well for the same time periods, and you would be right. Atlanta set another record for positive net absorption with over 12.1 million square feet, which was over 2.8 million square feet higher than the previous record. When you add the third quarter numbers to the previous three quarters, you will see again a new record high for a four-quarter period with …

December 15, 2021

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