Market Reports

The New Paradigm of Chicagoland Industrial Market

by Kristin Harlow March 24, 2022

The industrial market will be forever changed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Before the pandemic, demand for industrial space was closely tied with gross domestic product (GDP), with demand rising and falling alongside the U.S. output of goods. The pandemic has accelerated an already shifting economy to an “on-demand” economy. This shift was created by technology companies fulfilling consumer demand via the immediate provisioning of goods and services, and has now led to industrial warehouse demand being more in line with consumer spending versus GDP. Consumer spending and personal income are at all-time highs, with e-commerce sales growing exponentially throughout 2020 and 2021. Companies have been leasing warehouse space at a meteoric rate, driven by the need to store goods to accommodate the demand and mitigate risk from supply chain complications that have been brought on by the pandemic. Over the past two years, millions of square feet of warehouse space in the Chicagoland area have been leased for e-commerce use to tenants such as Walmart, Wayfair, Hello Fresh, Imperfect Foods and, of course, Amazon. Additionally, as traditional brick-and-mortar retailers transition to greater online sales, they require more warehouse space for goods storage, which has led tenants such as Target, Walmart, …

March 24, 2022

Market Reports Retail Texas Texas Market Reports

San Antonio Retail Market: The Beat Goes On

by Taylor Williams March 22, 2022

By Steve Monroe, CCIM, San Antonio market manager, Oldham Goodwin The past year has seen steady improvement in the key performance metrics of the San Antonio retail market. Two years ago, participants in the retail sector, both local and national, were understandably preoccupied with questions about how the COVID-19 pandemic would impact retailers and owners of retail properties. The shift toward online shopping had begun several years earlier, and there was great fear that the pandemic would accelerate that trend such that it would prove fatal to retailers. The economic slowdown and quarantine restrictions that were implemented during the early part of the crisis appeared to validate those concerns. However, with the widespread availability and use of vaccines during the past 12 months, the San Antonio retail market, which initially saw significant layoffs and dramatic slowdowns, has come roaring back. The move toward online buying has indeed continued apace, and some consumers have shifted toward having goods delivered to them or utilizing curbside pickup models. In spite of these changes, nimble retailers have adapted to the changing landscape, and most are now thriving. In fact, for most retailers, the biggest operational problems have nothing to do with lack of …

March 22, 2022

Market Reports Multifamily Nevada Western Western Market Reports

Reno Remains in Demand for Multifamily Investors

by Jeff Shaw March 21, 2022

By Robert Skinner, Broker-Salesperson, Sierra Nevada Properties Commercial Group Back in the day, Reno had lots of land, we did not need high density development and there was little reason to build vertically. Because of the efforts of state and community leaders, as well as economic development agencies like Economic Development Agency of Western Nevada (EDAWN) and the Northern Nevada Development Authority (NNDA), many companies relocated and expanded here. With the increase in jobs came the need for more housing. The multifamily rental vacancy rate in the Reno/Sparks area is currently below 2 percent, with fewer than 50 listings for townhouses and condominiums on the Northern Nevada Multiple Listing Service (MLS). The region has absorbed 750 acres per year since 2011, according to a recent study by Woods and Poole that utilized data from the Truckee Meadows Regional Planning Agency. The study further predicts the region will run out of developable residential land by 2038. The supply shortages are increasing the price of parcels, while landowners may not sell as they hold out for higher prices. This will accelerate the shrinkage of developable residential land. To meet demand, city planners are calling for higher density and vertical multifamily development. This means we …

March 21, 2022

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

Orange County Retail Recap: Keep Calm and Carry On

by Jeff Shaw March 18, 2022

By Terrison Quinn, Managing Principal, SRS Real Estate Partners Despite the headwinds facing the Orange County retail property sector in 2021, retailers experienced record sales, while shopping center owners realized all-time-high property values. Orange County’s retail vacancy rate also decreased in 2021 from 4.58 percent to 4.32 percent as compared to 2020, according to CoStar. Meanwhile, rents increased from $33.12 per square foot, per year to $34.55 per square foot, per year — back to pre-pandemic levels. There are many reasons for these impressive numbers, though less stringent COVID rules and the solid job market may be two key drivers. Orange County remained less restrictive on businesses than neighboring Los Angeles County. The county also seems to have been the economic benefactor given the less severe climb out of the vacancy and unemployment challenges that were experienced through the pandemic. Orange County’s job market was hit hard during the pandemic with its large employment base in hospitality and leisure. However, it bounced back quickly with Disneyland re-opening and others hiring thousands of workers amongst robust consumer demand. Orange County’s job market is also recognized as one of the more diverse and higher paying counties in Southern California. Investors Continue to Eye Orange County as the Gold Standard …

March 18, 2022

Illinois Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Office

Success in 2022 Chicago Office Landscape May Boil Down to Who’s Minding the Store

by Kristin Harlow March 17, 2022

When it comes to which office properties will succeed in the coming years, success may boil down in part to who is minding the store. Like most big cities, Chicago’s office market has been tested by the pandemic, and office property owners face a far more competitive environment. Year-end 2021 office vacancy rates were nearly 18 percent in the central business district (CBD) and over 25 percent in the suburbs, or 44 percent and 35 percent higher, respectively, than two years prior, according to NAI Hiffman research. Hybrid work is here to stay, and some employers are shrinking or shifting their office footprints. When the pandemic is finally in the rearview mirror, office demand is not going to be the same as it was a couple of years ago, although we are still figuring out just what it will be. Which office properties survive and thrive in post-pandemic Chicago and nationwide will depend on many factors, including the property’s age or condition, its location and, increasingly, how well the property is programmed and run. That includes satisfying tenants in terms of everything from air quality to event assistance; meeting lenders’ environmental, social and governance (ESG) requirements and other new demands; …

March 17, 2022

Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

San Antonio’s Multifamily Market Is Finally Getting the Attention It Deserves

by Taylor Williams March 15, 2022

By Tim Harris, vice president of multifamily development, Rosewood Property Co. San Antonio’s multifamily market is realizing its own potential. New nodes of development are emerging, and new projects are meeting pent-up demand for higher-quality renter experiences. Today, developers are building multifamily projects that they wouldn’t have considered five or 10 years ago. They’re no longer stuck in their comfort zones, afraid to venture into new submarkets. And they’re no longer worried that they won’t be rewarded with the rents necessary to provide differentiated properties with unit diversification, higher-end finishes and increased amenities. History, Affordability Historically, many institutional investors and national developers have overlooked San Antonio. Bigger and trendier Texas cities — Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston — have always overshadowed the Alamo City. That wasn’t always the case, though. In 1860, San Antonio was the largest city in the Lone Star State. It thrived as a center for the cattle industry until the 1930s, when its population fell behind that of Houston and Dallas, mostly because of the booming oil industry. Today, San Antonio’s metro area is the 25th-largest in the country with 2.6 million residents, according to Oxford Economics. Hispanics represent 55.1 percent of the population — the …

March 15, 2022

Market Reports Nevada Office Western Western Market Reports

Reno Office Leasing, Development Bounce Back

by Jeff Shaw March 14, 2022

By Patrick Riggs, Senior Advisor, Office, Dickson Commercial Group The leasing market in Reno/Sparks is back on track following a strong end to 2021. The fourth quarter of 2021 concluded with an impressive 145,558 square feet of positive net absorption. This was the third straight quarter of positive net growth. Panasonic Energy stole the headlines in the quarter four with its 95,000-square-foot lease of 645 E. Plumb Lane in Reno’s central submarket. However, demand in the smaller office spaces under 5,000 square feet continues to be the driving force in this rebound. Local and regional companies with more flexibility to maneuver the pandemic were rewarded in 2020 and 2021 by capitalizing on aggressive landlord concessions. We are starting to see these concessions being rolled back as demand continues and vacancy nears pre-pandemic levels. The 2021 Reno sales market bounced back from 2020 with increases across the board in overall volume, price per square foot and number of sales. Both volume and the number of sales nearly doubled year over year. Average sales pricing is coming in at $300 per square foot, while new build-to-suit construction is over $400 per square foot with no slowdown in sight. Owner-users and office investors have been …

March 14, 2022

Industrial Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Minnesota

Twin Cities Industrial Sector Marked by High Demand, Exploding Liquidity

by Kristin Harlow March 10, 2022

2021 has been an absolute whirlwind for the Minneapolis-St. Paul (MSP) industrial market. Plunging cap rates, liquidity growing faster than ever and a sharply felt shortage of new supply have defined the last year and will continue to define 2022. New faces on the development side are entering the market right and left to capture the huge profits to be had from the supply/demand imbalance. New construction has been stabilizing in six to eight months and institutions have ear-marked MSP as a forward-sale market. The following are a few of the salient trends that should be considered when contemplating the MSP industrial market. Liquidity growth Since the last trough in 2016, the MSP industrial market has experienced an average 30 percent year-over-year growth in sales volume. 2021 experienced nearly half a billion dollars more in industrial investment sales than 2020, according to Real Capital Analytics. Cap rate compression Over the last year, the MSP industrial market has experienced change unlike in any other year. Entering 2021, the low-water stabilized cap rate was 5.15 percent, but by year-end, that had sunk 82 basis points to 4.33 percent. Warehouse rates in the $8 to $9 NNN range, once rare, are now commonplace; …

March 10, 2022

Market Reports New York Northeast Northeast Market Reports

New York City Tax Assessments Disregard Reality

by Taylor Williams March 9, 2022

By Joel Marcus of Marcus & Pollack LLP New York City has published three tax-year assessments since COVID-19 swept into our world. The New York City Tax Commission and New York City Law Department have had ample opportunity to reflect and refine their thinking on those assessments. The disease broke out in Wuhan, China, in late 2019 and soon spread around the world. Most of New York City noticed its impact in February and March of 2020 as businesses shut down at an accelerating rate, warranting government mandates and additional closures. So, what did New York City do for the 2020-2021 tax year? It significantly raised tax assessments. The Tax Commission and other review bodies refused to base their valuations upon the devastating catastrophic effects of COVID-19 that had ravished the city. Why do this? The answer is technical. New York City values real estate on a taxable status date, which is Jan. 5 each year. On Jan. 5, 2020, COVID-19 did not exist in assessors’ evaluation process. Nor did it exist in the review of assessments later in the year. Employment restrictions, mask mandates and lockdown requirements made it impossible to operate theaters, hotels, restaurants and many other businesses. …

March 9, 2022

Market Reports Oklahoma Texas Texas Market Reports

Spotlight on Tulsa: A Hidden Gem for Commercial Real Estate Investors

by Taylor Williams March 8, 2022

By Lanie Beck, director of corporate research, marketing & communications, Stan Johnson Co. Situated on the banks of the Arkansas River in northeast Oklahoma’s Green Country, Tulsa is a hidden gem for residents, employers and commercial real estate investors. Once recognized as the oil capital of the world, Tulsa has become a growing economic base for a variety of industries, including energy, finance, aviation, telecommunications and technology. Attractions and features of the city include the historic Route 66, the Philbrook and Gilcrease Museums, an Art Deco-inspired downtown, the award-winning Gathering Place Park and a vibrant resurgence of intown neighborhoods. Business, Population Boom Tulsa’s central U.S. location and operating costs that run below the national average, as well as a cost of living that is one of the lowest in the country for metro areas, make it incredibly desirable for businesses of all sizes. To help drive awareness during the pandemic, the city launched a rejuvenation project called “Tulsa Remote” that provided financial bonuses to attract more affluent remote workers and enhance the city’s diversity and community. Tulsa’s attractive characteristics, combined with the metro’s active efforts, have contributed to a boost in population growth over the last few years. In 2021, …

March 8, 2022

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