By Taylor Williams After months of disruption and uncertainty, commercial lenders throughout the country and the Northeast are eager to deploy funds, creating an environment in which borrowers are somewhat insulated from economic and geopolitical forces that threaten to derail the recovery. With interest rates still at historic lows and investors of all types looking to recoup returns unexpectedly lost to COVID-19, there is tremendous liquidity in the market. There’s also the simple fact that lenders are for-profit companies with expenses to cover. As the saying goes, if “they’re not lending money, they’re not making money,” and they’re losing market share. As a result, sources say, lenders are competing among themselves to finance deals. When lenders compete, borrowers win. “The overall level of capital flowing into the U.S. commercial real estate market is equal to or greater than where it was pre-pandemic,” says Matt Swerdlow, director of capital services at New York City-based intermediary Ariel Property Advisors. “Right now, there’s more capital than deals, so borrowers can get better spreads, higher proceeds or less structure just because the availability of capital is so broad.” “Despite the fact that we’re in a post-pandemic market, it’s heavy competition for deals, which has …
Market Reports
By Jeff Bender, Cushman & Wakefield Cincinnati and Northern Kentucky have the same logistical advantages they’ve always had, with their location within a day’s drive of two-thirds of the U.S. population, allowing reach and penetration to major metro areas. With those advantages, the region has enjoyed a robust industrial market, similar to most key markets in the country. Lessons learned from the pandemic, the pending opening of a nearly 1 million-square-foot e-commerce national air hub and growth of the Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Airport (CVG) will truly differentiate the market from an occupier’s perspective. What’s more, that increased demand and Cincinnati’s topographical constraints, creating new supply limitations, will continue to make it a darling of institutional investors. Quick delivery model Amazon’s presence and $1.5 billion investment near the airport and Cincinnati’s central location place it in a prime spot for fulfillment, a big demand driver over the next decade. For example, let’s say you need to buy or repair a laptop, smart phone, tablet or any other electronic device. The order for a new computer could be fulfilled the next day most anywhere in the world even if the order is placed late in the evening. With a repair, you box it …
By Dan Blackwell, Executive Vice President, CBRE Demand for multifamily properties in Orange County continues to show great strength. This is driven by steady rent collections and favorable interest rates as apartments in the region have performed well during the pandemic. As investors look to buy stable, income-producing assets in Southern California, the focus on the multifamily sector in our region has intensified. We have witnessed increasing interest from first-time buyers over the past few weeks, in addition to continued interest from 1031 exchange investors and those who sat on the sidelines during much of 2020. This demand is buoyed by willing lenders offering favorable interest rates in the low 3 percent range due to the area’s excellent rent collection track record. Most buyers are looking for 50 percent to 60 percent leverage, with in-place capitalization rates typically ranging between 3.75 percent and 4.25 percent, depending on location. However, given the limited supply, we are seeing buyers bid pricing higher and cap rates compressing for many assets. Private investors continue to be the predominate buyers, mainly driven by the need for diversification and a stable cash flow. We are receiving more requests from LA County investors that may have sold a multifamily …
By Travis Albrecht, design director, AIA, Gensler Austin is bursting at the seams — just ask anyone who is currently trying to buy a home here. According to the latest U.S. Census Bureau figures, the city’s population has increased by 22 percent since 2010. The city will continue to grow and evolve, but people are attracted to its longstanding welcoming and laid-back culture. How does that translate into design and urban planning for this expanding, vibrant metropolis? Here are the major trends impacting design across commercial real estate in Austin that we have seen in our work as architects and designers, as well as insights gleaned from clients. Experiential Office Buildings As we adapt to a hybrid lifestyle where the workforce is split between the office and home, the role of the workplace and the office building will be to strengthen relationships, teach others and build community, culture and purpose. People want to work in dynamic, activated environments, which is why today’s successful office buildings and workplaces are now included within mixed-use developments, rather than as standalone campuses or office parks. Ground floors must be activated with retail space, service amenities, artwork, community or public gathering areas, even when workers …
By Brian Cagayat, Research Analyst, Cushman & Wakefield Washington officially reopened at the end of the second quarter of 2021, lifting most of the COVID-19 restrictions that had been in place for more than a year and bringing a mixture of relief and uncertainty to residents and businesses. Workers in the industrial sector were mostly considered essential, so many continued to work onsite through the pandemic. The industrial sector was also instrumental in helping aid and support everyone through the pandemic conditions, with some of those leading industrial users based here in the Puget Sound. New leasing activity in the Puget Sound region has been explosive in 2021, totaling 14.1 million square feet in the first half of the year. This has nearly equaled the 15 million square feet of annual activity tracked in all of 2020. Net occupancy growth still remains a bit in the red through the first half of 2021 with a negative 423,000 square feet of absorption. However, we expect a considerable portion (of over 10 percent) of the 29.1 million square feet of leasing activity signed since 2020 to translate into net growth in future quarters once those companies officially take occupancy. Ecommerce and 3PL firms have been …
Last year posed many challenges for Charlotte’s office market, as companies continued to delay making decisions about their office space needs. In the fourth quarter, leasing velocity had slowed, with limited deal activity driven largely by lease expirations. But the city still scored several corporate relocations and expansions, faring well compared to other major cities throughout the country. Fast-forward to June 2021, and the light at the end of the tunnel is getting brighter as more occupants set re-entry plans for this fall. This is a transformative year for Charlotte. Commercial Café ranked the Queen City as No. 5 in the United States for the most anticipated office deliveries in 2021 with more than 4.1 million square feet delivering in the metro area this year. Uptown added to its skyline with the addition of 366,000 square feet at Legacy Union Two, the completion of the 742,000-square-foot Ally Charlotte Center, Honeywell’s 330,000-square-foot corporate headquarters delivering later this fall and the 156,415-square-foot FNB Tower delivering this summer. At the end of the first quarter, new construction in Uptown was more than 82 percent preleased. And as more tenants seek out highly amenitized and efficient space, new construction is expected to be the …
By Taylor Williams The business of trading retail properties is booming across the greater Boston area, and the combination of cheap capital, a desire to recoup lost business and potential changes in tax law are prompting buyers and sellers alike to transact at a frenetic pace. As is often the case in times of robust investment sales activity, low interest rates are the straw that stirs the drink. At its latest meeting in June, the Federal Reserve opted to hold the federal funds rate — the short-term rate by which lending between financial institutions is priced — at a target range of 0 to 0.25 percent. The Fed cut rates by 100 basis points to this target range in March 2020 in response to the COVID-19 outbreak and has kept them there ever since. A fiscal policy defined by record-low rates is persisting even in the face of inflation, which hit its highest mark in 13 years when the U.S. Consumer Price Index rose by 5.4 percent in June 2021 relative to June 2020. Economists have cited sustained injections of federal stimulus and relief money and elevated government spending in response to the pandemic as the key drivers of this …
By Noah Juran, NorthMarq Cincinnati remains a highly sought-after market for multifamily investors as the U.S. emerges from the COVID-19 pandemic. The Cincinnati area’s apartment market fundamentals, including rent growth, rent collections and occupancy levels, are holding up well. Significant amounts of capital — including local, out-of-state and international — are aggressively seeking to be deployed into multifamily assets, which continues to drive up pricing. Multifamily has outperformed many other commercial real estate sectors during COVID, as many investors consider it a safe-haven investment. However, a lack of inventory for sale is slowing transaction activity. COVID-19 impact While delinquencies increased in 2020 due to pandemic-related layoffs and furloughs, many apartment owners in Cincinnati recorded strong rent performance, especially those properties that are well-managed and efficiently screen tenants. There was an eviction moratorium in Ohio, but it had a minimal impact. Workforce housing properties with lower-income tenants experienced the most negative effects during the pandemic. Many operators in Cincinnati and throughout the Midwest recorded collections at or above 90 percent, which is typical. Owners may have had a couple of tenants who requested rent relief or deferred payments, but after the dust settled, most borrowers, owners and operators did not experience …
By Bob Caudill, Executive Vice President, Colliers International From public and private funding increases to the demand created by the COVID-19 pandemic and the vaccine rollout combatting it, the life sciences sector is continuing to see a significant increase in interest from both developers and investors across the country. Rapid growth in advanced therapy medicinal products (ATMP) science, which includes gene therapy, is also driving demand for lab and manufacturing space from both early and mid-stage biotech companies. All-important leasing data points, such as vacancy and net absorption, further compare favorably to the challenged office market, suggesting even more positive days are ahead for this sector. Orange County boasts world-class life sciences innovations and is continuing to grow its educational, employment and investment footprint. Given the amount of medical device and diagnostic equipment companies in Orange County that occupy office, research and development and industrial properties, life sciences has now become the largest industry in the market. In fact, Biocom’s 2020 California Economic Impact Report has Orange County generating $37.2 billion in economic activity and supporting more than 150,000 jobs. Orange County’s growth is attributed to several factors, such as UC Irvine’s $1 billion expansion of its Medical and Health Sciences Complex. UC …
By Pat Kesgard, Compass Commercial Real Estate Services When COVID-19 hit Central Oregon in April 2020, commercial real estate transactions effectively came to a halt. Transactions were either delayed or canceled and virtually no new deals started. We were back to almost normal by the beginning of the third quarter of 2020. Miraculously, the fourth quarter was above the previous year’s activity. Hospitality The hospitality industry suffered tremendously through the pandemic. The labor shortage extended the challenge of operating at full capacity, and this is still impacting businesses today. Fortunately, landlord and government subsidies helped many in the industry survive. Retail Transactions in 2021 Compass completed more than 31 retail leases that totaled more than 85,000 square feet since January 1, 2021. The current retail vacancy rate is 5.86 percent with 264,077 square feet available for lease. We noted some softening in rents in 2020, and are now starting to see asking rates returning to normal. The redevelopment of older properties continues, along with new localized projects in areas outside of downtown Bend. We expect to see this trend continue for the unforeseeable future. Large retail spaces opened up when the former Sears and Shopko closed in 2020. Both buildings were eventually …